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电力设备新能源行业周报:“强预期”注入,产业链价格企稳-20250812
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-08-12 03:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the photovoltaic and wind power sectors, indicating a positive outlook for these industries in the near to medium term [4][5]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" movement at the national strategic level, focusing on capacity integration in the silicon material segment and strengthening price regulation across the supply chain. The industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with future policy strength being a key variable influencing its trajectory. In the medium to long term, the photovoltaic sector is expected to enter a phase of high-quality development, with technological upgrades and market structure optimization becoming core competitive factors [4]. - The wind power sector in China has a strong global competitive advantage, with a relatively reasonable supply-demand structure and robust profitability among companies. The year 2025 is anticipated to be a significant year for offshore wind power development in China, with accelerated construction and favorable export trends [4]. Weekly Market Review - From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.25% and 0.49%, respectively. The Shenwan Electric Power Equipment Index rose by 1.94%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.71 percentage points. Within sub-sectors, photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment experienced changes of +1.29%, +4.50%, +0.99%, and +3.08%, respectively [12][18]. Key Sector Tracking - **Photovoltaic Sector**: The report highlights a significant project where JA Solar is the candidate for a 50MW photovoltaic component procurement project in Tibet, with a bid amount of approximately 36 million CNY and a unit price of 0.7215 CNY/W [3][21]. - **Wind Power Sector**: The report emphasizes the strong profitability of domestic wind power companies in the first half of the year and suggests focusing on leading companies such as Goldwind Technology and Dongfang Cable [4]. Investment Recommendations - **Photovoltaic**: Focus on segments that have undergone sufficient corrections, such as silicon materials, glass, and battery cells. Recommended companies include Aiko Solar, Flat Glass Group, GCL-Poly Energy, and Junda Technology [4]. - **Wind Power**: Maintain a positive outlook on the domestic wind power supply chain, with recommendations for companies like Goldwind Technology and Zhongtian Technology [4]. - **New Energy Vehicles**: The sector continues to grow rapidly, with recommendations to focus on battery and structural components benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, including companies like CATL and EVE Energy [5]. Industry Price Data - The report includes price trends for key materials in the photovoltaic supply chain, indicating fluctuations in silicon material, battery cell, and module prices, which are critical for assessing market dynamics [35][36][38].
7月电池销量同比增长47.8%,新能车ETF(515700)降幅收窄蓄势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 02:30
中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟11日发布的7月动力电池月度信息显示,产量方面,7月,我国动力和其 他电池合计产量为133.8GWh,环比增长3.6%,同比增长44.3%。销量方面,7月,我国动力和其他电池 销量为127.2GWh,环比下降3.2%,同比增长47.8%。电池销量同比增速仍维持在高位。 新能车ETF紧密跟踪中证新能源汽车产业指数,中证新能源汽车产业指数选取50只业务涉及新能源整 车、电机电控、锂电设备、电芯电池、电池材料等新能源汽车产业的上市公司证券作为指数样本,反映 新能源汽车产业龙头上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示,截至2025年7月31日,中证新能源汽车产业指数(930997)前十大权重股分别为宁德时代 (300750)、汇川技术(300124)、比亚迪(002594)、长安汽车(000625)、华友钴业(603799)、三花智控 (002050)、亿纬锂能(300014)、赣锋锂业(002460)、天齐锂业(002466)、格林美(002340),前十大权重股 合计占比55.33%。 新能车ETF(515700),场外联接(平安中证新能车ETF联接A:012698;平安中证新能车ETF联接 ...
风口之下“新三样”的全球化选择
从东南亚到中东,从非洲到拉美,从中亚到欧洲……当前,在全球能源正加速转型的背景下,中国"新 三样"企业依托较为完备的产业链、持续的技术创新和成(002001)本竞争力,正在掀起新一轮"出海 潮"。 今年上半年,在全球投资环境趋紧的形势下,新能源汽车、锂电池、光伏产品等"新三样"企业对外投资 合作依然活力满满。商务部研究院对外投资合作研究所助理研究员张哲表示,"新三样"企业的海外布局 热度不减,正由"产品出海"迈向"产供链出海",推动我国对外投资披上绿色"新装"。 "新三样"企业加速全球产能布局,构建本地化生产、配套和服务体系。在动力电池领域,以宁德时代、 比亚迪(002594)、亿纬锂能等为代表的头部锂电产业链企业正加速在东南亚、欧美等地建设生产基 地,海外市场正快速成长为其业务的新蓝海。在光伏领域,晶澳科技(002459)、晶科、天合等光伏企 业纷纷加快在中东、非洲等地区投资建厂步伐,推动组件及原材料本地化生产,逐步构建本地化、闭环 式产业链结构。在新能源汽车领域,比亚迪、长城汽车(601633)、北汽福田等新能源汽车企业加快在 东南亚、欧洲、拉美等建设制造基地,完善售后服务和品牌网络建设,拓展充电基础设施 ...
“反内卷”政策持续加码,锂电行业有望迎来盈利拐点
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-11 14:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][13] Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to lead to a turning point in profitability for the lithium battery industry. The recent acceleration in capacity expansion and increased competition have resulted in significant losses for many companies in the energy storage battery and lithium battery materials sectors. However, with the ongoing push for "anti-involution" and the revision of pricing laws, market concentration is likely to increase, and leading companies with cost and technological advantages are expected to show improved profitability [3][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Developments - On July 24, the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation released a draft for public consultation regarding the revision of the Price Law, which aims to clarify standards for identifying unfair pricing behaviors and regulate market pricing order to combat "involution" competition [2][4]. - A meeting held on July 28 emphasized the need to address eight key areas, including the elimination of overdue payments to enterprises and the consolidation of the "anti-involution" efforts in the new energy vehicle sector [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that leading companies in the lithium battery sector are likely to see stable improvements in profitability due to the "anti-involution" backdrop. Companies to watch include Wanrun New Energy, Hunan Youneng, CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Zhongxin Innovation, Tianci Materials, New Zobon, Putailai, Keda Li, Enjie, and Xingyuan Materials [3][7]. Financial Projections - The report provides financial forecasts for several companies, indicating expected net profits in billions of RMB for 2024A to 2026E, with notable companies like CATL projected to achieve a net profit of 507.4 billion RMB in 2024A [9].
一图了解AIDC产业链
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-11 10:19
配电 UPS&HVDC:机柜内电源: 备用电源 BBU: 柴油发电机: 变压器: · 科华数据 · 欧陆通 · 亿纬锂能 · 潍柴重机 金盘科技 科士达 · 麦格米特 威腾电气 · 科泰电源 · 伊戈尔 禾望电气 蔚蓝埋芯 中恒电气 电源配电柜 IPS不间断电 源及PMM电源 管理系统 计算芯片 UAN GPU: FPGA: · 复旦微电 英武纪 海米信息 · 紫光国微 龙式中科 号直线 ASIC: 精密空调 ● 机柜及其附件 翔捷科技 设备和冷 却器 高性能液 冷服务器 光纤布线系统 机柜 液冷 存储芯片 网络 英维克 · 银轮股份 科学教据 飞荣达 光通信 & CPO: AEC & 铜连 DRAM: NAND: 同飞股份 · · 源杰科技 · 北易创新 · 兆易创新 接: 华丰科技 申菱环境 · 网宿科技 · 江波龙 · 国科微 中际旭创 · 澜起科技 天鸟通信 · 瑞可达 · 佰维存储 太辰光 交换机及芯片: · 锐捷网络 资料来源:Wind,灼识咨询,天风证券研究所 天风策略吴开达团队 《AIDC:人工智能发展的核心引擎 产业赛道投资图谱》 吴开达/肖峰 核心结论:本文对AIDC 进行总览与行情复盘, ...
新兴市场超百GWh需求!亿纬锂能再签重磅合作
起点锂电· 2025-08-11 09:42
去年至今,人形机器人成为投资领域出现的 "高频词"。 作为未来产业的前沿领域,人形机器人正成为全球科技和产业竞争的新赛道。据高盛预测,到 2035 年全球市场规模有望突破千亿美元。特 斯拉 CEO 埃隆·马斯克展望,长期来看人形机器人需求量可能达 100 亿台。 随着人形机器人产业加速落地,其对能源系统的挑战正日益凸显。 锂电池作为核心动力源,面临更高能量密度、更快充电速度、更高安全性 和更优温域适应性的多重考验, 这也促使电池企业从 "汽车"快速走向"人形"的新战场。 据亿纬锂能消息, 近日,维他动力与亿纬锂能正式达成机器人业务深度合作。 双方将通力协作,基于用户需求和机器人动力电池技术发展趋势,推进具身智能产品化量产的进一步发展。 01 牵手维他动力 亿纬锂能开发人形机器人专用电池 资料显示,今年 5 月, Vbot 维他动力已完成天使轮融资,由知名投资机构达晨创投领投,初心资本、联想创投、渶策资本跟投,高鹄资本 担任独家财务顾问。 成立半年,维他动力融资规模达 3 亿元,完成首款智能伴随机器人的投产及规模化的前置准备,将在 9 月启动制造工厂, 10 月开启量产级 早鸟内测,今年底完成产品上市,并开启海 ...
中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟:7月我国动力和其他电池合计产量为133.8GWh 同比增长44.3%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 09:04
8月11日,中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟发布2025年7月动力电池月度信息。7月,我国动力和其他电池合计产量为133.8GWh,环比增长3.6%,同比增长 44.3%。1-7月,我国动力和其他电池累计产量为831.1GWh,累计同比增长57.5%。 7月,我国动力和其他电池销量为127.2GWh,环比下降3.2%,同比增长47.8%。其中,动力电池销量为91.1GWh,占总销量71.6%,环比下降3.1%,同比 增长45.8%;其他电池销量为36.1GWh,占总销量28.4%,环比下降3.4%,同比增长52.9%。 1-7月,我国动力和其他电池累计销量为786.2GWh,累计同比增长60.6%。其中,动力电池累计销量为576.6GWh,占总销量73.3%,累计同比增长50.6%; 其他电池累计销量为209.6GWh,占总销量26.7%,累计同比增长96.2%。 7月,我国动力和其他电池合计出口23.2GWh,环比下降4.7%,同比增长35.4%。合计出口占当月销量18.3%。其中,动力电池出口量为14.8GWh,占总出 口量63.7%,环比下降6.7%,同比增长48.4%;其他电池出口量为8.4GWh,占总出 ...
新能源ETF(516160.SH)涨2.62%,亿纬锂能涨6.29%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 08:17
8月11日,沪深两市震荡上行,新能源板块涨幅靠前。截至14点05分,新能源ETF(516160.SH)涨2.62%,亿纬锂能涨6.29%。 华福证券展望来看,新能源金属及工业金属的供需格局及政策驱动为新能源版块提供核心支撑。锂方面,短期供应扰动叠加新能源汽车需求韧性,价格有望 偏强运行;中长期电动车产业链对锂的战略性需求明确,锂矿资源弹性凸显。镍湿法冶炼项目受益于成本优势,利润稳定性强化其在电池材料中的长期逻 辑。铜铝作为关键工业金属,铜在新能源基建及电网投资拉动下供需紧平衡格局延续,美联储降息预期打开价格上行空间;铝受产能天花板及能源约束,新 能源需求驱动下紧平衡支撑价格中枢。此外,稀土在永磁材料中的不可替代性使其短期结构性缺口对价格形成支撑。全球流动性拐点将至,叠加国内政策发 力及海外能源转型加速,新能源产业链上下游金属品种景气度共振,板块配置价值显著提升。 a 4 - 1 - 1 - 1 18 1111111 r the for r referently f 117 t t research of the read of the see of the see and the see and the se ...
停产消息催化,锂矿概念强势上涨,新能源车ETF(515030)涨超3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 06:57
Group 1 - A-shares indices collectively rose on August 11, driven by news catalysts, with significant gains in lithium-related sectors including lithium mining, lithium iron phosphate batteries, and lithium batteries [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) increased by 3.15%, with major holdings such as Shengxin Lithium Energy and Tianqi Lithium Industries hitting the daily limit, while companies like New Zhonbang and Defang Nano saw gains exceeding 12% and 11% respectively [1] - The mining operations in the Jiangxia Wokou area by CATL have been suspended since August 10, with no immediate plans for resumption, which may lead to price stabilization in lithium carbonate, a key upstream product in the industry [1] Group 2 - According to AVIC Securities, "involution-style" competition has led to a continuous price war, significantly reducing industry profitability and compromising quality, ultimately affecting sustainable development [2] - In June, 17 major automotive companies committed to a payment term of no more than 60 days to suppliers, indicating a shift towards better financial practices [2] - The electric vehicle price war is expected to ease, allowing the industry to transition from a focus on price to a focus on quality, with potential recovery in profit margins across the supply chain [2]
江西枧下窝锂矿停产,锂矿概念爆发,关注新能源ETF易方达(516090)等产品投资机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 06:44
Core Viewpoint - The energy metals and solid-state battery sectors have shown strong performance, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy and Tianqi Lithium Industries hitting the daily limit up, driven by the performance of constituent stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of 13:40, both the China Securities New Energy Index and the National Securities New Energy Battery Index have risen over 2% [1] - The surge in lithium prices is expected to lead to a recovery in the overall prices and profitability of the lithium battery industry chain [1] Group 2: Supply Chain Impact - The mining operations at the Jiangxia Wokeng mining area of CATL have been suspended since August 10, with no plans for resumption in the short term [1] - This mining area has an annual production capacity of approximately 42,000 tons of lithium carbonate, accounting for about 20% of domestic lithium mica production [1] - Industry analysts predict a supply gap of over 6,000 tons in August, indicating a significant reduction in inventory levels [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The China Securities New Energy Index focuses on the electricity side and equipment manufacturers in the new energy sector, while the National Securities New Energy Battery Index emphasizes the theme of new energy storage batteries [1] - Both indices include leading new energy companies such as CATL and EVE Energy [1] - ETFs like E Fund (516090) and the Energy Storage Battery ETF (159566) track these indices, providing investors with convenient access to investment opportunities in these sectors [1]