证券研究报告 汽车 行业定期报告 板块表现： 投资评级： 看好（维持） 26 年汽车总量思考（1）：纯电和混 动价差缩小，并非一定导致混动销量 承压 证券分析师 ——汽车行业双周报（20251006-20251019） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 2026-2027 年享受购置税减免的插电+增程乘用车的纯电续航里程要求提升超 100%，静态看预计有约 40%的插混+增程乘用车无法再享受补贴，尤其或将对 7~20 万元紧凑型、中型插混车型（以比亚迪等经济型插混车型为代表）造成影响。2025 年 10 月 9 日，工信部等三部门发布《关于 2026-2027 年减免车辆购置税新能源汽 车产品技术要求的公告》，并指出 2026-2027 年减免车辆购置税的插电式（含增程 式）混合动力乘用车纯电动续驶里程应满足有条件的等效全电里程不低于 100 公里， 较此前的不低于 43 公里有明显提升。2025H1 插混+增程乘用车上险量约 203 万辆， 我们筛选了市占率前 95%的插混+增程乘用车并测算发现，其中 WLTC 续航在 43~100km（含 43，不含 100）、100km 以 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a quarterly performance recovery, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [5][6] - The paint business shows positive sales trends, while the waterproofing segment continues to decline, leading to an overall improvement in gross margin due to lower costs [6] - The company is expected to benefit from a gradual recovery in the home decoration industry as the real estate sector stabilizes [6] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 13,016 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.52% [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 802 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 141.60% [6][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.09 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43.37 [6][7] Market Performance - The company reported a revenue of 9.392 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 2.69% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 744 million yuan, up 81.22% [6] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 improved to 32.8%, attributed to a significant decrease in average procurement prices of key raw materials [6] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.088 billion yuan, an increase of 18.73% compared to the previous year [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4][47] Core Viewpoints - In September, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.0% year-on-year, reaching 41,971 billion yuan. Excluding automobiles, the total retail sales amounted to 37,260 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2% [5][6] - The growth rate of furniture retail sales is notably high, with a year-on-year increase of 16.2% for furniture, while other categories such as household appliances and building materials showed varied performance [33][6] - Essential consumer goods like daily necessities and food saw significant growth, with food retail sales increasing by 6.3% and daily necessities by 6.8% year-on-year [18][24] - In the optional consumption category, communication equipment and gold and silver jewelry experienced strong growth, with retail sales increasing by 16.2% and 9.7% respectively [23][31] Summary by Sections Overall Data - The total retail sales of consumer goods in September reached 41,971 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.0%. Urban and rural retail sales were 35,783 billion yuan and 6,188 billion yuan, growing by 2.9% and 4.0% respectively [5][6] Retail Sales by Type - The retail sales of limited enterprises in September were 17,776 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3%. The breakdown shows that retail sales of goods and catering revenue totaled 16,429 billion yuan and 1,347 billion yuan, growing by 2.7% and declining by 1.6% respectively [12][6] Essential Consumption - In essential consumption, the retail sales of food increased by 6.3%, daily necessities by 6.8%, while beverages saw a decline of 0.8% [18][24] Optional Consumption - In optional consumption, the retail sales of communication equipment grew by 16.2%, cosmetics by 8.6%, and clothing by 4.7% [23][31] Other Consumer Categories - The retail sales of furniture showed a significant increase of 16.2%, while household appliances grew by 3.3%. However, building materials and petroleum products experienced declines of 0.1% and 7.1% respectively [33][36]

证券研究报告 纺织服饰 | 服装家纺 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 21 日 证券分析师 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 周宸宇 zhouchenyu@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 10 | 月 17 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | 5.85 | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | | 6.70/3.67 | | 元） | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | 12,095.94 | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | | | 12,095.94 | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | 25.56 | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | 361 度(01361.HK) 投资评级： 买入（维持） ——25Q3 零售额维持快速增长，品牌 ONEWAY 重新出发 投资要点： | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | -- ...

证券研究报告 电子 | 半导体 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 10 月 20 日 证券分析师 葛星甫 SAC：S1350524120001 gexingfu@huayuanstock.com 联系人 熊宇翔 xiongyuxiang@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 2025 | 年 | 10 | 17 | 日 | | | | 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | 101.47 | | | | | | | 一 年 最 高 最 低 | / | | | | | | | 内 | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 40,774.86 | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | | 32,779.30 | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | | 401.84 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | ...

Group 1: Fixed Income Market - Credit spreads across the curve have compressed, with slight widening observed in the banking sector while other industries saw a majority of spreads compressing [2][7][9] - The issuance volume of traditional credit bonds and asset-backed securities has increased, with AA and AA+ rated industrial and urban investment bonds yielding between 2.4% and 2.8% [6][9] - The strategy suggests a cautious approach to credit allocation, recommending short-end positioning and moderate allocation to medium to long-term credit bonds [9] Group 2: Emerging Industries and Index Funds - The "Specialized, Refined, Characteristic, and Innovative" (专精特新) initiative has led to the cultivation of over 140,000 specialized small and medium enterprises in China, with 1,460 "little giant" companies [11][12] - The North Exchange's specialized index, launched in June 2025, selects the top 50 securities from these "little giants," focusing on high-end manufacturing, new materials, and biomedicine [11][12] - The expected scale of the first batch of index funds is around 10 funds with an average size of 500 million yuan, potentially exceeding 15 billion yuan by 2027 [12] Group 3: Transportation and Logistics - The express delivery sector has shown resilience, with major companies reporting improved single-ticket revenue and volume growth, indicating a trend of price increases in the industry [20][21][30] - The privatization attempt of Aneng Logistics by a consortium is still in preliminary stages, introducing uncertainty into the acquisition process [22] - The implementation of new port fees between China and the U.S. is expected to create a dual market structure, affecting shipping costs and efficiency [23][24] Group 4: Media and Entertainment - The gaming sector is expected to continue benefiting from strong product performance, with companies like Ice Glacier Network projecting significant earnings growth [34][35] - The launch of Manus1.5 enhances AI web application capabilities, indicating ongoing innovation in AI technology [35][36] - The CTE event showcases a wide array of global toy brands, highlighting the rapid expansion of the trendy toy industry [35] Group 5: Energy and Utilities - The electricity and environmental sectors are projected to see stable operations in hydropower and nuclear power, with significant growth expected in waste-to-energy projects [4][30] - The oil and gas pipeline sector is undergoing reforms, with an emphasis on fair access and market structure improvements [4][30] - The anticipated increase in electricity demand driven by AI advancements presents opportunities for equipment exports [4][30]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction decoration industry, emphasizing the advantages of low valuation strategies and significant engineering investment opportunities [3][4] - The construction sector is experiencing accelerated investment due to government policies aimed at stabilizing growth and expanding domestic demand, with a notable increase in railway construction investments [5][11] - The issuance of long-term special bonds has been completed, providing substantial financial support for major infrastructure projects and new quality productivity initiatives [5][11] Industry News - The construction of railways has progressed significantly, with a total fixed asset investment of CNY 593.7 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [5][11] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development and other departments have released an action plan to promote new urban infrastructure construction from 2025 to 2027, focusing on nine key areas [6][11] - A new management approach for energy-saving and carbon reduction projects has been introduced, targeting key industries such as construction materials and energy, with a central investment support ratio of 20% [6][11] Market Review - The construction decoration index declined by 1.67% during the week, while sectors like decoration and engineering consulting services saw gains of 3.40% and 2.68% respectively [8][19] - Among individual stocks, Matrix Co. saw a significant increase of 39.20%, while several others also performed well, indicating selective strength within the sector [8][19] Company Dynamics - Various companies reported their operational updates, with notable new contracts and project wins, such as China Nuclear Engineering's new contracts totaling CNY 1129.62 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.84% [14][15] - Companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge reported a 25.16% increase in new contract amounts for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling CNY 971.73 billion [14][15] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend, low-valuation stocks in a favorable liquidity environment, recommending companies like Jianghe Group and Sichuan Road and Bridge [8][14] - It also highlights the importance of companies with clear transformation directions and growth potential in new business areas such as renewable energy and digital construction [8][14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The express logistics sector is experiencing resilient demand, with a "de-involution" trend driving up express prices, enhancing corporate profitability. The long-term outlook for e-commerce express logistics is positive due to healthy competition [3][13] - The shipping sector is expected to benefit from the OPEC+ production increase and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable improvement in VLCC freight rates anticipated in Q4 2025 [13] - The aviation industry is seeing stable demand growth, with supply chain issues leading to increased costs for airlines. The overall passenger demand is projected to grow by 10.4% in 2024, outpacing capacity growth [9][14] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - In September 2025, major express companies reported improved performance, with YTO, Shentong, and Yunda achieving business volumes of 2.627 billion, 2.187 billion, and 2.110 billion pieces, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 13.64%, 9.46%, and 3.63% [3][27] - The average revenue per piece for these companies also saw increases, indicating a trend of rising prices in the express delivery sector [3][27] Shipping and Ports - The implementation of new port fees between China and the US is expected to create a dual market structure, granting strategic pricing power to compliant shipping capacities [5] - China has secured pricing power for iron ore, marking a significant shift in global commodity trade dynamics [6] - The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) rose by 12.9% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in shipping rates [7] Aviation - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported that supply chain bottlenecks are delaying aircraft production, leading to increased costs for airlines, estimated to exceed $11 billion in 2025 [9] - Chinese airlines collectively oppose the US Department of Transportation's proposed flight restrictions, highlighting concerns over operational impacts [10] Road and Rail - National logistics operations were reported to be running smoothly, with significant increases in highway freight traffic [12] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to enhance electric vehicle charging infrastructure along highways by 2027 [12] Overall Market Performance - From October 13 to October 17, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 0.73%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 1.47% [18]

Investment Rating - The report focuses on the charging infrastructure industry, highlighting investment opportunities in companies involved in the charging facilities supply chain [1]. Core Insights - The Chinese government has launched the "Three-Year Doubling Action Plan for Electric Vehicle Charging Facilities (2025-2027)" to enhance the charging infrastructure network and promote electric vehicle adoption [3][7]. - As of mid-2025, there are 4.096 million public charging facilities and 12.004 million private charging facilities in China, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 36.7% and 63.3% respectively, indicating a rapid release of demand in residential areas [3][17]. - The report identifies 10 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange that are involved in the charging facilities supply chain, including WanYuanTong and JuXing Technology [3][41]. Summary by Sections 1. National Policy Driving Charging Infrastructure - The "Three-Year Doubling Action Plan" aims to improve the electric vehicle charging service network and enhance consumer quality [3][7]. - The integration of electric vehicles and charging stations is accelerating, with a significant increase in fast charging adoption [3][8]. 2. Current Status of Charging Facilities - Public charging facilities reached 4.096 million, with a 36.7% increase year-on-year, while private facilities grew by 63.3% [3][17]. - The demand for public charging stations is primarily driven by ride-hailing and taxi services, while residential charging facilities cater to private vehicle owners [3][17]. 3. Industry Trends - The emergence of the 800V high-voltage fast charging system is driving technological innovation across the supply chain [3][28]. - Liquid cooling technology is crucial for achieving high-power charging (over 600kW) [3][31]. 4. Company Performance - The report notes a median price change of -5.11% for technology growth stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with only 12 companies showing an increase [3][43]. - The median TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the new energy industry is reported at 35.2X, down from 38.7X [3][47].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [5]. Core Insights - The company, Ninebot, is a leading global player in the smart short-distance transportation and service robotics sectors, with a mission to simplify the movement of people and goods [5]. - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 14.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.9%, and a net profit of 1.1 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 81.3% [8]. - The company has a strong competitive advantage due to its technological capabilities and established overseas brand presence, particularly after acquiring Segway in 2015 [6]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Ninebot reported a revenue of 11.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 76.1%, and a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan, up 125.3% [5]. - The company's electric two-wheeled vehicles generated a revenue of 6.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a 101.7% increase and accounting for 58.1% of total revenue [6]. - The revenue from the company's new business segments, including all-terrain vehicles and robotic lawn mowers, is expected to grow significantly, with the lawn mower segment projected to reach 860 million yuan in 2024, a staggering increase of 284% [7]. Growth Projections - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.0% for revenue and 113.6% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [5]. - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.0 billion yuan, 2.6 billion yuan, and 3.6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 85.8%, 30.5%, and 36.9% [7]. Valuation Metrics - As of October 17, 2025, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 22, 17, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7]. - The report highlights the company's strong market position and growth potential compared to peers such as Stone Technology and Aima Technology [7].