Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials industry is expected to benefit from the recovery in demand and low supply levels, particularly in the cement sector, which has seen a slight increase in prices [2][41] - The government's focus on infrastructure investment and policies aimed at stimulating the real estate market are likely to accelerate the de-stocking of existing housing, boosting demand for consumer building materials [2][42] - The glass fiber market is experiencing price increases for both roving and electronic yarns, supported by demand from wind power and thermoplastics [2][43] - The float glass market is under pressure with declining prices and increasing inventory levels, indicating a need for monitoring supply changes [2][43] Summary by Sections Industry News - The government work report for 2025 emphasizes the issuance of special bonds totaling 4.4 trillion yuan to support infrastructure and real estate projects, which is expected to positively impact the construction materials sector [6][9] Industry Data - The average national cement price increased to 341.61 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week growth of 0.69% [20] - The float glass price decreased to 1352.92 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decline of 1.78% [22] Market Review - The construction materials sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by 1.24 percentage points, with a weekly increase of 2.62% [29] - The cement manufacturing segment showed a weekly increase of 3.49%, while the glass manufacturing segment increased by 1.00% [29]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several companies in the transportation sector, including China National Aviation (601111.SH), Southern Airlines (600029.SH), and 吉祥航空 (603885.SH) [7]. Core Insights - The airport sector has priced in the pessimism regarding the reduction of duty rates in the new duty-free agreements. The recovery of international passenger traffic remains a key focus for the airport sector. A package of policies is expected to drive macroeconomic recovery and boost domestic consumption, providing momentum for increased average transaction values in the commercial sector by 2025 [5][6]. - In the cross-border logistics sector, domestic demand is weak, and local manufacturing is oversupplied, making exports a critical focus. The rapid development of cross-border e-commerce is expected to accelerate the global expansion of domestic brands, benefiting cross-border logistics [5]. - The express delivery sector is experiencing growth due to the rapid development of new e-commerce formats, with leading express companies focusing on differentiated competitive advantages [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Airline and Airport - As of December 2024, major airlines in China have domestic ASK recovery rates compared to 2019 of 132.45% for Air China, 108.17% for Southern Airlines, and 153.98% for Spring Airlines [22]. - Major airports have also shown recovery in passenger throughput, with Baiyun Airport at 104.72% and Shenzhen Airport at 125.66% compared to 2019 [36]. 2. Cross-Border Logistics - The report highlights the growth of cross-border e-commerce as a new trade format, with domestic brands optimizing their product structures for global expansion [5]. 3. Express Delivery - The express delivery industry achieved a revenue of 137.89 billion yuan in December 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.60%, with a business volume of 17.8 billion pieces, up 22.30% year-on-year [9]. 4. Shipping and Ports - The SCFI (Shanghai Containerized Freight Index) reported a value of 1515 points as of February 28, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 5.00% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.44% [41]. - The BDTI (Baltic Dirty Tanker Index) was reported at 885 points, down 2.85% week-on-week and down 23.44% year-on-year [53]. 5. Rail and Road - In December 2024, railway passenger volume reached 297 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.63%, while freight volume increased by 8.46% to 4.59 million tons [70].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with a positive outlook, indicating a potential for growth in the mother and baby retail sector [3]. Core Insights - The company is recognized as a leading player in the domestic mother and baby retail industry, with a significant recovery in profitability [6][9]. - The "Three Expansion Strategy" aims to reshape the company's role in the industry by enhancing product categories, embracing technological changes, and expanding business models [9][33]. - The financial performance shows a strong growth trajectory, with projected net profit for 2024 expected to be between 160 million and 211 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.21% to 100.73% [17]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leader in the domestic mother and baby retail sector, with over 1,000 stores nationwide and a stable expansion despite external challenges [6][9]. - The governance structure is professionalized, with external strategic partners introduced to enhance business collaboration [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The "Three Expansion Strategy" includes expanding product categories, embracing live e-commerce, and opening franchise models to penetrate lower-tier markets [9][36]. - The company has established a joint venture with XinXuan Holdings to explore new family e-commerce live retail business [35]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue, with projected sales of 9.67 billion RMB in 2024, up from 8.75 billion RMB in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of 10.48% [48]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted net profit margin of 2.07% in 2024 [48]. - Operating cash flow has shown significant improvement, with a net inflow of 909 million RMB, supporting business expansion [27]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue from mother and baby products projected to grow at a rate of 20% in 2025 and 18% in 2026 [40]. - The strategic focus on digitalization and AI applications is anticipated to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [38][39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is projected to experience significant revenue growth, with expected revenues of 17,907.45 million yuan in 2024, increasing to 29,835.03 million yuan by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.34% from 2025 to 2027 [5][7] - Net profit is forecasted to grow from 1,877.57 million yuan in 2024 to 3,232.48 million yuan in 2027, indicating a strong profit growth trajectory [5][7] - The gross margin is expected to improve slightly from 24.83% in 2024 to 26.13% in 2027, reflecting operational efficiency [5][7] Financial Summary Income Statement - Revenue is projected to grow from 17,907.45 million yuan in 2024 to 29,835.03 million yuan in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 32.39% in 2024 and declining to 12.17% by 2027 [5][7] - Operating profit is expected to increase from 2,028.25 million yuan in 2024 to 3,499.67 million yuan in 2027, with a notable operating profit margin improvement [7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 1,877.57 million yuan in 2024 to 3,232.48 million yuan in 2027, with a net profit margin of approximately 10.83% by 2027 [7] Balance Sheet - Total assets are projected to grow from 25,302.25 million yuan in 2024 to 38,458.48 million yuan in 2027, indicating a robust asset base [6] - The company's total liabilities are expected to increase from 10,656.35 million yuan in 2024 to 15,368.81 million yuan in 2027, maintaining a manageable debt level [6] Cash Flow Statement - Operating cash flow is anticipated to rise from 2,982.22 million yuan in 2024 to 4,560.58 million yuan in 2027, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities [6] - The net increase in cash is projected to be 700.63 million yuan in 2024, growing to 4,424.20 million yuan by 2027, indicating improved liquidity [6]

策略分析师：蔡芳媛 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 投资组合报告 潮涌浪叠，踏浪觅金 —— 2025 年 3 月月中科技金股投资组合报告 2025 年 3 月 14 日 核心观点 l 2025 年 3 月银河科技先锋金股组合（不分先后）包括： | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 所属行业 | EPS 2023A | EPS 2024E | PE 2023A | PE 2024E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600050.SH | 中国联通 | 通信 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 23.74 | 21.54 | | 002281.SZ | 光迅科技 | 通信 | 0.78 | 1.02 | 66.11 | 50.60 | | 688088.SH | 虹软科技 | 计算机 | 0.22 | 0.44 | 240.28 | 119.31 | | 600845.SH | 宝信软件 | 计算机 | 1.06 | 1.02 | 45.93 | 32.88 | | 300002. ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company Fujida (835640.BJ) [5]. Core Views - Fujida is a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of RF coaxial connectors and cables, with a strong position in the commercial satellite market and a focus on new product development [5][11]. - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024 due to fluctuations in defense market demand, but it is expected to recover as new projects are initiated [34]. - The company is actively pursuing new technologies and products to create a second growth curve, particularly in the commercial aerospace sector [5][34]. Company Overview - Fujida was established in 1998 and went public on the Beijing Stock Exchange in November 2021. It is recognized as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise [11][12]. - The company is controlled by AVIC Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd., which is part of the China Aviation Industry Corporation [14]. Business Performance - In 2024, Fujida's revenue was 762.80 million yuan, a decrease of 6.42% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 65.35% to 50.64 million yuan [34]. - The decline in profit was attributed to changes in revenue structure and a significant drop in defense-related business due to market fluctuations [34]. Industry Analysis - The RF coaxial connector market is characterized by high concentration and stable competition, with increasing demand driven by the rapid development of commercial satellites [5][34]. - Fujida is one of the few domestic companies qualified to supply defense satellite components, positioning it well to benefit from market growth [5][34]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 763 million, 883 million, and 1.096 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of -6.42%, 15.76%, and 24.12% [5][6]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 51 million, 108 million, and 156 million yuan, with growth rates of -65.35%, 112.49%, and 45.18% [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights Fujida's strong position in the RF connector industry, its proprietary technology, and the broad market demand for its products, particularly in the commercial satellite sector [5][34]. - The company is expected to benefit from its ongoing product development and the recovery of the defense market, making it a promising investment opportunity [5][34].

公司深度报告 · 北交所 商业卫星需求广阔 射频同轴连资器。 富士达公司深度报告 2025 年 03 月 12 日 富士达(835640.BJ) | | | 分析师 资料来源：中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 1. 【银河北交所】2025 年度策略_并购重组助高质 发展,抓两新两重投资机遇 www.chinastock.com.cn 张智浩 网: zhangzhihao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130524100001 मिल कि ☎：0755-8347-9312 网：hongye_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130523060002 | 市场数据 | 2025-03-11 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 835640.BI | | A 股收盘价(元) | 29.70 | | 上证指数 | 3,379.83 | | 总股本(万股) | 18,772.80 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 18,060 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 53.64 | 2025-03-11 相对北证 50 表现图 证券研究报告 请 ...

-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 北证50 沪深300 -40% ⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫⚫ 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 北交所日报 图1：北证成交额与换手率情况（截至 2025.03.13) ■ 成交金额（合计/亿元) -换手率（算数平均/%） 600 16.0 14.0 500 12.0 400 10.0 300 8.0 6.0 200 4.0 100 2.0 0 0.0 05:13 03-03 01-02 03-1 02-2 03:23 03-3 2 国银河证券|CGS RSS CBS 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 图2：北证与 A 股各行业当日涨跌幅（算数平均/%/ 2025.03.13) ■北交所算数平均涨跌幅 ■A股算数平均涨跌幅 6 4 2 0 L -2 -4 -6 -8 资料来源：iFinD，中国银河证券研究院 河证券|CGS 北交所日报 表1：涨幅前十股票的市场数据（2025.03.13/财务数据为 2024O3） | | 序号 | 代码 | 简称 | 所属行业 | 今日涨跌幅 | 市値 | 营业收入 | 归母净利润 | 市盈率 | | --- | - ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][55]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to benefit from government consumption stimulus and a recovery in the real estate market, gradually emerging from a low point [4]. - The company has a solid long-term value and is currently at a valuation bottom, with a stable cash flow despite recent impairments in its engineering and decoration business [4][13]. - The kitchen appliance market is projected to improve in 2024, driven by government subsidies, with significant growth expected in retail sales of kitchen appliances [4][44]. Company Overview - The company has experienced a significant adjustment in market value over the past few years, with a CAGR of 28% in revenue from 2010 to 2017, which decreased to 8% from 2017 to 2023 [4][7]. - The company's net profit CAGR dropped from 41% (2010-2017) to 3% (2017-2023), with expectations of continued pressure on performance in 2024 [4][7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its retail business as the market for roughcast houses increases, which is expected to support future retail demand [4][44]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 73.96 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decline of 6.78%, with a net profit of 12.02 billion yuan, down 12.44% year-on-year [19]. - The projected revenue for 2024 is 112.65 billion yuan, with a slight growth rate of 0.56%, and net profit is expected to be 16.12 billion yuan [55][56]. - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be 1.71 yuan in 2024, with a gradual increase to 2.00 yuan by 2026 [55][56]. Market Dynamics - The government has shifted its real estate policy to promote stability and recovery, which is expected to positively impact the kitchen appliance sector [4][46]. - The kitchen appliance market is anticipated to see a retail sales increase of 16.4% in 2024, driven by government subsidies and a recovering real estate market [4][44]. - The report highlights that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the expected market recovery and government support for consumer spending [4][55].