港股三大指数全天震荡下行，午后跌幅进一步扩大，恒生指数再失守两万六大关，恒科指数则一度跌超 2%。截止收盘，恒生指数跌1.72%或454.25点，报25930.03点，全日成交额为2421.12亿港元；恒生国企 指数跌1.65%，报9174.84点；恒生科技指数跌1.93%，报5645.73点。 东吴证券认为，港股短期震荡为主，上行斜率或放缓。从中长期配置来看，当前位置有吸引力。该行 指，自10月初开始，美股AI泡沫叙事再起，叠加近期产业缺乏新催化剂，港股AI科技类股票上涨动能 不足。英伟达财报临近，市场仍在等待信号。该行认为从中长期看当前位置港股科技吸引力凸显。 蓝筹股表现 4. 锂电板块集体调整，截至收盘，中创新航(03931)跌8.28%，报30.56港元；天齐锂业（002466） (09696)跌6.93%，报53.05港元；赣锋锂业（002460）(01772)跌6.62%，报58.5港元。 其他蓝筹股方面，中芯国际(00981)涨1.44%，报74港元，贡献恒指7.4点；周大福(01929)涨0.27%，报 14.84港元，贡献恒指0.12点；紫金矿业（601899）(02899)跌4.36%，报 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a downward trend, with the Hang Seng Index closing down 1.72% at 25,930.03 points, and the total trading volume reaching 242.11 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.93%, indicating a lack of upward momentum in AI technology stocks amid a stagnant industrial environment [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Ctrip Group-S (09961) saw a rise of 1.62% to 564.5 HKD after reporting a 16% year-on-year increase in net operating revenue for Q3 2025, reaching 18.3 billion RMB [2] - Semiconductor company SMIC (00981) increased by 1.44% to 74 HKD, contributing 7.4 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks faced pressure, with Tencent dropping over 2% and Alibaba slightly declining by 0.19% [3] - The semiconductor sector showed resilience, with Hua Hong Semiconductor rising by 3.48% and SMIC by 1.44% [3][4] Gold and Precious Metals - Gold stocks continued to decline, with Lingbao Gold (03330) down 8.88% and Zijin Mining International (02259) down 5.02% [4][5] - The market anticipates a continued adjustment phase for precious metals due to a decrease in the likelihood of a Fed rate cut [5] Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin fell below the 90,000 USD mark, marking a significant drop of nearly 30% from its peak in early October [6] - Cryptocurrency-related stocks also suffered, with Okex Chain (01499) down 6.82% [5] Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery sector faced a collective adjustment, with companies like CATL (03931) and Tianqi Lithium (09696) experiencing declines of over 6% [7] - Predictions for lithium prices remain conservative, with expectations of limited upward movement in the near term [7] Notable Stock Movements - Xpeng Motors (09868) saw a significant drop of 10.47% after reporting a net loss of 380 million RMB for Q3 [8] - Cambridge Technology (06166) rose by 7.52%, with plans to launch a 1.6T optical module in Q1 2026 [9] - Kingsoft Cloud (03896) increased by 4.1%, driven by strong growth prospects in AI [10]

Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported Q3 revenue of 20.38 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 101.8%, with a net loss of 380 million RMB, marking the smallest quarterly loss in five years [1] - The company plans to invest nearly 5 billion RMB in AI by 2025, with R&D expenses rising to 2.43 billion RMB, a 48.7% increase from the previous year [1] - Xiaopeng expects Q4 delivery volumes between 125,000 and 132,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 36.6% to 44.3% [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Xiaopeng's total revenue reached 40.8 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 14.3%, and net losses reduced from 10.38 billion RMB to 5.79 billion RMB [2] - Historical net losses from 2021 to 2024 were 4.9 billion RMB, 9.1 billion RMB, 10.38 billion RMB, and 5.79 billion RMB respectively [2] - The company reported a cash and cash equivalents total of 48.33 billion RMB as of September 30, 2025, providing ample liquidity for competitive pressures and R&D investments [1] Strategic Developments - Xiaopeng has implemented internal reforms, including anti-corruption measures and budget cuts, following significant personnel changes in management [2] - The company has adopted a low-price strategy, launching the MONAM03 at a starting price of 119,800 RMB, aiming to penetrate the mainstream market [3] - Plans for 2025 include a major product overhaul, with new offerings across a wide price range, including full-size SUVs [3] Technological Advancements - Xiaopeng is transitioning towards becoming a technology company, with plans to launch three Robotaxi models by 2026 [3] - The company has introduced the IRON humanoid robot and is advancing its flying car business, emphasizing the technological synergies between these ventures [4] - Despite the promising prospects for Robotaxi and flying cars, regulatory uncertainties and public safety concerns remain challenges for commercial implementation [4]

Market Overview - On November 18, global financial markets experienced a collective decline due to multiple factors affecting market risk sentiment, with Hong Kong's three major indices showing weakness throughout the day. The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.72%, closing below the 26,000-point mark, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.65% and 1.93%, respectively [1][2]. Sector Performance - Concerns over overvaluation in artificial intelligence have led to a continued decline in technology stocks. The spot gold price briefly fell below $4,000, causing significant drops in gold and non-ferrous metal stocks, with Lingbao Gold experiencing a nearly 9% decline. The steel sector also faced notable declines due to significant price drops throughout the year [2][5]. - The steel sector led the declines, with China Hanking down over 9%, Maanshan Iron & Steel down over 7%, and several other steel companies experiencing declines of over 5%. A report from CITIC Construction indicated that the steel price is expected to decline significantly by 2025 due to supply-demand mismatches and weakened cost support [5][6]. - The gold sector saw substantial losses, with Lingbao Gold down nearly 9% and other gold mining companies also experiencing declines of over 5% [6][8]. - The lithium battery sector continued to decline, with major companies like Cai Ke New Energy and Zhong Chuang Innovation falling over 10% and 8%, respectively [10]. - The automotive sector faced a downturn, with sales data indicating a 0.8% year-on-year decline in retail sales for October, and a significant drop in November sales figures [11][12]. Investment Trends - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 7.466 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect seeing net purchases of HKD 2.745 billion and HKD 4.721 billion, respectively [15]. - Looking ahead, Guosen Securities noted that the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in December will set the tone for macro policies and key tasks for the following year, influencing investment strategies and stock valuations [17].

公司预计25Q4交付12.5–13.2万辆、营收215–230亿元，指引体现订单与产能节奏保持稳健。同时，自研 图灵芯片将在Q3–Q4进一步放量，提升高阶智驾渗透率；而"鲲鹏超级电动体系"(一车双能：纯电/增程) 预计在25Q4进入量产节奏，对ASP、整车毛利及成本结构的改善均更具边际贡献。短期结构仍由中高 阶车型占比主导，中期毛利改善更依赖新平台规模化后摊薄成本与智驾功能渗透提升。新车规划方面， 明年计划推出7款增程车型，海外推出3款新车。 25Q3营收203.8亿元(人民币，下同)，环比增11.5%，基本符合市场和该行预期。汽车销量11.6万辆，环 比增12.4%。受车型结构影响，单车ASP 15.6万元，环比降0.8万元，基本符合预期。受益于服务及技术 收入占比提升与规模效应，公司综合毛利率20.1%，创历史新高；但受新平台爬坡及车型结构轻微变化 影响，汽车毛利率13.1%，较2Q25小幅回落。研发/销售费用仍保持在可控区间，研发/销售费用环比增 12.5%，占收比环比略增。25Q3公司净亏损3.8亿元/non-GAAP净亏损1.5亿元，按季进一步收窄。 公司预计4Q25营收为215亿-230亿元，按中 ...

ASP、综合毛利率仍具边际向上弹性，关注新平台(鲲鹏体系)与图灵芯片放量带来的结构改善 公司预计25Q4交付12.5–13.2万辆、营收215–230亿元，指引体现订单与产能节奏保持稳健。同时，自研 图灵芯片将在Q3–Q4进一步放量，提升高阶智驾渗透率；而"鲲鹏超级电动体系"(一车双能：纯电/增程) 预计在25Q4进入量产节奏，对ASP、整车毛利及成本结构的改善均更具边际贡献。短期结构仍由中高 阶车型占比主导，中期毛利改善更依赖新平台规模化后摊薄成本与智驾功能渗透提升。新车规划方面， 明年计划推出7款增程车型，海外推出3款新车。 交银国际主要观点如下： 小鹏汽车综合毛利率20.1%创历史新高 25Q3营收203.8亿元(人民币，下同)，环比增11.5%，基本符合市场和该行预期。汽车销量11.6万辆，环 比增12.4%。受车型结构影响，单车ASP 15.6万元，环比降0.8万元，基本符合预期。受益于服务及技术 收入占比提升与规模效应，公司综合毛利率20.1%，创历史新高；但受新平台爬坡及车型结构轻微变化 影响，汽车毛利率13.1%，较2Q25小幅回落。研发/销售费用仍保持在可控区间，研发/销售费用环比增 12. ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline on November 18, with the Hang Seng Index dropping by 0.8%, the State-Owned Enterprises Index falling by 0.72%, and the Technology Index decreasing by 1.25%. Notably, Xpeng Motors saw a significant drop of over 7% [1] Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened lower, reflecting a broader market downturn [1] - The State-Owned Enterprises Index also showed a decline, indicating weakness in state-owned companies [1] - The Technology Index's drop suggests challenges within the tech sector, with Xpeng Motors being a notable underperformer [1]

但值得一提的是，公司四季度收入指引和销量指引双双低于预期：四季度销量指引12.5-13.2万辆，低于 市场预期的13.6万辆；四季度收入指引215-230亿，同样也要低于市场预期的250亿元。 花旗发表报告称，考虑到明年第一季的汽车销售淡季，下调小鹏汽车美股和港股目标价逾3%，但仍看 好公司在明年多元化增长的潜力。花旗指出，在分析师简报会后，小幅下调对公司2025年的销量预测， 以符合公司的新指引。 11月18日午后，港股三大指数集体下跌，恒生科技指数跌超2%。盘面上，科网股普跌，汽车股走弱。 主流ETF方面，聚焦造车新势力的港股通汽车ETF（159323）午后跌超4%，持仓股中，小鹏汽车、赣锋 锂业、德昌电机控股、天齐锂业、亿华通、敏实集团等跌幅居前，其中小鹏汽车跌超10%。 消息面上，11月17日港股盘后，小鹏汽车交出了三季度成绩单：公司总营收达到203.8亿元，创下历史 新高，同比大幅增长102%；三季度净亏损收窄至3.8亿元，较去年同期的18.1亿元，大幅减少79.01%； 毛利率达到20.1%，同比提升4.8个百分点，创历史新高。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continues to face pressure, with the Hang Seng Index opening down 0.8%, the National Enterprises Index down 0.72%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.25% [1] - Major stocks such as China Hongqiao, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Li Auto, and NetEase experienced declines, with China Hongqiao dropping 7.74% [1] Company Performance - XPeng Motors reported a significant reduction in net loss for the three months ending September 30, 2025, with a loss of 381 million RMB, down 78.93% year-on-year. Revenue reached 20.381 billion RMB, a 101.76% increase, with automotive sales revenue at 18.054 billion RMB, up 105.27% [1] - The gross profit for XPeng Motors was 4.104 billion RMB, a 166.26% increase, with a quarterly gross margin of 20.1%, up 4.8 percentage points from the same period in 2024 [1] - Leap Motor reported a net profit of 150 million RMB for Q3 2025, with total net profit for the first three quarters reaching 180 million RMB. Q3 revenue was 19.45 billion RMB, a 97.3% increase from 9.86 billion RMB in Q4 2024 [2] - The gross margin for Leap Motor in Q3 2025 was 14.5%, up 0.9 percentage points from Q2 2025 [2] Debt Issuance - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company announced the successful issuance of its third phase of technology innovation bonds for 2025, raising 3 billion RMB with a term of 3+N years and an interest rate of 2.06% [2] Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment is cautious due to cooling interest rate cut expectations and a lack of surprises in earnings reports, leading to a downward trend in major indices [3] - The overall market is expected to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, with significant support at 26,000 points and resistance at 27,000 points [3]

(本文来自第一财经) 恒指跌0.8%，恒生科技指数跌1.25%。汽车股多数低开，小鹏汽车跌超7%，蔚来跌3%，理想汽车跌超 2%。 ...