Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoint - The short - term lithium carbonate market may continue the low - level oscillation pattern. The release of new supply - side production capacity and high existing operating rates exert downward pressure, while the growth of new energy vehicle sales and the rebound of lithium hexafluorophosphate prices on the demand side provide bottom support. The strengthening of the basis reflects a marginal relief of spot pressure, but warehouse receipt pressure still exists. In the next 1 - 2 weeks, attention should be paid to the post - holiday restocking rhythm, the ramping - up speed of new salt - lake production capacity, and the follow - up information of 8 lithium mines in Jiangxi [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Market Summary - **Carbonate Lithium Futures Market Data Changes**: On September 30, the main lithium carbonate contract closed at 72,800 yuan/ton, down 1.52% from the previous trading day. The basis strengthened significantly, rising from - 820 yuan/ton to 300 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest decreased by 7.86% to 232,000 lots, and the trading volume shrank significantly by 31.82% to 317,000 lots [1]. - **Analysis of Industrial Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Changes**: On the supply side, the prices of spodumene and lepidolite concentrates remained stable, but the production capacity of leading enterprises was accelerating. Tianqi Lithium's 30,000 - ton lithium hydroxide project in Zhangjiagang and Tibet Mining's 10,000 - ton lithium carbonate project in Zabuye Salt Lake were put into operation, increasing supply - side pressure. On the demand side, the retail end of new energy vehicles remained resilient. From September 1 - 27, 1.039 million new energy vehicles were retailed and 1.154 million were wholesaled. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose by 4.98% to 63,250 yuan/ton, and the price of ternary materials increased slightly, indicating marginal improvement in cathode material demand. However, the price of iron - lithium battery cells remained flat, showing structural differentiation. Carbonate lithium inventory decreased for four consecutive weeks, with 136,825 physical tons on September 30, and the slow destocking speed restricted the price rebound momentum [2]. - **Market Summary**: The short - term lithium carbonate market may continue the low - level oscillation pattern. The new supply - side production capacity and high existing operating rates suppress prices, while the growth of new energy vehicle sales and the rebound of lithium hexafluorophosphate prices on the demand side provide bottom support. The strengthening of the basis reflects a marginal relief of spot pressure, but warehouse receipt pressure still exists. In the next 1 - 2 weeks, attention should be paid to the post - holiday restocking rhythm, the ramping - up speed of new salt - lake production capacity, and the follow - up information of 8 lithium mines in Jiangxi [3]. 2. Industrial Chain Price Monitoring | Product | September 30, 2025 | September 29, 2025 | Change | Change Rate | Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Lithium carbonate main contract | 72,800 | 73,920 | - 1,120 | - 1.52% | yuan/ton | | Basis | 300 | - 820 | 1,120 | 136.59% | yuan/ton | | Main contract open interest | 231,964 | 251,749 | - 19,785 | - 7.86% | lots | | Main contract trading volume | 317,458 | 465,591 | - 148,133 | - 31.82% | lots | | Battery - grade lithium carbonate market price | 73,100 | 73,100 | 0 | 0.00% | yuan/ton | | Spodumene concentrate market price | 6,390 | 6,390 | 0 | 0.00% | yuan/ton | | Lepidolite concentrate market price | 3,400 | 3,400 | 0 | 0.00% | yuan/ton | | Lithium hexafluorophosphate | 63,250 | 60,250 | 3,000 | 4.98% | yuan/ton | | Power ternary material | 122,350 | 121,750 | 600 | 0.49% | yuan/ton | | Power lithium iron phosphate | 33,640 | 33,640 | 0 | 0.00% | yuan/ton | | Product | September 26, 2025 | September 19, 2025 | Change | Change Rate | Unit | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Lithium carbonate capacity utilization rate | 71.31% | 71.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | % | | Lithium carbonate inventory | 136,825 | 137,531 | - 706 | - 0.51% | physical tons | | 523 cylindrical ternary battery cell | 4.42 | 4.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | yuan/piece | | 523 square ternary battery cell | 0.40 | - | 0.00 | 0.51% | yuan/Wh | | 523 soft - pack ternary battery cell | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | yuan/Wh | | Square lithium iron phosphate battery cell | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | yuan/Wh | | Cobalt - acid lithium battery cell | 6.65 | 6.35 | 0.30 | 4.72% | yuan/Ah | [5] 3. Industry Dynamics and Interpretation - **Spot Market Quotations**: On September 30, the SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price was 73,488 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The battery - grade lithium carbonate was priced at 72,800 - 74,300 yuan/ton, with an average of 73,550 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous working day. The industrial - grade lithium carbonate was priced at 70,700 - 71,900 yuan/ton, with an average of 71,300 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous working day. The lithium carbonate futures price continued to oscillate, with the main contract oscillating between 72,700 - 74,000 yuan/ton. The downstream material factories' National Day stockpiling was basically completed, and market transactions became significantly lighter. In terms of supply, lithium carbonate produced from spodumene accounted for over 60% of the market supply, while that from lepidolite decreased to 15%. Overall, the September market showed simultaneous growth in supply and demand, but the demand growth rate was faster, resulting in a temporary supply shortage [6]. - **Downstream Consumption**: According to the Passenger Car Association data, from September 1 - 27, the retail volume of the national passenger - vehicle new energy market was 1.039 million, a 9% year - on - year increase compared to the same period in September last year and a 17% increase compared to the same period last month. The retail penetration rate of national passenger - vehicle new energy was 58.5%, and the cumulative retail volume this year was 8.609 million, a 24% year - on - year increase. From September 1 - 27, the wholesale volume of national passenger - vehicle manufacturers' new energy was 1.154 million, a 12% year - on - year increase compared to the same period in September last year and a 21% increase compared to the same period last month. The wholesale penetration rate of national passenger - vehicle manufacturers' new energy was 54.9%, and the cumulative wholesale volume this year was 10.098 million, a 31% year - on - year increase [7]. - **Industry News**: - On September 28, news showed that on September 20, EVE Energy's Hungary base reached a new milestone with the official entry of electromechanical equipment, marking the key stage of the project's civil engineering. The base is expected to supply large cylindrical batteries to BMW Group's Debrecen plant after completion in 2026, creating about 1,000 jobs [8][9]. - On September 26, news from "Zhangjiagang Release" showed that on September 25, Tianqi Lithium's 30,000 - ton battery - grade lithium hydroxide project in Zhangjiagang Free Trade Zone, Jiangsu, with a total investment of about 1.8 billion yuan, was completed and put into operation. Tianqi Lithium is a globally leading new - energy materials enterprise focusing on lithium, with 5 production bases globally, and its Zhangjiagang base has an annual production capacity of 20,000 tons of battery - grade lithium carbonate [9]. - On September 26, Tibet Mining's 10,000 - ton lithium carbonate project at the Zabuye Salt Lake, which had been in the works for four years, was officially put into operation. The project passed a 120 - hour functional assessment from September 20 - 24, 2025. The project's production capacity release is expected to significantly improve China's lithium - resource self - sufficiency rate. The company has the exclusive mining right for the Zabuye Salt Lake, which is one of the world's three largest and Asia's largest lithium - rich salt lakes [9][10]. 4. Industrial Chain Data Charts - The report provides multiple data charts, including those on the main lithium carbonate futures and basis, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate prices, lithium concentrate prices, lithium hexafluorophosphate and electrolyte prices, ternary precursor prices, ternary material prices, lithium iron phosphate prices, lithium carbonate operating rate, lithium carbonate inventory, and battery cell selling prices [11][14][15].

Core Insights - The renewable energy sector is experiencing significant growth, with the China Securities Renewable Energy Index rising by 3.07% as of October 9, 2025, and key stocks like Maiwei Co., Ltd. and TBEA Co., Ltd. showing substantial gains [1][4]. Market Performance - The Renewable Energy ETF (159875) has increased by 2.52%, marking its third consecutive rise, and has accumulated a 6.98% increase over the past two weeks as of September 30, 2025 [1][4]. - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 10.72% and a transaction value of 145 million yuan, indicating strong market engagement [4]. - The ETF's latest scale reached 1.275 billion yuan, with a recent increase of 67.5 million shares over the past two weeks [4]. Financial Metrics - The Renewable Energy ETF has seen a net asset value increase of 49.44% over the past six months, ranking 480 out of 3689 in the index fund category, placing it in the top 13.01% [4]. - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 25.07%, with a maximum consecutive monthly gain of 62.44% and an average monthly return of 8.85% [4]. Industry Trends - The electricity transmission and transformation industry is on an upward trend due to increasing global demand for grid construction and upgrades, with TBEA Co., Ltd. positioned to benefit from this growth [4]. - The solid-state battery and energy storage sectors are gaining attention from investors, driven by market transformations and unexpected overseas demand, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [5]. - The power equipment sector is actively responding to technological advancements, especially in relation to AI computing power and renewable energy-related equipment [5][6]. Key Stocks - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Renewable Energy Index include CATL, Sungrow Power Supply, and TBEA Co., Ltd., collectively accounting for 45.2% of the index [8].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing significant growth, with production and prices of key materials expected to rise due to increasing demand and the upcoming peak season [1][5]. Industry Changes - Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices increased by 20% in September, reaching 78,000 CNY/ton and 71,000 CNY/ton respectively [2]. - In August, wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China reached 1.18 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22% [2]. Market Performance - Since September 2025, the lithium battery sector has outperformed major indices, with the lithium copper foil segment leading with a 43% increase [3]. - The overall trading volume in the lithium battery sector has been rising, driven by active trading in energy storage and humanoid robotics [3]. Sales Insights - In August, new energy vehicle sales in China, Europe, and the U.S. were 118,000, 200,000, and 170,000 units respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22%, 42%, and 15% [4]. - Domestic energy storage installations in China reached 12.6 GWh in August, a year-on-year increase of 58% [4]. Production Forecast - For October, lithium battery production is expected to increase by 3% to 9% month-on-month, with year-on-year growth of 21% to 50% [5]. - The cumulative production forecast for lithium carbonate, batteries, and other components from January to October 2025 is expected to grow by 27% to 58% [5]. Price Trends - Prices for lithium battery materials are rising, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide seeing a monthly increase of 20%, while iron-lithium materials are experiencing a slight decline [5]. Technological Developments - The second half of 2025 marks a critical period for solid-state batteries and composite current collectors, with significant orders expected for pilot lines and equipment [5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is recommended to focus on leading companies in niche markets and those involved in solid-state technology, including CATL, EVE Energy, and Keda Technology [7].

Group 1 - The China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) has seen a strong increase of 3.73% as of October 9, 2025, with notable gains from companies such as Dongsheng Technology (300073) up 11.76%, Ganfeng Lithium (002460) up 10.00%, and Tianqi Lithium (002466) up 9.31% [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700) has risen by 3.63%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price reported at 2.63 yuan. Over the past two weeks, the ETF has accumulated a rise of 6.92% [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF closely tracks the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index, which includes 50 listed companies involved in various sectors of the new energy vehicle industry, reflecting the overall performance of leading companies in this sector [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index include CATL (300750), Huichuan Technology (300124), BYD (002594), and others, collectively accounting for 54.61% of the index [2] - The weightings of the top stocks are as follows: CATL at 9.80%, Huichuan Technology at 9.63%, BYD at 9.10%, and Changan Automobile (000625) at 5.08% [4]

Summary of Electric Vehicle and Energy Storage Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The electric vehicle (EV) industry is projected to see global sales exceed 21 million units in 2025, representing a 24% year-on-year growth, and 25 million units in 2026, with a 17% increase [1][3] - The demand for power batteries is expected to rise correspondingly, with energy storage installations anticipated to surpass 300 GWh in 2025, marking a 60%-70% growth [1][3] Key Insights Demand and Sales Growth - Domestic EV sales in China are expected to reach approximately 16.5 million units in 2025, reflecting a nearly 30% increase, and around 10% growth in 2026 [1][2] - The European market is projected to sell between 3.8 to 4 million units in 2025, with at least a 30% year-on-year growth, and maintain over 30% growth in 2026 [1][2][7] - Other regions, including Southeast Asia and South America, are expected to see significant growth, with sales projected at 1.5 million units in 2025, a 46% increase [1][3] Supply and Production Capacity - The supply-demand relationship in the power battery and energy storage sectors is tight, with most new production capacity expected to come online by the end of 2026 [4][6] - First-tier manufacturers are operating at full capacity, while second and third-tier manufacturers are also increasing their utilization rates [4][9] - Material prices, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, have seen significant increases, with prices rising by several thousand yuan per ton [4][8] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The energy storage market is anticipated to grow by 30%-40% domestically in 2025, with the U.S. market expected to exceed 40% growth due to the OBB Act [5][6] - Global energy storage installations and shipments are projected to grow by 60%-70% in 2025 and around 40% in 2026 [1][6] - The solid-state battery sector is witnessing advancements, with new interface solutions and electrolytes being developed, which are expected to catalyze industry growth [10] Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is recommended for investment, with specific companies highlighted, including CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others in the materials and solid-state battery fields [11][30] - Upstream resources, particularly lithium carbonate stocks, are also noted as worthy of attention due to their expected performance [11][34] Additional Insights - The profitability of the lithium battery industry is currently low, but there is potential for price recovery in materials like separators and lithium carbonate [8][34] - The production capacity utilization across various segments is improving, with overall utilization rates exceeding 70% [26] - The demand for energy storage batteries remains high, with orders extending into 2026, indicating a sustained tight supply situation [27] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the electric vehicle and energy storage industries, highlighting growth projections, supply dynamics, and investment opportunities.

Industry Overview - The electrical equipment index (10221) increased by 4.84%, outperforming the broader market during the week of September 29 to October 5 [1][2] - Lithium batteries rose by 6.65%, while other sectors such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, nuclear power, wind power, and power generation equipment also saw positive growth [1][2] - The top five gainers included companies like Fulin Precision, Yihua Tong, Shida Shenghua, Tianji Co., and Defang Nano, while the top five losers were Haocen Medical, Tianneng Technology, Lifan Shares, Xian Dao Intelligent, and Yinghe Technology [1][2] Sector Developments - In the humanoid robot sector, significant developments include the opening of the first intelligent experience center by Zhiyuan Robotics in Wuxi, and Tesla's third-generation humanoid robot set to begin mass production next year [3] - The energy storage sector is witnessing new policies in Shandong, with a focus on providing actual black start services due to grid faults, and a memorandum of understanding signed between GoldenPeaks Capital and Huawei Poland for a joint project in Central and Eastern Europe [3] - The electric vehicle market is seeing advancements with BYD reducing prices on popular models, and Xpeng accelerating its expansion into European markets [3] Company Developments - Zhongwei Co. signed a land use rights transfer contract with a payment of 37.2 million yuan [5] - Zhejiang Jinko plans to sell 80% of its subsidiary Jinko New Materials to Dike Co. for 80 million yuan [5] - Investment strategies highlight a strong demand for energy storage, with expectations of 30-40% growth in the coming years, particularly in the U.S. and emerging markets [5][6] Investment Recommendations - Companies such as CATL, Sungrow, and Yiwei Lithium Energy are recommended due to their strong market positions and growth potential in the energy storage and lithium battery sectors [7] - The wind power sector is expected to see significant growth, with domestic offshore wind capacity projected to double [6] - The solar energy market is anticipated to grow at a global installation rate of 15% in the coming years, with a focus on benefiting companies involved in silicon materials and inverters [6]

十一假期，一则有关固态金属锂电池重要突破的消息引爆了产业界。 据悉，由中国科学院物理研究所研究员黄学杰团队联合华中科技大学、中国科学院宁波材料技术与工程 研究所等组成的研究团队开发出一种阴离子调控技术，解决了全固态金属锂电池中电解质和锂电极之间 难以紧密接触的难题，为其走向实用化提供了关键技术支撑。相关研究成果已于7日发表在国际学术期 刊《自然-可持续发展》上。 第一财经8日独家采访了上述研究团队负责人黄学杰，他告诉记者，该工作是国际上首次报道的"零外压 硫化物电解质全固态锂金属电池"，通过创新的阴离子调控机制，为解决固态锂电池界面难题提供了一 种可量产的技术方案。 为解决固态锂电池界面难题提供了一种可量产的技术方案。 固态电池被认为是下一代电池技术的重要方向，正处于从实验室走向产业化的关键阶段。行业普遍认为 2026~2027年是固态电池小批量量产的重要节点。 第一财经记者了解到，固态电解质和金属锂电极之间必须紧密接触，传统是依靠外部施压来解决固态锂 电池的界面接触问题，这就导致电池"又大又重"，进一步制约了其产业化发展。 而本次我国专家通过在电解质里加入碘离子，在电场的作用下，碘离子可以在电极界面形成一层 ...

Group 1: Lithium Battery Market Insights - The price of lithium carbonate reached 78,000 yuan/ton, a 20% increase from the previous month, while lithium hydroxide also rose to 71,000 yuan/ton, marking a 20% increase [1][2] - In August, the wholesale sales of domestic new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.18 million units, with year-on-year and month-on-month growth of 22% and 10% respectively; cumulative sales from January to August totaled 8.36 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35% [2][5] Group 2: Market Performance - Since September 2025, the lithium battery sector has shown active performance, with most segments outperforming the CSI 300 and SSE 50 indices; the lithium battery copper foil segment led with a 43% increase, while the low-altitude economy segment saw a decline of 1% [3] - The monthly transaction volume in lithium-related sectors has continued to grow, driven by active trading in energy storage and humanoid robotics sectors [3] Group 3: Energy Storage Developments - In August, domestic energy storage installations steadily increased to 12.6 GWh, with year-on-year and month-on-month growth of 36% and 63% respectively; cumulative installations from January to August reached 64.1 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36% [6] - The U.S. energy storage installations in August were 3.5 GWh, with year-on-year growth of 46%, although there was a month-on-month decline of 28% [6] Group 4: Price Trends - Currently, lithium battery material prices are rising, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide both experiencing a 20% increase; however, iron-lithium material prices have slightly decreased due to supply chain adjustments [7] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - In 2025, a new round of capacity expansion in lithium batteries, coupled with breakthroughs in solid-state technology, is expected to accelerate industry capital expenditure; key recommendations include leading companies in niche segments and those involved in solid-state technology, such as CATL, EVE Energy, and Keda Technology [8]

Key Points - Hainan Huatie's shareholder Hu Danfeng has terminated the share reduction plan and plans to increase holdings in the company with an investment of no less than 30 million yuan and no more than 50 million yuan [2] - Yonghe Co. expects a net profit increase of 447.64% to 506.85% year-on-year for Q3 2025, driven by the high demand in the refrigerant industry and product optimization [3] - Delis Co. is planning a change in company control, leading to a suspension of its stock from October 9, 2025 [4] - BYD reported September 2025 sales of 396,300 new energy vehicles, a slight decrease from 419,400 units in the same month last year, while cumulative sales for the year reached 3.26 million units, up 18.64% [5] - Chipone Technology expects Q3 2025 revenue of 1.284 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the company, with a year-on-year increase of 78.77% [7] - Chipone anticipates a significant improvement in profitability for Q3 2025, with new orders expected to reach 1.593 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 145.80% [8] - ST Zhengping's stock will be suspended from trading starting October 9, 2025, due to unusual stock price fluctuations [2][28] - Huanxin Cement plans to repurchase shares worth between 32.25 million and 64.5 million yuan [14] - Sichuan Gold won exploration rights for a gold mine in Xinjiang for 510 million yuan, indicating strong geological potential [15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1] Core Insights - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a seasonal demand increase, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices rising by 20% in September [1][6] - In August, domestic wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.18 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22% and a month-on-month increase of 10% [1][4] - The report highlights the importance of solid-state battery technology and its potential breakthroughs in addressing interface issues, which are critical for commercialization [3][18] Summary by Sections Monthly Research Insights - The report discusses solutions to solid-solid interface issues in solid-state battery manufacturing, emphasizing the need for breakthroughs in physical, chemical, and mechanical dimensions [3][13] Industry Sentiment Tracking and Review - New energy vehicle sales in August showed strong growth, with China, Europe, and the US leading the market [4][22] - Domestic energy storage installations in August reached 12.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 58% [5][28] - The report forecasts a significant increase in lithium battery production in October, with year-on-year growth expected to be between 21% and 50% [5][34] Price and Volume Analysis - Lithium battery material prices are on the rise, with lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices increasing by 20% in September [6][35] - The report notes that the lithium battery supply chain is entering a replenishment phase, with inventory levels rising [39] New Technology Developments - Solid-state batteries and composite current collectors are entering a critical engineering and industrialization phase, with significant orders expected for 2025 [6][44] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in solid-state battery technology, particularly in dry processing and isostatic pressing equipment [18][21] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery sector and those involved in solid-state technology breakthroughs, such as CATL and EVE Energy [7][21]