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稀土永磁行业周报:上周稀土原料价格走弱,钕铁硼价格暂稳
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:37
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 稀土永磁行业周报 上周稀土原料价格走弱,钕铁硼价格暂稳 相关研究: | 《上周稀土原料端价格延续上行,钕铁硼价 | | | --- | --- | | 格仅小幅跟涨》 | 20250304 | | 《上周行业大幅上涨,政策支撑稀土原料价 | | | 格上行,钕铁硼跟涨》 | 20250224 | 行业评级:增持(维持) 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 4 7 39 绝对收益 5 6 51 注:相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师:王攀 证书编号:S0500520120001 Tel:(8621) 50293524 Email:wangpan2@xcsc.com 核心要点: ❑ 市场行情:上周稀土永磁材料行业上涨 6.02%,跑赢基准 4.63pct 上周稀土永磁行业上涨 6.02%,跑赢基准(沪深 300)4.63pct。行业估值 (市盈率 TTM)回升 5.31x 至 93.48x,当前处于 98.8%历史分位。 ❑ 上周稀土精矿价格多数回调 轻稀土矿方面,上周国内混合碳酸稀土矿、四川氟碳铈矿及山东氟 ...
机械行业周报:2月我国挖机销量增长53%至1.9万台,超预期
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:37
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 行业评级:买入(维持) 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 9.4 10.5 17.3 绝对收益 10.7 9.9 28.6 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 24/03 24/05 24/07 24/09 24/11 25/01 机械设备(申万) 沪深300 注:相对收益与沪深 300 相比 行业研究 机械行业周报 2 月我国挖机销量增长 53%至 1.9 万台,超预期 ——机械行业周报(03.03~03.09) 相关研究: 1.《20250224湘财证券-机械行业:1 月我国叉车销量约9.4万台,同比下 降15.4%》 2.《20250303湘财证券-机械行业: 2月我国制造业PMI为50.2%,环比 回升1.1个百分点》 ❑ 工程机械:2025 年 2 月我国挖掘机销量为 19270 台,同比增长 52.8% 据中国工程机械工业协会数据,2025年2月,我国共销售挖掘机19270 台,同比增长 52.8%,增速环比上升 51.7pct。其中国内销量 11640 台,同 比增长 ...
锂电材料行业周报:上周行业小幅下跌,成本端支撑三元前驱体及材料价格上涨
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:37
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Viewpoints - The lithium battery materials industry experienced a slight decline of 0.21% last week, underperforming the benchmark (CSI 300) by 1.59 percentage points. The industry valuation (TTM P/E) decreased by 0.51x to 35.12x, currently at 34.6% of its historical percentile [4][5] - The market shows signs of a slight recovery in demand for certain segments, but overall supply-demand imbalances persist, with most segments maintaining low prices and profitability [13][45] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The lithium battery materials industry fell by 0.21% last week, underperforming the CSI 300 benchmark by 1.59 percentage points. The industry valuation decreased to 35.12x, which is 34.6% of its historical percentile [4][5] Positive Material Trends - The cost side supported price increases for ternary materials, with prices for NCM111, NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 rising by 13.82%, 10.61%, 8.7%, and 5.52% respectively. Meanwhile, lithium carbonate prices slightly increased by 0.6% to 75,300 CNY/ton [5][6] Electrolyte and Anode Material Insights - The average price of artificial graphite anode materials rose by 1.28% to 33,100 CNY/ton, while natural graphite prices remained stable at 35,600 CNY/ton. The overall production of anode materials increased by 1.04% to 43,795 tons [10] - Electrolyte prices remained stable at low levels due to oversupply and poor profitability, with the average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate dropping by 1.6% to 61,500 CNY/ton [8][9] Phosphate Lithium and Ternary Material Developments - The price of lithium iron phosphate for power applications remained stable at 35,700 CNY/ton, while production increased by 9.47% to 58,958 tons. The demand in the new energy market showed slight recovery [7] - The ternary cathode material production increased by 1.97% to 12,947 tons, with an operating rate rising by 0.74 percentage points to 38.73% [6] Overall Industry Outlook - The current supply-demand imbalance continues to affect the industry, with short-term demand showing slight recovery signs. However, the overall profitability remains constrained due to excess supply and cost-cutting pressures from downstream sectors [13][45]
银行业周报:结构性工具支持宽信用,金融风险防控取得成效
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:36
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 银行业周报 结构性工具支持宽信用,金融风险防控取得成效 分析师:郭怡萍 证书编号:S0500523080002 Tel:(8621) 50295327 Email:guoyp@xcsc.com 国人寿金融中心10楼 相关研究: 核心要点: 市场回顾:银行指数上涨 0.52%,股份行市场表现领先 本期(2025.03.03 至 2025.03.09)银行(申万) 指数上涨 0.52%,市场表现强 于沪深 300 指数 1.12 个百分点。股份行市场表现相对领先。 资金市场:资金利率明显回落,存单发行利率略上行 3.《2025年度策略:积极政策下的 本期,央行公开市场操作净回笼 8813 亿元。资金利率明显回落,资金面有 所修复。存单发行利率略上行,3 月以来存单净融资 590.20 亿元,存单发 行规模达 6642.70 亿元,存单净融资规模高于上年同期。 近十二个月行业表现 | 相对收益 | -0.87 | 5.48 | 10.82 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对收益 | 1.77 | 4.74 | 2 ...
结构性工具支持宽信用,金融风险防控取得成效
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:36
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 相关研究: 核心要点: 行业研究 银行业周报 结构性工具支持宽信用,金融风险防控取得成效 | 1.《增量政策推进,关注银行配置 | | | --- | --- | | 价值》 | 2024.11.10 | | 2.《自律机制规范存款定价,缓解 | | | 银行息差压力》 | 2024.12.03 | | 3.《2025年度策略:积极政策下的 | | | 股息选择》 | 2024.12.19 | | 4.《宽信用力度有望加强,银行股 | | | 高股息优势延续》 | 2025.01.07 | | 5.《信贷"开门红",对公贷款如 | | | 期回暖》 | 2025.02.18 | 近十二个月行业表现 | 相对收益 | -0.87 | 5.48 | 10.82 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对收益 | 1.77 | 4.74 | 21.88 | 分析师:郭怡萍 证书编号:S0500523080002 Tel:(8621) 50295327 Email:guoyp@xcsc.com 国人寿金融中心10楼 市场回顾:银行指 ...
稀土永磁行业周报:上周稀土原料价格走弱,钕铁硼价格暂稳-2025-03-11
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:32
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 上周稀土原料价格走弱,钕铁硼价格暂稳 行业研究 稀土永磁行业周报 相关研究: | 《上周稀土原料端价格延续上行,钕铁硼价 | | | --- | --- | | 格仅小幅跟涨》 | 20250304 | | 《上周行业大幅上涨,政策支撑稀土原料价 | | | 格上行,钕铁硼跟涨》 | 20250224 | 行业评级:增持(维持) 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 4 7 39 绝对收益 5 6 51 注:相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师:王攀 证书编号:S0500520120001 Tel:(8621) 50293524 Email:wangpan2@xcsc.com 地址:上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼湘财证券研 究所 核心要点: ❑ 市场行情:上周稀土永磁材料行业上涨 6.02%,跑赢基准 4.63pct 上周稀土永磁行业上涨 6.02%,跑赢基准(沪深 300)4.63pct。行业估值 (市盈率 TTM)回升 5.31x 至 93.48x,当前处于 98.8%历史分位。 ❑ 上周稀土精 ...
政策提振信心,估值修复可期
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:32
证券研究报告 2025 年 3 月 10 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 食品饮料行业周报 政策提振信心,估值修复可期 相关研究: | 1.《1月CPI涨幅扩大,酒企密集 | | | --- | --- | | 控货稳价》 | 2025.02.11 | | 2.《酒企淡季控货稳价,乳品供 | | | 需格局有望改善》 | 2025.02.24 | | 3.《市场预期回暖,乳制品价格 | | | 回升》 | 2025.03.03 | 行业评级:买入(维持) 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 3.8 -3.5 -17.9 绝对收益 6.5 -2.9 -6.8 注:相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师:李育文 证书编号:S0500523060001 Tel:021-50295328 Email:liyw3@xcsc.com 地址:上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 核心要点: ❑ 3 月 3 日-3 月 7 日,食品饮料行业上涨 0.74% 上周,上证指数上涨 1.56%,深证成指上涨 2.19%,沪深 300 指数上涨 1.39%, 创业板指上涨 1.61%。申万食品 ...
机械行业周报:2月我国挖机销量增长53%至1.9万台,超预期-2025-03-11
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-11 08:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry [1] Core Insights - In February 2025, excavator sales in China increased by 52.8% year-on-year, reaching 19,270 units, exceeding expectations [4] - The machinery equipment industry rose by 5.5% last week, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 4.1 percentage points [3][9] - The CMI index for February was 106.68 points, indicating a stable development phase with significant improvements in various indices, including new orders and production [5] Summary by Sections Market Review - The machinery equipment industry has shown strong performance with a 15.2% cumulative increase year-to-date, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 16.6 percentage points [12] - The best-performing sub-sectors include engineering machinery components (59.6%) and metal products (30.3%) [12] Engineering Machinery - The domestic sales of excavators in February reached 11,640 units, a 99.4% increase year-on-year, while exports totaled 7,630 units, up 12.7% [4] - The average working hours for major engineering machinery products in February were 46.4 hours, a 70.3% year-on-year increase [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sub-sectors such as engineering machinery, industrial robots, semiconductor equipment, and industrial control equipment, as they are expected to benefit from economic recovery and policy support [6] Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Ratings - Companies like Huichuan Technology and Zhongwei Company are rated "Buy" with projected revenue growth and profitability improvements [20] - Sany Heavy Industry is rated "Hold" with stable growth expectations [20] Fundamental Data - The report highlights the cumulative issuance of special bonds by local governments, which is expected to support infrastructure investment and machinery demand [21]
保利发展:估值提升计划增强市场信心,提高股东回报-20250310
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-10 13:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company plans to enhance its valuation and shareholder returns through multiple measures, as it has triggered the requirement to formulate a valuation enhancement plan due to its stock price being below net asset value for 12 consecutive months [1][2] - The company achieved a sales amount of 323 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining its position as the industry leader, and has focused land acquisition in core cities to optimize inventory structure [3][4] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 to 5.016 billion yuan, 5.406 billion yuan, and 6.337 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a significant downward adjustment from previous estimates [4][10] Summary by Sections Valuation Enhancement Plan - The company has outlined nine specific initiatives to improve its valuation and shareholder confidence, including operational stability, diversified capital market financing, and a commitment to stable dividends [2] Sales and Market Position - In 2024, the company maintained its leading sales scale in the industry with a total sales amount of 323 billion yuan, and in the first two months of 2024, it achieved a sales amount of 34 billion yuan [3] Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is projected to decline by 9.8% in 2024, with a further decline of 10.3% in 2025, before a slight recovery in 2026 [10] - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are forecasted at 0.42 yuan, 0.45 yuan, and 0.53 yuan respectively, indicating a significant reduction from previous estimates [4][10]
中药行业周报:两会《政府工作报告》提出医药发展新目标
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-03-10 13:16
证券研究报告 2025 年 03 月 05 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 中药行业周报 两会《政府工作报告》提出医药发展新目标 相关研究: 核心要点: ❑ 市场表现:上周中药Ⅱ下跌 0.76%,医药二级板块全面回调,中药微跌 上周(2025.02.24-2025.02.28)医药生物报收 7302.5 点,下跌 2.72%;中药Ⅱ报 收 6207.73 点,下跌 0.76%;化学制药报收 10278.41 点,下跌 0.39%;生物制品 报收 5893.96 点,下跌 2.36%;医药商业报收 4850.7 点,下跌 3.57%;医疗器械 报收 6278.17 点,下跌 3.44%;医疗服务报收 5413.55 点,下跌 7.94%。医药二 级子板块全面回调,近期涨幅较大的医疗服务调整幅度最大,中药板块微跌。 从公司表现来看,表现居前的公司有:长药控股、*ST 龙津、*ST 吉药、康缘 药业、启迪药业;表现靠后的公司有:维康药业、粤万年青、康美药业、新光 药业、恩威医药。 ❑ 估值:上周中药板块 PE(ttm)为 25.84X,PB(lf)为 2.24X 上周中药 PE(ttm)为 25.84X,环比下降 0 ...