Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The wholesale sales of passenger vehicles in Q4 2025 are expected to be approximately 8.76 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%. The profitability in Q4 may show differentiation compared to the same period last year, with expectations for a quarter-on-quarter improvement [2][5] - The revenue from automotive parts is anticipated to grow steadily quarter-on-quarter, but profitability may face pressure due to factors such as raw material costs and exchange rates [2][5] - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks are projected to be 314,000 units in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [2][5] - The overall sales of buses are expected to see a significant quarter-on-quarter increase during the peak season, with sales of large and medium buses reaching 44,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2% [2][5] - The total sales of motorcycles are estimated to be around 4.73 million units in Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.0% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.2% [2][6] Summary by Sections Passenger Vehicles - Q4 2025 wholesale sales are expected to be about 8.76 million units, down 1% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter. New energy vehicle sales are projected at 4.84 million units, up 13% year-on-year and 21% quarter-on-quarter [5] Automotive Parts - Revenue is expected to grow steadily quarter-on-quarter, but profitability may be pressured by raw material and exchange rate factors [5] Heavy Trucks - Q4 2025 wholesale sales are projected at 314,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 43.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [5] Buses - Large and medium bus sales are expected to reach 44,000 units in Q4 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 42.2% [5] Motorcycles - Total motorcycle sales are estimated at 4.73 million units in Q4 2025, reflecting an 11.0% year-on-year increase but a 6.2% quarter-on-quarter decrease [6]

Core Insights - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China has surpassed 50%, marking a significant shift in the automotive market dynamics, transitioning from a "policy-driven" to a "product-driven" model [1][10] - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal moment for the Chinese automotive industry, with the market experiencing a fundamental transformation akin to a "Nokia moment" [1] - The competition is evolving from price wars to value wars, emphasizing technology and product quality over mere volume [11] Industry Overview - In 2025, China's automotive manufacturers are projected to achieve global sales of 27 million vehicles, securing the top position in the global new car sales rankings for the first time [2] - China has overtaken Japan to become the world's largest automobile exporter, with NEVs accounting for a significant portion of this growth [4] - The domestic market's NEV sales are nearing 60%, reflecting a structural change in consumer preferences [4] Sales and Market Penetration - By November 2025, the retail penetration rate of NEVs reached 53.6%, with projections for the full year estimating a rate of 54.0% [6] - The rapid increase in NEV penetration is attributed to a combination of policy support, technological advancements, infrastructure development, and market demand [7] Policy and Technological Developments - The exit of purchase subsidies in 2023 has been offset by continued tax exemptions and various local incentives, which have helped maintain consumer interest in NEVs [7] - 2025 is expected to be a year of technological breakthroughs in NEVs, with advancements in high-voltage platforms, solid-state batteries, and smart driving technologies [8] Infrastructure and Consumer Experience - The expansion of charging infrastructure is crucial for alleviating consumer concerns about range anxiety, with projections of 20 million charging stations by the end of 2025 [9] - The cost advantages of NEVs are becoming increasingly apparent, with electric vehicles offering significantly lower operating costs compared to traditional fuel vehicles [9] Competitive Landscape - The shift from price competition to value competition is reshaping the industry, with companies focusing on technological innovation and profitability [11] - Some companies, like Leap Motor, have emerged as strong competitors, achieving significant sales growth and profitability [13] Global Expansion - In 2025, China's automotive exports are expected to exceed 7 million units, with NEV exports alone projected to reach 2.315 million units, marking a 102.9% increase [21] - Chinese automakers are transitioning to a "global + local" model, emphasizing localized production and R&D to better penetrate international markets [22] Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite rapid growth, challenges such as trade protectionism and compliance costs remain significant hurdles for Chinese automakers in global markets [24] - The automotive industry is expected to continue evolving, with a focus on sustainable growth and value creation as it navigates the transition from a subsidy-driven to a market-driven environment [25]

Core Viewpoint - Xpeng Inc. is preparing for a potential stock market debut of its flying car business, indicating a strategic expansion into new technology sectors within the electric vehicle industry [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Xpeng Inc. is reportedly in the early stages of planning for the public offering of its flying car division, which represents a significant move for the company [1] - The flying car initiative aligns with Xpeng's broader strategy to innovate and diversify its product offerings beyond traditional electric vehicles [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The potential debut of flying cars could position Xpeng as a leader in the emerging market for aerial mobility solutions, reflecting a growing trend in the electric vehicle sector towards advanced transportation technologies [1] - This development may attract investor interest and highlight the competitive landscape among electric vehicle manufacturers as they explore new avenues for growth [1]

格隆汇1月12日｜小鹏汽车(XPEV.US)盘前涨近3%，报20.6美元。消息面上，彭博援引知情人士透露， 小鹏汽车已聘请银行协助其飞行汽车部门"小鵬汇天"在香港进行首次公开募股(IPO)。知情人士透露， 小鹏汽车已选择摩根大通和摩根士丹利为其上市做准备。由于信息属于保密范畴，知情人士要求匿名。 他们还表示，小鹏汽车已秘密提交上市申请，最早可能在今年内完成。 ...

1月12日，港股汽车股持续疲弱，其中，吉利汽车、零跑汽车跌超3%，广汽集团跌2.8%，理想汽车、小 鹏汽车跌超2%，长城汽车、蔚来汽车、赛力斯、奇瑞汽车均有跌幅。（新浪财经） 作者丨彭鑫 编辑丨安安 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of the Chinese automotive market in December 2025, noting a decline in retail sales for traditional vehicles while emphasizing growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector and exports. The market is expected to transition into 2026 with a focus on new energy vehicles and a recovery in demand [4]. Sales Performance - In December 2025, the domestic narrow passenger car market retail sales reached 2.261 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 14.0% but a month-on-month increase of 1.6%. Cumulative sales for the year totaled 23.744 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [2]. - The wholesale sales ranking for December 2025 shows BYD leading with 414,784 units sold, followed by Geely and Chery with 236,817 and 234,736 units, respectively. Notably, BYD's sales decreased by 12.7% month-on-month and 18.6% year-on-year [5]. - For the entire year of 2025, BYD also topped the wholesale sales with 4.545 million units, marking a 6.9% increase year-on-year, while Geely's sales surged by 39.0% to 3.025 million units [6]. New Energy Vehicle Market - In December 2025, the NEV wholesale sales ranking was led by BYD with 414,784 units, despite a month-on-month decline of 12.7% and a year-on-year drop of 18.6%. Geely followed with 154,264 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 38.7% [9]. - The retail sales for NEVs in December 2025 also saw BYD at the forefront with 339,854 units sold, a month-on-month increase of 10.9% but a year-on-year decrease of 15.7% [13]. - For the full year, BYD maintained its dominance in the NEV sector with 3.485 million units sold, although this represented a year-on-year decline of 6.3% [14]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The article notes that the end of the year typically sees a surge in vehicle purchases, but the depletion of subsidy funds across provinces has tempered this effect, leading to a more stable demand outlook heading into 2026 [4]. - The performance of various manufacturers indicates a competitive landscape, with traditional automakers facing challenges while NEV manufacturers like BYD and Geely continue to show resilience and growth potential [6][9].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of upcoming vehicle models from various manufacturers, detailing their specifications, market segments, and expected launch dates, highlighting the competitive landscape in the automotive industry for 2026 [2][5][10]. Group 1: Upcoming Models Overview - FAW Toyota will launch the Toyota bZ3 on December 31, 2025, targeting the B NB segment with a price range of 10.98 to 15.98 million yuan [10]. - Geely Auto is set to release the Geely Emgrand on January 1, 2026, in the A NB segment, priced at 7.29 million yuan [18]. - Lynk & Co will introduce the Lynk 08 EM-P on January 1, 2026, as a B SUV with a price of 20.58 million yuan [25]. - Smart will launch the smart 1 on January 1, 2026, in the AO SUV segment, priced at 13.99 million yuan [34]. - SAIC Passenger Vehicle will release the MG7 on January 6, 2026, in the B NB segment, with prices ranging from 13.79 to 17.89 million yuan [41]. - Beijing Hyundai will launch the Hyundai Santa Fe on January 6, 2026, in the B SUV segment, with a price range of 19.58 to 26.88 million yuan [49]. - GAC Toyota will introduce the Toyota Camry on January 7, 2026, in the B NB segment, with prices ranging from 19.58 to 26.88 million yuan [57]. - Dongfeng Honda will launch the Honda HR-V on January 8, 2026, in the A SUV segment, with prices between 15.99 and 17.59 million yuan [65]. - Xpeng Motors will release multiple models including the P7+, G7, G6, and G9 on January 8, 2026, with prices ranging from 18.68 to 27.88 million yuan [71][82][96]. - BYD will introduce the Qin PLUS DM-i and other models on January 8 and 9, 2026, with prices ranging from 7.98 to 12.68 million yuan [102][110][118]. Group 2: Technical Specifications - The Toyota bZ3 features a pure electric engine with a power output of 135 kW and a torque of 303 N·m, offering a range of up to 610 km [10]. - The Geely Emgrand is equipped with a 1.5L engine, producing 88 kW and 150 N·m of torque [18]. - The Lynk 08 EM-P has a 1.5T plug-in hybrid engine with a total power output of 300 N·m [25]. - The smart 1 offers a pure electric engine with a power output of 175 kW and a torque of 300 N·m, with a range of 410 km [34]. - The MG7 features a 1.5T engine with a power output of 138 kW and a torque of 300 N·m [41]. - The Hyundai Santa Fe is powered by a 2.0T engine, producing 182 kW and 353 N·m of torque [49]. - The Honda HR-V has a 1.5T engine with a power output of 134 kW and a torque of 240 N·m [65]. - The Xpeng P7+ offers both range-extended and pure electric versions, with the latter providing a range of 725 km [71]. - BYD's Qin PLUS DM-i features a 1.5L plug-in hybrid engine with a total power output of 210 km range [102].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors is preparing for an IPO of its flying car division in Hong Kong, having engaged JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley for the process, with a potential completion as early as this year [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiaopeng Motors' stock rose by 2.04% to HKD 80.15, with a trading volume of HKD 1.318 billion [1] Group 2: IPO Plans - The company has secretly submitted its IPO application for the flying car division, with plans to complete the process within the year [1] - JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley have been selected to assist in the IPO preparations [1] Group 3: Product Launches - On January 8, Xiaopeng Motors unveiled multiple new models and technology updates at its 2026 Spring Product Launch, including the 2026 P7+, G7 Super Extended Range, G6, and G9 [1] - CEO He Xiaopeng announced that these new vehicles will feature the second-generation VLA (Vision-Language-Action) large model, which is the first in the industry to achieve L4-level initial capabilities [1] Group 4: Future Developments - The company plans to implement physical AI and scale production this year, including the operation of Robotaxi services, humanoid robots, and flying cars [1]

Core Viewpoint - XPeng Motors has engaged banks to assist its flying car division in preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, with plans to submit a confidential listing application, potentially completing the process within this year [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - XPeng Motors-W (09868) saw a late-session increase of over 2%, after initially dropping more than 2% earlier in the day, closing at HKD 80.15 with a trading volume of HKD 1.318 billion [1] Group 2: IPO Plans - The company has selected JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley to prepare for its IPO [1] - The IPO is part of XPeng's strategy to expand its flying car division, with a confidential application already submitted [1] Group 3: Product Launches - On January 8, XPeng Motors announced multiple new models and technology updates during its 2026 Spring product launch, including the 2026 P7+, G7 Super Extended Range, G6, and G9 [1] - CEO He Xiaopeng stated that these new vehicles will feature the second-generation VLA (Vision-Language-Action) large model, marking a significant advancement in the industry [1] - The company plans to implement physical AI and scale production of Robotaxis, humanoid robots, and flying cars this year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors has secretly submitted an IPO application for its flying car division, Xiaopeng Huitian, in Hong Kong, with plans to potentially complete the listing by the end of this year [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Xiaopeng Huitian is a subsidiary of Xiaopeng Motors, aiming to be a "global leader in low-altitude products" and focusing on making flying more accessible [1] - The company was established after Xiaopeng Motors invested in Huitian in 2020, which originally started in Dongguan in 2013 [1] Group 2: Financial Background - Xiaopeng Huitian completed over $500 million in Series A financing in 2021 and secured an additional $150 million in Series B1 financing in 2024 [1] - Reports indicate that the company completed $250 million in Series B financing last year [1] Group 3: Product Development - The company's split-type flying car, referred to as "Land Aircraft Carrier," is set for its first public flight in 2024 and will debut overseas in 2025 [1] - Xiaopeng Huitian has received approximately 5,000 orders for the "Land Aircraft Carrier" and plans to expand into overseas markets by 2027 [1]