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大行评级|中银国际:内地煤炭板块估值水平缺乏吸引力 维持行业“中性”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-16 09:37
该行将中煤能源评级降至"沽售",因公司今年可能录得负数自由现金流,管理层似乎无意提高派息比 例,2025至2027年预测股息回报率仅达3.7%至3.9%,目标价从7.39港元降至7.21港元。该行又指,中国 神华中期业绩展示出盈利具韧性,在上半年煤价下跌期间,其煤炭业务单位利润降幅为最小,维持"持 有"评级,目标价由32.18港元上调至39.48港元。 中银国际发表研究报告指,虽然目前市场预期国内港口煤炭库存水平相对偏低,可为冬季现货动力煤价 格带来支持,但考虑到第二季价格水平逊预期,仍将今年全年现货煤价预测下调4%。该行认为,内地 煤炭板块当前估值水平缺乏吸引力,维持行业"中性"评级。 ...
中国神华(01088.HK)8月商品煤产量同比减少0.3% 煤炭销售量同比减少3.1%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-16 09:31
格隆汇9月16日丨中国神华(01088.HK)公布,2024年8月,商品煤产量2860万吨,同比减少0.3%,煤炭销 售量达到3750万吨,同比减少3.1%。 运输方面,自有铁路运输周转量280亿吨公里,同比增长10.7%;黄骅港装船量1930万吨,同比增长 11.6%;天津煤码头装船量400万吨,同比增长8.1%;航运货运量960万吨,同比减少16.5%;航运周转 量94吨海里,同比减少27.1%。 2025 年 8 月,公司自有铁路运输周转量同比增长的主要原因,是自有铁路沿线煤源充足带来铁路运量 增加;黄骅港装船量同比增长的主要原因,是到港资源量增加;航运货运量及周转量同比下降的主要原 因,是业务结构调整、航线结构变化。 2025 年 1-8 月,聚乙烯、聚丙烯销售量同比增长的主要原因,是上年同期煤制烯烃生产设备按计划检 修导致基数较低。 发电方面,总发电量233.9亿千瓦时,同比增长3.8%;总售电量219.7亿千瓦时,同比增长3.6%。煤化工 方面,聚乙烯销售量3.23万吨,同比增长0.9%;聚丙烯销售量2.81万吨,同比减少4.4%。 ...
中国神华8月商品煤产量2860万吨 同比减少0.3%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 09:28
中国神华(601088)(01088)发布公告,于2025年8月,商品煤产量为2860万吨,同比减少0.3%;煤炭销 售量为3750万吨,同比减少3.1%。1-8月商品煤产量为2.23亿吨,同比减少0.5%;煤炭销售量为2.8亿吨, 同比减少9.2%。 于2025年8月,总发电量为233.9亿千瓦时,同比增长3.8%;总售电量为219.7亿千瓦时,同比增长3.6%。 1-8月总发电量为1441.2亿千瓦时,同比减少3.8%;总售电量为1354.6亿千瓦时,同比减少3.8%。 ...
中国神华:8月煤炭销售量同比下降3.1%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-16 09:28
| 这宫指标 | 单位 | 2025年 | | 2024 年 | | 同比变化 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (重述后) | | (%) | | | | | 8月 | 累计 | 8月 | 累计 | 8月 | 累计 | | (一) 煤炭 | | | | | | | | | 1. 商品煤产量 | 百万吨 | 28.6 | 223.3 | 28.7 | 224.4 | (0.3) | (0.5) | | 2. 煤炭销售量 | 百万吨 | 37.5 | 280.2 | 38.7 | 308.7 | (3.1) | (9.2) | | (二)运输 | | | | | | | | | 1. 自有铁微존输碳量 | 十亿吨公里 | 28.0 | 207.1 | 25.3 | 211.0 | 10.7 | (1.8) | | 2. 黄骅巷表船量 | 自月吨 | 19.3 | 146.3 | 17.3 | 144.0 | 11.6 | 1.6 | | 3. 天津煤码头翅量 | 自力吨 | 4.0 | 29.8 | 3.7 | 29. ...
中国神华(01088)8月商品煤产量2860万吨 同比减少0.3%
智通财经网· 2025-09-16 09:24
智通财经APP讯,中国神华(01088)发布公告,于2025年8月,商品煤产量为2860万吨,同比减少0.3%;煤 炭销售量为3750万吨,同比减少3.1%。1-8月商品煤产量为2.23亿吨,同比减少0.5%;煤炭销售量为2.8亿 吨,同比减少9.2%。 于2025年8月,总发电量为233.9亿千瓦时,同比增长3.8%;总售电量为219.7亿千瓦时,同比增长3.6%。 1-8月总发电量为1441.2亿千瓦时,同比减少3.8%;总售电量为1354.6亿千瓦时,同比减少3.8%。 ...
中国神华(01088) - 2025年8月份主要运营数据公告
2025-09-16 09:15
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責,對 其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內 容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 (在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代碼: 01088) 2025 年 8 月份主要運營數據公告 (海外監管公告) 以上主要運營數據來自本公司內部統計。運營數據在月度之間可能存在較大差 異,其影響因素包括但不限於天氣變化、設備檢修、季節性因素和安全檢查等。運營 數據可能與相關期間定期報告披露的數據有差異。投資者應注意不恰當信賴或使用以 上信息可能造成投資風險。 承董事會命 中國神華能源股份有限公司 總會計師、董事會秘書 宋靜剛 北京,2025年9月16日 於本公告日期,董事會成員包括執行董事張長岩先生,非執行董事康鳳偉先生及李新 華先生,獨立非執行董事袁國強博士、陳漢文博士及王虹先生,職工董事焦蕾女士。 中國神華能源股份有限公司(「本公司」)董事會及全體董事保證本公告內容不 存在任何虛假記載、誤導性陳述或者重大遺漏,並對其內容的真實性、準確性和完整 性承擔法律責任。 | | | 2025 | ...
反内卷有望托抬煤价,煤炭核心价值将被重塑 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-09-16 07:06
2025H1上市煤企销量下滑叠加售价回落,盈利能力下滑 2025H127家上市煤企(不含山西焦煤)合计煤炭产量为6.1亿吨,同比+2.5%;煤炭销量 为6.5亿吨,同比-5.4%。2025H128家上市煤企合计实现营业收入5384亿元,同比-18.1%;合 计实现归母净利润560亿元,同比-31.7%。2025H128家上市煤企毛利率加权平均值为 28.8%,同比-2.1pct;净利率加权平均值为13.3%,同比-2.6pct;ROE加权平均值为4.8%,同 比-2.5pct。 开源证券近日发布煤炭行业2025年中报综述:分煤种来看,2025H1秦港动力煤山西产 Q5500均价为676元/吨,同比-22.8%,其中2025Q2动力煤价格回落明显,Q2均价632元/吨, 环比-12.4%;2025H1京唐港主焦煤(山西产)均价为1379元/吨,同比-38.8%,其中2025Q2 主焦煤价格回落放缓,Q2均价1315元/吨,环比-8.8%。 以下为研究报告摘要: 2025H1煤炭价格呈下跌趋势,煤价中枢整体下移 分煤种来看,2025H1秦港动力煤山西产Q5500均价为676元/吨,同比-22.8%,其中 2025 ...
中国8月经济“成绩单”公布,A股中期大概率将延续震荡上行走势
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-16 02:22
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance after a strong opening, with the MSCI China A50 Connect Index experiencing a slight decline despite some leading stocks performing well [1] Economic Performance - In August, China's economic indicators showed overall stability, with industrial value-added growth of 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month [1] - The service production index increased by 5.6% year-on-year, while retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.4% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month [1] - From January to August, fixed asset investment grew by 0.5% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment increasing by 5.1% [1] Market Outlook - Galaxy Securities anticipates that domestic incremental funds are promising, and liquidity is likely to remain favorable, suggesting a continued upward trend for A-shares in the medium term [1] - The A50 ETF (159601) closely tracks the MSCI China A50 Connect Index, providing a balanced exposure to 50 leading stocks in the A-share market, making it a preferred choice for both domestic and foreign investors [1] - The MSCI China A50 Connect Index emphasizes liquidity and industry balance during its compilation, highlighting its significant large-cap characteristics compared to other indices [1]
Cheap Chinese Coal is Making it Difficult to Reduce Consumption
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 23:37
Group 1 - Chinese coal prices are expected to remain low as the country approaches 2025, with current prices around 700 yuan ($98) per ton having subsided after a brief spike in August [1][2] - The Chinese government aims to reduce coal usage starting in 2026 as part of its climate targets, but declining prices complicate these efforts [2][3] - China Shenhua Energy Co. anticipates less price volatility in the second half of the year, contrasting with previous coal shortages that led to price spikes [3][4] Group 2 - The Chinese authorities have managed supply effectively, leading to a more stable outlook regarding demand surges [4][5] - Despite a significant drop in coal imports this year, there was a 20% increase in August compared to the previous month, indicating a strategy to mitigate supply disruptions [5] - The growth of solar and wind energy is meeting electricity demand, allowing for reductions in coal usage, although capacity remains unchanged as a backup [6][7] Group 3 - The continued availability of cheap coal is making it difficult to reduce its consumption, with its increasing role in the chemicals industry contributing to this trend [7] - Shenhua's parent company predicts a prolonged plateau in coal demand, potentially reaching peak coal as early as next year [7]
逾600家公司披露未来三年分红规划
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-15 18:34
Group 1 - The technology sector, represented by TMT indices, has seen significant growth, with indices in communication, electronics, and media rising over 30% as of September 15 [1] - In contrast, the dividend sector has underperformed, with the CSI Dividend Index declining over 1% this year [1] - Long-term effectiveness of dividend strategies remains intact, with low valuation and high dividend yields attracting long-term capital [1] Group 2 - Companies with high dividend potential are gaining attention, with over 600 companies disclosing shareholder return plans for 2025-2027 [2] - Jianghe Group plans to distribute at least 80% of its net profit or a minimum of 0.45 yuan per share in cash dividends during 2025-2027 [2] - Huaihe Energy aims to distribute no less than 75% of its net profit or a minimum of 0.19 yuan per share in cash dividends during the same period [2] Group 3 - China Shenhua and Mindray Medical are tied for third place, each planning to distribute at least 65% of their net profit in cash dividends from 2025 to 2027 [3] - Other companies like Guodian Power, Zhongfu Industrial, and Wantong Expressway also have dividend rates of at least 60% [3] - Historical data shows that these companies have strong dividend records, with cumulative dividends exceeding 100% of net profits in the last three years for some [3] Group 4 - Institutions predict earnings per share for high dividend companies, with Sichuan Road and Bridge expected to have a dividend yield exceeding 6% based on a 60% payout ratio [4] - Zhongfu Industrial is also projected to have a dividend yield over 5% based on similar calculations [4] - A total of 25 stocks are forecasted to have dividend yields exceeding 2%, with an average annual increase of nearly 11%, outperforming the CSI Dividend Index [4]