Summary of China Travel & Leisure Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China travel and leisure industry**, particularly the performance of various companies in the sector during **3Q25** [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments General Market Trends - **Weaker Disposable Income**: Disposable income growth slowed to **4.5%** in 3Q25 from **5.1%** in 2Q25, impacting consumption trends which fell to **3.4%** from **5.2%** [2][3]. - **Domestic Air Traffic**: Increased by **3%** year-over-year (yoy) in 3Q25, down from **6%** in 2Q25 [2]. - **Outbound Travel**: Normalized to **15%** yoy growth, significantly lower than **34%** and **24%** in 1Q and 2Q25 respectively, as flight capacity returned to pre-pandemic levels [2]. Company Performance Highlights - **Songcheng**: Reported a **10%** yoy revenue decline due to competition and health issues [3]. - **CTGDF**: Revenue decline narrowed to flat yoy in 3Q25 from **-11%** and **-8%** in previous quarters, with a **14%** increase during the Golden Week holidays [3][6]. - **Jinjiang and BTG**: RevPar improved to declines of **-2%** and **-3%** yoy, respectively, compared to **-5%** and **-6%** in 2Q25 [3][6]. - **Chinese Airlines**: Benefited from lower fuel costs and traffic recovery, with domestic traffic up **13%** and international traffic up **11%** [6]. - **Shiji**: Revenue increased by **7%** yoy, but net loss widened to **Rmb12 million** due to higher impairment losses [6]. Macau Casino Performance - **Macau GGR**: Increased by **13%** yoy in 3Q25, up from **8%** in 2Q25, driven by factors such as the wealth effect from the stock market and reduced diversion of travelers to other destinations [7]. - **Sands China and MGM**: Results exceeded expectations, with Sands China expected to report **US$1.901 billion** and MGM **US$1.091 billion** in revenue for 3Q25 [7][10]. Samsonite Expectations - Expected to report a narrower revenue decline of **-2%** yoy in 3Q25, improved from **-5%** in 2Q25, driven by better performance in the US and Asia [7][10]. Hotel Operators - **H World and Atour**: Both expected to report better-than-expected results due to stabilizing hotel RevPar and robust retail sales growth [7][10]. - **RevPar Forecasts**: H World and Atour projected declines of **-0.4%** and **-3%** yoy, respectively, with revenue growth forecasts of **+7%** and **+35%** yoy [8][10]. OTA Performance - **Trip.com and Tongcheng**: Expected to meet revenue guidance with Trip.com projected to grow **+15%** and Tongcheng **+9%** [9][10]. - **Profit Margins**: Potential for improved profit margins due to favorable revenue mix shifts towards higher-margin businesses [9]. Other Important Insights - **Investor Focus**: Investors are expected to pay close attention to companies' forward guidance during their 3Q25 results to assess the sustainability of the recovery [2][10]. - **Valuation Considerations**: Despite recent performance, share prices of US-listed chain hotels are still trading below mid-cycle valuations, indicating potential for upward earnings revisions [10][11]. Conclusion - The China travel and leisure industry is showing signs of recovery, although challenges remain due to weaker consumer spending and competition. Companies like H World, Atour, and TCOM are positioned well for growth, while Macau casinos are benefiting from a rebound in gaming revenue. Investors should remain cautious but optimistic about the sector's trajectory moving forward.

Core Points - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,167.41, reflecting a slight increase of 0.03% on November 3, 2023 [1] - Major blue-chip stocks showed mixed performance, with HSBC Holdings rising by 1.13% while Tencent Holdings fell by 0.21% [2] Stock Performance Summary - Tencent Holdings: Latest price at 628.00 HKD, down by 1.00 HKD (-0.16%), ADR price at 626.678 HKD, a decrease of 1.322 HKD compared to the Hong Kong market [3] - Alibaba Group: Latest price at 163.20 HKD, down by 1.90 HKD (-1.15%), ADR price at 162.916 HKD, a decrease of 0.284 HKD compared to the Hong Kong market [3] - HSBC Holdings: Latest price at 108.30 HKD, up by 0.20 HKD (+0.19%), ADR price at 109.527 HKD, an increase of 1.227 HKD compared to the Hong Kong market [3] - AIA Group: Latest price at 79.95 HKD, up by 4.50 HKD (+5.96%), ADR price at 79.996 HKD, a slight increase of 0.046 HKD compared to the Hong Kong market [3] - BYD Company: Latest price at 99.10 HKD, down by 1.50 HKD (-1.49%), ADR price at 98.008 HKD, a decrease of 1.092 HKD compared to the Hong Kong market [3]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of popular Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increasing by 0.26% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Alibaba experienced a decline of over 1% [1] - Ctrip saw an increase of over 1% [1] - Tencent Music rose by over 3% [1] - Futu Holdings dropped by over 2% [1] - Li Auto fell by over 1% [1] - NIO increased by over 2% [1]

Core Insights - Ctrip has upgraded its "Global Taste Coordinates," covering 68 countries, 512 cities, and over 18,000 restaurants, enhancing its offerings in the food and dining sector [1] - Inbound travel orders on Ctrip surged by 100% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with inbound visitor numbers increasing by 64% and spending rising by 59% as of October [3] - The motivations for inbound tourists have shifted, with food experiences now surpassing sightseeing and accommodation as the primary reason for travel planning [3] Company Developments - Ctrip's new high-end restaurant ranking system categorizes restaurants into three tiers: Black Diamond, Diamond, and Platinum, redefining their significance beyond just price and appearance [3] - The ranking process for high-end restaurants now includes insights from Black Diamond users, providing a more authentic market perspective and consumer insights [3] Market Trends - The landscape of inbound tourism has expanded, with new source countries for visitors including Kazakhstan, Kuwait, and Qatar, indicating a diversification beyond traditional markets like Japan and Southeast Asia [3] - Major cities in China such as Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Hong Kong, Chengdu, and Macau are identified as the most active regions for high-end dining consumption [4]

Group 1: Core Insights - Ctrip's inbound travel orders surged by 100% year-on-year in the first half of this year, with inbound visitor numbers increasing by 64% and inbound spending rising by 59% as of October [1] - China has established itself among the top three countries globally for inbound travel orders, with a growth rate that places it in the top five [1] - The source countries for inbound tourists to China have expanded from traditional markets like Japan and Southeast Asia to include Europe, North America, India, the Middle East, and newly added visa-free countries such as Kazakhstan, Kuwait, and Qatar [1] Group 2: Culinary Trends - The Ctrip Food Guide 2026 global list, covering 68 countries and over 18,000 restaurants, indicates that food is evolving from an "additional experience" to the "primary motivation" for inbound travel [1] - Ctrip's CMO highlighted the strong appeal of "China travel," presenting a significant opportunity in the growing market [1] - Overseas tourists are increasingly searching for keywords like "food," "restaurants," and "local specialties," with a rise of over 30%, indicating a shift in travel planning priorities towards culinary experiences [1] Group 3: High-End Dining Insights - The newly released high-end restaurant rankings redefine three categories: Black Diamond as "ultimate travel destinations," Diamond as "taste landmarks," and Platinum as "hidden culinary surprises" [3] - The rankings incorporate user perspectives for the first time, providing real market insights and consumer preferences [4] - Major cities for high-end dining in China include Shanghai, Beijing, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Hong Kong, Chengdu, and Macau, with Shanghai dominating the top five hottest restaurants [4] Group 4: Home Cuisine Appeal - The "Home Flavor" theme list targets the emotional connection of travelers seeking familiar tastes, with a 30% increase in searches for various cuisines [5] - Ctrip's Food Guide ensures travelers can find authentic "Chinese flavors" abroad, with Chinese cuisine now available in 13 countries and 21 cities [5] - The list caters not only to Chinese travelers but also to those from Japan, Korea, and Southeast Asia, allowing them to find their home cuisine while traveling [5] Group 5: Must-Visit Restaurant Recommendations - Ctrip's "Must-Visit" list addresses the dilemma of choosing popular restaurants that may not always meet expectations [6] - The platform provides a comprehensive guide from luxury dining to street food, helping travelers avoid poor choices [6] - Ctrip's immersive dining experience, "Taste of China," launched in Shanghai, aims to transform the dining experience into a journey, with plans for future culinary tours [6]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Focus - The conference call discusses the strategic sectors in China, particularly focusing on innovative growth companies that are expected to emerge as "China Next Winners" in the context of the country's five-year plans [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Five-Year Plans as Investment Roadmaps**: China's five-year plans have historically served as effective roadmaps for investors, highlighting key sectors that are prioritized for growth. Significant alpha generation is often observed in the initial years following the prioritization of these sectors [3][12][13]. 2. **Key Growth Areas Identified**: - **Technology and Innovation**: Growth in semiconductors and artificial intelligence (AI) is anticipated, with a focus on self-reliance and high-tech innovation [3][4]. - **Advanced Manufacturing and Automation**: Chinese companies are expanding in mature automation areas, with new entrants in humanoid robotics benefiting from a large customer base and lower development costs [3]. - **Green Technology Leadership**: China has achieved 50% penetration of electric vehicles, with expectations for full electrification by the end of the decade. Rapid development in solar, wind, and nuclear energy is also anticipated [3]. - **Healthcare and Drug Development**: The aging population is expected to create greater opportunities in healthcare, with the industry catching up to global standards in R&D capabilities [3]. - **Domestic Consumption Boost**: A shift in consumer behavior from material ownership to experiential wealth is noted, benefiting companies focused on experiences rather than goods [3]. - **Urban Air Mobility**: China aims to dominate the low altitude economy, with proactive regulations and infrastructure development supporting this market [3]. 3. **Investment Implications**: The report emphasizes that growth stocks and innovative companies have historically provided the best returns for long-term investors, with a focus on high-growth and highly innovative firms [4][12]. 4. **Top Stock Recommendations**: Key stocks highlighted include Tencent, CATL, Alibaba, Trip.com, Luxshare, Hengrui, and Innovent as potential investment opportunities [4]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Historical Performance of Strategic Industries**: Industries identified as strategic in five-year plans have historically shown an average alpha of 30-40% in the first two years post-inclusion, although returns tend to decline after five years [13][17]. 2. **Characteristics of Historical Winners**: Successful companies typically emerged from mid-cap stocks (around $5 billion adjusted for today's market size), with reasonable valuations (13x PE), operating margins of 6-9%, and long-term earnings growth expectations exceeding 12% [12][50]. 3. **Long-Term Trends**: The report indicates that high-growth and innovative companies have generated significant annualized alpha, with the top 20% of the market leading in innovation yielding 8.5% p.a. alpha over the last decade [12][50]. 4. **Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Influences**: The evolving geopolitical landscape and domestic structural challenges are shaping China's economic and policy environment, emphasizing self-reliance and technological innovation [14][29]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, focusing on the strategic sectors and companies poised for growth in China, as well as the historical context and investment implications derived from the five-year plans.

Core Insights - Beijing Feishu Technology Co., Ltd. has partnered with online travel giant Ctrip, with over 40,000 employees migrating to the Feishu office platform in the second half of this year [1] - Ctrip's subsidiary, Qunar, was the first to switch from its self-developed system to Feishu in February 2025, receiving positive feedback on the collaboration experience [1] - The partnership is seen as a significant breakthrough for Feishu in the internet industry, with notable clients including Ctrip, Xiaomi Group, iQIYI, Gaotu, and Dewu [1] Company Developments - The successful implementation of Feishu at Ctrip has influenced the overall decision-making within the Ctrip Group [1] - Following the initial switch, Ctrip initiated internal trials and completed the transition to the Feishu platform for all employees [1] Industry Impact - Feishu has made notable gains in the large model and robotics sectors, collaborating with companies such as DeepSeek, Moonlight, Zhiyuan Robotics, Zhipu, and Minimax in recent years [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced a collective decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 1% [2] - Notable declines were observed in key tech stocks, including Sunny Optical Technology falling over 5%, SenseTime and Trip.com dropping over 3%, and companies like NetEase, SMIC, Baidu, and Kuaishou decreasing over 2% [2] Group 2 - The latest figures for the major indices are as follows: Hang Seng Tech Index at 6025.32, down 1.12%; the Hang Seng Index at 26208.24, down 0.52%; and the National Enterprises Index at 9316.89, down 0.63% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the resurgence of private enterprises in China, driven by supportive government policies and a focus on technological innovation, particularly in AI, which is expected to enhance market valuations and attract significant foreign investment [2][3][25]. Group 1: Private Enterprises and Economic Contribution - Private enterprises contribute over 60% to GDP, account for more than 70% of technological innovation, and provide over 80% of urban employment, positioning them as a crucial growth engine for the Chinese economy [6]. - Since 2022, profits and return on equity for private enterprises have shown significant growth, indicating an increase in capital expenditure and investment willingness [4][6]. - The 2025 "Top 500 Private Enterprises" list reflects the strength of private companies in terms of scale, operational efficiency, innovation capability, and social responsibility [4][39]. Group 2: R&D and Innovation - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's R&D spending is projected to reach 3.6 trillion RMB in 2024, maintaining the second position globally, with private enterprises leading in R&D contributions [7][10]. - Private enterprises have outpaced state-owned enterprises in profit and revenue growth over the past decade, contributing approximately half of the new capital expenditure and 60% of the increase in R&D investment [7][10]. - The "Top 500 Private Enterprises" list indicates that companies in the computer, communication, internet, and automotive sectors are the main drivers of innovation [10]. Group 3: AI and Growth Drivers - The AI sector is expected to significantly boost the investment enthusiasm of private enterprises, with projected profit growth for tech-related private companies expected to exceed non-tech firms by about 15 percentage points in 2024-2025 [18][19]. - The anticipated widespread application of AI could contribute an additional 2.5% annual growth to the earnings per share (EPS) of listed companies in China over the next decade [19]. - The article highlights a positive feedback loop where AI drives growth, which in turn fuels further investment [26]. Group 4: International Expansion - The "15th Five-Year Plan" prioritizes high-level opening-up, indicating a shift towards more aggressive international expansion for Chinese enterprises [27]. - The 2025 "Top 500 Private Enterprises" report shows that overseas revenue for these companies reached 3.19 trillion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14.74%, significantly outpacing overall revenue growth [30]. - By 2024, nearly 20% of private enterprises' total revenue is expected to come from overseas, reflecting a shift towards high-value products and services [31]. Group 5: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The concentration of market capitalization among leading companies in China is expected to increase, with private enterprises in sectors like automotive and renewable energy becoming market leaders [35][37]. - The "Top 10 Private Enterprises" in China, as identified by Goldman Sachs, collectively hold a market value of 1.6 trillion USD, representing 42% of the MSCI China Index, with projected profit growth of 13% over the next two years [37]. - The 2025 "Top 500 Private Enterprises" list shows a total revenue of 43.05 trillion RMB, with a net profit of 1.8 trillion RMB, indicating an improvement in growth quality [39].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,606.21, up by 260.07 points or 0.99% on October 29, 2023 [1] - The index reached a high of 26,714.82 and a low of 26,434.77 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 42.127 million [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 109.551, an increase of 2.87% compared to the previous close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 655.070, up by 1.56% from the previous close [2] ADR Performance - Tencent Holdings (ADR) traded at USD 655.070, reflecting an increase of 1.56% compared to its Hong Kong stock price [3] - Alibaba Group (ADR) showed a price of USD 174.812, up by 2.23% compared to its Hong Kong stock price [3] - HSBC (ADR) was priced at USD 109.551, which is 2.87% higher than its Hong Kong counterpart [3]