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陕天然气(002267):管输业务盈利稳健,公司引入积极股东
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-27 00:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6][17]. Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 4.85 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.47% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 509 million yuan, down 12.62% year-on-year [1]. - The long-distance pipeline business showed stable profitability with a revenue of 3.23 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a slight increase of 0.04% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 22.89%, up 0.77 percentage points [2]. - The adjustment of natural gas pipeline transportation prices in Shaanxi province, effective from June 1, 2025, will have a short-term negative impact on profits but is expected to stimulate user demand in the long run [3]. - The introduction of active shareholders through the transfer of shares by the controlling shareholder is expected to optimize the company's equity structure and enhance its core competitiveness [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's operating income is projected to reach 9.71 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 7.50% [5]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 has been revised down to 704.81 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.65% compared to previous estimates [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.63 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.62 [5].
天风证券晨会集萃-20250827
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 23:46
制作:产品中心 《策略|"十五五"前瞻初探——"十五五"研究系列》 1、"十五五"规划展望。自 1953 年开始制定第一个"五年计划"以来, 我国已发布十四个"五年规划"。完善统一大市场:推进统一大市场建设 重点在于打破地方保护和市场分割,促进资源的高效配置流动,激发各类 市场主体活力与创造力。2、促进民生消费:"十五五"规划可能在以下几 方面进一步对消费进行支持:1.财政支出从投资进一步转向民生;2.大力 支持消费结构升级。3、深化国有企业改革:整体来看,预计"十五五" 中,国有企业改革整体思路或依旧延续精细化区分、"一企一策"的思路, 同时要积极探索尝试有利于创新的国有企业经营机制和公司治理模式。4、 健全资本市场稳定机制:"十五五"期间资本市场改革思路或转向"构建 内在稳定、韧性强的现代化资本市场生态系统"。整体来看,"十五五"期 间的资本市场稳定机制建设将是一个系统性的工程,完成从"政策驱动" 到"制度驱动"、从"单一维度"到"生态系统"的转型,推动资本市场 高质量发展,助力加快建设金融强国。 证券研究报告 | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 $$\overline{{{\prod_{\mathrm ...
普冉股份(688766):2025H1营收创新高,“存储+”增速显著,战略投入筑牢未来发展根基
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 14:42
公司报告 | 半年报点评 普冉股份(688766) 证券研究报告 2025H1 营收创新高,"存储+"增速显著,战略投入筑牢未来发展根基 事件:公司发布 2025 半年报。公司实现营业总收入 9.07 亿元,同比增加 1.19%,创历史新高;实现归母净利润 4073.34 万元,同比下降 70.05%;扣非净利润 2,664.94 万元,同比下降 82.40%。虽受行业周期波动及研发投入 增加影响同比有所下降,但"存储+"战略下的新产品线放量、持续的项目和客户突破及研发储备的厚积薄发,正为 公司构筑长期增长的护城河。 点评:2025H1公司实现营收新高,存储业务巩固基石,"存储+"系列持续放量。公司2025H1营收创新高主要系: 1)公司把握契机,不断开拓市场领域和客户群体,同时根据客户需求及时进行技术和产品创新,持续丰富和优化 产品品类和结构。2)在产品线布局方面,随着公司近年持续高投入的研发项目逐步落地,如大容量 NOR Flash、 M0+、M4、Driver、SPD 等逐步放量,公司快速把握新增领域增量市场机遇,提高新产品市场渗透率。 存储主业巩固优势,工业、车规等打开增量市场。作为国内 NOR Fl ...
伟星股份(002003):短期受不利因素干扰,长期优势相对明确
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 13:13
公司报告 | 半年报点评 伟星股份(002003) 证券研究报告 短期受不利因素干扰,长期优势相对明确 公司发布 25 年半年报 从产品结构看,拉链业务仍是主力,收入达 12.9 元,占比 55.3%,同比+2.7%; 钮扣收入 9.3 亿元,占比 39.6%,同比微降 0.17%;其他服饰辅料收入 8467 万元,同比+11.2%。 公司毛利率保持较高水平。25H1 公司毛利率 42.9%,同比+1pct;其中拉 链毛利率 43.3%,同比略增 0.43pct;钮扣毛利率 43.5%,同比+1.4pct。 截至 25 年 H1 公司存货数量包括纽扣 5.4 亿粒(同比-17%)以及拉链 2733 万米(同比-14%),库存周转天数分别为 31/29 天。 国际业务增速显著,推进全球产能布局 从地区来看,国内业务收入 14.7 亿元,占比 63%,同比-4%;国际业务收 入 8.6 亿元,占 37%,同比+14%,成为增长的主要驱动力。国际业务毛利 率 44.1%,同比+1.2pct,国内业务毛利率 42.2%,同比+0.9pct,海外业务 对毛利率拉动较为明显。 25 年上半年公司总产能为纽扣 63 亿粒, ...
中钢国际(000928):25Q2扣非业绩大涨,毛利率水平大幅改善
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 12:42
公司报告 | 半年报点评 中钢国际(000928) 证券研究报告 25Q2 扣非业绩大涨,毛利率水平大幅改善 Q2 扣非利润同比+18%,维持买入评级 公司发布 2025 年半年报,上半年公司实现营收 67.45 亿元,同比-25.66%, 归母净利润 4.24 亿元,同比+1.11%,扣非归母净利润 4.22 亿元,同比 +13.01%。其中,25Q2 单季实现营收 32.26 亿元,同比-22.67%,归母、扣 非归母净利润为 1.93、1.91 亿元,同比分别-5.88%、+17.92%。上半年收入 增速显著慢于扣非利润增速主要系毛利率同比大幅改善、非经常性损益项 目大幅减少,考虑到上半年公司业绩放缓,我们下调公司 2025-2027 年归 母净利润 8.6/9.5/10.4 亿元(前值分别为 9.65/11.2/12.8 亿元),按照公司 24 年末 51.4%的分红比例计算,25 年公司股息率接近 5%,继续维持"买 入"评级。 上半年毛利率水平大幅改善,境外带动公司整体收入增长 分业务来看,25 年上半年公司工程总承包、商品销售、服务业务分别实现 营收 63.16、3.06、1.08 亿元,同比- ...
中矿资源(002738):二季度锂价和Tsumeb冶炼厂拖累业绩,中长期向好态势不改
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 11:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company's performance in the second quarter was significantly impacted by declining lithium prices and ongoing losses at the Tsumeb smelter, but the long-term outlook remains positive [1][4] - The lithium and cesium rubidium segments together account for 62% of the company's revenue, indicating their importance to the overall business [3] - The company is expected to recover in the medium to long term, with anticipated improvements in lithium prices and operational efficiencies at the Tsumeb smelter [4][5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.267 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.89%, with Q2 revenue of 1.730 billion yuan, up 33.6% year-on-year and 12.62% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 89 million yuan, down 81.16% year-on-year, primarily due to the decline in lithium prices and a loss of 205 million yuan from the Tsumeb smelter [1] Production and Sales - The company's lithium salt production capacity is set to increase to 71,000 tons, with lithium concentrate capacity at 4.18 million tons [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company sold 17,869 tons of lithium salt, a 6.37% increase year-on-year, and directly sold 34,834 tons of lithium spodumene concentrate [2] Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for the company in the first half of 2025 was 17.96%, a decrease of 23.66 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to falling lithium prices and losses from the Tsumeb smelter [4] - The gross margin for the lithium segment was 10.89%, down 24.66 percentage points year-on-year, with lithium carbonate prices dropping to a low of 59,100 yuan [4] Future Outlook - The company maintains a multi-metal platform development strategy, with expectations for net profits of 375 million yuan, 779 million yuan, and 1.027 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The report suggests a long-term perspective on the company, with a maintained "Accumulate" rating due to potential recovery in the lithium segment and overall market conditions [5]
中烟香港(06055):25H1业绩延续高增长,加大股东回报力度,积极培育新业务
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 10:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [4][13]. Core Viewpoints - The company reported a revenue of HKD 10.316 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.5%, and a net profit of HKD 706 million, up 9.8% year-on-year. The interim dividend per share was HKD 0.19, an increase of 26.7% year-on-year [1][3]. - The tobacco leaf import and export business benefited from rising tobacco leaf prices, while the self-operated proportion of the cigarette business continued to increase. The company is positioned as the exclusive operator for international business expansion and related trade for China National Tobacco Corporation, which is expected to continue driving high-quality growth [1][2]. - The company has a unique operating model with strong cash flow and bargaining power, backed by China National Tobacco Group. It is anticipated to benefit from overseas expansion and potential acquisitions in the future [2][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the tobacco leaf export business generated revenue of HKD 1.156 billion, up 25.9% year-on-year, accounting for 11.2% of total revenue. The gross margin was 5.5%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points [8]. - The tobacco leaf import business achieved revenue of HKD 8.399 billion, a 23.5% increase year-on-year, making up 81.4% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 8.2%, down 2.8 percentage points [8]. - The cigarette export business reported revenue of HKD 552 million, a slight increase of 0.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.7%, up 3.5 percentage points [8]. - The new tobacco products export business saw a significant decline in revenue, down 66.5% year-on-year to HKD 15 million, accounting for 0.1% of total revenue [8]. - The Brazilian operations generated revenue of HKD 195 million, down 50.3% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.4%, up 10.2 percentage points [8]. Business Model and Competitive Advantage - The company holds a rare exclusive operating right for international tobacco business, which is expected to provide continued benefits from overseas expansion and mergers and acquisitions [2][3]. - The business model is characterized by strong cash flow and high bargaining power, supported by a stable revenue growth trend due to existing pricing policies [2][3].
中岩大地(003001):盈利能力持续改善,或将受益于雅下水电+核电工程
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 10:16
公司报告 | 半年报点评 中岩大地(003001) 证券研究报告 盈利能力持续改善,或将受益于雅下水电+核电工程 Q2 归母净利润稳健增长,继续维持"买入"评级 公司发布 2025 年半年报,上半年公司实现营收 3.61 亿元,同比-11.77%, 归母净利润0.21 亿元,同比+2.69%,扣非归母净利润0.19 亿元,同比-6.59%。 其中,25Q2 单季实现营收 1.99 亿元,同比-26.96%,归母、扣非归母净利 润均为 0.1 亿元,同比分别-35.59%、-44.24%。上半年公司营收虽同比有所 下滑,但公司的盈利能力、资产质地及运营质量依然良好。我们维持公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润的盈利预测:1.5/2.9/4.2 亿元,继续维持"买入" 评级。 上半年毛利率大幅提升,费用率仍有改善空间 分业务来看,25 年上半年公司岩土工程、产品销售分别实现营收 3.4、0.18 亿元,同比+6.96%、-77.22%,毛利率分别为 25.03%、18.08%,同比分别+3.37、 +3.48pct。25H1 公司整体毛利率为 24.44%,同比+3.09pct,期间费用率同 比提升 4.64p ...
豪美新材(002988):收入稳步增长,毛利率同比下滑拖累业绩
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 09:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a downward adjustment [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.585 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.86%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company was 92 million, down 25.7% year-on-year [1] - The revenue growth is primarily driven by increased business volume in automotive lightweight aluminum profiles, system windows, and industrial aluminum profiles [1] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 218 million, 245 million, and 281 million respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 53, 47, and 41 [1] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company's aluminum profile sales reached 140,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.37% [2] - Revenue from automotive lightweight aluminum profiles, building aluminum profiles, industrial aluminum profiles, and system windows was 960 million, 940 million, 1.36 billion, and 300 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.3%, 1.3%, 18.0%, and 28% [2] - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.7%, a decrease of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year [3] Cost and Cash Flow - The company's expense ratio slightly increased to 7.96%, with a net profit margin of 2.56%, down 1.38 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first half of 2025 was 6.7 million, an increase of 8.2 million year-on-year [4] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts revenue growth rates of 10.60%, 11.46%, 14.27%, 11.33%, and 10.61% for the years 2023 to 2027 [5] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 217.75 million, with an expected P/E ratio of 52.54 [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is exploring overseas market opportunities, including establishing a production base for automotive parts in Morocco [2] - The company is also focusing on enhancing the penetration rate of system windows in response to policies promoting quality housing and green building [2]
赛特新材(688398):Q2业绩继续承压,以旧换新+新能效标准保障下游需求
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-26 08:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6][17] Core Views - The company experienced steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 469 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, but faced a significant decline in net profit, which fell by 77.66% to 12 million yuan [1] - The decline in profitability is attributed to several factors, including a decrease in the selling price of vacuum insulation panels, rising material costs, and increased management expenses due to expanded operations [1][3] - The company has achieved record high production and sales volumes for its core product, vacuum insulation panels, with revenue of 452 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.78% [2] - The company is actively expanding its applications in new energy sectors and has been engaging in technical exchanges with related enterprises to promote its products [2] Financial Performance Summary - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 23.9%, a decrease of 9.57 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 2.58%, down 9.4 percentage points [3] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 31 million yuan, a decrease of 28 million yuan year-on-year, primarily due to reduced tax refunds and increased cash payments to employees [3] - The report projects a downward adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, estimating 70 million yuan, 120 million yuan, and 180 million yuan respectively, compared to previous estimates of 140 million yuan, 180 million yuan, and 240 million yuan [4] Market Demand and Policy Support - The demand for the company's products is expected to be supported by government policies promoting the replacement of old appliances and new energy efficiency standards, with significant funding allocated for these initiatives [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the VIP market driven by these policies [4]