1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report The report focuses on the issuance progress of local government bonds and special refinancing bonds in 2025. It details the actual and forecasted issuance amounts of local government bonds from August 4 - 10 and August 11 - 17, as well as the issuance status of special refinancing bonds and special new special - purpose bonds as of August 10 [2][4][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Local Bond Actual Issuance and Forecasted Issuance - From August 4 - 10, local bonds issued a total of 1654.59 billion yuan, including 475.49 billion yuan of new bonds (72.83 billion yuan of new general bonds and 402.66 billion yuan of new special - purpose bonds) and 1179.10 billion yuan of refinancing bonds (819.06 billion yuan of refinancing general bonds and 360.04 billion yuan of refinancing special - purpose bonds) [2][5]. - From August 11 - 17, the disclosed issuance of local bonds is 914.32 billion yuan, including 493.56 billion yuan of new bonds (303.21 billion yuan of new general bonds and 190.34 billion yuan of new special - purpose bonds) and 420.76 billion yuan of refinancing bonds (286.32 billion yuan of refinancing general bonds and 134.45 billion yuan of refinancing special - purpose bonds) [2][4]. - The plan and actual issuance of local bonds in July and August are compared, and the monthly issuance plan, actual issuance, and net financing of local bonds in recent months are presented [15][17][21]. 3.2 Local Bond Net Supply - As of August 10, the issuance progress of new general bonds is 66.68%, and that of new special - purpose bonds is 63.67% [26]. - The cumulative scale of the difference between refinancing bonds and local bond maturities as of August 10 is presented [26]. 3.3 Special Bond Issuance Details - As of August 10, the fourth - round special refinancing bonds have a total disclosed amount of 43557.43 billion yuan, with 19672.18 billion yuan disclosed in 2025 and an additional 12.11 billion yuan to be disclosed next week. The top three regions in terms of disclosed scale are Jiangsu (5647.00 billion yuan), Hunan (2787.32 billion yuan), and Shandong (2413.98 billion yuan) [6]. - As of August 10, the total disclosed amount of special new special - purpose bonds in 2025 is 4407.33 billion yuan, and since 2023, it is 16312.46 billion yuan. The top three regions in terms of disclosed scale are Jiangsu (2102.35 billion yuan), Hubei (1287.69 billion yuan), and Xinjiang (1188.60 billion yuan). In 2025, the top three regions are Jiangsu (951.00 billion yuan), Hebei (391.43 billion yuan), and Hubei (369.13 billion yuan) [6]. 3.4 Local Bond Investment and Trading - The first - and second - level spreads of local bonds are presented, including the spreads of different tenors and the changes over time [39]. - The second - level spreads of local bonds in different regions from May to August 2025 are provided [42]. 3.5 New Special - Purpose Bond Investment Directions The monthly statistics of the investment directions of new special - purpose bonds are presented, and the latest month's statistics only consider the issued new bonds [45].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of funds through 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and carried out 700 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. After the cross - month period, the funding rate declined. From August 4 to August 10, the net payment scale of government bonds increased, the overall yield to maturity of inter - bank certificates of deposit (NCDs) decreased, and the average leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market increased. From August 11 to August 17, the expected net payment of government bonds is 360.1 billion yuan, and the maturity scale of NCDs is about 907.1 billion yuan [2]. - The outright reverse repurchase operation has more flexible timing compared to the medium - term lending facility (MLF). The central bank's operations in different months are to address various pressures on the liquidity, such as large - scale NCD maturities, tax payment months, and new bond issuance policies. The 6 - month outright reverse repurchase in August may be operated in the middle of the month to assist in stabilizing the funding situation during the tax payment period [7]. - The funding situation eased at the beginning of the month. From August 4 to August 8, the average values of DR001 and R001 decreased by 5.6 and 8.7 basis points respectively compared to the period from July 28 to August 1. The average values of DR007 and R007 decreased by 8.2 and 11.4 basis points respectively. In the future, the funding situation is expected to remain stable and loose overall, but the central bank's goal of preventing "idle funds" may limit the significant decline of the funding rate center [8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Funding Situation - **Outright Reverse Repurchase and 7 - day Reverse Repurchase**: From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the central bank's 7 - day reverse repurchase had a net withdrawal of 53.65 billion yuan. On August 8, it carried out 70 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase operations. The net investment of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase was 30 billion yuan. The maturity scales of 3 - month and 6 - month outright reverse repurchases in August are 40 billion and 50 billion yuan respectively [6]. - **Funding Rate**: From August 4 to August 8, the average values of DR001 and R001 were 1.31% and 1.35% respectively, down 5.6 and 8.7 basis points from July 28 - August 1. The average values of DR007 and R007 were 1.45% and 1.47% respectively, down 8.2 and 11.4 basis points from July 28 - August 1 [8]. - **Government Bond Net Payment**: From August 4 to August 10, the net payment scale of government bonds was about 37.06 billion yuan, an increase of about 8.3 billion yuan compared to July 28 - August 3. From August 11 to August 17, the expected net payment of government bonds is 36.01 billion yuan [8]. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit (NCDs) - **Yield to Maturity**: As of August 8, 2025, the yields to maturity of 1 - month, 3 - month, and 1 - year NCDs were 1.4490%, 1.5300%, and 1.6175% respectively, down 4, 1, and 2 basis points from August 1 [9]. - **Net Financing Amount**: From August 4 to August 10, the net financing amount of NCDs was about 17.76 billion yuan, compared with about 1 billion yuan from July 28 to August 3. From August 11 to August 17, the expected maturity repayment amount of NCDs is 907.1 billion yuan, and the pressure of maturity renewal has increased compared to the previous week [9]. Institutional Behavior - **Leverage Ratio in the Inter - bank Bond Market**: From August 4 to August 8, the average calculated leverage ratio in the inter - bank bond market was 107.96%, up from the average of 107.63% from July 28 to August 1. On August 8 and August 1, the calculated leverage ratios were about 108.07% and 108.10% respectively [10].

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨纺织品、服装与奢侈品 [Table_Title] 望远镜系列 17 之 UA FY2026Q1 经营跟踪：收 入符合预期，稳住亚太市场为全年重点 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 纺织品、服装与奢侈品 cjzqdt11111 于旭辉 柯睿 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524110001 SFC：BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] FY2026Q1（2026/4/1-2025/6/30）UA 实现营收 11.3 亿美元，同比-4.2%，符合市场及公司预 期（彭博一致预期 11.3 亿美元，公司先前指引 Q1 营收同比下滑 4%-5%）。毛利率同比+0.7pct 至 48.2%，主要得益于汇率变化、产品定价调整及产品组合优化。 [Table_Title 望远镜系列2]17 之 UA FY2026Q1 经营跟踪：收 入符合预期，稳住亚太市场为全年重点 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 FY2026Q1（2026/4 ...

Supply Side - Lithium carbonate production increased by 2,120 tons week-on-week to 20,358 tons, with July production up 5.8% to 85,690 tons[4] - The shutdown of the Ningde Jianshan Mine for three months and the review of mining rights in Yichun and Qinghai are impacting supply[4] - In June 2025, China's lithium ore imports decreased by 4.8% to 576,000 tons, with imports from Australia down 31% to approximately 256,000 tons[4] Cost and Pricing - The CIF price of imported spodumene concentrate rose week-on-week, leading to cost pressures for some lithium carbonate producers[4] - Lithium hydroxide manufacturers are facing significant cost pressures, while self-owned mines and salt lake enterprises have some profit support[4] Demand Side - Overall production in August increased by 7% for large battery manufacturers, with total battery production in June reaching 129.2 GWh, up 4.6% month-on-month and 51.4% year-on-year[5] - The introduction of vehicle replacement policies and the extension of the new energy vehicle purchase tax are expected to support rapid growth in China's new energy vehicle market[5] Inventory and Market Outlook - Lithium carbonate inventory increased by 465 tons at factories, 1,171 tons in the market, and 12,224 tons in futures[5] - The recent production cuts at the mining level and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream buyers suggest that lithium carbonate prices will continue to show strong fluctuations[5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [3][4]. Core Insights - Recent breakthroughs in AI models have been significant, with Google DeepMind releasing the new general world model Genie 3 and OpenAI launching its latest AI model GPT-5, indicating a competitive landscape among leading players [6]. - The commercialization of AI applications is accelerating, particularly in vertical sectors such as gaming, advertising, e-commerce, education, and IP [6]. Summary by Sections AI Model Developments - Google DeepMind's Genie 3 can generate dynamic interactive worlds at a speed of 20-24 frames per second in 720p resolution, supporting real-time interaction and maintaining content coherence for several minutes [6]. - OpenAI's GPT-5 has shown significant improvements in various benchmarks, outperforming previous models in programming, mathematics, writing, health, and visual perception, with a 45% reduction in factual errors compared to GPT-4 and an expanded context capability of 400k tokens [6]. AI Content Creation and Commercialization - Tencent's ima has introduced new features, including an AI podcast function that converts articles into dialogue format, enhancing user experience [6]. - Kuaishou's AI project "New World Loading" has achieved over 1.97 billion views, showcasing the potential of AI in film and content creation [6]. - Google's Gemini AI chatbot has added a "Storybook" feature that generates illustrated storybooks based on user prompts, highlighting advancements in AI-driven content generation [6]. AI Gaming Sector - The upcoming AI game "Whispers from the Star," led by Mihayou's co-founder, is set to launch on August 15, featuring natural language interaction and a rich narrative experience [6]. - The report suggests focusing on AI interactive products, particularly AI toys, which are expected to commercialize quickly due to enhanced user experiences and broader audience reach [6]. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights the potential of AI interaction products, the advantages of large tech companies in data and model development, and the replicable business models from overseas in advertising, e-commerce, and education sectors [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.92 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 740 million yuan, down 38.6% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, the revenue was 3.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.3%, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, down 36.9% year-on-year but up 19.0% quarter-on-quarter [5][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 5.92 billion yuan, with a net profit of 740 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 38.6%. Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 3.05 billion yuan, with a net profit of 400 million yuan, indicating a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 19.0% [5][7]. Market Conditions - The company operates in a challenging market environment, with product prices significantly declining in 2025. The average prices for key products like heavy soda ash and light soda ash fell by 34.2% and 34.7% respectively in H1 2025 [12]. Growth Potential - The company is viewed positively for its long-term investment opportunities due to its strong safety margin and growth potential. It has a high dividend payout ratio, with expected dividends in 2024 corresponding to a yield of over 5%. The company is anticipated to maintain strong dividend potential as new projects come online [7][12]. Future Projections - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.47 billion yuan, 2.09 billion yuan, and 2.41 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported significant improvements in performance and cash flow, with overseas business expected to continue its breakthrough [2][6]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 6.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.241 billion yuan, up 14.04% year-on-year [2][6]. - The second quarter saw total revenue of 4.214 billion yuan, a 49.12% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 775 million yuan, an 8.78% increase year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's main business revenue significantly increased, with a notable performance in the first half and Q2 [2][6]. - The high-end equipment manufacturing segment maintained its leading position, with revenue growth of 22.42% [2][6]. - The oil and gas engineering and technical services business saw an 88.14% increase in revenue, with a gross margin improvement of 6.62% [2][6]. Cash Flow and Profitability - The company's gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 32.19%, a decrease of 3.64 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 18.4%, down 4.07 percentage points year-on-year [2][6]. - Operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 3.14 billion yuan, a 196% increase year-on-year, with a cash flow to performance ratio of 253%, up 156% year-on-year [2][6]. International Strategy - The company is actively pursuing an international strategy, with overseas market revenue reaching 3.295 billion yuan, a 38.38% increase year-on-year [2][6]. - New orders from overseas markets increased by 24.16% year-on-year, indicating strong growth momentum [2][6]. Order Backlog and Management Confidence - The company secured new orders worth 9.881 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 37.65% increase year-on-year, with a backlog of 12.386 billion yuan, up 34.76% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company has repurchased shares worth 106 million yuan and the controlling shareholder has increased holdings by 6 million yuan, reflecting confidence in future development [2][6].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [10][12]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading domestic comprehensive service provider in sulfur recovery and has developed proprietary "non-online furnace sulfur recovery technology." It is currently the largest designer and general contractor for sulfur recovery units in China. The dual benefits of resources and policies are expected to drive growth in modern coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, alongside ongoing refining transformation projects [5][7]. - The company has transitioned from an "engineering expert" to a "technology + engineering + industry" full-chain ecosystem, establishing a comprehensive chemical service provider with three synergistic segments: technology research and development, engineering services, and chemical manufacturing [7][19]. - The company is the largest producer of n-propanol in China and is expanding its new materials business, which is expected to significantly boost growth with the production of cellulose acetate and isooctanoic acid [5][9]. Summary by Sections Engineering - The company is deeply involved in the coal chemical sector, supported by national and local policies promoting the development of coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, with an estimated investment of over 800 billion yuan in the future [7][61]. - The replacement of outdated refining capacities will further drive the demand for sulfur recovery units, as new refining projects are initiated [8][10]. Chemical Sector - The company has established a comprehensive layout in the "aldehyde-alcohol-ester" chain, enhancing its industrial ecosystem. It is also a leading producer of n-butanol and isooctanol, with a flexible production model that allows for product switching based on market demand [9][24]. - The cellulose segment is expected to benefit from domestic substitution trends, with significant potential for performance elasticity [9][24]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.554 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.88%. The revenue contributions from the chemical, engineering, and catalyst segments were 70.7%, 22.1%, and 6.8%, respectively [33][34]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 360 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 560 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.5X, 13.3X, and 10.0X based on the closing price on August 8, 2025 [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aluminum sector [3]. Core Insights - The aluminum sector is experiencing a transition from high elasticity to resilience, with dividends becoming more stable and significant [10][21]. - The dividend yield for the aluminum sector is notably high, surpassing 5%, making it a standout in the market [25][30]. - The report highlights the convergence of aluminum prices, indicating a stable upward trend amidst fluctuating market conditions [46]. Summary by Sections 1. Dividends and Resilience - The aluminum sector is characterized by improving cash flow and reduced capital expenditures, leading to enhanced dividend payouts [21][22]. - The sector's operating cash flow net to (expenditures + interest-bearing liabilities) has improved significantly, indicating a robust financial position [22]. 2. Dividend Yield - The aluminum sector's dividend yield has consistently outperformed other sectors, with a current yield of 5.85% projected for 2024 [25][30]. - Historical data shows that the aluminum sector has maintained a leading position in dividend yield compared to other sectors over the years [25][27]. 3. Price Stability - The report notes a reduction in aluminum price volatility, attributed to stable supply and demand dynamics [41]. - The aluminum sector is positioned in a "low valuation + high dividend" quadrant, suggesting potential for dividend revaluation [42]. 4. ROE Selection - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks based on high dividend yields and return on equity (ROE), with a focus on companies that demonstrate strong financial performance [75]. - Different company profiles are analyzed, showing variations in asset turnover, debt ratios, and dividend rates, highlighting the financial health of key players in the sector [75].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [10] Core Insights - The express delivery "anti-involution" policy has gained traction, with Guangdong Province leading the way in raising express delivery base prices, which is expected to spread nationwide. However, the aviation sector faces challenges in implementing similar price increases due to its high-end and optional nature, especially given the weak summer performance [2][6] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) has emphasized the need to address "involution" in the aviation industry, particularly focusing on the low-price competition in business routes. The report suggests that the key to "anti-involution" in aviation lies in improving service differentiation and addressing the oversupply in business routes [6][18] Summary by Sections Aviation Sector - The CAAC has made "anti-involution" a priority, with meetings held in June and July 2025 to address the issue. Since 2020, major airlines have reported continuous losses for five years, highlighting the necessity of this initiative [6][18] - Business travel demand remains weak, with expectations for recovery around mid-September. The oversupply in business routes, exacerbated by the shift of international capacity to domestic markets, has led to intense price competition among major airlines [6][18] - Recent improvements in service on key routes, such as Beijing-Shanghai, have shown positive responses in average ticket prices, indicating potential for further expansion of these practices [6][18] Passenger Traffic and Revenue - As of August 9, 2025, domestic passenger traffic showed a slight year-on-year increase of 1%, while international passenger traffic rose by 11%. However, domestic ticket prices faced pressure, with a year-on-year decline of 6.2% [7] - The report notes that the average ticket price for domestic flights has decreased by 8.7% due to fuel surcharges, indicating ongoing revenue challenges despite slight improvements in passenger traffic [7] Shipping and Logistics - The report highlights a rebound in oil shipping rates, with the average VLCC-TCE rate increasing by 52.5% to $35,000 per day, driven by increased cargo from the Middle East [8] - The logistics sector is seeing improvements in coal transport volumes, with daily truck traffic at the Ganqimaodu port rising by 34 vehicles per day, suggesting a recovery in trade demand [8] Market Dynamics - The report emphasizes the need for airlines to shift from a focus on market share to differentiation in service to avoid the pitfalls of low-price competition. The recovery of business travel and the management of flight supply by the CAAC are seen as critical to improving the competitive landscape [66]