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燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报:气温回暖,欧美气价高位回落,国内气价平稳-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 05:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights a warming trend in temperatures leading to a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US, while domestic gas prices remain stable [1][9] - It emphasizes the overall supply being relaxed, with domestic gas prices decreasing by 2.0% week-on-week [26] - The report suggests that the pricing mechanism is being rationalized, and demand is expected to increase [1] Price Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH down 31.5%, European TTF down 11%, East Asia JKM down 3.6%, China LNG ex-factory down 2%, and China LNG CIF down 11.6% [9][10] - The report notes that the average gas consumption in Europe for the first ten months of 2025 was 349.5 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [15] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that the US natural gas market price decreased by 31.5% week-on-week due to a high base, with storage levels at 28,230 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [14] - In Europe, gas supply decreased by 5.2% week-on-week, with a notable drop in gas-fired power generation output by 10.9% week-on-week [15] - Domestic gas consumption for 2025 is projected to increase by 2.3% year-on-year to 433.2 billion cubic meters, attributed to warmer winter conditions affecting heating gas demand [26] Pricing Progress - The report states that 68% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [40] - The report anticipates continued pricing adjustments and improvements in profitability for city gas companies [40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [1] - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Co. [1] - The report highlights the importance of energy independence and recommends companies with gas production capabilities, such as Shouhua Gas [1]
欣旺达(300207):与威睿诉讼和解,港股上市推进顺利,动储业务高增长
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 05:37
| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 47,862 | 56,021 | 66,392 | 89,177 | 102,773 | | 同比(%) | (8.24) | 17.05 | 18.51 | 34.32 | 15.25 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,076 | 1,468 | 1,409 | 3,025 | 4,118 | | 同比(%) | 0.77 | 36.43 | (4.02) | 114.65 | 36.12 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.58 | 0.79 | 0.76 | 1.64 | 2.23 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 41.37 | 30.32 | 31.59 | 14.72 | 10.81 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 风险提示:需求不及预期,竞争加剧。 2026 年 02 月 09 日 证券研究报告·公司点评报 ...
医药生物行业跟踪周报:分子胶海外风起,国内管线蓄势破局
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 05:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical index in A-shares has shown a slight increase of 0.14% this week and 3.28% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.41% and 0.85% respectively [3][8] - The report highlights the emergence of molecular glue as a significant trend in the industry, with several successful stocks like RVMD, GLU, and KYMR, and substantial business development (BD) activities [3][15] - The report suggests that molecular glue has the potential to create new blockbuster drugs in oncology and autoimmune diseases, urging investors to focus on domestic companies involved in this area [3][11] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The A-share pharmaceutical index has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with notable gains in traditional Chinese medicine (2.56%), medical services (1.31%), and raw materials (0.64%) [3][8] - The report lists top-performing stocks, including Guangsheng Tang (+29.83%) and HaiXiang Pharmaceutical (+18.64%), while noting declines in stocks like Changshan Pharmaceutical (-15.78%) [8] 2. Molecular Glue - Molecular glue is defined as a class of small molecule drugs that facilitate the binding of E3 ubiquitin ligases to previously unrecognized pathogenic target proteins, leading to their degradation [15] - The report mentions that BMS has two marketed molecular glues with peak sales exceeding $16 billion, and ongoing research into new iterations [3][15] - Domestic companies such as Yuan Dong Biology and Jin Fang Pharmaceutical are noted for their potential in molecular glue development [3][11] 3. R&D Progress and Corporate Developments - The report highlights significant clinical research milestones, including Pfizer's initiation of a Phase II/III trial for its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody SSGJ-707 [3] - It also notes that Novartis has submitted its BAFF-R monoclonal antibody for approval in China, and AbbVie has started a Phase II trial for its Bcl-2 inhibitor Venetoclax [3] 4. Recommended Stocks - The report provides a list of recommended stocks across various sectors, including: - CXO and upstream research services: WuXi AppTec, Hao Yuan Pharmaceutical, and Aopumai [11] - Traditional Chinese medicine: Zuo Li Pharmaceutical and Fang Sheng Pharmaceutical [11] - PD-1 PLUS: 3SBio, KANGFANG Biologics, and Innovent Biologics [11] - ADC: Ying En Biologics and Kelong Biotechnology [11] - AI drug development: Jing Tai Holdings [11]
港股周观点:寒潮暂退,恒科何时企稳?-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 05:20
南向资金加速流入。港股通净流入 560 亿元,港股通成交额占全部港股成交比例从 上周 39%降至本周 36%。净流入:资讯科技业、金融业、非必需性消费;净流出: 工业、综合企业。净买入 TOP:腾讯控股、小米集团、泡泡玛特。 本周内地投向中国香港市场的 ETF(港股通+QDII)净流入加速。总规模扩张至 4232.4 亿元,增加 184 亿元。其中港股通 ETF 净流入 46.7 亿元,QDII ETF 净流入 102 亿元。港股宽基净流出 2.71 亿元。净流入行业主题:TMT、科技与制造、医 药。 本周港股回购 43 亿元,较上周增加 32 亿元;IPO 数量 5 笔,共 270.2 亿元,较上 周增加 233.5 亿元;增发共 62.7 亿元,较上周增加 7 亿元;解禁市值为 8.9 亿元, 较上周减少 24.7 亿元。 证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20260209 寒潮暂退,恒科何时企稳?——港股周观点 2026 年 02 月 09 日 [Table_Summary] ◼ 一、本周回顾(2026/2/2-2/6):全球主要市场涨跌互现,印度、道琼斯指数涨幅居 前,恒生科技、恒生中国企业 ...
美股周观点:科技“祛魅”VS道指50000点时代-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 05:20
证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20260209 科技"祛魅"VS 道指 50000 点时代 ——美 股周观点 [Table_Summary] ◼ 本周(2026 年 2 月 2 日-2026 年 2 月 6 日)市场回顾:发达市场全周累计涨 跌幅归零,新兴市场转跌。从涨幅来看,新兴市场下跌 1.4%。 美股:本周道指领涨,上涨 2.5%,纳指领跌,下跌 1.8%,标普下跌 0.1%。 行业上,材料、工业领涨,信息技术领跌。标普 500 成份股上涨占比 67%。 其中达维塔保健、泰瑞达、泰佩思琦、好时、康宁等领涨。 ◼ 美股因科技股巨额资本开支加深焦虑,且美伊对峙的地缘威胁持续,美股整 体收跌。具体来看: 一是,Capex 从信心的锚转变为利润的黑洞。AI 焦虑席卷科技板块,Capex 支出的逻辑反转,从"增长引擎"到"盈利枷锁"。此前,市场将巨额的资 本开支视为增长的确定性。而现在叙事出现明显转变,Capex 支出变成了投 资回报的焦虑。资本开支依然在以双位数增长,但自由现金却因巨大摊销压 力受损,且 AI 带来的直接收入比如云服务、广告优化并未展现出与之匹配 的爆发性。考虑到英伟达月底财产财报 ...
医药生物行业跟踪周报:分子胶海外风起,国内管线蓄势破局-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 04:32
证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·医药生物 医药生物行业跟踪周报 分子胶海外风起,国内管线蓄势破局 2026 年 02 月 09 日 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 朱国广 执业证书:S0600520070004 zhugg@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% 24% 2025/2/10 2025/6/10 2025/10/8 2026/2/5 医药生物 沪深300 相关研究 《降息等多因素支持科研上游持续复 苏,重点推荐皓元医药、奥浦迈等》 2026-02-01 《mRNA 疫苗龙头释放积极临床数据 信号,建议关注悦康药业、康希诺等》 2026-01-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 45 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周、年初至今 A 股医药指数涨幅分别为 0.14%、3.28%,相对沪深 300 的超额收益分别为 1.41%、0.85%;本周、年初至今恒生生物科技指数涨 跌幅分别为-1.31%、7.34%,相对于恒生科技指数跑赢 5.20%、10.41%; 本周中药(2.56%)、医疗服务 ...
东吴证券晨会纪要2026-02-09-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 01:37
Macro Strategy - The report discusses the impact of liquidity shocks on commodity markets, highlighting that certain commodities, which are fundamentally sound, have been "misjudged" during these shocks and may present better entry points as the market stabilizes [1][6]. - The report indicates that after the liquidity shock, the core logic of commodity markets remains unchanged, with a focus on supply-demand dynamics and the potential for recovery in mispriced commodities [6]. Financial Products - The report reviews the performance of gold ETFs, noting that macroeconomic data and policy expectations have fluctuated, with interest rate cut expectations providing temporary support for gold [2][9]. - It emphasizes the importance of geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases in supporting gold prices, while also indicating that the market may experience high volatility in February 2026 [2][9]. Fixed Income - The report provides an analysis of the Hai Tian convertible bond, predicting a listing price between 125.75 and 139.83 CNY, with a conversion premium of approximately 30% [3][10]. - It highlights the company's stable revenue growth and the strategic use of raised funds for infrastructure projects, indicating a solid credit rating and good debt protection [10][11]. Industry Analysis - The report identifies a shift in the semiconductor and storage industry driven by AI demand, suggesting that storage capacity is becoming a critical bottleneck for AI performance [4][12]. - It recommends focusing on companies like SanDisk, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Micron Technology, as they are positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for high-capacity storage solutions [4][12]. - The report notes that the chemical sector is expected to see continued improvement in market conditions due to structural changes in demand, particularly from emerging industries [7][12]. Company Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook on Yum China, highlighting its robust dividend yield and steady revenue growth, with projections for continued expansion in store numbers and profitability [5][13][14]. - It notes that the company has successfully improved operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to its strong financial performance [13][14].
电力设备行业跟踪周报:锂电淡季尾声旺季可期,太空光伏星辰大海
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 01:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The lithium battery sector is expected to transition from a seasonal low to a peak demand period, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [1] - The report highlights the potential of space photovoltaic technology and solid-state batteries, indicating a promising future for these segments [1] Industry Trends - The power equipment sector saw a 2.2% increase, outperforming the market, with solar energy rising by 3.43% and lithium batteries by 0.77% [3] - In January, the energy storage sector recorded a procurement of 36.3 GWh, with a 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour systems over six months [3] - The demand for energy storage is expected to grow by over 60% in 2026, driven by new policies and market dynamics [3][4] Company Developments - Ningde Times is positioned as a global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with a low valuation and confirmed growth trajectory [4] - Sunpower is recognized as a global leader in inverters, with significant overseas market integration [4] - Other notable companies include Ganfeng Lithium, BYD, and Enjie, all of which are expected to benefit from the ongoing trends in the lithium battery and energy storage markets [4] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage, predicting a compound annual growth rate of 30-50% over the next three years [3] - It recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery and solid-state sectors, such as Ningde Times and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as well as companies involved in energy storage integration [4] - The report also highlights the potential of humanoid robots and automation technologies, suggesting a significant market opportunity in the coming years [4]
电力设备行业跟踪周报:锂电淡季尾声旺季可期,太空光伏星辰大海-20260209
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 01:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Views - The lithium battery sector is expected to transition from a seasonal low to a peak demand period, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [1] - The report highlights the potential of space photovoltaic technology and solid-state batteries, indicating a promising future for these segments [1] Industry Trends - The electrical equipment sector saw a 2.2% increase, outperforming the market, with photovoltaic equipment rising by 3.43% and lithium batteries by 0.77% [3] - In January, the energy storage sector recorded a procurement of 36.3 GWh, with a 42% increase in the average price of 4-hour systems over six months [3] - The demand for energy storage is expected to grow significantly, with projections of over 60% growth in 2026, driven by various factors including the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act [3][8] Company Developments - Ningde Times is recognized as a global leader in power and energy storage batteries, with a low valuation and confirmed growth trajectory [1] - Other notable companies include Sunshine Power, recognized for its inverter technology, and Siyi Electric, which is positioned well for overseas expansion [1] - BYD reported a decline in new energy vehicle production and sales in January, with a significant drop in both pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles [3] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of energy storage, predicting robust demand and growth in both domestic and international markets [3] - It recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery and solid-state sectors, highlighting firms like Ningde Times and Yiwei Lithium Energy as key players [1] - The report also suggests that the robotics sector is poised for significant growth, with Tesla's upcoming Gen3 robot expected to drive demand [12]
宏观量化经济指数周报20260208:预计2026年1月贷款温和增长、社融小幅同比多增-20260208
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-08 15:26
宏观量化经济指数周报 20260208 预计 2026 年 1 月贷款温和增长、社融小幅同 比多增 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 经济高频数据: 证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观周报 2026 年 02 月 08 日 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书:S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 李昌萌 执业证书:S0600524120007 lichm@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 王洋 执业证书:S0600524120012 wangyang@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《海外市场流动性有企稳迹象,情绪 或会好转》 2026-02-08 《商品流动性冲击之后,哪些品种被 "错杀"?》 2026-02-04 东吴证券研究所 1 / 17 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 周度 ECI 指数:从周度数据来看,截至 2026 年 2 月 8 日,本周 ECI 供 给指数为 50.08%,较上周回落 0.01 个百分点;ECI 需求指数为 49.88%, 较上周回升 0.02 个百分点。从分项来看,ECI 投资指数为 49.95%,较 上周 ...