Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the textile and apparel industry, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by more than 15% [2][11]. Core Insights - Fast Retailing's FY26Q1 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue and profit both showing significant growth. The company's revenue reached 1,027.7 billion JPY, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, surpassing consensus expectations by 3.8%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was 147.4 billion JPY, up 11.7% year-on-year, also exceeding consensus expectations by 13.3% [4][6]. - The Greater China region saw a revenue increase, while all other regions achieved double-digit growth. Specifically, revenue growth rates for Uniqlo in Japan, Greater China, Asia-Pacific, North America, and Europe were +12.2%, +7.0%, +22.1%, +30.4%, and +34.3% respectively, all accelerating compared to the previous quarter [6][4]. - The report highlights improvements in discounting across most regions, although net profit margins were affected by foreign exchange gains. The gross margin for FY26Q1 was 55.2%, a year-on-year increase of 0.8 percentage points [6][4]. Summary by Sections - **Performance Overview**: Fast Retailing reported a strong FY26Q1 with revenue of 1,027.7 billion JPY, a 14.8% increase year-on-year, and net profit of 147.4 billion JPY, an 11.7% increase [6][4]. - **Regional Performance**: Uniqlo's revenue growth varied by region, with Japan at +12.2%, Greater China at +7.0%, Asia-Pacific at +22.1%, North America at +30.4%, and Europe at +34.3%, all showing acceleration from the previous quarter [6][4]. - **Margin Analysis**: The gross margin improved to 55.2%, with specific regional variations noted, including a slight decline in Japan's margin due to currency fluctuations and rising procurement costs [6][4]. - **Guidance Update**: The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting revenue growth of 11.7% and net profit growth of 3.9%, with all international markets outside Greater China projected to achieve double-digit growth [6][4].

Group 1: Strategy Research - The report highlights a differentiated macroeconomic environment, with significant growth in tourism and cultural sectors during the New Year period, alongside notable increases in inbound and outbound travel demand [2][9] - The technology hardware and certain industrial raw materials continue to see price increases, driven by trends in the AI industry and tight supply in chemical and non-ferrous materials [2][9] - The real estate and durable goods sectors remain under pressure, with weak demand in the real estate construction chain [2][9] Group 2: Tourism and Travel - During the 2026 New Year holiday (January 1-3), daily cross-regional personnel flow in China reached 198 million, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, with daily inbound and outbound travel averaging 2.205 million, up 28.6% year-on-year [3][10] - Domestic daily tourism participation and revenue increased by 5.2% and 6.3% respectively compared to the 2024 New Year holiday, with average spending per person rising by 1.1% [3][10] - The improvement in tourism demand is attributed to optimized service supply and the implementation of vacation policies, as well as enhanced inbound travel policies [3][10] Group 3: Downstream Consumption - The price of live pigs increased by 3.9% as of December 28, driven by improved downstream demand due to New Year stocking [4][11] - In 30 major cities, the transaction area of commercial housing decreased by 26.0% year-on-year, with first, second, and third-tier cities seeing declines of 31.8%, 14.0%, and 45.5% respectively [4][11] - The average daily retail of passenger cars fell by 12% year-on-year, indicating a continued decline in the automotive circulation industry [4][11] Group 4: Technology and Manufacturing - The electronic industry remains buoyant, with AI infrastructure investments driving growth; as of January 2, the average spot prices for DRAM memory (DDR3, DDR4, DDR5) increased by 2.6%, 6.0%, and 7.1% respectively [5][12] - Chemical raw material prices are showing mixed performance, with PX prices rising by 6.4% while PTA prices fell by 0.3%; lithium carbonate prices increased by 5.9% due to supply concerns [5][12] - Coal prices stabilized with a 0.9% increase, while industrial metal prices continued to rise due to supply disruptions and expectations of interest rate cuts [5][12] Group 5: Company Announcements - The report discusses Zhongxin Co., Ltd. (603091) planning to establish a wholly-owned manufacturing base in the U.S., with an investment of up to $36 million for a project producing 20,000 tons of pulp molded tableware annually [13][14] - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting EPS of 3.32, 5.65, and 7.37 yuan for 2025-2027, and sets a target price of 99.68 yuan, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [13][14] - The company is focusing on enhancing its supply chain resilience and expanding its overseas production capacity to adapt to market demands [14][15]

Group 1: Market Trends and Observations - The New Year's tourism and cultural activities have shown significant improvement, with domestic travel increasing by 19.5% year-on-year, and inbound travel rising by 28.6% [6][5] - The technology hardware sector continues to see price increases, driven by strong demand in the AI industry, with storage prices rising month-on-month [5][8] - The real estate and durable goods sectors remain under pressure, with a 26% year-on-year decline in property transactions across major cities [7] Group 2: Industry Insights - The advanced manufacturing sector in China is maturing, showcasing strong global competitiveness and profitability, particularly in lithium battery production [17] - The new energy sector, including wind and solar, is experiencing a valuation reassessment, with leading companies showing significant potential for growth [17] - The consumer goods sector is witnessing strong profitability in product consumption, while service consumption is still in its early stages of development [17] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Zhongxin Co. plans to establish a manufacturing base in the U.S., investing up to $36 million in a new facility, which is expected to enhance its overseas customer order share [23][24] - Huatu Shanding is projected to achieve significant profit growth, with expected net profits of 3.12, 4.38, and 5.43 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, driven by its strong market position and AI integration [42][44] - Minglue Technology is expected to see a recovery in revenue, with a projected increase in gross margin due to the rise of high-margin marketing intelligence products [34][35] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the electric new energy, transportation equipment, communication devices, electronics, and service consumption sectors, which are expected to benefit from their competitive advantages and global expansion [18] - The report highlights the potential for valuation increases in advanced manufacturing and emerging technology sectors, particularly those with strong innovation capabilities [18][16] - The bond market outlook is optimistic, with expectations of a "New Year rally" driven by policy support and seasonal capital inflows [48][49]

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant improvement in the tourism and cultural sectors during the New Year holiday, with a notable increase in both domestic and international travel demand, with daily cross-regional personnel flow reaching 198 million, up 19.5% year-on-year [7][9] - The average daily inbound and outbound personnel during the New Year holiday reached 2.205 million, marking a 28.6% increase compared to the previous year, indicating a recovery in inbound tourism due to optimized policies [7][9] - Domestic tourism saw a daily average of 47.33 million tourists and a revenue of 28.26 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.2% and 6.3% respectively, driven by improved service supply in popular destinations [9][10] Group 2 - The report notes a rise in pig prices, with the national average price for pigs increasing by 3.9% week-on-week, attributed to improved demand from New Year stocking [19] - Real estate sales continue to face challenges, with transaction volumes in 30 major cities down 26.0% year-on-year, and significant declines observed across first, second, and third-tier cities [14][15] - The retail sales of passenger cars decreased by 12% year-on-year, indicating ongoing pressure in the durable goods sector, with rising inventory levels among dealers [15][16] Group 3 - The electronic industry remains robust, with DRAM memory prices increasing by 2.6% to 7.1% across different types, driven by AI infrastructure investments [21][22] - The construction materials sector is experiencing weak demand, with rebar and hot-rolled coil prices showing slight fluctuations, indicating a low-level oscillation in steel prices [23][27] - Chemical prices are mixed, with PX prices rising by 6.4%, while some other chemical prices have slightly declined, reflecting a tight supply-demand balance in the chemical industry [32][33] Group 4 - Coal prices have stabilized, with a week-on-week increase of 0.9%, and port inventories continuing to decline, suggesting increased downstream replenishment activity [36][37] - Industrial metal prices have continued to rise, with copper and aluminum prices increasing by 2.5% and 1.9% respectively, driven by supply concerns and strong global demand expectations [38][39]

Group 1: Strategy Research - The current overseas computing power valuation is reasonable, and subsequent performance upgrades are key; domestic computing power awaits performance realization and is catalyzed by the decline in risk-free interest rates; AI application valuations are cost-effective, with a focus on internet and media sectors [2][3][6] Group 2: Dairy Industry Research - The ruling on import beef safeguard measures has been implemented, with a nearly 6% reduction in quotas for major supplying countries in 2026, and an additional 55% tariff on beef imported outside the quota, which is expected to boost domestic beef demand and sustain the upward trend in the beef cattle industry [7][8][9] - The price of raw milk is stabilizing and is expected to rise in 2026 due to the reduction in supply-side expansion and decreased replenishment, along with the release of processing capacity on the demand side [7][9] Group 3: Non-Metallic Building Materials Research - China Jushi has announced a restricted stock incentive plan, which reflects the company's confidence in future operations, covering a wide range of employees including executives and core middle management [3][10][11] Group 4: Fixed Income Research - The January 2026 convertible bond portfolio is biased towards aggressive and elastic sectors, supplemented by a balanced combination of relatively low-priced and undervalued industries [2][14][16] - The convertible bond market is expected to experience a "New Year rally" due to policy expectations and seasonal capital inflows, with a focus on technology innovation and expanding domestic demand as key investment themes [29][30][31]

Group 1 - The report maintains an optimistic outlook for the convertible bond market in January 2026, driven by policy expectations and seasonal capital inflows, which are expected to create a "good start" for the market [6][17] - The central economic work conference has identified "technological innovation" and "expanding domestic demand" as key policy focuses, with related industry policy benefits expected to continue, directly boosting market risk appetite [6][17] - The convertible bond market is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with the total size of publicly traded convertible bonds at approximately 527.1 billion yuan as of December 31, 2025, down 183.6 billion yuan from the beginning of 2025 [19] Group 2 - The report suggests focusing on growth styles in investment strategies, particularly in technology sectors such as aerospace, AI computing, semiconductor equipment, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to benefit from industry policy support [6][20] - The top ten convertible bond portfolio for January 2026 emphasizes aggressive and elastic sectors, with a focus on technology growth, cyclical recovery, and financial sectors [6][20] - Specific recommendations include increasing holdings in convertible bonds from companies like Yinbang, Zhenhua, and Yingliu in the technology sector, and focusing on cyclical sectors such as precious metals and chemicals [20][22]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry, indicating a potential increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [5][44]. Core Insights - The MRO market in China is entering a rapid growth phase, with the market size expected to reach 3.7 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.7%. By 2029, the market size is projected to reach 4.5 trillion yuan, with a CAGR of 4.2% [2][15]. - Zhenkunhang, as a leading MRO e-commerce platform in China, has established a strong delivery capability and digital supply chain solutions, continuously expanding its customer base and maintaining high customer retention [2][5]. - The company has successfully listed on the New York Stock Exchange in December 2023, becoming the first MRO enterprise from China to go public in the U.S. [5][17]. Summary by Sections 1. MRO Market Expansion - The MRO market is transitioning from traditional fragmented procurement to centralized procurement, which significantly reduces costs and improves efficiency for clients [9][11]. - The digital transformation in the MRO industry is accelerating, with e-commerce procurement expected to save companies 15-20% in costs and 70% in time [11][15]. - The current market is highly fragmented, with the top 10 companies holding only 1.5% of the market share by transaction value [16]. 2. Zhenkunhang Overview - Zhenkunhang has transformed into an MRO e-commerce platform since 2014, offering a wide range of industrial products with over 17 million SKUs [17][20]. - The company operates two platforms: Zhenkunhang for large clients and Gongbangbang for small and micro clients, ensuring comprehensive service coverage [17][19]. - The GMV reached 11.083 billion yuan in 2023, doubling since 2020, although a slight decline was noted in 2025 due to business optimization efforts [20][24]. 3. Competitive Advantages - Zhenkunhang has built a robust delivery network with 30 distribution centers and 100 transit warehouses, covering major industrial centers in China [32]. - The company offers a comprehensive digital supply chain solution, integrating various digital tools and AI technologies to enhance procurement efficiency [34][35]. - The self-owned brand business is expanding, with a GMV growth of 16.7% in 2025, contributing to 8.2% of total GMV [38]. 4. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has grown rapidly from 4.686 billion yuan in 2020 to 8.761 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 17% [24][28]. - The net loss has been narrowing, with a reduction from 2.68 billion yuan in 2024 to 1.45 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [24][28]. - The gross margin improved from 14.52% in 2020 to 16.78% in the first nine months of 2025, indicating enhanced profitability [28]. 5. Future Growth Opportunities - The company is actively expanding its self-owned brand and overseas business, with a focus on the U.S. market and local operational strategies [38]. - Zhenkunhang aims to provide high-cost performance products and services, targeting key categories such as hand tools and PPE [38].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5]. Core Insights - The acquisition of Hebei Kangda enhances the company's position in the northern home care market, leveraging dual brand synergy for growth [2][3]. - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of Hebei Kangda for up to 450 million RMB, which is a leading player in the northern home care sector with a strong customer base [9]. - The acquisition is expected to improve the company's competitiveness in the home care category in the northern region, optimizing its industrial layout and enhancing market penetration [9]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue growth from 1,616 million RMB in 2023 to 2,428 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% [10]. - Net profit is projected to increase from 175 million RMB in 2023 to 278 million RMB in 2027, with a growth rate of 12% [10]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.16, 0.19, and 0.21 RMB respectively, with a target price set at 4.35 HKD based on a 25X PE for 2025 [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 23.57, compared to the current price of 17.50 [6]. Core Insights - The company has launched a restricted stock incentive plan, which reflects confidence in future operations. The plan targets both growth and stability, covering a wide range of employees including executives and core middle management [2][12]. - The incentive plan proposes to grant 34,528,200 shares, accounting for 0.86% of the total share capital, with a grant price of 10.19 yuan per share. The total number of incentive recipients is 618, representing 4.59% of the total workforce [12]. - The performance commitments of the incentive plan include three key metrics for unlocking shares, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for net profit set at no less than 38.5% from 2024 to 2026, 27% from 2024 to 2027, and 22% from 2024 to 2028 [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 14,876 million yuan in 2023 to 22,105 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 10.8% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 3,044 million yuan in 2023 to 4,802 million yuan in 2027, with a notable recovery in 2025 showing a 44.8% increase [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.76 yuan in 2023 to 1.20 yuan in 2027 [4]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 70,055 million yuan, with a total share capital of 4,003 million shares [7]. - The stock has traded within a range of 10.80 to 17.50 yuan over the past 52 weeks [7]. Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 23.01 in 2023 to 14.59 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.6% in 2023 to 12.9% in 2027 [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 89.20 CNY [5][16]. Core Insights - The company is leveraging AI technology and a city-based base sinking strategy, in collaboration with Fenbi, to accelerate its market share growth and reshape the public examination industry [2][12]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 312 million, 438 million, and 543 million CNY respectively, and EPS of 1.58, 2.23, and 2.76 CNY [12][16]. - The strategic partnership with Fenbi is anticipated to enhance competitive barriers and operational efficiency in the vocational education market [12][21]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 247 million CNY in 2023 to 5,159 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 131.3% in 2024 [4][13]. - The net profit is expected to turn from a loss of 92 million CNY in 2023 to a profit of 543 million CNY by 2027, indicating a significant recovery and growth trajectory [4][13]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 53.48% in 2024 to 57.16% by 2027, driven by brand effect and operational efficiency [19][21]. Industry Analysis - The number of college graduates in China is expected to exceed 12 million by 2025, creating a sustained demand for public examination training [32][46]. - The public examination training market is projected to reach approximately 151 billion CNY in 2025, with a potential growth to 237 billion CNY by 2030 [46][47]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing number of civil service examination candidates, which has shown a consistent upward trend [41][46].