Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market-A" for the non-bank financial industry [1]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial industry has shown positive performance in the first half of the year, with expectations for continued growth driven by capital market reforms and improved regulatory frameworks [4][11]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has outlined key reform tasks for the second half of the year, focusing on stabilizing market expectations, promoting the implementation of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board reforms, and enhancing the management of major asset restructuring [5][11]. - The report highlights a significant increase in market activity, with a 19.56% week-on-week growth in average daily trading volume, reaching 1.85 trillion yuan [13]. Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes the importance of capital market reforms, which are expected to enhance market vitality and investor confidence. Key initiatives include promoting long-term capital inflows and improving the governance of listed companies [11][12]. Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.67%, the CSI 300 by 1.69%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.76%. The non-bank financial index increased by 3.52%, ranking 10th among 31 sectors [13][14]. - Notable stock performances included Dongwu Securities, which surged by 15.22%, and Guosen Securities, which rose by 13.92% [14]. Industry Key Data Tracking 1) Market Performance and Scale: The report notes a total trading volume of 9.24 trillion yuan for the week, with a significant increase in trading activity [13]. 2) Credit Business: As of July 25, the market had 3,061.97 billion shares pledged, accounting for 3.74% of total equity, with a margin balance of 1.95 trillion yuan [18][23]. 3) Fund Issuance: In June 2025, new fund issuance reached 122.12 billion units, with a notable increase in the number of funds issued [18][24]. 4) Investment Banking: The report indicates that equity underwriting in June 2025 totaled 553.02 billion yuan, with IPOs contributing 9.15 billion yuan [18]. 5) Bond Market: The 10-year government bond yield was reported at 1.73%, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 12.47 basis points [18][27]. Regulatory Policies and Industry Dynamics - The CSRC is actively seeking public feedback on the revised Corporate Governance Code, aiming to enhance the accountability of directors and senior management [12][25]. - The report outlines the CSRC's commitment to maintaining market stability and enhancing regulatory effectiveness while promoting high-level institutional openness [25]. Key Announcements from Listed Companies - The report mentions that Shouhua Securities plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to strengthen its capital base [26]. - Zhejiang Securities reported a 46.54% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, despite a decline in revenue [28].

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The July 2025 Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the integration of high-quality development with short-term economic growth, highlighting the need for flexible and anticipatory macro policies to enhance the attractiveness and inclusivity of the domestic capital market [6][7] - The meeting set a GDP growth target of 5.3% for the first half of 2025, indicating a solid foundation for achieving annual economic goals [6] - The focus on effective demand release and consumption growth was reiterated, with specific actions proposed to stimulate service consumption and expand commodity consumption [6][7] Group 2: Agricultural Sector Analysis - The agricultural sector showed a 3.62% increase in the week of July 21-27, 2025, with significant performance in sub-industries such as other planting, pig farming, and poultry feed [9] - Pig prices experienced a slight decline, with average prices in key provinces reported at 13.60, 15.54, and 14.13 CNY/kg, reflecting a decrease of 0.37%, 0.32%, and 1.74% respectively [9] - The feed industry is expected to see a recovery due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving conditions in the breeding sector, with companies like Haida Group positioned for growth [9] Group 3: Technology and Investment Trends - Meta and Microsoft have significantly increased their capital expenditure (CAPEX) forecasts for 2025, with Meta's CAPEX projected to be between 66-72 billion USD, up from a previous estimate of 64-72 billion USD [11] - The establishment of large-scale AI data centers by Meta is expected to enhance the penetration of HVDC technology in China, with recommendations for companies like Zhongheng Electric as key players in this sector [10][11] - The overall performance of major tech companies has exceeded expectations, providing a strong foundation for future CAPEX growth [11]

建议关注饲料的回升周期和养殖的边际改善 农林牧渔 农业行业周报 同步大市-A(维持) 农林牧渔行业近一年市场表现 本周（7 月 21 日-7 月 27 日）沪深 300 指数涨跌幅为+1.69%，农林牧渔 板块涨跌幅为+3.62%，板块排名第 9，子行业中其他种植业、生猪养殖、肉 鸡养殖、畜禽饲料、种子表现位居前五。 本周（7 月 21 日-7 月 27 日）猪价环比下跌。根据跟踪的重点省市猪价 来 看 ， 截 至 7 月 25 日 ， 四 川 / 广 东 / 河 南 外 三 元 生 猪 均 价 分 别 为 13.60/15.54/14.13 元/公斤，环比上周分别-0.37%/-0.32%/-1.74%；平均猪肉 价格为 20.87 元/公斤，环比上周上涨 1.02%；仔猪平均批发价格 26.00 元/公 斤，环比上周持平；二元母猪平均价格为 32.52 元/公斤，环比上周持平；自 繁自养利润为 62.16 元/头，外购仔猪养殖利润为-71.39 元/头。截至 7 月 25 日，白羽肉鸡周度价格为 6.70 元/公斤，环比上涨 4.69%；肉鸡苗价格为 1.93 元/羽，环比上周上涨 40.88%；养殖利润 ...

Economic Context - The July 2025 meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasized the integration of high-quality development with short-term economic growth amidst uncertainties in foreign trade and domestic demand[1] - The GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 reached 5.3%, laying a solid foundation for achieving annual economic goals[2] Domestic Demand and Investment - The meeting highlighted the need to effectively release domestic demand potential, focusing on expanding consumption and improving living standards[3] - It was proposed to increase effective investment and promote high-quality urban renewal projects to address the "involution" phenomenon in competition[3] Supply System and Policy Adjustments - Technological innovation was identified as a key solution to escape homogeneous competition and support high-quality development[4] - The meeting called for market-oriented regulatory measures to optimize competition and manage excess capacity in key industries[4] Macroeconomic Policy Outlook - The macroeconomic policy is expected to be adjusted to enhance flexibility and responsiveness, with a focus on implementing effective fiscal and monetary policies[6] - The government aims to accelerate the issuance and utilization of bonds to improve funding efficiency and maintain liquidity[6]

研究早观点 2025 年 7 月 31 日 星期四 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,615.72 | 0.17 | 持续上涨 | | 深证成指 | | 11,203.03 | -0.77 | | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,151.24 | -0.02 | | | 中小板指 | | 6,961.64 | -0.47 | | | 创业板指 | | 2,367.68 | -1.62 | | | 科创 | 50 | 1,058.57 | -1.11 | | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 李明阳 【今日要点】 2019 年 2 月 21 日 星期四 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 【宏观策略】海外市场周观察（20250721~20250727） 【行业评论】化学原料：新材料周报（250721-0725）-世界人工智能大 会正式开幕，人形机器人领域材料有望实现高速发展 【山证农业】海大集团 2025 年半年报点评-饲料业务基本面显著回升 【山证专精特新】安培龙（30 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock performance in the next 6-12 months [3][7]. Core Insights - The company's feed business fundamentals have significantly improved, with a notable increase in sales volume and market share [4][5]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 588.31 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.50%, and a net profit of 26.39 billion yuan, up 24.16% year-on-year [4]. - The company has successfully expanded its overseas feed business, with a 40% year-on-year increase in external sales [6]. Financial Performance - The company reported an EPS of 1.59 yuan for the first half of 2025, with a weighted average ROE of 10.70%, an increase of 0.14 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The total feed sales volume reached approximately 14.7 million tons in the first half of 2025, a 25% increase year-on-year, contributing to a sales revenue of 471.39 billion yuan from feed products, up 14.02% [4][5]. - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 53.37 billion yuan, 62.40 billion yuan, and 70.89 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.21 yuan, 3.75 yuan, and 4.26 yuan [7][8]. Market Dynamics - The overall industrial feed production in China reached 15.85 million tons in the first half of 2025, growing by 7.7% year-on-year, indicating a robust market environment [4]. - The company has seen substantial growth in its poultry, pig, and aquaculture feed segments, with pig feed sales increasing by 43% year-on-year [5][6]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 17 times for 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [7][8]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 130.804 billion yuan, with a net profit margin expected to improve to 4.1% [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "B" for the new materials sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [2]. Core Insights - The new materials sector has shown strong performance, with the new materials index rising by 4.15%, outperforming the ChiNext index by 1.39% in the recent week [2]. - The global humanoid robot market is projected to grow from USD 2.16 billion in 2023 to USD 20.6 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57% [4]. - The domestic PEEK material market is expected to reach CNY 2.1 billion by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.53% [4]. Market Performance - The new materials sector has seen various sub-sectors perform well, including: - Semiconductor materials up by 4.04% - Electronic chemicals up by 3.67% - Degradable plastics up by 3.12% - Industrial gases up by 2.22% [2][17]. - The overall market performance for the week (July 21-25, 2025) shows the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.67% and the ChiNext Index by 2.76% [13]. Price Tracking - Amino acids prices show slight decreases, with valine at CNY 14,350 per ton (-0.35%) and arginine at CNY 24,400 per ton (-0.41%) [3]. - Prices for biodegradable materials remain stable, with PLA (injection grade) at CNY 17,800 per ton [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in humanoid robot materials, particularly those producing PEEK materials and functional protective casings [4][5]. - Recommended companies include DFBP (PEEK synthesis monomer), Zhongxin Fluorine Materials, and manufacturers of PEEK components like Kent Shares [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8]. Core Views - The company has a strong foundation in temperature, pressure, and oxygen sensors, with significant growth potential in force sensors for robotics applications [1]. - The company has successfully expanded its customer base, leading to increased product sales and steady revenue growth, with a projected revenue CAGR of around 20% from 2020 to 2024 [35]. - The pressure sensor segment is expected to surpass temperature and thermal resistors as the company's primary revenue source by 2024 [23]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of thermal resistors, temperature sensors, oxygen sensors, and pressure sensors, with a comprehensive product range and advanced R&D capabilities [16][6]. - The company has established a strong market position with a diverse customer base, including major domestic and international companies [16]. Market Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 1.17 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.5%, and net profit is expected to be 112 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 36.1% [8][10]. - The gross margin has remained stable around 30% from 2021 to 2023, with slight fluctuations due to production capacity and new factory amortization [39][38]. Product Segments - The thermal resistor and temperature sensor markets are expected to grow steadily, with the global NTC market projected to reach 5.1 billion yuan by 2030 [44]. - The pressure sensor market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the global market for medium and low-pressure sealed pressure sensors expected to reach 589 million USD by 2032 [5]. - The oxygen sensor market is also expanding, with a projected market size of 7.417 billion USD by 2032, driven by applications in automotive and medical sectors [7]. Financial Projections - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.14, 1.45, and 1.83 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 75.7X, 59.6X, and 47.3X [8][10]. - The company is expected to maintain a stable gross margin across its product lines, with pressure sensors, thermal resistors, and oxygen sensors projected to have gross margins of 31.61%, 33.15%, and 25.74% in 2024 [39].

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the trend of domestic companies expanding overseas due to the easing of trade tensions between China and the US, with a focus on the advantages of the domestic industrial supply chain and engineering workforce [6] - The year 2025 is identified as a pivotal year for the mass production of humanoid robots, presenting significant opportunities for domestic supply chains [6][7] - The report emphasizes the expected growth in the photovoltaic industry, with projections for increased installed capacity and rising prices across the supply chain [7][11] Industry Commentary: Machinery - The machinery industry is experiencing a shift as leading companies accelerate their overseas expansion in response to new US tariff policies [6] - Key companies to watch include Giant Star Technology, Changrun Co., and Honghua Digital Science, which are positioned to benefit from this trend [6] - The report also notes the potential for growth in the humanoid robot sector, with significant contracts awarded for production services [6] Industry Commentary: Electric Equipment and New Energy - The report discusses the recent launch of a new humanoid robot by Yushun Technology, which is expected to drive demand in both commercial and industrial sectors [7] - The photovoltaic industry is projected to see an increase in installed capacity, with estimates for 2025 revised upwards to 270-300 GW in China [7] - The report tracks price movements in the photovoltaic supply chain, noting significant increases in polysilicon and silicon wafer prices, indicating a bullish outlook for the sector [8][11] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in humanoid robotics and the photovoltaic supply chain, including Jack Co., Hengli Hydraulic, and Zhejiang Rongtai [6][11] - It suggests that investors pay attention to the automation of logistics and textile equipment, highlighting companies like Hangcha Group and Jack Co. for their innovative approaches [6] - The report also identifies key players in the photovoltaic sector, such as Aiko and Longi Green Energy, as potential investment opportunities [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery sector, indicating expected performance above the market average [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the trend of companies expanding overseas and identifies 2025 as the year of mass production for humanoid robots, presenting hardware investment opportunities [1][3]. - The easing of trade tensions between China and the US is expected to support the growth of domestic companies in overseas markets, particularly in the tool market where relocation to the US is challenging due to cost and efficiency advantages [3]. - Key companies to watch include Giant Technology, Changrun Co., Honghua Digital Science, and others, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [3][4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Stocks - The report lists preferred stocks with ratings: - Jack Co. (603337.SH) - Buy-A - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) - Buy-A - Zhejiang Rongtai (603119.SH) - Accumulate-A - Qiaocheng Ultrasonic (688392.SH) - Buy-A - Honghua Digital Science (688789.SH) - Buy-A - Tianzhun Technology (688003.SH) - Buy-A - Jiechang Drive (603583.SH) - Accumulate-A [2][10]. Industry Key Data Tracking - Forklifts: In June 2025, 137,570 units were sold, a 23.1% increase year-on-year. For the first half of 2025, sales totaled 739,334 units, up 11.7% [13]. - Excavators: June 2025 sales reached 18,804 units, a 13.3% increase. Total sales for the first half were 120,520 units, up 16.8% [14]. - Automotive Cranes: June sales were 1,649 units, down 5.28%. Total sales for the first half were 10,752 units, down 8.4% [17]. - Tower Cranes: June sales were 437 units, down 44.8%. Total sales for the first half were 2,771 units, down 38% [21]. - Loaders: June sales were 12,014 units, up 11.3%. Total sales for the first half were 64,769 units, up 13.6% [22]. - Metal Cutting Machine Tools: June production was 70,500 units, up 12.7%. Total production for the first half was 403,000 units, up 13.5% [24]. - Industrial Robots: June production was 74,764 units, up 37.9%. Total production for the first half was 379,000 units, up 35.6% [28].