证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 桐昆股份(601233.SH) 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com [刘奕麟 Table_OtherReport] 石化行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524040001 联系电话：13261695353 邮箱：liuyilin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 公司盈利显著改善，看好涤丝龙头业绩释放弹性 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 ➢ 行业供需格局改善，公司业绩显著提升。油价端，2024 年国际油价中 高位震荡运行，上半年油价呈现冲高后回落企稳态势；下半年受全球宏 观经济形势转弱、地缘担忧情绪放缓影响，国际油价震 ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 淮北矿业（600985） 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 提质降本凸显业绩韧性，产量恢复助力业绩向好 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 [Table_S 事件：2025 ummar年y]4 月 29 日 ，淮北矿业发布 2025 年一季报，2025 年第一季 度，公司单季度营业收入 105.99 亿元，同比下降 38.95%，环比上涨 0.17%； 单季度归母净利润 6.92 亿元，同比下降 56.50%，环比下降 3.44%；单季度 扣非后净利润 6.74 亿元，同比下降 56.96%，环比上涨 19.86%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_A ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight revenue increase in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.62%, achieving a total revenue of 42.16 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.77 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.59% [2] - The passenger flow and revenue from the main line showed a slight decline, while the cross-line business experienced faster growth, with the cross-line network business generating 25.95 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [2] - The company expects the subsidiary, Jingfu Anhui, to potentially turn profitable in 2025, as it recorded a reduced net loss in the first quarter of 2025 [2] - The company anticipates steady growth in cross-line business, driven by improvements in the network and increased operational mileage [2] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate net profits of 13.51 billion, 14.43 billion, and 15.36 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.28, 0.29, and 0.31 yuan [2][3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the total revenue was 42.16 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 3.6% compared to 2023 [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 12.77 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.6% [3] - The gross profit margin is projected to increase from 47.4% in 2024 to 49.6% by 2027 [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 6.3% in 2024 to 6.8% in 2027 [3] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 22.50 in 2024 to 18.71 by 2027 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qingdao Port (601298) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Qingdao Port's first-quarter performance in 2025 shows a 6.51% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, indicating stable operations and a positive outlook for future dividend capabilities [2][4] - The company's cargo throughput reached 177 million tons in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a 2.9% year-on-year growth, outperforming the industry due to resilient demand from the hinterland [3][4] - The report emphasizes the strong growth in container throughput, which increased by 7.2% year-on-year to 8.22 million TEUs, supported by robust export demand from Shandong Province [4] - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend yield of 4.0% based on a 40% payout ratio of distributable profits [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, Qingdao Port achieved an operating revenue of 4.807 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.51% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 1.402 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.51% increase compared to the previous year [4] - The report forecasts that from 2025 to 2027, the company will achieve operating revenues of 19.475 billion, 19.998 billion, and 20.542 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.82%, 2.69%, and 2.72% respectively [4][6] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is expected to be 5.517 billion, 5.804 billion, and 6.095 billion yuan, with growth rates of 5.38%, 5.21%, and 5.02% respectively [4][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating that the stock price is expected to outperform the benchmark by more than 15% [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.745 billion RMB in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.11%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.010 billion RMB, a slight increase of 0.59% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed significant improvement, with a revenue of 1.896 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.92%, and a net profit of 311 million RMB, up 25.16% year-on-year [1]. - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the internationalization of the RMB and the complexities of global trade, with a focus on comprehensive payment solutions [1]. - The overseas performance in 2024 was strong, with international revenue reaching 2.674 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, accounting for 34.52% of total revenue [1]. - The company is leveraging AI technology in its payment solutions, enhancing its product offerings and operational efficiency [1]. Financial Summary - The total revenue for 2023 was 8.250 billion RMB, with a projected increase to 8.500 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 9.7% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 1.010 billion RMB in 2024 to 1.227 billion RMB in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.5% [2]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 36.5% in 2024 to 37.2% in 2025 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.98 RMB in 2024 to 1.19 RMB in 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 27.31 and 22.47 respectively [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 42.16 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.62%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 12.77 billion yuan, up 10.59% year-on-year, which is in line with expectations [2] - The passenger flow and revenue from the main line slightly decreased, while the cross-line business grew at a faster pace [2] - The company expects the cross-line business to continue to grow steadily, driven by improvements in the network and operational adjustments [2] - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 13.51 billion, 14.43 billion, and 15.36 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 5.8%, 6.8%, and 6.4% respectively [2] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company recorded total revenue of 421.6 billion yuan, with a net profit of 127.68 billion yuan [2][3] - The main line passenger transport business generated revenue of 158.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year, while the cross-line network business generated revenue of 259.5 billion yuan, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year [2] - The company’s gross profit margin is projected to improve from 47.4% in 2024 to 49.6% in 2027 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.26 yuan in 2024 to 0.31 yuan in 2027 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongkun Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant improvement in the company's profitability, with a focus on the resilience of the polyester filament industry and the expected performance release of the leading company [1][6] - The supply-demand dynamics in the industry are improving, leading to a notable enhancement in the company's performance [3][4] - The company is expected to benefit from the optimization of the supply structure and the increase in industry concentration [4][6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 101.31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.20 billion yuan, up 50.80% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 19.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.01%, but a net profit of 611 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.36% [2] - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 2.28 billion, 2.99 billion, and 3.70 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 89.5%, 31.7%, and 23.5% [6] Industry Analysis - The report notes that the average Brent crude oil price for 2024 is expected to be 79.86 USD/barrel, a decrease of 2.31 USD/barrel from 2023, impacting raw material costs [3] - The polyester filament industry is projected to see a consumption increase of 8.7% in 2024, with a total apparent consumption of 42 million tons [3] - The report anticipates the elimination of 2-2.5 million tons of outdated capacity in the polyester filament industry during 2024-2025, which may lead to a negative growth in effective capacity [4]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_StockAndRank] 淮北矿业（600985） 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 提质降本凸显业绩韧性，产量恢复助力业绩向好 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 30 日 [Table_S 事件：2025 ummar年y]4 月 29 日 ，淮北矿业发布 2025 年一季报，2025 年第一季 度，公司单季度营业收入 105.99 亿元，同比下降 38.95%，环比上涨 0.17%； 单季度归母净利润 6.92 亿元，同比下降 56.50%，环比下降 3.44%；单季度 扣非后净利润 6.74 亿元，同比下降 56.96%，环比上涨 19.86%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_A ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.271 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 50%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 146 million yuan, down 91% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 423 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 51%, with a net profit of 26 million yuan, down 86% year-on-year [1] - The company has successfully turned a profit in Q1 2025, with significant improvements in cost optimization [4] - The expansion plan for tungsten wire busbars is underway, with a target of reaching a monthly production capacity of 6 million kilometers, which is expected to enhance cost efficiency [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 139 million, 266 million, and 383 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -5%, +92%, and +44% [4] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 4.512 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.3%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 2.208 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.8% [3] - The gross profit margin for 2025 is expected to be 15.3%, down from 50.2% in 2023 [3] - The diluted EPS for 2025 is projected to be 0.29 yuan, compared to 3.31 yuan in 2023 [3] - The P/E ratio for 2025 is estimated at 64.16, indicating a significant increase from 10.06 in 2023 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 37.04 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4.29 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year [3][4] - The company's new energy vehicle business is experiencing significant growth, with a revenue of 16 billion yuan in 2024, up 70% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue from the new energy vehicle and rail transit sectors reached 3.9 billion yuan, a 66% increase year-on-year [4] - The company is strategically entering the AI sector, focusing on humanoid robots, leveraging its expertise in motion control and servo drives. The humanoid robot business is set to officially launch in 2024 [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the total revenue was 30.42 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.74 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.8% increase [3] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 48.53 billion yuan, with an expected year-on-year growth of 31%. The net profit is forecasted to be 5.54 billion yuan, a growth of 29.3% [3][4] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 29.3% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.4% [3]