Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The company has shown resilience in its fundamental operations despite short-term revenue pressures, with emerging businesses expected to drive future growth [4][6][7] - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but a significant improvement in net profit after excluding non-recurring items [4][5] - The company is actively pursuing digital transformation and diversification strategies, which are anticipated to create new revenue streams [7][9] Company Overview - Latest closing price is 6.51 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 127 billion yuan [3] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 39.7% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.08 [3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 45.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.90%, and a net profit of 6.78 billion yuan, down 17.19% [4] - The company’s core business segments, including publishing and logistics, have shown stable performance despite revenue declines [5][6] - The company expects operating revenues of 111 billion yuan, 114 billion yuan, and 118 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.32 billion yuan, 8.97 billion yuan, and 9.42 billion yuan [10][12] Emerging Business Development - The company is focusing on digital transformation, including the establishment of new cultural landmarks and enhancing online education platforms [7] - The gaming segment has successfully launched several titles, indicating a strategic expansion into new markets [7] Shareholder Returns - The company has committed to a high dividend payout, with cash dividends and buybacks totaling 5.48 billion yuan, representing 77.71% of net profit [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][8]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated rapid growth in performance, with a revenue of 2.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 62.2%, and a net profit of 750 million yuan, up 52.7% [4][5]. - The company is a leading global ADC CXO enterprise with a comprehensive R&D technology platform, a growing customer base, and an increasing number of projects [8]. Company Overview - Latest closing price: 74.50 HKD - Total shares: 1.228 billion - Total market capitalization: 91.486 billion HKD - 52-week high/low: 78.55/18.52 HKD - Debt-to-asset ratio: 29.94% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 62.9 [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 36.1%, an increase of 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved capacity utilization and the rapid ramp-up of new production lines [5]. - The company’s adjusted net profit margin (excluding interest income) increased by 1.2 percentage points to 27.1% compared to the same period in 2024 [5]. Project and Capacity Expansion - As of the first half of 2025, the company had a total of 225 iCMC projects, with 37 new contracts signed, marking a historical high [6]. - The company’s production lines are operating at high capacity, with significant orders in reserve, and plans for further expansion in Singapore and Wuxi [7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.754 billion, 7.826 billion, and 10.174 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 36%, and 30% [11]. - Expected net profits for the same years are 1.601 billion, 2.259 billion, and 3.018 billion yuan, with growth rates of 50%, 41%, and 34% [11].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - China's de - leveraging is a proactive risk mitigation under high leverage, aiming for a gradual reduction of the corporate sector's leverage at a high level [2][85]. - Policy paths should draw on US and Japanese experiences, with a low probability of a large - scale "flood - irrigation" fiscal environment in China. Monetary policy has room but must prevent capital idling and avoid further increasing leverage and asset bubbles [2]. - China's de - leveraging pace may be between that of the US and Japan, aiming for a "harmonious de - leveraging" by balancing risk disposal and employment maintenance and resolving risks over time [2][89]. - Asset allocation can refer to US and Japanese experiences. Interest rates may rebound during de - leveraging, and low - interest rates are conducive to debt clearance. Asset price increases should interact positively with the de - leveraging process [2][90]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Debt Cycle: The Clearing Phase Continues 3.1.1 Changes in Leverage Ratios of Each Sector Since the New Round of Debt Resolution - Since 1992, China has experienced two complete large - scale debt cycles and is currently in a continuous and fluctuating de - leveraging large - scale cycle since 2008, with four complete small - scale cycles from 2008 - 2021. In 2024, it was in the de - leveraging phase of the small - scale debt cycle after 2021Q4. In the first half of 2025, debt continued to clear, and in the second half, it was expected to restart the leveraging process, with the restart of the corporate debt cycle being the key [11]. - The household sector's de - leveraging process is relatively advanced and may continue to bottom out. The leverage ratio fluctuation item continued to decline in the first half of 2025, and the 9 - month consumer loan subsidy policy may only ease the decline but cannot reverse the trend. In the long run, the household sector may start a new small - scale debt cycle after reaching the bottom, but the time may be postponed [13][14]. - The corporate sector's leverage ratio fluctuation item is oscillating at a high level, and no de - leveraging trend has been formed. Affected by policy support, the leverage ratio fluctuation item has not shown a trend of de - leveraging. Forecasts indicate a further decline with a gentle slope, and credit financing demand remains weak [16]. - The government sector's leverage ratio fluctuation item is expected to continue to oscillate upward. In 2025, the government bond issuance was concentrated in the early stage. Without new policies in the fourth quarter, the leverage ratio fluctuation item may decline. In 2026, the fiscal policy's debt - issuing scale may expand further, driving the government sector's leverage ratio to rise [19]. 3.1.2 Has the Debt Pressure of the Three Sectors Eased? - The household sector's overall de - leveraging has led to a decrease in mortgage - centered debt costs. Policy - driven interest rate cuts and relaxed mortgage conditions have alleviated the debt pressure, but income growth remains under pressure, and de - leveraging continues [24]. - The corporate sector's interest - payment pressure has decreased, but the increase in the leverage ratio has affected the safety margin of corporate operations. Although financial expenses have decreased, the debt ratio has risen again, and the pressure to reduce leverage remains high [26]. - The government sector's cost - control measures have a greater impact than leveraging, and the interest - payment pressure has stabilized. Interest rate cuts have reduced the weighted average cost of national and local debts, but the debt scale is still expanding. Overall, the interest - payment pressure is controllable [30]. 3.2 International Experience: Two "De - leveraging" Paths in Japan and the US 3.2.1 Japan: After the Economic Bubble Burst in the 1990s, De - leveraging Was Long and Passive - The household sector's debt de - leveraging process was slow due to asset shrinkage and high - cost debts. Asset - side housing and financial asset values declined significantly and were not repaired for a long time, and income growth was weak. On the liability side, high - cost debts and deflation pressure made it difficult to de - leverage [39][42]. - The corporate sector's de - leveraging was difficult. The "convoy system" led to the formation of many zombie enterprises, and the slow disposal of non - performing assets made the de - leveraging process long. Enterprises mainly reduced investment and capital expenditure to repay debts, lacking structural adjustments [50][55]. - The government's policy response was ineffective. Monetary policy fell into a liquidity trap, and fiscal policy was inconsistent. Early large - scale stimulus led to a sharp increase in government debt, and later fiscal tightening and policy mistakes weakened the economic recovery momentum [59][60]. 3.2.2 US: Fast - paced, Market - oriented De - leveraging with Policy Coordination for Rapid Clearing - The household sector quickly de - leveraged through default clearance, active debt reduction, and refinancing restructuring. The Fed's low - interest rate policy and government - led mortgage restructuring programs helped reduce debt pressure, and the release of consumption potential promoted economic recovery [68]. - The corporate sector completed de - leveraging through bankruptcy liquidation, restructuring, investment reduction, asset sales, and equity capital supplementation. The leverage ratio decreased significantly and then stabilized [70]. - The government sector increased leverage significantly during the private sector's de - leveraging period, providing support for the economy. Fiscal stimulus and the Fed's balance - sheet expansion helped transfer private - sector risks to the public sector. As the economy recovered, the fiscal deficit narrowed, and government debt stabilized [73]. 3.3 Asset Allocation: Asset Performance During the "De - leveraging" Phase 3.3.1 Japanese Experience: Reasons and Magnitudes of Interest Rate Rebounds During De - leveraging - Interest rates of 10 - year Japanese government bonds rebounded significantly during de - leveraging, mainly due to recovery and re - inflation expectations and fiscal supply - demand mismatches. There were also some 50 - BP rebounds during the in - depth de - leveraging period in the 2010s [75][76]. 3.3.2 US Experience: Asset Price Repair and Wealth Effect During De - leveraging - The rapid repair of asset prices during the household sector's de - leveraging process had a wealth effect, reducing the leverage ratio, improving consumer confidence, and promoting consumption. The Fed's policies also controlled the government's bond - issuing costs [80][82]. 3.3.3 China's Reference: Balancing Economic Stability and De - leveraging - China's de - leveraging is a proactive adjustment under high leverage, different from the passive de - leveraging in the US and Japan. It aims to gradually reduce the corporate sector's leverage and maintain a reasonable household leverage level [85]. - Policy tools should draw on US and Japanese experiences, combining prudent loosening and targeted support to balance economic stability and de - leveraging [87][88]. - China's de - leveraging pace may be between that of the US and Japan, achieving a "harmonious de - leveraging" by actively resolving risks and maintaining employment [89].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Strongly Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - OPEC+ will increase oil production by 137,000 barrels per day starting in November, which is a relatively moderate increase. The petrochemical sector continues to adjust, with ongoing attention to the progress of eliminating outdated facilities and upgrading [2][5] - The oil and petrochemical index underperformed this week, declining by 0.38% compared to last week. In contrast, the engineering services sector within the oil and petrochemical industry performed the best, with an increase of 0.88% [5] - Oil prices have decreased, with an increase in U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories [6][10] - In the polyester segment, the price of polyester filament has dropped while the price spread has increased. The inventory days for polyester filament in Jiangsu and Zhejiang have decreased, and the operating rate of weaving machines has increased [14][19] - For olefins, the spot prices of sample polyolefins remain stable, and inventory levels are steady [21][22] Summary by Sections Oil Market - Oil prices have fallen, with Brent crude futures closing at $65.5 per barrel, a decrease of 7.2% compared to September 26 [7] - U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 6,440 thousand barrels, while gasoline inventories rose by 496 thousand barrels [13] Polyester - The prices for polyester filament (POY, DTY, FDY) are 6,550, 7,750, and 6,700 yuan per ton, respectively, with price spreads increasing by 61 yuan per ton compared to September 26 [16] - The inventory days for polyester filament in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are 25.7, 29.5, and 18.8 days for FDY, DTY, and POY, respectively, with an increase in the operating rate of weaving machines [19] Olefins - Sample prices for polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) are 7,800 and 8,050 yuan per ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.64% for PE and no change for PP compared to September 26 [24] - The total inventory of polyolefins is 590,000 tons, which is a decrease from the previous period [24]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant revenue increase of approximately 69.0% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a total revenue of 50.30 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.54 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 131.9% [5]. - The production of gold in H1 2025 reached 5.90 tons, a 30% increase from 4.54 tons in the same period last year, supported by rising international gold prices [6]. - The acquisition of Xinjiang Meisheng is expected to significantly enhance the company's profitability, with the project projected to produce approximately 3.3 tons of gold annually once fully operational [7]. - The company has made notable progress in resource exploration and integration, significantly increasing drilling activities and securing mining rights for new projects [8]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 5.99 billion yuan, 14.83 billion yuan, and 26.20 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 107%, 148%, and 77% [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.32 yuan in 2024 to 2.88 yuan in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [12]. - The company's financial ratios show an increase in net profit margin from 4.1% in 2024 to 21.8% in 2027, reflecting improved profitability [15].

| 最新收盘价（元） | 27.77 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）4.18 / 3.37 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）116 / 94 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 34.44 / 22.83 | | 资产负债率(%) | 30.0% | | 市盈率 | 21.12 | | 第一大股东 | 姚朔斌 | 研究所 分析师:王晓萱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522080005 Email:wangxiaoxuan@cnpsec.com 姚记科技(002605) 证券研究报告：传媒 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入|维持 个股表现 -10% -4% 2% 8% 14% 20% 26% 32% 38% 44% 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 姚记科技 传媒 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 ⚫ 事件回顾 2025 年 8 月 26 日，公司发布 2025 年半年报， 2025H1，公司实 现营业收入 14.38 亿元，同比下降 24.64%；归母净利润 2.56 亿元，同 比下降9.98% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of semiconductor equipment in China, focusing on the research and innovation of crystal growth equipment, particularly for silicon carbide (SiC) materials, which are crucial for the upgrade of the third-generation semiconductor industry [4][10] - The company plans to acquire Weizhun Intelligent, which will help extend its semiconductor supply chain from upstream to downstream applications, enhancing vertical integration [5][10] - The company has identified a growing demand for high-performance GPU chips and aims to address the thermal management challenges associated with these technologies through its SiC products [4] Company Overview - Latest closing price: 38.34 CNY - Total shares: 1.38 billion, circulating shares: 1.03 billion - Total market capitalization: 5.3 billion CNY, circulating market capitalization: 4 billion CNY - 52-week high/low: 41.80 CNY / 25.00 CNY - Debt-to-asset ratio: 15.5% [3] Financial Projections - Expected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 470 million CNY, 650 million CNY, and 770 million CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 54 million CNY, 100 million CNY, and 130 million CNY [6][9] - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 11.13% in 2025, 36.58% in 2026, and 18.64% in 2027 [9][12] Relative Valuation - The report references comparable companies in the semiconductor crystal growth equipment market, indicating a projected price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 4.52x for 2025 [10] - The company’s SiC material production capabilities are expected to benefit significantly from the anticipated shift in the industry towards SiC as a replacement for traditional silicon [10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the fourth quarter, the cost - effectiveness of the coupon strategy is further enhanced against the backdrop of high uncertainty in the bond market direction. The 1 - 3 - year weak - qualification urban investment sinking strategy is recommended, and the yields of 1 - 2 - year AA(2), 2 - 3 - year AA, and AA(2) urban investment bonds are between 2.09% - 2.32%, with a large balance of outstanding bonds. Second, the super - decline feature of secondary perpetual (Er Yong) bonds is obvious, and the yields of 3 - year large - bank capital bonds and 2 - year AA perpetual bonds are between 2.0% - 2.07%, having fallen to a level with coupon value. The 4 - 5 - year large - bank capital bonds have a large decline in this round of adjustment, and the current yields are all above 2.1%, which are high - quality coupon assets for accounts with stable liability ends. For ultra - long - term bonds, although the cost - effectiveness of coupons continues to increase after adjustment, the liquidity has not seen marginal improvement, and it is still only recommended for allocation - type institutions to consider [3][35]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Current Bond Market Situation - Last week, the bearish force in the bond market remained strong, but with the bond - buying by large banks and the central bank's liquidity support, interest rates generally stabilized, while the decline of credit bonds was relatively high, especially for Er Yong bonds and ultra - long - term credit bonds, showing an "over - decline" trend. From September 22 to September 26, 2025, the yields of 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, 5Y treasury bonds decreased by 0.7BP, increased by 2.7BP, 2.8BP, 1.8BP, 0.5BP respectively, while the yields of AAA medium - term notes with the same maturities increased by 5.3BP, 6.5BP, 6.8BP, 9.0BP, 9.7BP respectively [1][10]. - The performance of ultra - long - term credit bonds continued to weaken, with the decline exceeding that of the same - maturity interest - rate bonds. The yields of 10Y AAA/AA + medium - term notes increased by 11.32BP and 10.32BP respectively, and the yields of 10Y AAA/AA + urban investment bonds increased by 11.90BP and 8.90BP respectively. The yield of 10Y AAA - bank secondary capital bonds increased by 16.19BP, while the yield of 10Y treasury bonds recovered by 0.21BP [1][12][13]. - The "volatility amplifier" feature of Er Yong bonds reappeared, with the decline of each maturity exceeding that of ordinary credit bonds. The yields of 1 - 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year AAA - bank secondary capital bonds increased by 5.15BP, 8.94BP, 11.60BP, 12.29BP, 17.93BP, 18.31BP, 16.19BP respectively. The part of the curve above 2 - year is still 30BP - 63BP away from the lowest yield point since 2025, and the yields of maturities above 3 - year have exceeded the levels of the bear - flattening period in the first quarter [2][17]. Analysis of Trading Behavior - In terms of active trading, the bearish force of Er Yong bonds was strong overall, with the selling force of trading desks stronger than the buying force of allocation desks. From September 22 to September 26, the proportion of low - valuation transactions of Er Yong bonds was 92.50%, 0.00%, 0.00%, 10.00%, 100.00% respectively. Last week, trading desks represented by public funds strongly sold Er Yong bonds and only had net purchases of short - term credit products. At the same time, allocation desks such as wealth management and insurance institutions bought oversold Er Yong bonds at high prices, but the buying force was weaker than the selling force of public funds [2][19][20]. - The selling market of ultra - long - term credit bonds continued to strengthen throughout the week. From September 22 to September 26, the proportion of discount transactions of ultra - long - term credit bonds was 65.00%, 72.50%, 95.00%, 100.00%, 75.00% respectively. The discount range was not low, and about 25.5% of the discount transactions had a range of more than 4BP, indicating a strong selling willingness in the market [22]. Comparison of the Two Rounds of Bond Market Adjustments in 2025 - The bond market adjustment in the first quarter was mainly driven by the unexpected tightening of the capital market, resulting in weaker performance of the short - and medium - term credit bonds. The yields of 1 - 5 - year AAA urban investment bonds increased by more than 40bp, while the yields of long - term bonds increased by less than 35bp [26][29]. - The bond market adjustment since mid - July in the third quarter was mainly due to the strong performance of the commodity and equity markets, which increased institutional risk appetite. Institutions were very cautious about duration, and short - duration bonds had strong anti - decline properties. From July 18 to September 29, the yield increase of 1 - year urban investment bonds was within 15bp, while the yields of AAA and AA + urban investment bonds with maturities of 7 - year and above increased by more than 40bp [26][32].

证券研究报告：宏观报告 发布时间：2025-10-06 研究所 分析师:李起 SAC 登记编号:S1340524110001 Email:liqi2@cnpsec.com 研究助理:高晓洁 SAC 登记编号:S1340124020001 Email:gaoxiaojie@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《价格回升驱动企业利润改善，修复斜 率放缓》 - 2025.09.29 宏观观点 海外宏观周报：美国 GDP 上修，经济韧性仍存 ⚫ 核心观点： 上周四晚间公布的美国经济数据整体好于预期，初请失业金人数 显著下降，二季度 GDP 大幅上修。经济的稳健表现说明，关税的负面 影响较为有限，企业的经营状况依然强劲。然而当日美股却出现回调， 反映出当前市场更关注降息预期所带来的估值提升，而非依靠经济增 长推动的盈利改善。 上周，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，当前的股价水平"已经处于相当 高的估值区间"。回顾历史经验可以发现，在美联储主席过往就股票 估值发出警示后的一个月、六个月和十二个月内，股市并未因此录得 负回报。平均而言，在这些警告发布后的一年内，标普 500 指数和全 球股市的平均回报率虽然仍为正值，但收益水平略低于 ...

证券研究报告：机械设备|深度报告 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 2049.28 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 2104.41 | | 52 | 周最低 | 1358.05 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 -11% -5% 1% 7% 13% 19% 25% 31% 37% 43% 机械设备 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:陈基赟 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070003 Email:chenjiyun@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 无人环卫专题 商业化项目持续落地，行业迅速扩容 l 投资要点 无人环卫车主要指具有自动化保洁功能，且能代替驾驶员持续执 行作业任务的环卫车，是低速无人驾驶主要场景，安全性、可行性较 高。传统环卫设备主要包括清扫保洁设备、垃圾收集转运设备和垃圾 处理设备。其中清扫 ...