Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][17]. Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 24.30% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 2.651 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 44.63%, amounting to 229 million yuan [1][4]. - The company is deeply engaged in the silicone sealant industry and is actively advancing its silicon-carbon anode material business, which has seen rapid sales growth [3][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross profit was 571 million yuan, a 30% increase compared to the same period in 2024, with a gross margin of 21.5%, up by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a gross profit of 197 million yuan, a 9.7% increase year-on-year, but a 4.5% decrease quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin of 20.9% [2]. - The company’s total expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 were 331 million yuan, an increase of 77 million yuan year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses all rising [2]. Business Development - The company has developed a comprehensive product system including high-end silicone sealants, hot melt adhesives, silane coupling agents, and silicon-carbon anodes, supported by nine production bases with an annual capacity of 370,000 tons [3]. - The silicon-carbon anode material project is progressing as planned, with a 50-ton/year pilot production line established in 2019 and a 5,000-ton/year project under construction [3]. - The company is enhancing its market share by expanding its customer base and strengthening relationships with strategic clients, aiming to accelerate the commercialization of silicon-carbon anodes in the high-end battery market [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 310 million yuan, 400 million yuan, and 510 million yuan respectively [4]. - The financial data indicates a revenue forecast of 3.926 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 24.26% [4].

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of "consumption" and "technology" in the context of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session, highlighting a shift towards high-quality development and technological self-reliance [2][29] - The report notes that the economic growth rate for Q3 2025 was slightly above expectations at 4.8%, with industrial production showing a strong recovery [29] - The report suggests that the stock market may experience upward trends following the release of the plenary session's communiqué, with historical data indicating positive performance in the days following similar announcements [2][29] Group 2 - The report identifies key sectors for investment, including storage chips, engineering machinery, and sectors benefiting from policy support such as real estate and photovoltaics [3] - The report highlights the ongoing volatility in the bond market, driven by factors such as U.S.-China trade tensions and expectations of monetary policy adjustments [5] - The report indicates that the electric aluminum sector is transitioning from scale expansion to quality improvement, with an expected increase in dividend payouts and valuation enhancements for companies like China Hongqiao [17] Group 3 - The report discusses the performance of specific companies, such as Buydeem, which has shown significant revenue growth driven by its core brand business [20] - The report highlights the potential for new growth in the precision parts sector, particularly in robotics, as companies leverage their technological advantages [18] - The report notes that the education sector, represented by Action Education, is experiencing a rebound in cash collections and is expanding its operations through a "100 School Plan" [22]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality economic development, with a focus on technological innovation and new productive forces as the main development line [13][14] - Expectations for infrastructure stimulus in Q4 are rising, with the construction sector likely to benefit from incremental funds and policy catalysts [18][31] Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan" and Infrastructure Stimulus - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights the importance of high-quality development, emphasizing the need for a strong real economy and technological innovation [13][14] - Q4 infrastructure stimulus expectations are increasing, with significant issuance of special bonds and government bonds, totaling 3.68 trillion yuan in special bonds issued by September 2025, accounting for 83.6% of the annual quota [18][23] 2. Market Review - The construction index rose by 2.87% during the week of October 20-24, underperforming the broader market by 0.54 percentage points [25] - Notable stock performances included Huylv Ecological (+33%), China Nuclear Engineering (+23%), and Shikong Technology (+21%) [25] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on infrastructure investment opportunities in high-growth regions such as Xinjiang and Tibet, and consider companies involved in water conservancy, railways, and aviation projects [31] - Emphasize the nuclear power sector, recommending companies like China Nuclear Engineering and Libat, which are positioned well in the nuclear construction chain [33][15] - Highlight the importance of emerging business directions, including cleanroom technology and AI-driven computing infrastructure, suggesting companies like Boche and Shenghui Integration [33]

固定收益 | 固定收益点评 迎接"超级央行周" 证券研究报告 海外跟踪周报 20251026 海外市场复盘（10.20-10.24） 海外权益，欧美股市普遍上涨。周一，随着贸易形势缓和，美股上涨；周 三，由于贸易紧张局势再度升温，美股三大指数收跌，大型科技股多数收 跌；周四周五，受科技股走强带动，以及 9 月 CPI 通胀数据低于预期令市 场对降息路径的信心增强，提振美股三大指数上涨、齐创新高。 外汇方面，本周美元小幅收涨。周一周二，市场对贸易协议乐观的情绪提 振美元上涨；周三回调，周四五继续上行。 利率方面，10Y 美债收益率本周收平。本周美债收益率窄幅波动。周五， 美国 CPI 低于预期，美债收益率一度大幅下行，此后受超预期的 Markit PMI 数据推动，收益率回升。 商品方面，黄金大跌、原油大涨。本周一，黄金延续上周的强势涨势，而 周二，黄金跌超过 5%，投资者因担心近期历史性的上涨令其估值过高而锁 定利润。周四黄金小幅回升，但周五再次下跌。本周原油大涨，主因美国 宣布制裁俄罗斯两大石油企业、以及特朗普重申印度将停止购买俄罗斯石 油。 海外央行动态 本周是 FOMC 会议之前的"噤声期"，美联储官员 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [7] Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computing power industry chain, particularly in overseas markets, which remain robust despite challenges such as DeepSeek and trade frictions. The domestic AI industry and AIDC chain are also expected to thrive, with 2025 potentially marking a pivotal year for AI infrastructure and applications in China [4][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of "AI + overseas expansion + satellites" as key investment opportunities, recommending focus on core sectors such as optical modules, liquid cooling, and domestic computing power lines [4][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Artificial Intelligence and Digital Economy - Recommended stocks in optical modules and optical devices include: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and Yuanjie Technology. Suggested stocks include: Guangxun Technology, Suosi, Dingtong Technology, and others [5][27]. - For switch server PCBs, recommended stocks are: Hudian Co., Zhongxing Communications, and Unisplendour. Suggested stocks include: Shengke Communication, Ruijie Networks, and others [5][27]. - Low valuation and high dividend stocks include: China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom [5][27]. - In AIDC and cooling solutions, recommended stocks are: Yingweike, Runze Technology, and others. Suggested stocks include: Shenling Environment and others [5][27]. - For AIGC applications and edge computing power, recommended stocks are: Yiyuan Communication, Guanghetong, and Meige Intelligent. Suggested stocks include: Caixun Co., Mengwang Technology, and others [5][27]. 2. Offshore Wind and Submarine Cables & Intelligent Driving - Recommended stocks in submarine cables include: Hengtong Optic-Electric and Zhongtian Technology. Suggested stocks include: Dongfang Cable [6][29]. - For offshore recovery and leading concentration, recommended stocks are: Huace Navigation, Weisheng Information, and others. Suggested stocks include: Heertai and Yiyuan Communication [6][29]. - In intelligent driving, suggested stocks include: modules and terminals, sensors, connectors, and structural components [6][29]. 3. Commercial Aerospace - The report highlights the rapid development of low-orbit satellites and the promotion of the low-altitude economy. Recommended stocks include: Huace Navigation and Haige Communication. Suggested stocks include: Chengchang Technology, Zhenlei Technology, and others [6][30]. 4. Industry Dynamics - Longfly Optical won the bid for China Telecom's G.654.E optical fiber procurement, with approximately 2.24 million core kilometers involved, marking a significant increase in demand for G.654.E fibers [2][18][20]. - Shanghai Yuanxin is undergoing a new round of financing, aiming for 5 to 6 billion yuan, with a pre-financing valuation exceeding 40 billion yuan, indicating strong investor confidence in the satellite industry [3][21][23]. 5. Market Performance - The communication sector saw an increase of 11.56% from October 20 to October 24, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 8.31 percentage points [31]. - Key stocks that performed well include: Yuanjie Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang, while stocks that declined include: Wanma Technology and Zhongguang Fanglei [35].

Group 1: Davis Double-Click Strategy - The Davis Double-Click strategy involves buying stocks with growth potential at lower price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, selling them once growth is realized and PE increases, thus achieving a multiplier effect on earnings per share (EPS) and PE [1][8] - The strategy achieved an annualized return of 26.45% during the backtest period from 2010 to 2017, outperforming the benchmark by 21.08% [10] - Year-to-date, the strategy has delivered a cumulative absolute return of 55.24%, exceeding the CSI 500 index by 28.47% [11] Group 2: Net Profit Discontinuity Strategy - The Net Profit Discontinuity strategy focuses on selecting stocks based on fundamental and technical resonance, where "net profit" refers to earnings surprises and "discontinuity" indicates a significant upward price gap on the first trading day after earnings announcements [12] - Since 2010, this strategy has achieved an annualized return of 29.60%, with an annualized excess return of 26.53% over the benchmark [14] - The cumulative absolute return for the current year is 60.18%, with an excess return of 33.40% over the benchmark index [14] Group 3: Enhanced CSI 300 Portfolio - The Enhanced CSI 300 portfolio is constructed based on investor preference factors, including GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price), growth, and value investing styles [15] - The strategy seeks undervalued stocks with strong profitability and stable growth potential, utilizing PBROE and PEG factors for stock selection [15] - Year-to-date, the portfolio has outperformed the CSI 300 index by 16.27% [17]

Group 1 - The report highlights a divergence between credit rates and government bond yields, with credit spreads compressing due to stable funding and external factors such as tariff frictions and market dynamics [3][9]. - The net buying power for credit bonds, particularly "Puxin" bonds, remains strong, supporting the credit market's performance against interest rate movements [3][10]. - The report notes that the compression of credit spreads is more pronounced in "Puxin" bonds compared to perpetual bonds, with longer-term "Puxin" bonds and certain AA-rated city investment bonds leading the market [16][24]. Group 2 - The divergence in credit rates this year is attributed to the relatively poor liquidity of credit bonds and external supply-demand factors, such as the growth of credit bond ETFs, which have increased allocation demand [4][34]. - The report suggests that the current credit spread compression may have limited further upside, advising caution in trading strategies and recommending a focus on short credit positions [5][37]. - Specific investment opportunities include targeting bonds with yields above 2.0%, while maintaining a cautious stance on longer-duration perpetual bonds until new regulations are finalized [39][40].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintained Rating) [12] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential of edge AI, predicting a significant growth year in 2026, with a focus on supply chain opportunities and key players like Luxshare Precision in the edge AI supply chain [1][5][6] - Apple is set to launch AI features in the Chinese market, with the iPhone 17 series performing well, reaching a market cap of $3.89 trillion on October 21 [2][20] - The consumer-grade AR industry is entering a new phase with the launch of Thunderbird's Air 4 series AR glasses, which feature advanced technology and aim to make AR accessible to the general public [3][26] - Meta's AI glasses have seen sales exceed expectations, with a projected shipment of 4-5 million units in 2025, indicating strong market demand [4][34][37] - OpenAI's launch of ChatGPT Atlas is expected to lead to the development of new edge AI devices by the end of 2026 or early 2027, enhancing the consumer electronics ecosystem [5][38][39] - Luxshare Precision is showcasing its leadership in AR technology and AI interconnect solutions, indicating its strong position in the consumer electronics sector [6][40] Summary by Sections Edge AI Developments - Apple is advancing its AI capabilities in China, with plans to release the iPhone Air and M5 chip, enhancing AI processing and graphics performance significantly [2][21] - Thunderbird Innovation has launched the Air 4 series AR glasses, featuring the world's first AR quality chip, Vision 4000, which supports HDR10 and aims to democratize AR technology [3][26] - Meta's Ray-Ban smart glasses have seen a sales increase of over 200% year-on-year, with strong market performance expected to continue [4][34][36] OpenAI and New Technologies - OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas is a new AI browser that redefines web browsing experiences, integrating AI functionalities directly into the browsing process [5][38] - OpenAI is also developing various hardware devices, including a screenless smart speaker, with a target release date in late 2026 or early 2027 [39] Luxshare Precision's Innovations - Luxshare Precision is showcasing multiple AR technology products and advanced optical interconnect solutions, reinforcing its leadership in the consumer electronics industry [6][40]

Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not provide the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, the bond market may continue to fluctuate within a range. The major factors such as Sino - US tariff game, central bank's reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, and new regulations on fund sales fees remain uncertain, causing the bond market to fluctuate repeatedly. The market has fully priced the stable capital situation and is relatively insensitive to the fundamentals, so the bond market lacks a clear downward momentum. Attention should be paid to the potential emotional impact under the expectation of the implementation of the new regulations on public fund sales fees. One should try to seize intervention opportunities during adjustments but handle it with a cautious and oscillatory mindset [24]. - The spread trading may gradually enter the second half. The market's pre - emptive trading in bond - swapping may come to an end as a whole, and the further compression space of the "CDB - Treasury bond" spread needs to continuously observe the buying momentum of the allocation portfolio [24]. Summary by Directory 1. Bond Market Review: Stable Funds, Fluctuating Bond Market - **10 - year Treasury Bond's "N" - shaped Trend**: This week, the bond market fluctuated mainly following factors such as Sino - US tariff game, expectations of new regulations on fund sales fees, central bank's reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts, and restart of bond purchases. The 10 - year Treasury bond active bond yield showed an "N" - shaped trend. In the early part of the week, the easing of tariff game boosted market risk appetite and led to bond market adjustments. Then, the expectation of reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts dominated the market, with the long - end warming up significantly, showing a "stock - bond double - bull" situation. In the second half of the week, the upcoming Sino - US economic and trade consultations in Malaysia, combined with the "14th Five - Year Plan" opening up the market's imagination of subsequent policies and the decline of broad - money expectations, put pressure on the bond market again under the "stock - bond seesaw" effect [8]. - **Stable Funds Support the Bond Market**: This week, although the expectations of "double cuts" were dashed, the capital situation remained balanced and loose. Limited disturbances and previous large - scale outright reverse repurchase injections, along with a relatively stable rhythm of reverse repurchase operations during the week, consolidated the seasonal stability of the capital situation and provided some bottom support for the bond market. However, there seems to be an emerging pressure on the bank's liability side, with a slight increase in certificate of deposit (CD) prices. Next week, capital disturbances will increase, but thanks to the central bank's active support, the capital situation still has some support, and the pressure is expected to be relatively controllable [10]. 2. This Week's Focus: Spread Trading and Coupon Defense - **Rapid Deduction of Structural Market**: Since mid - October, the market has been trading on the expectation of the 30 - year Treasury bond swap, driving the ultra - long end down rapidly. The spread between "25 Special 6" and "25 Special 2" has quickly compressed from the high of 16BP on October 14th to around 11BP currently, approaching the central level. The CDB - Treasury bond spread has also entered a downward channel. As the market's pre - pricing of the new regulations on fund sales fees may have come to a temporary end, the probability of a significant impact in the short - term is limited, and the trading sentiment of funds has gradually recovered [15][19]. - **Divergent Performance of Credit Interest Rates in the Adjustment Market**: This week, interest - rate bonds fluctuated weakly, but credit - related varieties performed relatively well, especially the long - end credit. The support may come from two aspects: first, after the adjustment in September, the yields and spreads of credit varieties have reached relatively high levels this year. In October, although the bond market sentiment has improved, the market is still cautious in direction - selection and may allocate coupon assets for defense; second, after the quarter - end, as funds flow back to wealth management and the sentiment of funds recovers, the buying power has gradually returned, and the buying power of other products is also strong [21]. 3. Next Week's Attention: Spread Trading May Be Approaching the End - **End of the Market's Pre - emptive Bond - swapping Trading**: There is a lack of clear direction for the subsequent bond market, and the momentum for the continuous strengthening of ultra - long - end interest rates is relatively limited. The current spread between "25 Special 6" and "25 Special 2" is around 11BP, close to the central level and basically equal to the theoretical VAT tax burden of proprietary institutions. The trading activity of "25 Special 6" has also peaked and declined, indicating that the spread trading may be gradually receding [25][27]. - **Further Compression Space of "CDB - Treasury Bond" Spread**: Although the market has priced in the impact of the new regulations on fund sales fees, the impact may continue before the regulations are implemented, meaning that policy - financial bonds may still face some selling pressure. The buying power of rural commercial banks may support the sustainability of the spread repair, which needs further confirmation [31]. - **Attention to Short - and Medium - Duration Coupon - Value Varieties**: In the fourth quarter, the "deposit transfer" combined with the return of funds after the quarter - end gives some "resilience" to the wealth - management scale. The buying power may form a certain support, and one can pay attention to short - and medium - duration varieties with coupon value [33].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - This week, the trading behavior of various institutions was generally subdued. Only large banks showed a firm willingness to buy interest rate bonds with maturities of less than 3Y and 5 - 7Y, while funds were keen on buying credit bonds with maturities of less than 3Y. Large banks' cumulative net purchase of interest rate bonds reached 141.4 billion yuan this week, the highest weekly net purchase scale in the past year. Funds' net purchase of credit bonds was 3.4 billion yuan, the third - highest since August [10]. - Looking ahead, attention should be focused on the recovery of allocation power. For banks, the easing of government bond supply pressure in the fourth quarter may boost large banks' purchasing power. For insurance companies, after the reduction of product predetermined interest rates, the slowdown of liability - side expansion may be a long - term trend, and the "rush to allocate" situation in previous years may not be repeated in the fourth quarter [10]. Summary by Directory 1. Overall Sentiment: Bond Market Vitality Index Declined Slightly - The bond market vitality index was compiled based on the historical quantile levels of bond market leverage ratio, turnover rate, bond fund duration, and implied tax rate of China Development Bank bonds since 2022 and their correlation coefficients with bond market trends. As of October 24, the bond market vitality index dropped 4 pcts to 15% compared with October 17, and the 5D - MA dropped 1 pct to 24% [11]. - Indicators of rising bond market vitality included the implied tax rate of 10 - year China Development Bank bonds (inverse) and the excess level of the inter - bank bond market leverage ratio compared with the average of the past four years. Indicators of declining vitality included the trading volume of active 10Y China Development Bank bonds / the balance of 9 - 10Y China Development Bank bonds, the turnover rate of 30Y treasury bonds, and the median duration of medium - and long - term pure bond funds [13][14]. 2. Institutional Behavior: Current Institutional Behavior is Generally Subdued, Pay Attention to Allocation Power in the Future 2.1. Buying and Selling Strength and Bond Type Selection: Large Banks Continuously Buy Short - Term Bonds, Funds Focus on Credit Bonds - In the current bond market, the order of net buying strength was money market funds > funds > large banks > wealth management > securities firms > others > insurance > other product types > foreign banks, and the order of net selling strength was joint - stock banks > city commercial banks > rural financial institutions. For ultra - long - term bonds (bonds with a maturity of more than 15Y), the order of net buying strength was insurance > other product types > funds > wealth management > others, and the order of net selling strength was large banks > city commercial banks > joint - stock banks > rural commercial banks > securities firms > foreign banks [22]. - On different trading days from October 20 to 24, the buying and selling behaviors of various institutions varied. For example, on October 20, when the bond market fell across the board, large banks mainly bought interest rate bonds with maturities of less than 1Y, and funds mainly bought 7 - 10Y interest rate bonds, 1 - 3Y credit bonds, etc. [22][23]. - Based on the net purchase volume of bonds and historical quantiles, the main bond types of various institutions were as follows: large banks focused on interest rate bonds with maturities of less than 1Y, 1 - 3Y, and 5 - 7Y; rural commercial banks focused on other bonds with maturities of 3 - 5Y; insurance focused on 1 - 3Y credit bonds; funds focused on 1 - 3Y credit bonds; wealth management focused on interest rate bonds with maturities of less than 1Y and 1 - 3Y; other product types focused on credit bonds with maturities of less than 1Y [28]. 2.2. Trading Portfolio: The Durations of Credit and Interest Rate Bond Funds Continued to Decline, while the Durations of High - Performing Bond Funds Stabilized - As of October 24, the mean and median durations of the full - sample medium - and long - term pure bond funds decreased by 0.12 years and 0.11 years respectively compared with October 17. Among them, the median durations of pure interest rate bond funds, interest rate bond funds, and credit bond funds decreased by 0.19 years, 0.17 years, and 0.08 years respectively. The median durations of high - performing interest rate bond funds and credit bond funds increased by 0.00 years and 0.05 years respectively [38][42]. 2.3. Allocation Portfolio: Large Banks Concentrated on Buying Interest Rate Bonds with Maturities of Less than 3Y - **Differentiated Primary Subscription Demand for Treasury Bonds and Policy - Financial Bonds, and Differentiated Demand for Ultra - Long - Term Bonds**: This week, the weighted average full - subscription multiples of treasury bonds and policy - financial bonds changed. The weighted average full - subscription multiples of 10Y and above treasury bonds and policy - financial bonds also showed different trends [56]. - **Large Banks: Constraints on Bond Allocation May Ease**: In the fourth quarter, the supply pressure of ultra - long - term bonds is expected to be lower than that in the second and third quarters, and interest rate risk indicators are mostly assessed at the end of the month or quarter. Therefore, the constraints on large banks' bond allocation may ease. In terms of short - term treasury bond trading, large banks' net buying of 1Y and below treasury bonds has been higher than that of the same period last year since June, and the cumulative net buying of 1 - 3Y treasury bonds as of October 24 has reached 845.3 billion yuan [63]. - **Rural Commercial Banks: Weak Bond - Buying Power, Emphasizing Long - Term Bonds over Short - Term Bonds**: This year, the cumulative net purchase of bonds by rural commercial banks has been significantly weaker than in previous years, mainly due to the weak net purchase of short - term bonds with maturities of less than 1Y. However, the net purchase of 7 - 10Y and 10Y + bonds has been significantly higher than in previous years [76]. - **Insurance: The Acceleration of Government Bond Issuance Helps Insurance Deploy Ultra - Long - Term Bonds**: This year, the net purchase of bonds by insurance companies has been significantly higher than in previous years, mainly due to the strong purchase of ultra - long - term bonds with maturities of more than 10Y. As of October 24, the ratio of cumulative net bond purchases to cumulative premium income and the ratio of cumulative net bond purchases to the cumulative issuance of 10Y + government bonds were both higher than those at the end of October last year [85]. - **Wealth Management: Extending Duration in the Secondary Market**: Since June, the cumulative net purchase of bonds by wealth management products has continued to rise, significantly higher than the levels of the past three years. As of October 24, the cumulative net purchase of 10Y + bonds by wealth management products has reached 16.59 billion yuan [93]. 3. Asset Management Product Tracking: Credit Bond Funds Performed Better in the Past Week - Since October, the scale of bond funds and equity funds has changed little. This week, 1.952 billion yuan of new bond funds were established, at a historically low level [95][96]. - In terms of bond fund performance, the net values of most interest rate bond funds declined in the past week, while credit bond funds performed better. The median annualized returns of pure interest rate bond funds, interest rate bond funds, and credit bond funds in the past week were - 2.51%, - 1.96%, and 2.79% respectively, and most credit bond funds had positive returns in the past three months [96].