Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company has released a video showcasing the testing of humanoid robots developed in collaboration with Harbin Institute of Technology, highlighting significant advancements in key components and full-stack self-research capabilities [6]. - The company is recognized as a hidden champion in the field of intelligent equipment for solid material handling, primarily serving the petrochemical industry, with a record high order backlog of 6.322 billion yuan, which is expected to support revenue for the next two years [6]. - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is estimated to be 572 million yuan, 645 million yuan, and 720 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29, 26, and 23 [6]. Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024: 2,863 million yuan - 2025: 2,850 million yuan - 2026: 3,100 million yuan - 2027: 3,500 million yuan - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024: 524 million yuan - 2025: 572 million yuan - 2026: 645 million yuan - 2027: 720 million yuan - **Gross Margin**: - 2024: 33.39% - 2025: 35.68% - 2026: 35.87% - 2027: 35.51% [2][7]. Key Financial Ratios - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: 0.51 yuan - 2025: 0.56 yuan - 2026: 0.63 yuan - 2027: 0.70 yuan - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2024: 31.76 - 2025: 29.10 - 2026: 25.80 - 2027: 23.13 [2][7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In December 2025, bond market yields oscillated and then trended upward, with a term - structure differentiation. The 10 - year Treasury yield rose 2BP, and the 1 - year Treasury yield fell 5BP. The term spread widened by 7BP to 51BP [1][8]. - In January 2026, focus on the 2025 GDP performance and the possibility of a Q1 economic start, the potentially active front - loading of supply, the possibility of central bank reserve requirement ratio cuts and flexible and cautious interest rate cuts, and the opening of the seasonal interest rate downward window and institutional net - increase support for the start - of - the - year [4][76]. - The bond market interest rate is expected to oscillate downward in January. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunity to enter the market when the interest rate oscillates downward, and also pay attention to the opportunity of narrowing the spread of ultra - long bonds [5][77]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Bond Market Review - In December, affected by factors such as the central bank's precise liquidity care, loose funds, and repeated disturbances of interest rate cut expectations, the bond market yield oscillated and then trended upward. There was term - structure differentiation, with the 10 - year Treasury yield rising 2BP and the 1 - year Treasury yield falling 5BP. The term spread widened to 51BP [1][8]. - The yield curve of Treasury bonds in December was overall bull - steep, with the decline of the medium - and short - term generally larger. The implied tax rate of China Development Bank bonds rose overall [9]. - Overseas, the US inflation repair was less than expected. The Fed cut interest rates in December, but there were still large internal differences. The US bond yield trended upward, and the Sino - US interest rate spread inverted slightly widened. The US dollar against the RMB exchange rate declined [10]. - Weekly, the bond market yield first rose and then fell in the first week, declined overall in the second week, continued to decline in the third week, and oscillated and rebounded in the fourth week [17]. 3.2 This Month's Outlook and Strategy 3.2.1 Bond Market Outlook - **Fundamentals**: Pay attention to the improvement of inflation (CPI's moderate recovery and PPI's continuous positive month - on - month growth), the resilience of exports under high - base effects and its support for PMI, the decline of real estate supply and demand data, and the 2025 GDP growth rate and the possibility of a 2026 economic start. If the weak fundamental recovery continues, the upward market expectations may reverse [2][21]. - **Supply**: The 2025 deficit rate may remain at 4%, with the quotas of Treasury bonds and special bonds increasing. It is estimated that the net supply of government bonds in January will be about 1.24 trillion yuan, mainly due to more special bond issuances. The overall supply pressure has increased compared with the same period in 2025 [2][38]. - **Funds**: At the end of the year, the central bank clearly cared about cross - year liquidity, and the funds were loose recently. Although the liquidity may be under pressure due to factors such as the front - loading of government bond issuance and a large certificate of deposit maturity scale, it is expected that the bond market funds in January will fluctuate in a balanced manner, and the interest rate is likely to decline seasonally after the Gregorian New Year. Pay attention to the possibility of the central bank increasing Treasury bond purchases [3][51]. - **Policy**: The December economic meeting pointed out the policy direction for 2026. It is expected that reserve requirement ratio cuts and more flexible and cautious interest rate cuts are likely to be implemented in the first quarter to cooperate with fiscal efforts. More flexible tools can be expected next year [3][61]. - **Institutional Behavior**: In December, various institutional allocation portfolios continued to increase holdings but slightly converged, and trading portfolios turned to small - scale net purchases. In January, focus on the opening of the traditional interest rate downward window, the possibility of allocation forces increasing positions before the Spring Festival, the possibility of trading portfolios entering the market flexibly, and the opportunity of narrowing the spread of ultra - long bonds [3][65]. 3.2.2 Bond Market Strategy - In January, focus on the 2025 GDP performance and the Q1 economic start, the potentially active front - loading of supply, the possibility of central bank reserve requirement ratio cuts and flexible and cautious interest rate cuts, and the opening of the seasonal interest rate downward window and institutional net - increase support for the start - of - the - year [4][76]. - In terms of interest rates, the funds in January are likely to return to a balanced state after the cross - year under the central bank's care. There is room for the central bank's Treasury bond trading operations and reserve requirement ratio cuts. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunity to enter the market when the interest rate oscillates downward. For the short - end, the short - end interest rate has limited odds for short - term returns. For the long - end, the current 1.85% has reappeared allocation value. For ultra - long bonds, pay attention to the opportunity of narrowing the spread if the market conditions are favorable [5][77]. 3.3 January Important Economic Calendar The report provides the expected values of important economic indicators to be announced in January, including PPI, CPI, M2, new RMB loans, and other data [80].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the steel industry [1] Core Insights - The overall profitability of the steel industry is recovering rapidly, with effective cost control measures leading to significant improvements in profit margins [5][6] - In Q3 2025, the steel sector achieved record profits, with net profit margins increasing quarterly, indicating a sustainable recovery in profitability [7][10] - The recovery in profitability is broadening, with leading companies showing faster recovery rates compared to their peers, highlighting the advantages of scale and cost management [19][24] - Investment recommendations focus on companies with stable high dividends, those with high technical barriers, and upstream resource companies benefiting from improved supply dynamics [27] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Profitability Recovery and Cost Control - The profitability of the steel industry has shown significant improvement, with a total profit of 111.5 billion yuan from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1,752.2% [5] - The SW steel sector reported a net profit of 20.147 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [5][6] 2. Record Profits in Q3 2025 - In Q3 2025, the steel sector generated revenue of 480.123 billion yuan, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.07%, while costs decreased by 4.42% [7][8] - The net profit for Q3 2025 reached 8.716 billion yuan, reflecting a 12.16% increase from the previous quarter and a significant recovery from losses in the same period last year [7][10] 3. Broadening Profit Recovery and Leading Companies - Leading steel companies like Baosteel and Shougang have demonstrated strong profit recovery, with Shougang's net profit increasing by 368.13% year-on-year [19][20] - The recovery in profitability is not limited to top firms; several smaller companies have also turned losses into profits, indicating a broad improvement across the sector [24] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable high dividends, such as CITIC Special Steel and Hualing Steel, as well as those with high technical barriers like Fangda Special Steel [27] - Upstream resource companies like Baotou Steel and Hainan Mining are also recommended due to expected improvements in supply dynamics [27]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the North Exchange 50 index experienced a slight decline of -0.40%, closing at 1,450.64 points on December 30, 2025, with a trading volume of 190.85 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.18% [2][3]. Market Performance - The North Exchange's overall market capitalization is 851.06 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 521.85 billion yuan. The total number of listed shares is 39.676 billion, with 25.354 billion shares available for circulation [2]. - The North Exchange's daily trading volume decreased compared to the previous week, where the average daily trading volume was 199.76 billion yuan [2]. Industry Analysis - Among the industries, the automotive sector showed the highest increase at +3.1%, followed by environmental protection at +1.0% and electronics at +0.9%. Conversely, the largest declines were seen in non-ferrous metals at -5.7%, defense and military at -3.9%, and beauty and personal care at -2.8% [2][3]. - The report highlights that 287 companies listed on the North Exchange had mixed performance, with 106 companies rising, 6 remaining flat, and 175 declining [2]. Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks included Tianming Technology (+30.00%), Fengguang Precision (+17.58%), and Chunguang Intelligent (+10.95%). In contrast, the largest declines were seen in Guangdao Tui (-29.49%), Tianli Composite (-11.71%), and Hongyu Packaging (-8.32%) [7][8]. - The report notes that the average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the North Exchange is 45.43 times, which is higher than the P/E ratios of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (71.40 times) and the Growth Enterprise Market (43.56 times) [2][9]. Valuation Insights - The highest average P/E ratio among industries on the North Exchange is in non-ferrous metals at 108.1 times, followed by food and beverage at 80.0 times and telecommunications at 76.2 times [2][9]. - The report indicates a continuous high valuation for the North Exchange compared to other boards, suggesting a potential area for investment consideration [2][10].

行业周报 ·新能源智造行业 优必选收购餐就股份 具身智能产业链跟踪(28) 2025 年 12 月 28 日 建议关注:绿的谐波、丰立智能、中大力德、五洲新春、恒立液压、鸣志电器、 兆威机电、鼎智科技、捷昌驱动、汉威科技、优必选、越疆、中坚科技、速腾 聚创,拓普集团、伯特利、精锻科技、旭升集团、均胜电子、地平线机器人- W、双林股份、中鼎股份、凌云股份、贝斯特、爱柯迪、安培龙、卧龙电驱、 星源材质、富临精工、汇川科技、震裕科技、三花智控、奥比中光、福莱新材 等。 风险提示:关键技术突破不及预期的风险,下游场景开发进度、需求空间不及 ● 预期的风险等。 网: zengtao_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525030001 鲁佩 ☎：010-8092-7627 网: lupei_yj @chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130521060001 分析师 曾韬 段尚昌 ☎：010-8092-7689 团：duanshangchang_yj @chinastock.com.cr 分析师登记编码：S0130524090003 研究助理 彭星嘉 @: pen ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - The company, Wanhua Chemical, is a global leader in PVA production, with a comprehensive industrial chain and a production capacity of 310,000 tons, positioning it at the forefront of the industry [7][10]. - The PVA industry is expected to benefit from policy measures aimed at reducing overcapacity, which may lead to improved supply-demand dynamics [7][36]. - The company is the first in mainland China to achieve large-scale production of PVA optical films, which are critical components in LCD and OLED displays, and is set to significantly increase its production capacity [7][59]. - The automotive-grade PVB film market is poised for growth, with the company focusing on high-value applications in automotive safety glass [7][62]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: CNY 84.58 billion in 2025, CNY 92.33 billion in 2026, and CNY 99.23 billion in 2027, with corresponding net profits of CNY 4.74 billion, CNY 7.35 billion, and CNY 9.32 billion [2][7]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are CNY 0.23 for 2025, CNY 0.36 for 2026, and CNY 0.45 for 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26.42, 17.03, and 13.43 respectively [8][7]. Company Overview - Wanhua Chemical has established three production bases in Anhui, Guangxi, and Inner Mongolia, focusing on various segments including chemical, fiber, building materials, and new materials [10][11]. - The company has a strong emphasis on research and development, continuously innovating to maintain its competitive edge in the PVA market [24][26]. Market Position - The company holds over 30% of the domestic market share for PVA products and is recognized for its advanced technology and comprehensive product range [24][26]. - The PVA optical film market is currently dominated by Japanese firms, but Wanhua Chemical is making significant strides in domestic production capabilities [55][59]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its production capacity for PVA optical films and automotive-grade PVB films, aiming to meet the growing domestic demand and reduce reliance on imports [59][60]. - Wanhua Chemical is also involved in collaborative research initiatives to enhance its technological capabilities in advanced functional films [27][59].

- The report introduces five ETF quantitative strategies: macro timing strategy, momentum selection strategy, low-volatility diffusion industry rotation strategy, fund flow strategy, and quantile regression strategy[41][43][52] - **Macro Timing Strategy**: This strategy uses Gaussian distribution-based Black-Litterman (B-L) and Copula distribution-based B-L models to calculate ETF allocation weights. It incorporates economic cycle segmentation to constrain asset allocation weights across different ETF categories. Representative ETFs include stock ETFs (e.g., CSI 300 ETF), bond ETFs (e.g., government bond ETF), commodity ETFs (e.g., gold ETF), and currency ETFs (e.g., Silver Day Profit A). The strategy achieved an annualized return of 9.43%, Sharpe ratio of 0.66, Calmar ratio of 0.52, and maximum drawdown of -13.21% since 2020[43][45][46] - **Momentum Selection Strategy**: This strategy utilizes XGBoost to predict ETF upward probability as a momentum indicator and historical quantile of fund shares as a crowding indicator. It selects ETFs with high momentum and low crowding within sectors, adjusting allocation weights based on crowding levels. The strategy achieved an annualized return of 13.93%, Sharpe ratio of 1.33, Calmar ratio of 1.21, and maximum drawdown of -23.14% since 2020[53][54][55] - **Low-Volatility Diffusion Industry Rotation Strategy**: This strategy applies industry diffusion index factors combined with volatility adjustments to design a low-volatility industry rotation model. It matches ETFs to industry indices based on correlation and selects top ETFs for monthly rebalancing. The strategy achieved an annualized return of 12.22%, relative excess return of 3.21%, Sharpe ratio of 0.91, and maximum drawdown of -21.43% since 2020[61][62][63] - **Fund Flow Strategy**: This strategy uses weighted fund flow indicators and risk metrics to rank industries, selects ETFs based on turnover rate and premium/discount rate, and optimizes allocation weights using second-order stochastic dominance. The strategy achieved an annualized return of 11.24%, Sharpe ratio of 1.12, Calmar ratio of 1.03, and maximum drawdown of -19.21% since 2020[64][67][68] - **Quantile Regression Strategy**: This strategy employs quantile random forest (QRF) to predict future distribution characteristics of technology sector indices, selects ETFs based on liquidity and scale, and adjusts positions using MACD and volatility metrics. The strategy achieved an annualized return of 15.62%, Sharpe ratio of 1.21, Calmar ratio of 1.15, and maximum drawdown of -21.43% since 2020[71][72][73]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Yili Group (stock code: 600887) [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from favorable policies and improved supply-demand dynamics, particularly in the context of the upcoming Spring Festival stocking season [1] - The report highlights that the company is positioned to gain from the implementation of temporary anti-subsidy measures on imported dairy products, which may enhance domestic product competitiveness [5] - The company is also likely to benefit from ongoing government support for childbirth, which is expected to boost milk powder consumption [5] - The report anticipates revenue growth of 2.1% in 2025, 4.0% in 2026, and 3.9% in 2027, with net profit growth projected at 32.5%, 7.8%, and 7.0% respectively [5] Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast (in million CNY)**: - 2024A: 115,780 - 2025E: 118,264 - 2026E: 122,993 - 2027E: 127,731 - **Net Profit Forecast (in million CNY)**: - 2024A: 8,453 - 2025E: 11,200 - 2026E: 12,079 - 2027E: 12,930 - **EPS Forecast (in CNY)**: - 2024A: 1.34 - 2025E: 1.77 - 2026E: 1.91 - 2027E: 2.04 - **PE Ratio**: - 2024A: 21.78 - 2025E: 16.43 - 2026E: 15.24 - 2027E: 14.24 [2][6][7] Market Data - The closing price of Yili Group's A-shares as of December 26, 2025, was CNY 29.10, with a market capitalization of CNY 183.2 billion [3]

Core Insights - The ESG strategies experienced a pullback this week, with both the ESG screening strategy and the ESG sentiment integration strategy underperforming compared to the benchmark [1][4][8]. ESG Screening Strategy (CSI 300) - The ESG screening strategy, based on the report published on December 8, 2023, showed a decline of 0.46% for the week ending December 26, 2025, compared to a 1.95% increase in the CSI 300, resulting in an excess return of -2.41% [4][7]. - Over the last month, the total return was -1%, with a relative total return of -4%. The maximum gain was 1%, and the maximum loss was -2%, with a Sharpe ratio of -2.72 [4][7]. Performance Statistics - Total Return: -1% (last month), 0% (last 3 months), 4% (last 6 months), 4% (last year), 4% (year-to-date), 74% (since inception) [7]. - Relative Total Return: -4% (last month), -2% (last 3 months), -15% (last 6 months), -13% (last year), -15% (year-to-date), 53% (since inception) [7]. - Maximum Drawdown: -2% (last month), -4% (last 3 months), -4% (last 6 months), -7% (last year), -7% (year-to-date), -8% (since inception) [7]. ESG Sentiment Integration Strategy (CSI 300) - The ESG sentiment integration strategy, based on the report published on February 28, 2025, declined by 0.90% for the week ending December 26, 2025, compared to the CSI 300's 1.95% increase, leading to an excess return of -2.85% [8][11]. - The total return for the last month was -4%, with a relative total return of -7%. The maximum gain was 0.2%, and the maximum loss was -4%, with a Sharpe ratio of -9.09 [8][11]. Performance Statistics - Total Return: -4% (last month), -2% (last 3 months), -2% (last 6 months), 4% (last year), 3% (year-to-date), 113% (since inception) [11]. - Relative Total Return: -7% (last month), -4% (last 3 months), -21% (last 6 months), -13% (last year), -15% (year-to-date), 93% (since inception) [11]. - Maximum Drawdown: -4% (last month), -6% (last 3 months), -6% (last 6 months), -6% (last year), -6% (year-to-date), -10% (since inception) [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Qiaqia Food [2][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in costs and anticipates a seasonal boost due to the upcoming Spring Festival, suggesting potential for bottom-line recovery [1][6]. - The company is expected to see a revenue decline of 3.6% in 2025, followed by growth of 7.0% in 2026 and 5.8% in 2027, with projected revenues of 68.76 billion, 73.53 billion, and 77.77 billion yuan respectively [2][6]. - Net profit is forecasted to drop significantly by 54.6% in 2025, but rebound with growth rates of 69.9% and 17.5% in the following years [2][6]. Financial Forecast Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024: 7,131 million yuan - 2025: 6,876 million yuan - 2026: 7,353 million yuan - 2027: 7,777 million yuan [2][7] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024: 849 million yuan - 2025: 385 million yuan - 2026: 655 million yuan - 2027: 769 million yuan [2][7] - **Gross Margin**: - 2024: 28.78% - 2025: 22.10% - 2026: 26.46% - 2027: 26.83% [2][7] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: 1.68 yuan - 2025: 0.76 yuan - 2026: 1.29 yuan - 2027: 1.52 yuan [2][7] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2024: 13.10 - 2025: 28.88 - 2026: 17.00 - 2027: 14.46 [2][7] - **Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio**: - 2024: 1.94 - 2025: 1.92 - 2026: 1.86 - 2027: 1.79 [2][7]