A股复盘 | 都要违约了还涨停 / 2025.12.10 万科下午竟然直线拉涨停了？又有什么小作文？且听我娓娓道来！ 早上，彭博报道， 万科今天召开持有人会议，争取债券展期，以避免违约。我没在意这条消息，上午地产也没什么太大动静。 下午万科忽然就要涨停了，赶紧找"小作文"。 一个没有找到原文了解的彭博消息出来了，说是据知情人士透露，中金再度参与万科 shukun，shukun方案已提交 。 但是仔细观察发现，这与11月26日REDD报的差不多， 当时的报道是，两名人士称，SZ 已将一份由中金参与建议的万科报告提交至省，省 将报告转呈至ZY。 就在我准备发的时候，地产小作文哐哐又出来了！不知道的还以为又要四万亿呢 关键是，后来彭博也发了地产异动的文章，但是原因中没写那条号称来自彭博的"小作文"，所以大概率是"炒冷饭"！ 不过临近收盘，万科今日持有人会议内容也流出，主要包括：12月15 日到期的20亿元人民币债券讨论展期一年，如果投资者不投票赞成， 公司将利用宽限期继续与投资者进行谈判。 会上万科强调，其流动性压力"一直在不断升级"，并指出， 该公司的房屋销售已从2021年的水平下降了78%而在此期间，该公司交付 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a mixed performance on December 10, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.23%, barely holding above 3900 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.29% and the ChiNext Index fell 0.02% [1][19] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.78 trillion yuan, a decrease of over 120 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1][19] Sector Performance - The real estate sector saw a significant rebound, with the only ETF tracking the CSI 800 Real Estate Index (159707) rising by 3.73%, leading the market [1][20][23] - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with the non-ferrous metals leading ETF (159876) increasing by 1.11% [1][20][26] - The agriculture, animal husbandry, and fishery sector experienced a surge, with the only ETF in this category (159275) rising by 1.03% [1][20] - The AI industry chain continued its upward trend, with the Huabao ChiNext AI ETF (159363) reaching a new high since its listing [1][20] - The commercial aerospace concept remained active, with the high-profile defense and military ETF (512810) closing up 0.85%, marking a near one-month high [1][20][13] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November slightly decreased by 0.1% month-on-month but increased by 0.7% year-on-year, marking the highest level in nearly 21 months [2][21] - Analysts noted that the increase in CPI was primarily driven by reduced tailing factors and rising food prices, indicating a steady recovery in demand [2][21] Future Outlook - Guotai Junan pointed out that the Chinese stock market may enter a new upward phase, with a potential cross-year rally expected from December to February, supported by favorable policies, liquidity, and fundamentals [2][22] - Galaxy Securities emphasized that the long-term positive logic for the A-share market remains unchanged, with regulatory adjustments expected to release more insurance funds into the market [3][22] Real Estate Sector Insights - The real estate sector's afternoon surge may be linked to discussions around mortgage interest subsidies, with several cities implementing such policies to lower home purchase costs [6][25] - Vanke's bondholder meeting was highlighted as crucial for the company's restructuring efforts, with new proposals aimed at reaching a consensus among stakeholders [6][25] - Citic Securities projected that 2026 could be a critical year for real estate companies as they work towards balance sheet recovery [6][25] Investment Recommendations - The real estate ETF (159707) is recommended for investment due to its focus on top-tier real estate companies, which are expected to show resilience amid industry challenges [6][26] - The non-ferrous metals leading ETF (159876) has seen significant net inflows, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the sector's future performance [6][26]

Group 1 - The real estate sector saw a significant rally on December 10, with the CSI 800 Real Estate Index rising over 3%, indicating a strong performance among major stocks in the sector [1][5] - Vanke A experienced a surge after hitting a 10-year low, closing with a limit-up, while other stocks like Hainan Airport and Poly Developments also saw substantial gains [1][5] - The only ETF tracking the CSI 800 Real Estate Index, the real estate ETF (159707), rebounded sharply, closing up 3.73% with a trading volume exceeding 77 million yuan and a net subscription of 40.5 million units [1][5] Group 2 - Recent discussions around mortgage interest subsidy policies have increased, with cities like Nanjing and Wuhan implementing such measures, which are expected to lower home purchase costs and positively influence market expectations [2][6] - Vanke's bondholder meeting for its first extended bond is crucial for the company's financial relief, with three proposals on the agenda that could help reach a consensus among stakeholders [2][6] - Looking ahead to 2026, the real estate sector may enter a critical phase of balance sheet repair, with some companies potentially reaching a long-term profit bottom [2][6] Group 3 - The real estate ETF (159707) focuses on top-tier real estate companies, with over 90% of its weight in the top ten constituents, indicating a strong concentration in leading firms [3][7] - The ETF is positioned to benefit from the ongoing industry consolidation, suggesting that leading real estate companies may exhibit greater resilience [3][7]

Group 1: Stock Market Activity - A total of 31 stocks were listed on the institutional trading leaderboard, with 13 stocks experiencing net buying and 18 stocks facing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were: Shennong Agricultural Industry (265 million), Zhongci Electronics (157 million), and Longzhou Co., Ltd. (112 million) [1] Group 2: Key Stocks Performance - Shennong Agricultural Industry saw a price increase of 20.07% with 4 buyers and 2 sellers [2] - Zhongci Electronics experienced a price rise of 10.00% with 2 buyers and no sellers [2] - Longzhou Co., Ltd. had a price increase of 9.96% with 3 buyers and no sellers [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Consumer Trends - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year in November, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increasing by 1.2% [3] - Hainan's duty-free shopping in November amounted to 2.38 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 27.1% [3] - The restaurant sector's retail sales in October grew by 3.8%, marking the highest increase since June [3] Group 4: Real Estate Sector Developments - Vanke A held a bondholders' meeting to discuss the extension of its bonds, which is considered crucial for the company's financial relief [5] - Market expectations for fiscal support to stabilize the real estate market are strong, with a focus on reducing the likelihood of further defaults among real estate entities [5] - The approach to local debt emphasizes prioritizing development over debt resolution, suggesting a gradual easing of investment restrictions in previously constrained areas [5]

12月10日午后，长期沉寂的房地产板块突然爆发，A股与港股市场同步上演了一场强势反弹。 行情由龙头房企万科引爆，其A股午后强势封上涨停板，成交额突破30亿元；H股万科企业盘中涨幅一度超过18%。受此提振， 截至收盘，A股市场中，世联行、财信发展、华夏幸福等多只地产股集体涨停，保利发展、金地集团等涨幅均超5%。港股内房 股同步走高，截至收盘，万科企业股价涨超13%，正荣地产、融创中国涨超8%，融信中国、雅居乐集团、当代置业等涨超5%。 | | ▼指 代码 名称 | | 涨幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 头价 | | 卖价 AB股总市值 | 流通市值 | 总金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 002285 世联行 | | R 10.07 | 3.17 | 0.29 | 3.17 | 3.17 | 63.17亿 | 62.63亿 | 5.66 Z | | 2 | 000002 万科A | R | 10.06 | 5.25 | 0.48 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 510.52 Z | 510. ...

【导读】香港交易所确认与香港证监会就上市申请相关事宜联合致函保荐人，万科企业午后"狂飙" 中国基金报记者 郭玟君 12月10日，港股探底回升，恒生指数收涨0.42%，报25540.78点；恒生科技指数上涨0.48%，报5581.10 点；恒生中国企业指数上涨0.20%，报8954.69点。市场成交额为1933.92亿港元，较前一交易日2102.36 亿港元有所减少。 恒生指数成份股中43只上涨，42只下跌。其中，万洲国际上涨5.01%，海底捞上涨3.45%，石药集团上 涨3.19%，领涨蓝筹。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 万洲国际 | 0288 | 8.590 c | 0.410 | 5.01% | 6.69亿 | 65.77% | | 2 | 海底捞 | 6862 | 14.100 c | 0.470 | 3.45% | 3.77亿 | -6.10% | | 3 | 石药集团 | 1093 | 7.770 c | 0.240 | ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight V-shaped recovery today, with the retail sector opening strong and several stocks hitting the daily limit up [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index closed down by 0.23% and 0.02% respectively, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.29%, indicating a mixed market performance with a total trading volume of nearly 1.8 trillion [4] Retail Sector - The retail sector saw a strong opening driven by local stocks in Fujian, with East Hundred Group (4 limit ups), Yonghui Supermarket (3 limit ups), and Huijia Times all hitting the daily limit [6] - The retail sector peaked with a 2.8% increase in the morning but closed with a gain of 1.55%, primarily influenced by the strong performance of Yonghui Supermarket, which saw significant buying interest [6][6] - The so-called National Retail Industry Innovation Development Conference was mentioned as a catalyst, but the real driver was the unexpected strong bidding for Fujian stocks [6] Hainan Sector - Hainan stocks outperformed today, with a significant rally following the release of the 15th Five-Year Plan suggestions by the Hainan Provincial Committee, which aims to enhance trade liberalization and promote future industries [9] - Stocks such as Ronniu Mountain, Hainan Ruize, and Hainan Highway all hit the daily limit, contributing to a total increase of 6.86% in the Hainan sector [10] - The upcoming closure of Hainan's free trade port on December 18 also contributed to the bullish sentiment in the market [10] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector was ignited by a sudden surge in Vanke A shares, which led to multiple stocks in the sector hitting their daily limits [11] - Vanke A's stock price rose significantly, with reports suggesting that China International Capital Corporation (CICC) is involved in a rescue plan for the company [11] - The real estate, property management, and real estate brokerage sectors closed with gains of 1.65%, 2.05%, and 4.87% respectively, driven by the momentum from Vanke A [11] Computing Chip Sector - The computing chip sector initially faced a downturn due to limited acceptance of Nvidia's H200 chip and negative news regarding domestic AI chips, leading to significant declines in stocks like Zhongke Shuguang and Huahong Semiconductor [15][15] - However, the sector saw a rebound later in the day, influenced by the strong performance of newly listed Moer Thread, which rose sharply [16][17] - The overall computing chip sector closed with a slight gain of 0.19%, recovering from earlier losses [17]

" 醉里挑灯看剑，梦回吹角连营 " ， 观 今天 盘面， 水皮 脑中不禁浮现辛弃疾《破阵子》中的这两句。 股市如战场，多空双方博弈厮杀、你来我往，胜败往往在转 念 之间。而 今天 力挽狂澜、挽救大盘的，出人意料竟是房地产板块。 午后 13 点 13 分，万科率先启动拉升，不过初期并未扭转盘面颓势，大盘仍在持续探底。直至 13 点 25 分，万科发起第三波拉升时，中信 证券与东方财富同步发力，带动整个券商板块集体走强，进而联动房地产板块协同向上。两大板块交替发力，共同将指数推向相对高点。 水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 力不从心 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日涨跌不一，截止收盘，沪指跌0.23%，收报3900.50点；深证成指涨0.29%，收报13316.42点；创业板指跌0.02%，收 报3209.00点。 沪深两市成交额17785亿，较昨日缩量1254亿。 老水看盘 房地产板块盘中一度下跌 0.75% ，随后最高冲高至 2.2% ，日内震荡幅度接近 3% ，最终收盘涨幅回落至 1.5% 左右；券商板块盘中最低 下跌约 0.25% ，之后快速拉升至 0.76% ，收盘回落至 0.58% 。作为此次行情的始 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hainan sector showed strong performance with Shennong Agricultural gaining 20% and attracting institutional purchases of 265 million yuan [1][12] - The real estate sector experienced a rapid rise, with Vanke A hitting the daily limit and receiving significant investments from top-tier retail investors totaling 2.85 billion yuan [1][15] Group 2: Stock Connect Trading - The total trading amount for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 92.188 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 112.226 billion yuan [2] - The top traded stocks on the Shanghai Stock Connect included Cambricon Technologies at 1.709 billion yuan and Kweichow Moutai at 1.485 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Sector Performance - The Hainan, precious metals, and retail sectors had the highest gains, while sectors like cultivated diamonds, banking, and organic silicon saw the largest declines [4] - The real estate sector led in net inflow of funds with 1.996 billion yuan, followed by retail with 1.013 billion yuan [5] Group 4: Individual Stock Activity - The top stocks with net inflows included N Baixing with 798 million yuan and Yonghui Supermarket with 725 million yuan [7] - Conversely, Industrial Fulian experienced the highest net outflow at 2 billion yuan, followed by Sunshine Power with 1.577 billion yuan [8] Group 5: ETF Trading - The top ETFs by trading volume included A500 ETF Huatai Baichuan at 8.299 billion yuan, showing a 6.92% increase from the previous trading day [9] - The ETF with the highest growth in trading volume was the S&P Consumer ETF, which surged by 591.69% [10] Group 6: Futures Market - In the futures market, the main contracts for IF, IC, and IM saw both long and short positions decrease, while the IH contract saw a reduction in short positions and an increase in long positions [11]

12月10日，深交所、上交所收盘数据显示，万科境内债全线飙升。核心品种"21万科06"收报涨幅42%，成交18万手；"23万科01"紧随其后涨40%，成交22万 手；"21万科04"涨35%，成交15万手；其余"22万科02""21万科02""22万科04""22万科06"分别上涨31%、28%、24%、18%，合计成交突破85万手，为近半年 最高。 "股债联动"引人关注。粤开证券的认为：市场对政策工具箱进一步扩容抱有合理预期。尤其是针对行业核心矛盾的政策，被认为可能在近期逐步落地。 房企直击 12月10日午后，万科A直线拉升涨停，港股万科企业暴涨约15%。 ...