Group 1 - The core point of the article is that New城控股 (601155) has received approval for a public bond issuance aimed at professional investors, with a total planned issuance amount of 6 billion yuan [1] - The funds raised from the bond issuance will be used for repaying interest-bearing debts, developing residential real estate projects, and supplementing working capital [1] - Specifically, up to 3.6 billion yuan of the raised funds is intended for repaying the company's interest-bearing debts [1]

Group 1: Real Estate Market Trends - In May, the sales prices of commercial residential properties in major cities continued to decline month-on-month, but the year-on-year decline narrowed, indicating ongoing market adjustments [1] - First-tier cities saw a month-on-month price decrease of 0.2%, while second-tier cities also decreased by 0.2%, and third-tier cities experienced a 0.3% decline [1] - Year-on-year, first-tier cities' prices fell by 1.7%, second-tier cities by 3.5%, and third-tier cities by 4.9%, with all showing a narrowing of the decline compared to the previous month [1] Group 2: New Initiatives in Real Estate - Chengdu launched the "Chengdu Housing and Urban-Rural Development Real Estate Supermarket," providing a new open platform for housing consumption, integrating policy announcements, project information, and promotional activities [2] - The platform aims to streamline resources and offer one-stop services for homebuyers, potentially lowering purchasing costs and stimulating housing consumption [2] Group 3: Corporate Debt Activities - New City Holdings' application for a 60 billion yuan corporate bond has been accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, indicating market support for the company and potential relief for its funding pressures [3] - Greentown Real Estate announced the timely repayment of its 20 billion yuan medium-term notes, reflecting its strong financial health and ability to meet debt obligations [4] - In contrast, Zhengrong Real Estate's proposal to extend the grace period for its 10 billion yuan bond was not approved, highlighting ongoing debt challenges and the need for effective communication with creditors [5]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a low open and high close, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.35%, Shenzhen Component Index by 0.41%, and ChiNext Index by 0.66% [1] - The total market turnover reached 12,435 billion, with over 3,500 stocks in the market closing in the green [1] Stablecoin Concept - The stablecoin concept surged throughout the day, with the digital currency sector rising by 4.72%, making it the top-performing industry concept [2] - Notable stocks included Tianyang Technology and Sifang Jingchuang hitting the 20% limit up, while Lakala rose over 15% [2] - The positive sentiment is attributed to favorable policies boosting investor confidence, with long-term prospects for stablecoins expected to drive the virtual asset industry [3] Financial Sector Performance - The banking sector showed strong performance, with Qingnong Commercial Bank and Sunong Bank rising over 3%, and several banks reaching historical highs [4] - The People's Bank of China reported an increase in social financing scale and new RMB loans, indicating a robust financial environment [4] - Analysts suggest that bank stocks have strong earnings certainty and recommend focusing on their investment value due to stable fundamentals and low valuations [5] Real Estate Sector Activity - The real estate sector exhibited strong performance, with a 1.69% overall increase, and 81 out of 91 stocks rising [6] - Positive policy signals from the government aim to stabilize the real estate market, with measures to optimize existing policies and enhance market expectations [6][7] - The National Bureau of Statistics indicated that the real estate market is moving towards stabilization, supported by the implementation of various policies [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4] Core Viewpoints - In May, the price decline of second-hand houses in various cities expanded on a month-on-month basis, while the year-on-year decline narrowed [1][2] - The new residential sales price index for 70 major cities showed a month-on-month decrease of 0.2% in May, compared to a previous value of -0.1% [1] - The investment suggestion indicates that short-term policy support is expected to stabilize prices and improve valuations, while long-term focus should be on leading companies with quality product resources and real estate operation capabilities [3] Summary by Sections Month-on-Month Data - In May, the month-on-month price index for new residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 0.2%, with specific cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou showing declines of -0.4%, 0.7%, -0.4%, and -0.8% respectively [1] - The month-on-month price index for second-hand residential properties in first-tier cities decreased by 0.7%, with Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou showing declines of -0.8%, -0.7%, -0.5%, and -0.8% respectively [1] Year-on-Year Data - The year-on-year price index for new residential properties in 70 major cities decreased by 4.1% in May, an improvement from the previous decline of 4.5% [2] - The year-on-year price index for second-hand residential properties in 70 major cities decreased by 6.3%, also an improvement from the previous decline of 6.8% [2] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies such as Poly Developments and New Town Holdings in the short term, while also considering China Resources Land and Longfor Group as potential beneficiaries [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in sales scale and ranking, but its commercial management operations remain strong with double-digit growth in rental income. The overall business performance is stable, and the commercial occupancy rate remains high. The parent company has restarted USD bond financing, which is the first case of a private real estate company issuing overseas bonds in the past two years. The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is maintained, with expected net profits of 1.05 billion, 1.50 billion, and 1.75 billion yuan respectively, and corresponding EPS of 0.46, 0.67, and 0.78 yuan [5][8]. Sales Performance - In May 2025, the company achieved a contract sales amount of 1.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 51.90%, and a sales area of 252,600 square meters, down 56.12% year-on-year. The cumulative contract sales amount from January to May 2025 was 8.836 billion yuan, a decline of 55.27%, with a cumulative sales area of 1.1386 million square meters, down 58.40% year-on-year [6]. Commercial Management - As of the end of May 2025, the company operated and managed a total of 174 Wuyue Plazas, an increase of 13 from the same period in 2024. The total leased property area reached 16.04 million square meters. The cumulative commercial operating revenue from January to May 2025 was 5.374 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, with May's single-month rental income at 1.1 billion yuan, up 9.6% year-on-year [7]. Financing Activities - On June 12, 2025, the parent company announced the successful issuance of 300 million USD in senior notes with a coupon rate of 11.88% and a maturity of three years. The funds will be used to repurchase two upcoming maturing USD bonds. This issuance marks the first case of a private real estate company restarting overseas USD bond financing in two years, with subscriptions exceeding 880 million USD [8]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's projected financial performance includes: - Revenue for 2025 estimated at 74.206 billion yuan, down 16.6% year-on-year - Net profit for 2025 estimated at 1.045 billion yuan, up 38.9% year-on-year - EPS for 2025 estimated at 0.46 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 29.1 times [9][20].

多重利好叠加，今日港A地产股集体大涨。 港股中，金辉控股一度飙涨超80%%，截止发稿涨36.18%，融创中国、世茂集团涨超5%，雅居乐集 团、远洋集团等跟涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 流跌额 | > 联想法 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09993 | 金辉控股 | (0) | 3.350 | +0.890 | 36.18% | | 01918 | 融创中国 | | 1.490 | +0.080 | 5.67% | | 00813 | 世茂集团 | | 0.770 | +0.040 | 5.48% | | 03383 | 雅居乐集团 | | 0.430 | +0.020 | 4.88% | | 03377 | 元洋集团 | | 0.109 | +0.005 | 4.81% | | 00817 | 中国金茂 | | 1.170 | +0.050 | 4 46% | | 02777 | 富力地产 | | 1.020 | +0.040 | 4.08% | | 01109 | 华润置地 | | 28.050 | +1.000 | 3.70% | | ...

房地产板块突然爆发。 从市场交易看，在各项稳楼市政策作用下，房地产销售基本平稳。1—5月份，新建商品房销售面积和销售额同 比分别下降2.9%和3.8%，与1—4月份基本持平。部分一线、二线城市市场交易较为活跃，商品房销售面积和 销售额保持增长。 从市场价格看，新建商品住宅价格同比降幅继续收窄。5月份70个大中城市中，多数城市商品住宅销售价格同 比降幅收窄。其中，一、二、三线城市新建商品住宅销售价格同比降幅比上月收窄0.4、0.4和0.5个百分点；二 手住宅销售价格同比降幅分别收窄0.5、0.4和0.5个百分点。从商品房库存看，5月末商品房待售面积比4月末减 少715万平方米，连续三个月减少。 付凌晖强调，总的看，促进房地产市场止跌回稳政策持续显效，5月份房地产市场运行总体平稳。但也要看 到，房地产市场仍在调整过程中，市场信心还在修复，市场供求关系仍待改善，促进房地产止跌回稳还需要继 续努力。 付凌晖还表示，下阶段，要认真贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，积极主动适应房地产市场供求关系发生重 大变化的现实，持续推动城市更新和危旧房改造，加大"好房子"建设供应力度，促进刚性和改善性住房需求释 放，积极构建房地产发展 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The real estate market continues to show signs of weak recovery, with sales data in May indicating a slight improvement compared to April [8] - The overall sales area of commercial housing in the first five months of 2025 decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, with sales amounting to 3.41 trillion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year [5][14] - The new housing market is expected to maintain a weak recovery trend in June, driven by increased marketing efforts from real estate companies and a rise in supply [32] Summary by Sections Sales Data - In the first five months of 2025, the national commercial housing sales area was 353 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.9% [5][14] - The sales area in May alone saw a year-on-year decline of 3.3%, while the sales amount dropped by 6.0% [5][14] - The average sales price in May decreased by 2.8% year-on-year but increased by 2.5% month-on-month, indicating a trend of price adjustments [5][14] Construction Data - The new housing starts in the first five months of 2025 totaled 232 million square meters, down 22.8% year-on-year [6][21] - The completion area for housing was 184 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 17.3% [6][21] Investment Trends - Real estate development investment in the first five months of 2025 reached 3.62 trillion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year [7][24] - The funding available to real estate developers decreased by 5.3% year-on-year, with various funding sources showing significant declines [28][29] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include strong credit real estate companies that understand customer demand, such as Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Merchants Shekou [32] - Companies benefiting from both real estate recovery and consumption promotion policies include China Resources Land and Longfor Group [32]

Group 1: Real Estate Sector Performance - The real estate sector showed strong performance on June 16, with significant upward movement noted in both A-share and Hong Kong markets, particularly as the market approached midday [2][12] - Notable stocks included Kinhui Holdings, which saw a peak increase of over 80%, and several other companies like Wantong Development and TeFa Service, which rose by more than 9% and 8% respectively [4][6][12] - In the A-share market, Hefei Urban Construction hit the daily limit up, indicating strong investor interest [7] Group 2: Market Statistics and Trends - As of May, the real estate market showed signs of stabilization, with a continued narrowing of year-on-year price declines in major cities, and a decrease in unsold housing inventory by 7.15 million square meters [13][14] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that new residential property prices in first, second, and third-tier cities saw a reduction in year-on-year decline rates, indicating a potential recovery in market confidence [13][14] - The sales area and sales volume of new residential properties from January to May decreased by 2.9% and 3.8% year-on-year, respectively, but remained stable compared to the previous month [13] Group 3: Government Policies and Support - The State Council meeting on June 13 emphasized the importance of establishing a new model for real estate development to promote stable and healthy market growth, with a focus on long-term strategies and systematic policy support [12][13] - Policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market are being implemented, with a focus on enhancing the effectiveness of existing measures to boost demand and optimize supply [12][14]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets experienced minor fluctuations, with significant movements in the oil and gas sector due to a surge in international oil prices, and a strong performance in the real estate sector [1][20]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - The A-share market saw a notable increase in the oil and gas sector, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [1]. - Real estate stocks also showed strong performance, with several companies experiencing significant price increases, such as Hefei Urban Construction hitting the daily limit and Wan Tong Development rising over 9% [5][7]. - Specific stocks in the A-share market included: - Yuyuan Development: 6.36% increase [10] - Te Fa Service: 5.31% increase [9] - New Huangpu: 4.89% increase [10]. Group 2: Hong Kong Stock Market Performance - The Hong Kong real estate sector exhibited even more pronounced movements, with Kinhui Holdings reaching a peak increase of over 80% [2]. - Other notable performers included: - Likao Group: 15.00% increase [13] - Green Scene China Real Estate: 11.96% increase [13]. Group 3: Real Estate Market Insights - The State Council's meeting on June 13 emphasized the importance of establishing a new model for real estate development to promote a stable and healthy market [14]. - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with a reduction in the year-on-year decline of housing prices in major cities [15][16]. - In May, the inventory of unsold commercial housing decreased by 7.15 million square meters, marking three consecutive months of decline [16]. Group 4: Economic Indicators - The industrial added value for May showed a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.61% [19]. - Retail sales for May reached 41,326 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [19].