Investment Rating - The investment rating for Postal Savings Bank is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [7]. Core Insights - The bank's revenue and profit have shown steady improvement, with a revenue of approximately 265.08 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.82% [2][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 76.562 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.98% [2][5]. - The bank's net interest margin recorded at 1.68%, a slight decrease of 2 basis points compared to the first half of 2025 [2]. - Non-interest income has significantly increased, with net fees and commissions rising by 11.48% year-on-year to 23.094 billion yuan, and investment income soaring by 76.70% to 31.651 billion yuan [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank's total interest-earning assets amounted to 18.35 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11.15% [3]. - The bank's interest-bearing liabilities stood at 17.30 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.81% [3]. - The non-performing loan ratio was reported at 0.94%, with a loan provision coverage ratio of 240.2% [4][5]. - The bank's projected net profit growth for 2025-2027 is estimated at 0.95%, 2.68%, and 3.98% respectively [5]. Asset and Liability Structure - The composition of interest-earning assets includes loans (51.43%), financial investments (35.28%), interbank lending (6.43%), and deposits with the central bank (6.86%) [3]. - The structure of interest-bearing liabilities is primarily composed of deposits (93.72%), bonds issued (1.82%), interbank liabilities (4.31%), and borrowings from the central bank (0.16%) [3]. Market Position and Valuation - The current price of the bank's stock is 5.75 yuan, with a target price yet to be specified [7]. - The bank's total market capitalization is approximately 576.37 billion yuan [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October, the main equity indices and the CSI Convertible Bond Index showed a "V" - shaped trend, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index down 0.11% for the month and up 16.99% year - to - date. The performance of convertible bonds varied by type and style, and the valuation of the convertible bond market reached a high level, with only A+ and A - rated convertible bonds having potential for valuation increase. The difference between market price and theoretical call redemption probability widened, and the timing strategy for the CSI Convertible Bond Index turned to a short - term buy signal. Some convertible bonds' credit risk may have increased marginally, and several investment strategies are recommended [1][2][3][4][5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Convertible Bond Market Tracking 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Index Tracking - As of October 31, the CSI Convertible Bond Index decreased by 0.11% in October, with a maximum drawdown of 3.15%, and its performance in terms of return - drawdown was relatively weak compared to the Shanghai Composite Index. Structurally, in October, the performance of debt - biased convertible bonds was relatively the best, and all three types of convertible bonds had weaker price changes than their corresponding underlying stocks. Historically, in November from 2018 - 2024, convertible bonds tended to rise, and the balanced convertible bonds had the highest median increase. In October, the performance of convertible bond style indices was significantly differentiated, and historically in November, the double - low and high - dividend styles had relatively high winning rates [12][16][20][22]. 3.1.2 Option Valuation Continues to Soar, Currently Above the 99th Percentile of History - The current valuation of the convertible bond market is at a high level, and the number of undervalued convertible bonds is low. Structurally, only A+ and A - rated convertible bonds have an overall valuation lower than the post - 2022 central level, presenting a structural opportunity. The weighted implied volatility spread of convertible bonds is also above the 99th percentile of history [2][26][31]. 3.1.3 The Expected Difference between Market Price and Theoretical Call Redemption Increases - Through the convertible bond pricing model, the expected probabilities of call redemption, debt repayment, and delisting at the initial point are obtained. In October, the expected debt - repayment probability increased, while the call - redemption and delisting probabilities decreased. The proportion of convertible bonds above 125 yuan continued to rise, but the theoretical call - redemption probability decreased, indicating an increase in the market's sentiment towards call - redemption conversion, and attention should be paid to potential market adjustments [3][37][39]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Strategies 3.2.1 Timing of the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Strategy Turns to Short - Term Buy Signal - A simple timing model using the RSJ and implied volatility spread indicators was constructed. The combined use of these two indicators has a better timing effect. As of the end of October, the strategy turned to a buy signal, but there may be short - term callback risks for the convertible bond index due to high valuation [4][43][51]. 3.2.2 Update of the Rating Prediction Model - A machine - learning algorithm based on multiple factors of convertible bond ratings was used to predict rating changes. The latest Q3 prediction results show that for some convertible bonds, the predicted downgrade probability has increased, and attention should be paid to potential marginal changes in credit risk [5][53][57]. 3.2.3 Convertible Bond Strategy Portfolio - **Option Low - Valuation Strategy**: Although the overall market valuation is high, undervalued convertible bonds can be selected through pricing models. The willow pricing low - valuation strategy has relatively high and stable excess returns and a small maximum drawdown [59][60]. - **Double - Low + Momentum and Other Strategies**: Combining momentum indicators on the basis of the traditional double - low strategy can increase historical returns and reduce the maximum drawdown. High - dividend convertible bonds are also recommended due to their investment value and defensive properties. Historically in November, the willow pricing low - valuation strategy had a relatively high winning rate [63][66]. 3.3 Details of Some Strategy Portfolios - The report provides the details of the willow pricing undervalued portfolio, double - low + momentum portfolio, and dividend + portfolio as of October 31, 2025 [69][70][71].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The agricultural sector is experiencing a mixed performance with significant opportunities in various sub-sectors, particularly in pig farming, cattle, pets, poultry, and planting industries. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong profitability and market positioning [3][4][5][6][8][26]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Pig Farming Sector - The decline in pig prices has led to a divergence in profitability among companies, highlighting the need to focus on expected differences in the pig farming sector. The average selling price of pigs in Q3 2025 was between 13-14 CNY/kg, down from 14-15 CNY/kg in H1 2025 [3][15]. - Key companies to watch include leading players like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff, with valuations at historical low levels [3][16]. 2. Cattle Sector - The raw milk price is stabilizing, while the beef cattle sector may be entering a super cycle. The average price for beef cattle in Q3 2025 was 25.88 CNY/kg, up 2.34% from the previous quarter [4][17]. - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [4][18]. 3. Pet Sector - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly rising. Major pet food companies reported revenues of 4.737 billion CNY for Guibao Pet and 3.860 billion CNY for Zhongchong Co., with growth rates of 29% and 21% respectively [5][19]. - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [5][20]. 4. Poultry Sector - The white chicken segment is under pressure, with a focus on the need for improved breeding practices. The average price for white chicken was reported to be 3.5 CNY/kg, with a slight increase [6][21]. - The yellow chicken market is expected to see price recovery due to seasonal demand, with companies like Lihua and Wens showing improved performance [6][23]. 5. Planting Sector - The seed industry is anticipated to recover, with a focus on the commercialization of genetically modified corn. Leading companies in the seed sector include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][26]. - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural technology and innovation in enhancing competitiveness [8][27]. 6. Feed and Animal Health Sectors - The feed sector has shown revenue and profit growth among leading companies, with Haida Group reporting a revenue increase of 13.24% [8][28]. - The animal health sector is facing challenges due to competition, but there are opportunities for innovation in vaccine development [8][32].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [4] Core Views - The construction sector experienced a decline of 1.35% this week, underperforming the broader market by 1.11 percentage points, with mergers, acquisitions, and technology-related stocks showing stronger performance [1][3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the construction sector reported a revenue decline of 5.10% and a net profit decline of 9.53%, with the revenue drop remaining consistent compared to the same period in 2024 [1][12] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 4.24% and a net profit decline of 17.52%, with an increase in expenses impacting profits [1][12] Summary by Sections 1. Construction Sector Performance - The construction sector's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 58,415 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 5.10% and a net profit of 1,239 billion yuan, down 9.53% [12][15] - The third quarter of 2025 showed a revenue decline of 4.24% and a net profit decline of 17.52%, with a slight improvement in revenue compared to the second quarter [1][12] 2. Central Enterprises - Only China Chemical, China Electric Power, and China Energy Construction reported positive revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with China Chemical also achieving positive net profit growth [2][15] - The current dividend yield for China Construction is at 5.00%, highlighting its strong performance in terms of dividends [2][15] 3. International Engineering - China National Materials achieved a revenue growth of 3.99% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a 4.48% growth in the third quarter [2][19] - Other international engineering companies faced significant revenue and profit pressure, with high dividend yields for China National Materials and China Steel International at 4.76% and 4.67% respectively [2][19] 4. Local State-Owned Enterprises - Local state-owned enterprises such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, Tibet Tianlu, and Xinjiang Communications Construction reported positive revenue and profit growth [2][22] - Xinjiang Communications Construction showed remarkable performance with a revenue growth of 38.58% and a net profit growth of 147.73% in the first three quarters of 2025 [2][22] 5. Professional Engineering - Companies in the semiconductor cleanroom sector, such as Shenghui Integration, reported significant growth, with a revenue increase of 59.40% and a net profit increase of 93.89% in the third quarter of 2025 [2][20] - The overall performance in the professional engineering sector showed a clear divergence, with some companies experiencing strong growth while others faced challenges [2][20] 6. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the construction sector's recovery, particularly in infrastructure investments driven by government initiatives [29] - Key recommendations include local state-owned enterprises in high-growth regions such as Sichuan and Zhejiang, as well as central enterprises like China Communications Construction and China Railway Construction [29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained rating) with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue growth is gradually recovering, with a reported revenue of approximately 161.23 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 1.82% but an improvement of 0.47 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [2][4]. - The net interest income for the same period was 110.96 billion yuan, down 0.56% year-on-year, accounting for 68.82% of total revenue, while non-interest income was 50.28 billion yuan, down 4.47% year-on-year [2]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.08% as of the third quarter of 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter [3][19]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 63.08 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.12% year-on-year [1][4]. - The bank's net interest margin recorded at 1.72%, a decrease of 3 basis points from the first half of 2025 [2]. - The bank's total interest-earning assets reached 10.29 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.59% [3]. Asset and Liability Structure - As of the third quarter of 2025, the bank's interest-bearing liabilities amounted to 9.43 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.18% [3]. - The structure of interest-bearing liabilities includes deposits (61.85%), bond issuance (9.80%), interbank liabilities (27.25%), and borrowing from the central bank (1.10%) [3][18]. Profitability Forecast - The company is projected to see a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027, with expected growth rates of +0.09%, +2.51%, and +3.90% respectively [4][20]. - The estimated book value per share (BPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 37.77 yuan, 39.56 yuan, and 41.21 yuan respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][18] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant improvement in gross margin in Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 11 percentage points to 27.5%, leading to a notable growth in net profit [1][2] - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 3.109 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 29.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 440 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.78% [1] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 650 million, 1.02 billion, and 1.11 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.9, 8.87, and 8.15 [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company reported a revenue of 1.425 billion, down 9.05% year-on-year, but net profit rose by 39.6% to 282 million [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 21.8%, up 8.81 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 14.23%, an increase of 4.3 percentage points [2] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 1.07 billion, a decrease of 272 million year-on-year [2] Market Opportunities - The company has secured multiple projects in Singapore, including a significant order worth approximately 1.582 billion, which is expected to enhance its market share in the region [3] - The report highlights the potential for increased overseas revenue, particularly from Singapore, where the gross margin is expected to be higher than domestic projects [3]

Group 1 - The equity market experienced a narrow "V-shaped" trend in October, with the Sci-Tech 50 index leading the decline with a drop of 5.33% [3][13] - The convertible bond market showed weakness, with AAA-rated convertible bonds rising by 1.40% in October, while high-priced convertible bonds fell by 2.72% [3][34] - As of October 31, the median price of convertible bonds remained above 132.34 yuan, marking a relatively high level since 2017, with a median premium rate of 30.43% [3][32] Group 2 - The October PMI weakened, indicating that there is still potential for economic stability, with the manufacturing PMI dropping to 49.0% [4][54] - Approximately 51.6% of convertible bond underlying stocks saw a year-on-year decline in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with industries like petrochemicals, steel, and environmental protection showing upward performance [4][51] - The report suggests focusing on high-quality convertible bonds that benefit from improving fundamentals and economic conditions, particularly in sectors supported by domestic policies such as transportation, steel, and coal [5][57] Group 3 - In November, it is recommended to maintain a neutral position in convertible bonds and seek quality targets based on fundamental improvements [5][57] - The report highlights the importance of low-priced convertible bonds and equity-type convertible bonds, particularly in sectors like AI, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][57] - The convertible bond market is expected to see a reopening of incremental funds, which could boost valuations, especially for mid-to-low-priced large-cap convertible bonds [5][57]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [5]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in operating performance, with a revenue of 794.7 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 115.4 billion yuan, up 4.0% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is focusing on segmented market expansion, enhancing value management, and implementing growth plans in personal and family markets. As of September 30, 2025, the total mobile customer base reached 1.009 billion, with 5G customers at 622 million [2][3]. - The company aims for stable revenue growth and good profit growth in 2025, with specific targets for customer increases in various segments, including over 70 million new 5G customers and over 18 million new gigabit broadband customers [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 250.9 billion yuan, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 31.1 billion yuan, up 1.4% year-on-year [1]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 145.3 billion yuan, 152.5 billion yuan, and 160.0 billion yuan respectively, indicating a consistent growth trajectory [4]. Business Segments - **Personal Market**: The company is enhancing its market presence with a focus on existing customer value and growth plans. Mobile data traffic increased by 8.3% year-on-year, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of 48.0 yuan [2]. - **Family Market**: The company has 329 million broadband customers, with a net increase of 14.2 million in the first three quarters. The family customer ARPU stands at 44.4 yuan [2]. - **Enterprise Market**: The company is strengthening its platform operations and AI development, with significant growth in its DICT business and AI revenue [2]. Future Outlook - The company plans to achieve stable revenue and profit growth in 2025, with specific targets for customer growth across various segments, including a net increase of 4.3 million enterprise customers and rapid growth in international business [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [3][55]. Core Viewpoints - The adjustment of toll standards in the central and western provinces has begun, with some exceeding 0.6 yuan per vehicle per kilometer, reaching up to 1.2 yuan [5][11]. - Toll increases are expected to become a trend, starting from the central and western regions and potentially spreading to the eastern regions due to fiscal pressures and ongoing operational costs [6][23]. - The potential for price increases in the central and western provinces is greater than in the eastern provinces, with specific companies likely to benefit from these adjustments [7][43]. Summary by Sections Toll Standard Adjustments - Toll standards have been raised in several provinces, with the highest reaching 1.2 yuan per vehicle per kilometer in Sichuan and exceeding 0.6 yuan in Hubei [10][11]. - The increase in toll rates is linked to construction costs and revenue needs, with various provinces employing different methods to justify these increases [12][14]. Fiscal Pressures - The revenue shortfall for operational and debt repayment highways has been increasing, with a reported deficit of 230 billion yuan for operational highways in 2019 [19][23]. - The debt balance of highways has also been rising, reaching 58,045 billion yuan, which is 5.8% of nominal GDP [19][22]. Continuous Operations and Investment Returns - The need for price increases is driven by rising construction costs and inflation, which affect the operational sustainability of highway projects [29][32]. - The profitability of highway assets has been declining despite increased mileage, indicating a potential "growth trap" in infrastructure investments [32][31]. Regional Price Increase Potential - The central and western provinces face higher fiscal pressures and lower toll revenues, suggesting a greater potential for toll increases compared to eastern provinces [43][44]. - Companies with longer toll collection durations and higher passenger vehicle ratios are expected to benefit more from potential price hikes [46][48].

Domestic Economic Overview - In September, industrial enterprise profits showed a slight recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, up from 20.4% in the previous month. The year-to-date profit growth for January to September was reported at 3.2%, compared to 0.9% previously [14] - The manufacturing PMI for October decreased to 49%, down from 49.8% in September, indicating continued contraction. The non-manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 50.1% from 50% [8][9] - The supply side showed marginal declines, with new orders and production indices both down. The upstream price index has also declined for two consecutive months [8][9] International Economic Context - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in October, bringing the benchmark rate to a range of 3.75%-4.00%. This marks the second consecutive rate cut [33][34] - The geopolitical landscape remains tense, with ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East impacting global economic conditions. A joint statement from Western nations emphasized support for Ukraine and a call for immediate ceasefire [28][30] Industry Allocation Recommendations - Investment strategies are focused on three main directions: 1) Breakthroughs in technology AI led by Deepseek, 2) Economic recovery with a "stronger stronger" market style, and 3) Continued rise of undervalued dividends [38] - The report emphasizes the importance of the Hang Seng Internet sector, suggesting that the performance of undervalued dividends is closely tied to advancements in the AI industry [38]