Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For PTA, the near - end TA partial devices have short - stops, the start - up rate decreases slightly, the polyester load drops, the inventory continues to decline, the basis is stable, and the spot processing fee recovers significantly. However, after the PX price strengthens, the downstream filament profit decreases sharply, and the probability of accelerated production reduction increases. The short - term upward space of PX may be limited, and it is necessary to wait for the downstream to pass on the price [1]. - For MEG, the near - end domestic devices increase the load, the start - up rate rises month - on - month, the overseas maintenance plan increases, the port inventory accumulates at the beginning of next week, and the basis is weak. The overall pattern is expected to remain weak, and attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities on rebounds [1]. - For polyester staple fiber, the start - up rate increases slightly, the production and sales improve month - on - month, and the inventory accumulates slightly. The demand side shows a decline in the start - up rate of polyester yarn, and the raw material inventory and finished product inventory are both reduced month - on - month. Although the domestic demand side is gradually entering the off - season, the further weakening space is limited due to the low absolute inventory, and attention should be paid to the warehouse receipt situation [1]. - For natural rubber, the national explicit inventory remains stable, the Thai stage price is stable, and the strategy is to wait and see [1]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs PTA - **Device Changes**: Yisheng New Materials' 3.6 million - ton device increases the load, and Dushan's 2.5 million - ton device restarts. The near - end TA partial devices have short - stops [1]. - **Market Situation**: The polyester load drops, the inventory continues to decline, the basis is stable, and the spot processing fee recovers significantly. The domestic start - up rate of PX remains stable, the overseas load rises, the PXN strengthens significantly, and the disproportionation and isomerization benefits both increase to a relatively high level, while the US - Asia aromatics spread shrinks [1]. - **Outlook**: After the PX price strengthens, the downstream filament profit decreases sharply, and the probability of accelerated production reduction increases. The short - term upward space of PX may be limited, and it is necessary to wait for the downstream to pass on the price [1]. MEG - **Device Changes**: Zheng Dakai's 600,000 - ton device restarts, and Zhongkun's 600,000 - ton device increases the load [1]. - **Market Situation**: The near - end domestic devices increase the load, the start - up rate rises month - on - month, the overseas maintenance plan increases, the port inventory accumulates at the beginning of next week, the basis is weak, and the coal - based profit fluctuates at a low level [1]. - **Outlook**: The domestic supply is stable with a slight increase, the overseas maintenance increases month - on - month, the overall inventory accumulation continues, and the absolute inventory is not low. The pattern is expected to remain weak under the continuous new production, and attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities on rebounds [1]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Device Changes**: Sanfangxiang increases the load, and the start - up rate slightly increases to 96.2% [1]. - **Market Situation**: The production and sales improve month - on - month, and the inventory accumulates slightly. On the demand side, the start - up rate of polyester yarn drops, the raw material inventory and finished product inventory are both reduced month - on - month, and the profit decreases month - on - month [1]. - **Outlook**: Although the domestic demand side is gradually entering the off - season, the further weakening space is limited due to the low absolute inventory, and attention should be paid to the warehouse receipt situation [1]. Natural Rubber - **Price Changes**: There are daily and weekly changes in the prices of various types of natural rubber, such as Shanghai full - cream rubber, Shanghai 3L rubber, etc. Some indicators like the basis and spread also change [1]. - **Market Situation**: The national explicit inventory remains stable, and the Thai stage price is stable [1]. - **Strategy**: The strategy is to wait and see [1]. Styrene - related Products - **Price and Profit Changes**: There are daily changes in the prices of styrene, pure benzene, and related products. The domestic profits of PS, ABS, etc., also change [1]. - **Start - up Rate**: The start - up rates of EPS, ABS, and PS show different trends [1].

| | | 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我们均不承担任何责任。 | | | | | 大类资产早报 | | | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/12/31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | 主要经济体10年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 最新 | 4.123 | 4.497 | 3.562 | 2.854 | 3.548 | 3.286 | 0.276 | 3.439 | | 日本 | | 巴西 | 中国 | 韩国 | 澳大利亚 | 新西兰 | | | | 最新 | 2.059 | 6.197 | 1.851 | - | 4.746 | 4.381 | | | | 主要经济体2年期国债 | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | | 英国 | 德国 | 日本 | 意大利 | 中国（1Y收益 率） | 韩国 | 澳大利 ...

农产品早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/12/31 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2025/12/24 | 2160 | 2230 | 2250 | 2390 | 34 | 10 219 | 2750 | 2800 | 211 | -14 | | 2025/12/25 | 2160 | 2230 | 2250 | 2380 | 41 | 0 195 | 2750 | 2800 | 221 | -49 | | 2025/12/26 | 2160 | 2250 | 2250 | 2390 | 28 | -10 206 | 2750 | 2800 | 191 | -49 | | 2025/12/29 | 2160 | 2280 | 2244 | 2430 | 31 | 0 255 | 2750 | 28 ...

废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/12/31 华东 स्क 中部 东北 日期 华南 2025/12/245 | 2174 2226 2216 2254 原点 2036 2227 2025/12/25 2174 2254 2036 2217 2224 2025/12/26 2173 2253 2039 2215 2025/12/29 2164 2252 2035 2222 2213 2025/12/305 容 2164 ~2251 原占 2034 2226 原 2213 沙钢重三价格 (含税) ◆ 2022 ↓ 2023 ↓ 2024 ● 2025 4,200元/吨 3,900 3,600 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 长流程日耗 镇江鸿泰剪切料价格 (不含税) ● 2022 ● 2023 ● 2024 ● 2025 3,600元/吨 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,400 2,100 1,800 1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月11月12月 短流程日耗 ◆ 2022 ...

乘 亦安期货 动力煤早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025-12-31 最新 日变化 月变化 最新 日变化 月变化 周变化 年变化 周变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 秦皇岛5000 -126.0 -125.0 25省终端可用天数 25省终端供煤 -0.3 686.0 0.0 15.0 34.0 226 2.6 5.0 -78.0 587.0 -11.0 606.6 -33.5 -16.3 -107.0 一州港5500 810.0 0.0 -5.0 -50.0 -55.0 北方港库存 2708.0 -5.0 112.0 374.5 495.0 550.0 -90.0 -85.0 -1.0 -31.9 鄂尔多斯5500 0.0 0.0 -65.0 北方锚地船舶 70.0 -3.0 13.0 20.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -70.0 北方港调入量 130.4 大同5500 -7.7 -9.8 北方港吞叶量 榆林6000 690.0 0.0 0.0 -42.0 -52.0 1663 19.8 35.3 3.1 3.1 -1510 -25.0 -56.3 CBCFI海运指数 秦皇岛-上海（4-5DWT） 榆林6200 5 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/31 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 97700 12516 7.86 三月 98240 12477 7.84 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 7.95 -1171.20 现货出口 - 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 23290 3091 7.54 三月 23420 3123 5.60 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.37 -2576.06 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22180 2941 7.54 三月 22620 2974 7.54 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.33 -2321.75 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 131750 16358 8.05 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.04 1259.30 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信 ...

| 品种 | 类别 | 指标 | 11/28 | 12/24 | 12/26 | 12/29 | 12/30 | 日度变化 | 間度变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | BR主力合约(12) | 10415 | 11395 | 11635 | 11600 | 11565 | -35 | 170 | | | | 持仓量 | 52021 | 99013 | 64505 | 59203 | 49563 | -9640 | -49450 | | | 需面 | 成交量 | 97141 | 191046 | 196070 | 152140 | 121267 | -30873 | -69779 | | | | 仓単数量 | 15540 | 23490 | 23490 | 23490 | 23490 | 0 | 0 | | | | 虚实比 | 16.74 | 21.08 | 13.73 | 12.60 | 10.55 | -2 | -11 | | | | 顺丁基差 | 35 | -345 | -335 | -150 | ...

LPG = FA 81+ 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/31 LR GEBE 内院CFR华 CP预测合 山东烷基 纸面进口利润 日期 华南液化气 华东液化气 山东液化气 丙烷CIF日本 山东醚后碳四 主力基差 同价 化油 南 2025/12/24 4392 4480 4320 590 543 510 4570 7180 -277 398 2025/12/25 4389 4520 7150 4505 4310 l 590 539 510 -245 413 2025/12/26 4510 4384 4270 512 4500 7150 -233 289 541 390 4380 4430 2025/12/29 4510 4320 580 231 208 7130 -163 434 515 4440 2025/12/30 4510 4372 4300 582 542 7150 375 l 80 H H 日度变化 -20 2 11 7 10 20 -59 -8 周二，民用气方面，华东4372（-8），山东4300（-20），华南4510（+0）。醚后碳四4440（+10）。最低交割地为山东。夜盘上 日度变化 涨， ...

原油成品油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/30 | 日期 | WTI | BRENT | DUBAI | diff FOB dated bre | BRENT 1- | WTI-BREN | DUBAI-B | NYMEX RB | RBOB-BR | NYMEX | HO-BRT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | nt | 2月差 | T | RT（EFS | OB | T | HO | | | 2025/12/23 | 58.38 | 62.38 | 62.11 | - | 0.51 | -4.00 | 0.64 | 174.32 | 10.83 | 219.06 | 29.63 | | 2025/12/24 | 58.35 | 62.24 | 62.07 | - | 0.44 | -3.89 | 0.82 | 174.71 | 11.14 | 215.76 | 28.38 | | 2025/12/25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ...

新 加 坡 燃 料 油 现 货 燃料油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/30 | 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO-G | LGO-Brent M1 | 鹿特丹VLSFO-H | | | O掉期 M1 | FO掉期 M1 | ent M1 | asoil掉期 M1 | O M1 | | SFO M1 | | 2025/12/23 | 333.06 | 381.38 | -9.15 | 607.46 | -226.08 | 21.48 | 48.32 | | 2025/12/24 | 331.79 | 379.41 | -9.49 | 608.64 | -229.23 | 22.69 | 47.62 | | 2025/12/25 | 331.98 | 379.54 | -9.56 | 607.21 | -227.67 | - | 47.56 | | 2025/ ...