[Table_Title] 计算机行业 AI 2026 算力系列（二） 从云业务到千问 APP，阿里算力需求保持 旺盛态势 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|计算机 证券研究报告 | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-01-30 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -14% -4% 5% 15% 24% 34% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 计算机 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]刘雪峰 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260514030002 | | SFC CE No. BNX004 | | 021-38003675 | | gfliuxuefeng@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 周源 | | SAC 执证号：S0260523040001 | | 0755-23948351 | | shzhouyuan@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，周源并非香港证券及期货 ...

[Table_Page] 公告点评|食品与主要用品零售Ⅱ 证券研究报告 | Table_Invest] [公司评级 | 增持 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格 | 4.31 港元 | | 合理价值 | 5.18 港元 | | 前次评级 | 增持 | | 报告日期 | 2026-01-30 | 核心观点： *除非特别说明，否则报告货币为人民币 ⚫ 事件：公司发布 2025 年正面盈利预告。公司预计 2025 年实现收入 77.5~78.5 亿元，同比+19.8%~+21.3%；预计实现净利润 4.43~4.63 亿 元，同比+83.7%~+92.0%；预计实现核心经营利润 4.50~4.70 亿元， 同比+44.8%~+51.2%，全年收入和利润增长亮眼。 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | 6,094 | 6,470 | 7,802 | 9,424 | 11,363 | | 增长率（ % ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 28.07 CNY per share based on a 23X PE valuation for 2026 [6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a continuous upward trend in operations, with significant performance across multiple segments, particularly in the SLG (Simulation Game) and casual gaming categories [6]. - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be approximately 38 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 68.2% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach between 55.5 billion CNY and 69.8 billion CNY in 2025, indicating a substantial growth range of 357% to 475% year-on-year [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue Forecast: - 2023A: 13,285 million CNY - 2024A: 22,620 million CNY - 2025E: 38,036 million CNY - 2026E: 49,425 million CNY - 2027E: 54,029 million CNY - Growth Rates: 15.8% (2023A), 70.3% (2024A), 68.2% (2025E), 29.9% (2026E), 9.3% (2027E) [2][6]. - EBITDA Forecast: - 2023A: 2,666 million CNY - 2024A: 4,805 million CNY - 2025E: 8,536 million CNY - 2026E: 11,552 million CNY - 2027E: 15,297 million CNY [2]. - Net Profit Forecast: - 2023A: 524 million CNY - 2024A: 1,213 million CNY - 2025E: 6,076 million CNY - 2026E: 8,996 million CNY - 2027E: 12,072 million CNY - Growth Rates: -107.8% (2023A), 131.5% (2024A), 400.8% (2025E), 48.1% (2026E), 34.2% (2027E) [2][6]. - EPS Forecast: - 2023A: 0.07 CNY - 2024A: 0.16 CNY - 2025E: 0.82 CNY - 2026E: 1.22 CNY - 2027E: 1.64 CNY [2]. Market Position and Product Performance - The company has maintained a leading position in the SLG segment, with its flagship product "Whiteout Survival" achieving record highs in the overseas mobile game rankings [6]. - The casual gaming segment has also seen breakthroughs, with products like "Tasty Travels: Merge Game" entering the top 15 of the overseas mobile game rankings [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the construction industry is at a valuation bottom, combined with a seasonal uptick in spring, recommending "undervalued & well-positioned" large state-owned enterprises [4] - The report highlights a positive trend in new orders for major construction state-owned enterprises, with a notable increase in overseas orders outpacing domestic orders [4] - The cash flow situation is improving due to local government debt management and enhanced cash flow control at the enterprise level [4] - The report suggests that market capitalization management is becoming mainstream, with an emphasis on increasing dividend rates and stabilizing dividend amounts [4] - Investment recommendations include major state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Railway Construction, and others based on business performance, valuation, cash flow, and market capitalization management [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction sector is experiencing a recovery with improved order volumes and a focus on core engineering business [4] - The report notes that major state-owned enterprises have shown positive growth in new orders, with overseas orders increasing significantly [4] Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the price-to-book (PB) ratios for leading construction state-owned enterprises have returned to historical lows, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [4] Cash Flow Management - The report states that the net cash flow from operating activities in the construction industry has improved, indicating better cash flow management practices [4] Market Capitalization Management - The report discusses the trend of increasing dividend payouts among major state-owned enterprises, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as China State Construction, China Railway Construction, and others based on their strong fundamentals and attractive valuations [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a current price of HKD 25.24 and a fair value of HKD 27.14 [8]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant internal growth, particularly in its self-operated products, which are expected to continue expanding [2]. - The company reported a total revenue of RMB 2.312 billion for FY26H1, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.72%, and a notable 17% growth when excluding revenue from a specific live-streaming partnership [13]. - The gross profit margin increased by 2.8 percentage points to 36.4%, driven by a rise in self-operated product revenue, which grew by 18.1% to RMB 2 billion, accounting for 52.8% of the total GMV [14]. Summary by Sections 1. FY26H1 Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 2.312 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 5.72%. Excluding the impact of a specific partnership, the revenue growth was 17% [13]. - The net profit reached RMB 239 million, marking a return to profitability [13]. 2. Main Business Tracking - Self-operated products have expanded significantly, with SKU numbers exceeding 800, becoming a major component of GMV [21]. - The self-operated app's revenue increased from RMB 500 million in FY25H1 to RMB 600 million in FY26H1, indicating a growing preference for self-operated products among paid members [31]. - The company is actively expanding its presence on Douyin (TikTok) with multiple specialized accounts to cover various consumer needs [37]. 3. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve revenues of RMB 4.978 billion and adjusted net profits of RMB 492 million for the fiscal year 2026 [43]. - The report suggests a PE valuation of 52X for the company, leading to a fair market value of RMB 255.81 billion, or HKD 27.14 per share, maintaining the "Buy" rating [43].

[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|IT 服务Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 网宿科技（300017.SZ） 公司有望受益于 CDN 等云服务涨价趋势 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 1 / 6 972918116公共联系人2026-01-30 01:08:14 | 盈利预测： | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入 | 4,705 | 4,932 | 5,176 | 5,403 | 5,629 | | 增长率（ % ） | -7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | | EBITDA | 759 | 687 | 799 | 865 | 922 | | 归母净利润 | 613 | 675 | 826 | 758 | 821 | | 增长率（ % ） | 221.7% | 10.0% | 22.5% | -8.2% | 8.2% | | EPS ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略|点评报告 2026 年 1 月 30 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 晨会精选 ——观点全追踪（1 月第 7 期） [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： | [分析师： Table_Author]许可 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120004 | | SFC CE No. BUY008 | | | 0755-88285832 | | | xuke@gf.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 符蓉 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120002 | | SFC CE No. BWC944 | | | 021-38003552 | | | furong@gf.com.cn | | [联系人： Table_Contacts] 毕露露 bilulu@gf.com.cn 972918116公共联系人2026-01-30 00:22:10 1 / 3 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 ⚫ 交通运输：美伊冲突对油运的潜在影响：供给扰动主导，运价具备上行 弹性。未来的发展存在三种可能性：1.极限施压 ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|汽车 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 汽车行业 25 年四季度末公募基金超配汽车行业 0.62pct [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-29 [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 021-38003727 zhangliyue@gf.com.cn 分析师： 闫俊刚 SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 021-38003682 yanjungang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈飞彤 SAC 执证号：S0260524040002 SFC CE No. BWZ819 021-38003726 gfchenfeitong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 周伟 SAC 执证号：S0260522090001 021-38003684 gfzhwei@gf.com.cn 分析师： 罗英 SAC 执证号：S0260525110001 0755-82557403 shluoying@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6 ...

[Table_Page] 公告点评|公用事业Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【广发 环 保 & 海 外 】 粤 海 投 资 （00270.HK） 预告 25 年归母净利润同比增长 43%，股息价值突出 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 备注：除非特别说明，否则报告货币为港元 | 盈利预测： | | --- | | [Table_ 单位Finance] :港元百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | 20,322 | 18,505 | 18,528 | 18,667 | 18,769 | | 增长率（ % ） | -12.4% | -8.9% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | | EBITDA | 9,920 | 9,909 | 10,272 | 10,309 | 10,326 | | 归母净利润 | 4,370 | 4,297 | 4,493 | 4,638 | 4,770 | | 增长率（ % ） | -8.3% | -1.7% ...

业绩表现超预期，定价首饰占比提升强化盈利韧性 [Table_Title] 【广发批零社服&海外】周大福 （01929.HK） [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 盈利预测： | [Table_ 单位Finance] :港元百万元 | | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | | 108,713 | 89,656 | 94,150 | 101,463 | 108,211 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 14.8% | -17.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | | EBITDA | | 11,535 | 10,499 | 13,212 | 15,441 | 16,688 | | 归母净利润 | | 6,499 | 5,916 | 8,161 | 9,803 | 10,716 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 20.7% | -9.0% | 38.0% | 20.1% | 9.3% | | EPS（元/股） | | 0.65 | 0.59 | ...