Core Conclusions - The U.S. government shutdown has ended after 43 days, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history, following the signing of a temporary funding bill by President Trump [1] - The release of significant liquidity from the Treasury General Account (TGA), which had accumulated nearly $1 trillion during the shutdown, is expected to ease global liquidity constraints [2] - The resumption of employment data disclosures, including non-farm payrolls, is likely to reignite expectations for interest rate cuts, as the labor market may show signs of weakness due to the shutdown's impact [3] - With the U.S. government reopening and a shift towards looser dollar liquidity, a rebound in risk assets, particularly Hong Kong stocks, is anticipated [4] - A strategic asset allocation favoring Hong Kong innovative pharmaceuticals, Hang Seng Technology, and gold is recommended, as broader asset classes are expected to benefit from the easing liquidity conditions [5] Global Major Asset Changes - Domestic CPI and PPI have unexpectedly improved, reinforcing inflation expectations, with CPI turning positive at 0.2% and PPI's decline narrowing to -2.1% [16][18] - October exports unexpectedly turned negative year-on-year, influenced by high base effects, while exports to the U.S. increased, indicating resilience in trade with emerging markets [17] - The prolonged U.S. government shutdown has led to liquidity tightening, impacting various asset classes, but this is expected to improve with the government's reopening [21] - The ADP employment data showed unexpected improvement, suggesting a potential increase in labor supply due to the shutdown's effects on government employees [25] - The Federal Reserve officials are leaning towards a cautious approach regarding interest rate cuts, with limited future rate reductions anticipated [29] Recent Major Asset Review - Domestic stock markets experienced a mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% while the CSI 300 fell by 0.66% [33] - U.S. and European stock markets saw declines due to the government shutdown and tightening liquidity, with the Nasdaq dropping by 3.04% [35] - U.S. Treasury yields increased amid uncertainties regarding interest rate cuts, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.10% [37] - Commodity prices fell, with WTI crude oil and Brent oil prices decreasing by 2.02% and 1.76%, respectively, due to concerns over demand [40] - The U.S. dollar index fluctuated, ultimately decreasing by 0.20%, while the onshore and offshore RMB experienced slight depreciation [42]

Group 1: Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery sector is expected to benefit from anti-involution policies, with prices starting to rise since July 2025 due to government measures against low-price and disorderly competition [13][15][20] - In September 2025, major express companies reported a year-on-year increase in single ticket prices, indicating the initial success of the anti-involution policies [24][21] - The express delivery volume is projected to maintain good growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.6% from 2023 to 2028 [34][32] Group 2: Oil Transportation Industry - The average age of VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) ships reached a historical high of 13 years in August 2025, indicating a need for capacity renewal [52][51] - There is a significant gap between the number of new orders and the required capacity updates, with only 112 VLCCs expected to be delivered by 2029 against a potential scrapping of 319 older vessels [58][56] - Global oil production and consumption are expected to grow in the coming years, which may positively impact oil transportation demand [43][42] Group 3: Aviation Industry - The aviation sector is anticipated to enter a supply-demand resonance cycle, with a projected low growth rate in aircraft supply over the next eight years [71][73] - Most airlines are expected to see good growth in passenger numbers in 2025, with overall load factors remaining high [80][84] - Government policies aimed at promoting consumption and addressing competition in the aviation sector are expected to boost demand in 2026 [90][92]

Group 1: Key Conclusions - The report highlights Guangqi Technology (光启技术) as a leader in the metamaterials industry, having built a comprehensive industrial system from scratch, including a headquarters, five bases, seven capability platforms, and eight specialized companies, making it a global leader in metamaterials with integrated R&D, design, mass production, and testing capabilities [1][6][7] - The company is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth as its five bases gradually come into production, benefiting from increased product penetration [1][6][8] Group 2: Financial Projections - For Guangqi Technology, the projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 9.58 billion, 18.83 billion, and 23.49 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 47.0%, 96.6%, and 24.7% respectively [6][8] - Fortec Technology (富特科技) is expected to achieve revenues of 37.77 billion, 48.57 billion, and 61.05 billion CNY, with net profits of 2.13 billion, 3.22 billion, and 4.68 billion CNY for the same period [10][11] - Shengke Communication (盛科通信) is projected to have revenues of 13.53 billion, 17.76 billion, and 21.95 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 25.1%, 31.3%, and 23.6% respectively [13][14] - Weimais (威迈斯) is forecasted to generate revenues of 70.59 billion, 85.67 billion, and 100.80 billion CNY, with net profits of 6.57 billion, 8.74 billion, and 10.49 billion CNY for the same period [16][18] Group 3: Industry Insights - The metamaterials market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.3% from 2025 to 2031, with significant applications in defense and military, wireless communication, and optics [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of metamaterials in advanced equipment, particularly in defense applications, and highlights Guangqi Technology's unique position as the only company in China to achieve large-scale industrialization of metamaterials for next-generation aerospace equipment [6][8] Group 4: Company Developments - Fortec Technology has seen a significant increase in its Q3 performance, with a revenue of 25.59 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 116.31% [10][11] - Shengke Communication has achieved a positive net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 8.32 billion CNY, reflecting a 3% year-on-year growth [13][14] - Weimais reported a Q3 revenue of 16.38 billion CNY, with a net profit of 1.53 billion CNY, indicating a strong growth trajectory [16][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][11]. Core Views - The company has shown significant year-on-year growth in Q3, with a 5.45% increase in main business revenue to 4.597 billion yuan and a 43.64% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to 425 million yuan [1][3]. - The company is a leader in the domestic vehicle power supply sector, with strong R&D capabilities and scale advantages, indicating substantial growth potential as product iterations and overseas customer demand continue to rise [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a main business revenue of 4.597 billion yuan, up 5.45% year-on-year, and a net profit of 425 million yuan, up 43.64% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.638 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.06% and a year-on-year increase of 1.93%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 153 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 90% [1][6]. - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 23.02% and 9.73%, respectively, showing slight decreases from the previous quarter [1]. Product Development and Market Position - The company shipped over 600,000 vehicle power supply products in Q3, maintaining a market share of approximately 24% and ranking first among third-party suppliers [2]. - The fourth-generation vehicle power supply integrated products accounted for over 20% of revenue in Q3 2025, with a strategy of "producing one generation, researching one generation, and pre-researching one generation" to enhance product competitiveness and overall gross margin [2]. - The company plans to invest 190 million yuan in building an electric drive assembly production base, with a construction period of one year [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.059 billion yuan, 8.567 billion yuan, and 10.080 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 657 million yuan, 874 million yuan, and 1.049 billion yuan [3][4]. - The company anticipates significant growth driven by product updates and increasing overseas customer demand, particularly from major European clients launching new vehicle platforms in the coming years [2][3].

Group 1: Fixed Income Market Outlook - The 2026 outlook indicates significant pressure for banks to realize floating profits, while insurance companies will continue to rebalance between equities and bonds supported by premium growth [6][7] - Brokerages are expected to increase their allocation to interest rate bonds and enhance returns through various tools [6][10] - Asset management products will see a slowdown in growth rates post-net worth transformation, with funds facing impacts from declining yields and new redemption regulations [6][11] Group 2: Far East Horizon (03360.HK) - Far East Horizon has evolved into a comprehensive group with financial services as its shield and industrial operations as its spear, being the first listed financing leasing company in China [15][16] - The company is expected to maintain stable leasing volumes and benefit from a decrease in funding costs, alongside profit expansion in its industrial operations due to its overseas strategy [15][16] - The revenue structure is shifting, with the industrial operations segment projected to account for 42.71% of total revenue by 2024, reflecting the effectiveness of its dual-driven strategy [16] Group 3: Beautycounter (300957.SZ) - The company is undergoing operational adjustments, focusing on channel optimization and product concentration, with expectations of returning to stable growth by 2026 [19][20] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.464 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.78%, but showing signs of improvement due to strategic adjustments [19][20] - The company anticipates earnings per share (EPS) of 1.02, 1.22, and 1.43 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [20] Group 4: Top Group (601689.SH) - The company achieved a revenue of 20.9 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1%, while net profit decreased by 12% [22][23] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 29.9 billion, 36.5 billion, and 43.1 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 12%, 22%, and 18% respectively [24] - The company is expanding its international presence and developing new products in robotics and AI liquid cooling servers, with significant orders already secured [24]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Far East Horizon with an "Accumulate" rating [1][6][19] Core Views - Far East Horizon has evolved from being the first listed financing leasing company in China to a comprehensive group with financial services as its "shield" and industrial operations as its "spear" [1][23] - The company is expected to benefit from stable leasing investment and a decrease in funding costs, alongside profit expansion in its industrial operations due to its overseas strategy [1][19] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2011, Far East Horizon is the first listed financing leasing company in China, now a comprehensive group integrating financial and industrial services [1][23] - The company has undergone several phases of development, transitioning from a traditional leasing company to a comprehensive service provider [24][25] Financial Performance - The revenue structure is shifting towards industrial operations, which are projected to account for 42.71% of total revenue by 2024, reflecting a 4.03 percentage point increase year-on-year [2] - The company has maintained stable growth in its financial services, with a focus on compliance and risk control, while also expanding its inclusive finance business [2][54] Business Segments - The financial services segment remains the core, with leasing as the primary focus, while the industrial operations segment includes equipment and healthcare services [40] - The equipment operation segment has shown significant growth, with revenue increasing from 1.8 billion in 2018 to 11.6 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 36.54% [46] Asset Quality - Far East Horizon has improved its asset quality significantly, with non-performing asset formation rates projected to be 0.50%, 0.43%, and 0.23% for 2023, 2024, and 2025H respectively [3][32] - The company has implemented a prudent project investment strategy to control the quality of new business and reduce the scale of urban public projects [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted total revenue for 2025-2027 is 376.10 billion, 375.77 billion, and 384.89 billion respectively, with a slight decline in growth rates expected [15] - The report anticipates a rebound in net profit margins, with projected net profits of 40.51 billion, 42.32 billion, and 44.30 billion for the same period [15][19]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the industry, suggesting a focus on sectors with significant growth potential and strong domestic alternatives [4][29]. Core Insights - The market is currently experiencing a structural shift, with consumer sectors leading gains while growth sectors like computing hardware are under pressure. This reflects a broader risk-averse sentiment in the A-share market [4]. - Recent government policies aimed at promoting private investment in key sectors such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace are expected to benefit specialized and innovative companies in the North Exchange [4]. - The balance of market conditions is characterized by supportive policies and short-term emotional consolidation, creating opportunities for specialized companies, particularly in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy [4]. Summary by Sections Market Review - On November 10, the North Exchange A-share trading volume reached 20.18 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.314 billion yuan from the previous trading day. The North Exchange 50 Index closed at 1512.52, down 0.67%, with a PE_TTM of 71.78 times. The specialized and innovative index closed at 2506.89, down 0.99% [2][9]. - Among 282 companies listed, 127 saw gains, 10 remained flat, and 145 experienced declines. The top five gainers included Taipeng Intelligent (+13.6%) and Anda Technology (+13.0%), while the top five losers included Fangsheng Co. (-5.4%) and Haidar (-4.6%) [2][17][18]. Important News - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued guidelines to enhance renewable energy consumption and control, aiming for a multi-level consumption regulation system by 2030 [20]. - The State Council released measures to encourage private investment in projects such as railways and nuclear power, allowing private capital to hold over 10% in qualifying projects [21]. Company Announcements - Boshun Bio announced the purchase of wealth management products amounting to 20 million yuan using idle funds [22]. - Iron Tuo Machinery's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by 1.05 million shares, accounting for 1.14% of total equity [23]. - Qianjin Technology reported using 45 million yuan of idle raised funds for cash management [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is experiencing a steady recovery in growth momentum through channel optimization and product focus, with a 13.78% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 3.464 billion yuan [1][4] - The third quarter revenue reached 1.092 billion yuan, showing a reduced decline of 9.95% compared to the previous quarter, indicating initial effectiveness of channel and product adjustments [1] - Key initiatives contributing to revenue improvement include the simplification of SKU and reduced promotions on low-margin products, alongside enhanced online channel operations [1] - The main brand, Winona, has shown stable performance, particularly during the Double Eleven pre-sale period, while the high-end anti-aging brand, Aikeman, has seen strong growth [1] Summary by Sections Revenue and Growth - The company achieved a total revenue of 3.464 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, down 13.78% year-on-year, with a third-quarter revenue of 1.092 billion yuan, down 9.95% [1][3] - The revenue decline is narrowing, suggesting that operational adjustments are beginning to yield results [1] Profitability - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 70.68%, a decrease of 5.67 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The net profit margin improved to 2.52%, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability compared to the same period last year [2] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its operational adjustments, with the performance during the Double Eleven sales event being a critical indicator of the effectiveness of its strategies [2] - The multi-brand matrix, anchored by Winona and supported by Aikeman and the newly introduced TriPollar brand, is anticipated to create a second growth curve [2] - EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 1.02, 1.22, and 1.43 yuan respectively [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on leading domestic replacement companies with strong growth potential and certainty [3][31]. Core Insights - The North Exchange market experienced a decline in trading volume, with an average daily turnover of 22.72 billion yuan, down 21.4% week-on-week. The North Exchange 50 index fell by 3.79% during the week [1][7]. - The top five gainers for the week included Caneng Power (31.1%), Anda Technology (20.4%), Hongxi Technology (19.1%), Jinhua New Materials (13.3%), and Deer Chemical (11.1%). Conversely, the top five losers were Beiyikang (-12.3%), Fujida (-12.3%), Longzhu Technology (-11.9%), Tiangang Co. (-10.8%), and Digital Human (-10.7%) [1][14]. - The report highlights a structural characteristic of the market, with funds concentrating on high liquidity and high growth stocks, indicating a shift towards fundamental valuations [3][30]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The North Exchange's average daily trading volume reached 22.72 billion yuan, a decrease of 21.4% compared to the previous week. The North Exchange 50 index declined by 3.79%, with an average turnover rate of 3.2% [1][7]. Key News and Policies - The National Health Commission issued guidelines to support AI in medical applications, aiming to develop specialized clinical models by 2027 [2][20]. - By the end of September, China's new energy storage capacity exceeded 100 million kilowatts, marking a growth of over 30 times compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [2][21]. Core Driving Factors - The report emphasizes the dual drive of deepening reforms and industrial policies, with the North Exchange accelerating the launch of the North Exchange 50 ETF and enhancing market liquidity [3][28]. - The addition of quality new stocks and the focus on niche market leaders are highlighted, with new listings in sectors like in-vitro diagnostics and engineering consulting [3][29]. Investment Recommendations and Strategies - The report suggests that the recent index adjustments do not alter the long-term value of the North Exchange 50 index, which is expected to show resilience in earnings compared to small-cap stocks [3][31]. - It recommends focusing on core stocks within the North Exchange 50 index and specialized new "little giant" companies, particularly in high-tech fields supported by policy [3][31].

Group 1: Xinhua Insurance (601336.SH) - The core conclusion indicates that Xinhua Insurance's high equity investment ratio is expected to continue contributing to earnings elasticity as the capital market trends upward [6][7] - The liability side is undergoing a transformation towards dividend insurance, with accelerated growth in bancassurance channels and reforms in individual insurance channels, positioning the company for sustained business leadership [6] - The report anticipates significant profit improvement driven by dual efforts on both asset and liability sides, initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating [6] Group 2: Jinhua New Materials (920015.BJ) - Jinhua New Materials is positioned as a leading player in silane crosslinking agents, with stable growth expected in its core business and a second growth curve anticipated from hydroxylamine aqueous solution, which is set to break existing monopolies [9][10] - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 1.04 billion, 1.31 billion, and 1.66 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 200 million, 250 million, and 320 million yuan [9][10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 45.4, 35.8, and 28.0 for the years 2025 to 2027, with an initial coverage rating of "Add" [9][10] Group 3: Zhongke Feimeasure (688361.SH) - Zhongke Feimeasure is recognized as a leading provider of semiconductor quality control equipment, with a revenue of 702 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 51.39% [12][13] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.061 billion, 3.128 billion, and 4.413 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 184 million, 411 million, and 718 million yuan [12][13] - The current stock price corresponds to a PS ratio of 23.17, 15.27, and 10.82 for the years 2025 to 2027, with an initial coverage rating of "Add" [12][13] Group 4: Changan Automobile (000625.SZ) - Changan Automobile's sales in October 2025 reached 278,000 units, marking an 11% year-on-year increase, with cumulative sales from January to October totaling 2.374 million units, up 10% [15][17] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 187 billion, 209.6 billion, and 229.7 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.1%, 12.1%, and 9.6% [17] - The current stock price corresponds to an EPS of 0.64, 0.85, and 1.06 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating [17] Group 5: Xingye Co., Ltd. (601799.SH) - Xingye Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 10.71 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.09%, with a net profit of 1.141 billion yuan, also up 16.76% [30][31] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.719 billion, 2.115 billion, and 2.682 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating [31][32] - The company is expanding into the robotics sector, indicating a strategic move towards new growth areas [31]