Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates steady growth in performance, with the "Touch" feature expected to generate additional revenue [8] - The company's revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.39, 0.49, and 0.54 CNY per share respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22.25, 17.84, and 16.17 [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,904 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 26.30% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is forecasted at 4,827 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 73.02% [1] - The company’s operating income for Q2 2025 is reported at 32.55 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 0.52% [8] - The company maintains a high dividend strategy, distributing 1.0 CNY per 10 shares, totaling 14.44 billion CNY [8] Business Development Summary - The company has expanded its elevator media points to 1.287 million, a 5.5% increase from December 2024 [8] - The internet advertising revenue for H1 2025 reached 9.62 billion CNY, a significant year-on-year increase of 88.82%, now accounting for 15.73% of total revenue [8] - The "Touch" feature, developed in collaboration with Alipay, aims to enhance user interaction and streamline the advertising conversion process [8]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·光伏设备 高测股份（688556） 2025 年中报点评：Q2 业绩环比改善，主业业 绩修复&机器人业务打开第二成长曲线 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,184 | 4,474 | 3,817 | 3,957 | 4,402 | | 同比（%） | 73.19 | (27.65) | (14.68) | 3.65 | 11.24 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,461.12 | (44.23) | 52.54 | 127.28 | 240.55 | | 同比（%） | 85.28 | (103.03) | 218.78 | 142.26 | 89.00 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.91 | (0.06) | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.31 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 5.80 | (191.77) | 161.44 | 66.6 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 650 million yuan and a net profit of 120 million yuan, both showing a year-on-year increase of 1.1% [8] - The company is reducing the shipment of low-priced first-generation products, with significant growth expected in single-wall carbon tubes [8] - The average selling price of products increased by 3% in Q2, with a projected single-ton profit of approximately 3,000 yuan, reflecting a 10%+ increase [8] - The single-wall carbon tubes are anticipated to be applied in new fields such as solid-state batteries, sodium batteries, robotics, and electronic devices, with a potential market size reaching billions of dollars in the next five years [8] - The company has turned positive in operating cash flow, with a significant increase in cash flow in Q2 [8] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, but the company maintains a strong growth outlook with a projected net profit growth of 40%/61%/34% for these years [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,404 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 23.75% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 297.16 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 29.96% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.81 yuan [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 5,139 million yuan by 2024, with total liabilities of 2,175 million yuan [9] - The operating cash flow for 2024 is estimated at 276 million yuan [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Accumulate" (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights opportunities in AI-driven cooling solutions, particularly focusing on micro-pump liquid cooling technologies from companies like Aiwei and Nanchip, which are expected to significantly enhance thermal management in electronic devices [2][7] - The introduction of Aiwei's AW86320 piezoelectric driver and Nanchip's SC3601 micro-pump liquid cooling chip is set to revolutionize cooling efficiency, with the latter achieving a tenfold improvement in energy savings and a standby power consumption as low as microampere levels [2][7] - The report anticipates a shift from passive to active cooling solutions, driven by the increasing computational demands of AI applications, with liquid cooling solutions expected to triple thermal efficiency compared to traditional methods [7] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report notes a clear trend towards micro-pump liquid cooling solutions, with expectations for these technologies to be implemented in high-end mobile devices by Q4 2025, marking a significant milestone for the industry [7] - The report emphasizes that the technology barrier for micro-pump liquid cooling lies in the driving chips, with domestic companies like Aiwei and Nanchip positioned to benefit from this emerging trend due to limited competition from foreign manufacturers [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The logic of improving solid waste quality and efficiency, along with cash flow enhancement, continues to be realized, while the construction of the national carbon market is strengthened and carbon constraints are tightening [1] - The report highlights the importance of cash flow improvements and dividend increases in the waste incineration sector, driven by reduced capital expenditures and enhanced operational efficiency [39] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is experiencing a stable revenue growth, with the waste incineration sector's revenue reaching 23.2 billion yuan, a 1% increase year-on-year, and net profit of 5.1 billion yuan, an 8% increase year-on-year [10][13] - The report emphasizes the need for a market-oriented approach in water services, predicting significant cash flow improvements similar to those seen in the waste incineration sector [7] Policy Tracking - The central government has issued guidelines to strengthen the national carbon market, aiming for a more comprehensive coverage of industrial sectors and a robust carbon pricing mechanism by 2030 [35][36] - The report suggests that stricter carbon monitoring will increase demand for carbon monitoring equipment, benefiting companies like Snowy Dragon and Juguang Technology [38] Company Performance - **Huanlan Environment**: Achieved a net profit of 966 million yuan in H1 2025, a 28% increase year-on-year, with a significant contribution from its subsidiary [29] - **Green Power**: Reported a 24% increase in net profit in H1 2025, driven by increased waste incineration and operational efficiency [31] - **Haihua Entrepreneurship**: Experienced a 9.33% increase in net profit, with a focus on stable growth in waste disposal and energy generation [31] - **Yongxing Co.**: Increased its waste processing volume, leading to a 9% rise in net profit [32] Cash Flow and Dividends - The waste incineration sector is seeing a significant increase in free cash flow, with projections indicating potential dividend payouts reaching 50% to 150% in the coming years [40][41] - The report notes that companies are beginning to distribute dividends more actively, with Huanlan Environment initiating its first mid-year dividend [24][29]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 宏观点评 20250902 每周宏观经济和资产配置研判—20250902 2025 年 09 月 02 日 [Table_Summary] ◼ 国内宏观观点： ◼ 海外宏观观点： ◼ 权益市场观点： ◼ 债券市场观点 ➢ 曲线形态或分"三步走"。随着资金对股票市场回调的分歧加大，以及 8 月份利率期限利差因"股债跷跷板"显著走扩，近期利率来到修复性做 多的窗口期，并由短端利率下行带动曲线形态陡峭化，我们认为未来利 率曲线形态或呈"三步走"： 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《补贴与竞争：哪些地区和行业内卷 更严重？——统一大市场系列研究之 一》 2025-09-01 《去年 9 月"以旧换新"密集落地， 后续商品零售增速或将承压 》 2025-08-31 东吴证券研究所 1 / 3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] ➢ 6-7 月内需连续走弱，预计下半年经济小幅承压的趋势不会改变，但全 年 5%目标仍能顺利实现。 ➢ 国内经济关注 4 方面风险的演变：一是出口何时转负，目前看 8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 showed significant improvement, with revenue reaching 44.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, up 15% year-on-year [7] - The company is actively expanding its overseas operations, particularly in the U.S. market, where it achieved a revenue of 2.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50.8% [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid expansion of production capacity in the U.S., with a projected increase in capacity from 30,000 tons to 90,000 tons by the end of 2025 [7] - New product lines, including copper foil, are expected to reach breakeven by 2026, with significant sales growth in H1 2025 [7] - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.66 billion, 3.15 billion, and 3.94 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.6, 8.2, and 6.6 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 103.39 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [1] - The company's net profit for 2025 is projected to be 1.66 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 135.92% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025 is estimated at 0.78 yuan per share [1] - The company's P/E ratio at the current price is 15.59 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company is making steady progress in the European market and is experiencing continuous breakthroughs in Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) [8] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.264 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.12%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 181 million yuan, down 8.52% year-on-year [8] - The report anticipates that the company's net profit attributable to the parent company will be 4.27 billion yuan, 5.32 billion yuan, and 6.61 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28, 22, and 18 times [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 5.035 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.31% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 427.04 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 30.88% compared to 2024 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.76 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 27.50 times based on the latest diluted EPS [1] Market Performance Summary - The company's domestic revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.266 billion yuan, up 5.40% year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 744 million yuan, up 7.06% year-on-year [8] - The report notes that the company has expanded its CGM product registration to several countries, including Brazil, Iran, and Vietnam, enhancing its competitiveness in overseas markets [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's revenue remains stable, but profits are under short-term pressure due to weak demand in the machine tool sector and intensified price competition [2][3] - The gross margin continues to decline, attributed to changes in accounting standards and increased competition in the industry [3] - Capacity expansion is progressing steadily, with ongoing development of domestic and international channels to enhance market presence [4] Revenue and Profit Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.663 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 237 million yuan, down 19.27% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.14%, a decline of 2.23 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s sales net profit margin for H1 2025 was 14.3%, down 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [3] Product Performance - Machine tool sales generated revenue of 1.635 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.47% year-on-year, while parts and other products saw a revenue drop of 22.52% [2] Capacity and Channel Development - The company is enhancing its production capacity in South China and advancing the construction of a high-end CNC machine tool intelligent production base in Ningbo [4] - The company is also expanding its overseas market presence, having established subsidiaries in Germany and Serbia to improve global marketing efforts [4]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Expected High Dividend Portfolio **Model Construction Idea**: The model aims to construct a portfolio with high expected dividend yield by leveraging historical dividend data, fundamental indicators, and short-term factors like reversal and profitability[5][10][16] **Model Construction Process**: 1. **Dividend Yield Calculation**: - Phase 1: Calculate dividend yield based on annual report profit distribution announcements - Phase 2: Predict and calculate dividend yield using historical dividend data and fundamental indicators[5][10] 2. **Screening Process**: - Exclude suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituents[15] - Remove the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (21-day cumulative return)[15] - Exclude stocks with declining profitability (quarterly net profit YoY growth < 0)[15] 3. **Final Selection**: - Rank the remaining stocks by expected dividend yield - Select the top 30 stocks with the highest expected dividend yield and construct an equally weighted portfolio[11] **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates strong historical performance with significant excess returns and controlled drawdowns, making it a robust strategy for high-dividend stock selection[13] Model Backtesting Results - **Expected High Dividend Portfolio**: - Cumulative Return: 358.90% - Cumulative Excess Return (vs CSI 300 Total Return Index): 107.44% - Annualized Excess Return: 8.87% - Maximum Rolling 1-Year Drawdown of Excess Return: 12.26% - Monthly Excess Win Rate: 60.19%[13] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Expected Dividend Yield Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: Predict future dividend yield by combining historical dividend data, fundamental indicators, and short-term influencing factors[5][16] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate historical dividend yield based on profit distribution announcements[5][10] 2. Predict future dividend yield using fundamental indicators and historical dividend patterns[5][10] 3. Incorporate two short-term factors: - **Reversal Factor**: Accounts for short-term price reversals - **Profitability Factor**: Reflects the company's earnings performance[5][16] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively identifies high-dividend stocks and serves as a reliable input for portfolio construction[16] - **Factor Name**: Red Dividend Timing Framework (Composite Signal) **Factor Construction Idea**: Combines multiple single-factor signals to assess the market's outlook on dividend stocks[25][28] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Evaluate five single-factor signals: - **Inflation**: PPI YoY (High/Low) - **Liquidity**: M2 YoY (High/Low) - **M1-M2 Gap**: Scissors Difference (High/Low) - **Interest Rate**: US 10-Year Treasury Yield (High/Low) - **Market Sentiment**: Dividend Stock Turnover Ratio (Up/Down)[28] 2. Assign binary signals (1 for bullish, 0 for bearish) to each factor 3. Aggregate the signals into a composite indicator[28] **Factor Evaluation**: The framework provides a systematic approach to timing dividend stock investments, though the September 2025 signal suggests a cautious stance[25][28] Factor Backtesting Results - **Expected Dividend Yield Factor**: - August 2025 Portfolio Average Return: 5.69% - Excess Return (vs CSI 300 Index): -4.80% - Excess Return (vs CSI Dividend Index): +4.70%[5][16] - **Red Dividend Timing Framework (Composite Signal)**: - Latest Signal (September 2025): 0 (Neutral)[25][28]