Market Overview - U.S. inflation remains stable, with September CPI rising 0.3% month-on-month, lower than the previous 0.4%[6] - Core CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month, also below the previous 0.3%[6] - Year-on-year CPI and core CPI both rose to 3.0%, slightly above previous values of 2.9% and 3.1% respectively[6] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock markets surged, with the Dow Jones up 1.01% to 47,207 points, S&P 500 rising 0.79% to 6,791 points, and Nasdaq increasing 1.15% to 23,204 points[9] - Chinese A-shares rose significantly, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.71% to 3,950 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index up 2.02%[16] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index increased by 0.74%, recovering above 26,000 points[11] Commodity and Forex Market - Oil prices ended a three-week decline, with WTI crude oil down 0.5% to $61.5 per barrel, but up 6.9% for the week[27] - Gold prices fell 0.2% to $4,118.4 per ounce, ending a nine-week upward trend[27] - The U.S. dollar index remained stable, with the onshore RMB at 7.123 against the dollar[26] Fixed Income Market - U.S. short-term Treasury yields fell slightly, with the 2-year yield at 3.48% and the 10-year yield at 4.00%[30] - Market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve in the upcoming meeting[5] Key Economic Indicators - The U.S. manufacturing PMI for October showed strong growth, indicating resilience in the manufacturing sector[30] - Moody's adjusted France's rating outlook to negative, reflecting economic concerns[6]

Market Overview - Chinese market saw a rebound on Thursday afternoon, with major indices turning positive after a sluggish start[3] - European markets closed higher, driven by optimistic corporate earnings reports[3] - US markets rose, led by technology stocks, as the White House announced a meeting between US and Chinese leaders next week, easing market tensions[3] Commodities and Forex - International oil prices surged over 5% following US sanctions on two major Russian oil companies, with NY crude oil rising 5.62% to $61.79 per barrel[27] - International gold prices rebounded by 2%, reaching $4,125.5 per ounce[27] - The US dollar index remained stable at 98.94, with a year-to-date decline of 8.8%[26] Fixed Income - US Treasury yields increased by approximately 5 basis points across the board, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns ahead of the upcoming CPI data release[30] - The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.00%, while the 30-year yield reached 4.58%[30] Stock Performance - Major US indices showed positive performance: Nasdaq up 0.9% to 22,941.8, S&P 500 up 0.6% to 6,738.4, and Dow Jones up 0.3% to 46,734.6[8] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.72% to 25,967, with significant gains in large tech stocks[11] Economic Outlook - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the need for an average GDP growth rate of over 4.5% annually over the next decade to achieve the goal of reaching the GDP per capita of a moderately developed country by 2035[6] - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to provide more specific growth targets, with a focus on high-quality development and technological self-reliance[6]

Market Overview - Global markets showed positive momentum with U.S. stocks rising across the board, driven by easing concerns over U.S.-China relations and regional bank risks, with the Dow Jones up 1.1% to 46,706.6 points[3][10] - European markets also experienced gains, with the Stoxx 600 index rising over 1%, led by defense stocks amid geopolitical tensions[10] Economic Indicators - China's September economic data revealed a divergence in production and demand, with investment growth continuing to decline, falling below market expectations[6] - The Chinese third-quarter GDP data was strong, contributing to a narrowing of investment-grade bond spreads by 1-3 basis points[5][30] Commodity and Currency Trends - International gold prices reached a record high, with New York gold up 3.5% to $4,336.4 per ounce, while copper prices approached historical highs[4][27] - The U.S. dollar index saw a slight increase of 0.2%, while the Japanese yen remained stable amid increased bets on a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan[26][27] Stock Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index rebounded significantly, rising 2.42% to 25,858 points, with major tech stocks like Alibaba and NetEase gaining around 5%[12][17] - U.S. tech giant Apple reported a 14% increase in iPhone 17 sales compared to the previous model, boosting its stock price by 3.94%[10] Sector Insights - The consumer sector in China is expected to benefit from new policy measures aimed at expanding service consumption, which may help improve retail sales growth in the fourth quarter[6][19] - The battery manufacturer CATL reported a 41% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, indicating strong performance amid rising demand for new battery technologies[15]

Group 1: China Market Focus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" economic growth target is expected to be around 4%-4.5% [15][17][18] - The upcoming policy direction will focus on technology innovation, green low-carbon initiatives, and improving living standards [19][20] - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to directly improve the profit margins of listed companies [24][26] Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Robotics - Investment strategies in embodied intelligent robots highlight the low valuation and financing scale of related companies [27][32] - The demand for model training requires specialized equipment suppliers, particularly in motion capture technology [28][30] - Key players in the robotics sector include Jingye Intelligent, CATL, and Nvidia, with a focus on capital layout and cloud computing resources [32][33] Group 3: U.S. Market Focus - The U.S.-China trade conflict is viewed as a short-term disturbance, with expectations for a potential agreement before the November 1 deadline [40][41] - The U.S. job market shows signs of cooling, but the economy remains resilient, with two more rate cuts expected this year [42][45] - The Fed's preventive rate cuts are likely to support stock market growth, particularly in technology sectors sensitive to interest rates [46][48]

Market Overview - The US-China trade conflict has reignited concerns, leading to a significant global market pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3,900 points and the Hang Seng Index declining nearly 1,000 points over five days[3] - The S&P 500 experienced its largest drop in six months, while the Golden Dragon China Index plummeted by 6.1%[3] Stock Market Performance - The Dow Jones dropped 878 points or 1.90%, closing at 45,479 points; the S&P 500 fell 2.71% to 6,552 points; and the Nasdaq decreased by 3.56% to 22,204 points[10] - In Europe, the Stoxx 600 index fell by 1.25%, with the UK FTSE 100 down 0.86% and the German DAX and French CAC 40 down 1.5% and 1.53%, respectively[10] Currency and Commodity Trends - International oil prices dropped by 4% due to escalating US-China trade tensions, with NY crude oil falling to $58.9 per barrel, the lowest since May[26] - The US dollar index decreased by 0.6% to 98.978, while gold prices rose by 0.8% to $3,975.9 per ounce[26] Fixed Income Market - US Treasury yields rose sharply, with declines of 9-11 basis points across various maturities, driven by heightened risk aversion following Trump's tariff threats[5] - Asian investment-grade bond spreads widened by 1-3 basis points amid soft market conditions[30] A-Share Market Dynamics - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,897.03 points, down 0.94%, with the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling by 2.70% and 4.55%, respectively[16] - The semiconductor sector led the decline, with notable drops in stocks like Huahong (down 11.88%) and SMIC (down 7.89%)[16] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with better valuation and performance alignment, particularly technology, manufacturing, and internet diagnostics, given the ongoing economic resilience and expected earnings growth in the US market[6]

Market Overview - During the National Day holiday, overseas markets showed mixed performance, with the Taiwan, Thailand, and Philippines markets leading gains, while Vietnam experienced significant declines[2] - The US stock market initially rose but later turned negative, with technology stocks dragging the S&P 500 down, ending a seven-day rally[8] Economic Indicators - The US government shutdown and political instability in France contributed to a continued rise in gold prices, nearing $4,000 per ounce, with New York gold futures up 0.7% to $3,976.6[23] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both October and December meetings, with current economic indicators showing a moderate cooling trend[4] Currency and Commodity Trends - The Japanese yen continued to weaken, with the USD/JPY exchange rate surpassing 152, reflecting ongoing market volatility[23] - The US Treasury market saw a rise in demand, with a strong auction for 3-year bonds, indicating investor confidence despite the government shutdown[25] Stock Performance - Major US indices closed with slight declines: Dow Jones down 0.2% to 46,602, S&P 500 down 0.4% to 6,714, and Nasdaq down 0.7% to 22,788[6] - In the Asia-Pacific region, Taiwan's stock index rose by 1.7%, while Vietnam's index fell by 0.6%[15] Sector Highlights - In the US, the consumer staples sector showed resilience, with core consumer goods rising 0.86%, while non-core consumer goods fell 1.43%[8] - In the Latin American markets, the Brazilian IBOVESPA index dropped 1.57%, with the non-essential consumer goods sector leading declines[8] Corporate News - Tesla's stock fell 4.45% after announcing a lower-priced version of the Model Y, priced at $39,990, which is about 15% lower than the previous base model[6] - IBM's stock rose 1.54% following its partnership with AI startup Anthropic to enhance enterprise software offerings[6]

Group 1: US Market Focus - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates two more times this year, with the next meetings on October and December [11][16][18] - Historical analysis shows that various asset classes have not reacted dramatically to US government shutdowns, indicating a potential for stability in the market [13][18] - Micron Technology (MU US) reported strong demand from data centers, with Q4 FY2025 earnings exceeding expectations, driven by growth in HBM business and a favorable DRAM market [19] - Meta Platforms (META US) unveiled a new AI glasses product line, enhancing its position in the AI and metaverse space, with a target price of $860 [19] Group 2: Singapore Market Focus - The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is set to restart easing measures in October, with expectations of a slowdown in GDP growth to 2.2% for the year [24][30] - Keppel Data Centre REIT is expanding in Japan with a recent acquisition worth SGD 707 million, expected to boost its distribution per unit (DPU) [36] - Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP) is focusing on digital infrastructure growth, with potential for significant earnings growth in FY2026 and beyond [36] Group 3: Vietnam Market Focus - Vietnam's GDP grew by 7.5% in the first half of 2025, driven by strong domestic consumption and investment, but is expected to slow down due to external trade uncertainties [43][46] - The Vietnamese central bank is likely to maintain a loose monetary policy in the short term, supporting economic growth through increased public investment [46] - Vietnam may be upgraded to FTSE's secondary emerging market status, potentially attracting around $1.1 billion in inflows if the upgrade occurs [49][50]

Market Overview - The Asia-Pacific stock markets showed mixed results, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index rising by 1.9% to 45,769 points, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.54% to 27,140 points[3][15]. - In the U.S., the Dow Jones increased by 0.51% to 46,758 points, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.28% to 22,780 points, ending a five-day upward trend[8][7]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing PMI for September was reported at 50, the weakest since 2020, indicating potential economic slowdown[5][8]. - The M1 money supply is expected to show resilience, suggesting a likely confirmation of the PPI turning point, with improved liquidity in certain sectors[5]. Commodity and Currency Movements - Gold prices reached a new high of $3,920 per ounce, reflecting a 0.87% increase, while WTI crude oil prices rose nearly 1%[20][4]. - The USD/JPY exchange rate surged by 1.27% to 149.31, influenced by political changes in Japan[20][21]. Sector Performance - In the U.S. stock market, seven out of eleven S&P sectors rose, with utilities and healthcare leading gains, both up over 1.1%[8]. - In Hong Kong, the technology sector faced declines, contributing to the overall market downturn, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 0.90%[10]. Key Corporate Developments - Nvidia's AI chip deal with the UAE faces delays, impacting its stock performance, which fell by 0.70%[7][10]. - Macau's visitor numbers during the National Day holiday are expected to increase by 5.9% year-on-year, with projected gaming revenue growth of 9% to MOP 22.6 billion[13].

Market Performance - The Asia-Pacific stock markets showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.89% to 26,622 points, and the Shanghai Composite Index increasing 1.5% to 4,620 points[20] - The US stock market saw the Dow Jones rise 0.15% to 46,316 points, the S&P 500 up 0.26% to 6,661 points, and the Nasdaq gaining 0.48% to 22,591 points[9] - Major Latin American indices also rose, with the S&P Mexico IPC Index up 0.49% to 62,610 points and the IBOVESPA Index in Brazil increasing 0.61% to 146,336 points[9] Economic Outlook - China's economy is projected to maintain an average annual growth rate of approximately 4%-4.5% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period to achieve the goal of doubling economic output and per capita income by 2035[6] - The US government shutdown risk is increasing, which is affecting market sentiment and leading to a decline in the US dollar index by 0.3%[26] Commodity and Currency Movements - International oil prices fell over 3%, with NYMEX crude oil down 3.45% to $63.45 per barrel[26] - The international gold price reached a new high, reflecting increased demand amid government shutdown concerns[26] - The Japanese yen led G-10 currencies with a rise against the US dollar, which fell to 97.91[25] Sector Performance - In the US, nine out of eleven S&P sectors rose, with the consumer discretionary sector leading with a gain of 0.55%[9] - The healthcare and luxury goods sectors performed well in Europe, supporting the rise of major European indices[9] Individual Stock Highlights - Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is expected to enter a new product cycle with the anticipated release of major titles, projecting a target price of $316[9] - EA (Electronic Arts) shares surged 4.50% following news of a $55 billion privatization deal, marking the largest leveraged buyout in history[9]

Group 1: Australia Market Focus - The short-term inflation rebound does not change the expectation of interest rate cuts in Q4, with the Australian CPI rising to 3.0% in August, up from 2.8% in July, exceeding market expectations of 2.9% [17] - The Australian economy showed a strong performance with Q2 GDP growth of 1.8%, surpassing the market consensus of 1.6%, driven by domestic demand and government spending [14] - The commodity upcycle opens further upside for the Australian materials sector, with a focus on companies like Northern Star and Lynas [19][24] Group 2: Northern Star and Lynas - Northern Star (NST AU) is expected to have strong production growth prospects, with a target price of AUD 24.7, supported by a robust balance sheet and a significant stock buyback plan [24] - Lynas (LYC AU) is positioned as a strategic player in the rare earths market, benefiting from high demand in high-end electronics and clean energy sectors, with a focus on ESG principles [24] Group 3: Thailand Market Focus - Thailand's GDP was boosted by pre-emptive shipments before tariff implementation, highlighting structural industry opportunities, particularly in companies like CP ALL and Bangkok Dusit Medical Services [39]