Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, known as the "Yaxi Project," has commenced construction, marking it as a monumental engineering feat comparable to the Three Gorges Project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan and a development scale of nearly 60 million kilowatts, equivalent to 2.7 Three Gorges plants [4][8][10] - The project is expected to significantly boost demand across various sectors, including cement, explosives, foundation treatment, and tunnel equipment, with substantial annual demand increases projected [4][10][24] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Analysis - The Yaxi Project is anticipated to drive an average annual cement demand of 4.85 million tons, accounting for 36.36% of Tibet's 2024 cement production, translating to a revenue space of 2.92 billion yuan annually [10][14] - The project will also require an average annual explosive demand of 138,500 tons, representing a 267% increase over Tibet's 2024 explosive sales, with a corresponding revenue space of 3 billion yuan [10][20] - The complexity of the geological environment poses significant challenges for foundation treatment, with an estimated market space of over 5.5 billion yuan annually [10][22] - The project will necessitate over 20 tunnel boring machines, indicating a strong demand for tunnel equipment [10][23] Industry Chain Investment Potential - Key players in the industry chain include China Power Construction, China Energy Engineering, Tibet Tianlu, Huaxin Cement, and others, with a focus on their respective segments such as main construction, cement, explosives, foundation treatment, and tunnel equipment [10][24] - The project is expected to enhance the profitability of these companies, although there is a need to monitor potential mean reversion risks due to high valuations [10][24]

Group 1: Infrastructure and Construction Industry - The overall infrastructure investment in China continued to show steady growth in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9% for broad infrastructure and 4.6% for narrow infrastructure [9][10] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River Super Hydropower Project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, has officially commenced, marking a significant step in clean energy development under complex geological conditions [10] - The Central Urban Work Conference highlighted a shift in urbanization from rapid expansion to quality improvement, indicating potential systematic development opportunities in urban renewal and infrastructure upgrades [10][12] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The real estate sector experienced a decline of 2.2% this week, with new housing transactions in 42 key cities dropping by 10.8% compared to the previous week [14][15] - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasized the need for urban renewal as a key strategy, with a focus on transforming the real estate development model and promoting the renovation of old neighborhoods [16] - National real estate development investment decreased by 11.2% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating a need for stronger measures to stabilize the market [16] Group 3: Electronics Industry - The company Juzan Optoelectronics reported a revenue of 1.594 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.51%, with net profit increasing by 3.43% [19][20] - The company is transitioning to a full-color LED chip manufacturer, with a focus on high-value-added products, which is expected to enhance profit margins [20][21] - The production capacity for red and yellow light is rapidly increasing, contributing to the establishment of a second growth curve for the company [20][21] Group 4: New Consumption Sector - Runben Co., Ltd. is expected to benefit from increased demand for mosquito prevention products due to a local outbreak of Chikungunya fever in Guangdong [23][24] - The company launched over 90 new products in 2024, targeting differentiated consumer needs, with significant revenue contributions from its mosquito and infant product lines [24] - The company is well-positioned in the market due to its established brand image and competitive pricing strategy, which is likely to sustain high growth rates [24] Group 5: Non-Banking Financial Sector - Xinhua Insurance reported a 19% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q1 2025, driven by a 28% growth in original premium income [26][27] - The company has significantly increased its equity investment allocation, with a notable rise in the proportion of equity assets in its investment portfolio [27][28] - The company is expected to issue perpetual bonds to enhance its capital strength, given its high equity asset ratio [28][30]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the synergy in the mosquito repellent and baby care segments, with a comprehensive channel layout expanding performance potential [5] - The company has launched over 90 new products in 2024, catering to differentiated consumer needs, which is anticipated to drive revenue growth [8] - The company has established a strong brand image in the domestic market and is expected to maintain high growth through a refined brand matrix and competitive pricing strategy [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 1,033 million RMB - 2024: 1,318 million RMB (YoY growth of 27.61%) - 2025: 1,771 million RMB (YoY growth of 34.33%) - 2026: 2,246 million RMB (YoY growth of 26.84%) - 2027: 2,759 million RMB (YoY growth of 22.84%) [7] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 226 million RMB - 2024: 300 million RMB (YoY growth of 32.80%) - 2025: 389 million RMB (YoY growth of 29.45%) - 2026: 490 million RMB (YoY growth of 25.99%) - 2027: 605 million RMB (YoY growth of 23.61%) [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections are: - 2023: 0.56 RMB - 2024: 0.74 RMB - 2025: 0.96 RMB - 2026: 1.21 RMB - 2027: 1.50 RMB [7] Market Data - As of July 22, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 29.63 RMB, with a market capitalization of 11,988.10 million RMB and a circulating market value of 3,061.85 million RMB [3] - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 7.69% and the net asset value per share is 5.25 RMB [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is driven by strong production and sales, with rapid capacity release in red and yellow light segments [5] - The company has successfully transformed into a full-color LED chip supplier, optimizing its product structure and improving profit levels [6] Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 1.594 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.51% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 117 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.43% [6] - The gross margin for the main business in the first half of 2025 was 26.15%, an increase of 0.65 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company expects net profits of 314 million yuan, 349 million yuan, and 405 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 60.31%, 11.25%, and 16.07% [5][6] Market Performance - The company has maintained strong production and sales, achieving historical highs in key performance indicators for the first half of 2025 [6] - The production capacity utilization rate reached 96.60% in the first half of 2025 [6] - The company is focusing on high-value-added businesses, with significant breakthroughs in high-end products [6] Growth Drivers - The company is advancing its "annual production of 2.4 million red and yellow light epitaxial wafers and chip projects," enhancing the synergy of red and yellow light with blue and green light chips [6] - The company is capitalizing on the rapid rise of markets such as small-pitch displays and full-color screens [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction decoration industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - Infrastructure investment continues to show steady growth, with energy, heating, gas, and water sectors maintaining high growth rates. In the first half of 2025, narrow infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) reached 881.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, while broad infrastructure investment totaled 11.98 trillion yuan, up 8.9% year-on-year, significantly higher than the narrow measure, indicating strong support from high-demand sectors like energy [5][8] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, marks a significant step in advancing clean energy and hydropower construction in China. This project is expected to generate an annual power output of 300 billion kilowatt-hours, equivalent to three Three Gorges or five Baihetan projects, and will accelerate construction in the hydropower sector [10][11] - The Central Urban Work Conference highlighted a shift in urbanization from rapid growth to stable development, focusing on quality improvement and efficiency enhancement. This transition is expected to create systematic development opportunities in urban renewal, green construction, and infrastructure upgrades within the construction industry [11] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment in China has shown a steady upward trend, with narrow infrastructure investment growing by 4.6% year-on-year and broad infrastructure investment increasing by 8.9% year-on-year in the first half of 2025. Key sectors such as transportation, energy, and water supply are driving this growth [5][8] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.04%, and the ChiNext Index grew by 3.17% during the week. However, the construction decoration index fell by 0.71%. Notable stock performances included Shikong Technology (+17.83%) and Huitong Group (+12.70%) [21] Company Dynamics - Several companies reported significant changes in their financial performance for the first half of 2025. For instance, Longyuan Construction is expected to turn a profit, while Chongqing Construction anticipates losses. Notably, companies like Zhongjian Construction and China Energy Engineering reported new contract values of 5,481.9 billion yuan and 775.36 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a mixed performance across the sector [12][17][18]

证券研究报告 房地产 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 22 日 板块表现： 从增量扩张转向存量提质增效，城市更新为重要抓手 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——房地产行业周报（25/07/12-25/07/18） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 板块行情：本周上证指数上升 0.7%、深证成指上升 2.0%、创业板指上升 3.2%、沪 深 300 上升 1.1%、房地产(申万)下跌 2.2%。个股方面，涨跌幅前五的分别为：市北 高新(+13.0%)、福星股份(+10.2%)、中新集团(+7.6%)、海南高速(+7.0%)、衢州发 展(+6.3%)，涨跌幅后五的分别为: 光大嘉宝(-15.7%)、南山控股(-12.1%)、渝开发 (-10.9%)、信达地产(-10.1%)、华夏幸福(-9.8%)。 数据跟踪：新房：本周(7.12-7.18)，42 个重点城市新房合计成交 141 万平米，环比 下降 10.8%。7 月截至本周(7.1-7.18)，42 个重点城市新房合计成交 407 万平米， 环比下降 20.7%，同比下降 19.7%，年初至今累计成交同比 ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - The report highlights the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) pilot program aimed at accelerating advanced nuclear reactor development and strengthening the domestic nuclear fuel supply chain. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to reduce reliance on imported enriched uranium and key materials, fostering a domestic nuclear fuel industry [4][16] - The report emphasizes that the U.S. is accelerating the self-sufficiency layout of critical resources, with nuclear fuel being a vital component of national energy security. The transition from heavy reliance on imports to rebuilding a domestic system is underway, supported by a comprehensive mechanism from policy guidance to financial support [4][16] - The report notes significant market movements, particularly in the uranium sector, with top-performing companies experiencing substantial gains, reflecting heightened market focus on energy and critical resources [4][9] Summary by Sections 1. Overseas AI - The report indicates that Hong Kong and U.S. tech stocks saw an increase, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 5.5% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increasing by 0.6% during the week of July 14 to July 18, 2025 [7][8] - The uranium sector experienced a notable surge, with top companies like ENERGY FUELS and ASP ISOTOPES seeing increases of 42% and 39% respectively, indicating strong market interest in energy self-sufficiency [9][14] 2. Web3 and Cryptocurrency Market - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization rose to $3.86 trillion as of July 18, 2025, up from $3.61 trillion the previous week, indicating a positive market trend [18][22] - The report highlights that the core assets in the cryptocurrency market saw a net inflow of $2.386 billion during the week, reflecting strong investor interest [28] - Key legislative developments in the U.S. regarding cryptocurrency, including the passage of the GENIUS Act, have bolstered market expectations, contributing to a rise in core asset prices [32][32]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The outdoor trend is driving high growth for the company's other brands, while the main brand's efficiency improvements are being monitored [5] - The company has shown stable performance from its main brand and FILA, with all other brands experiencing rapid growth [7] - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory due to its multi-brand strategy and overseas expansion potential [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 62,356 million RMB - 2024: 70,826 million RMB (growth of 16.23%) - 2025E: 78,944.69 million RMB (growth of 11.46%) - 2026E: 87,795.88 million RMB (growth of 11.21%) - 2027E: 96,556.82 million RMB (growth of 9.98%) [6] - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2023: 10,236 million RMB - 2024: 15,596 million RMB (growth of 52.36%) - 2025E: 13,500.18 million RMB (decline of 13.44%) - 2026E: 15,567.18 million RMB (growth of 15.31%) - 2027E: 17,163.18 million RMB (growth of 10.25%) [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be: - 2023: 3.69 RMB - 2024: 5.55 RMB - 2025E: 4.81 RMB - 2026E: 5.55 RMB - 2027E: 6.11 RMB [6] Brand Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the main brand recorded low single-digit growth, while FILA achieved mid-single-digit growth, and all other brands saw growth of 50-55% [7] - The main brand's growth is expected to improve in the second half of the year due to operational efficiency initiatives [7] - The outdoor segment remains strong, with high demand for premium outdoor brands like Descente and Kolon [7]

证券研究报告 | 北交所定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 21 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 万枭 SAC：S1350524100001 wanxiao@huayuanstock.com 英伟达 H20 解禁促进 AI 行业赋能、国产 GPU 有望提速，北交所 AI+产业链再梳理 ——北交所科技成长产业跟踪第三十五期（20250720） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 联系人 黄仁勋宣布英伟达将恢复对中国的 H20 芯片销售，国产 GPU 或将提速。英伟达近日发布公告，其创始 人兼 CEO 黄仁勋宣布将恢复对中国的 H20 销售，并将推出针对中国市场的全新、完全兼容的 GPU。H20 是为遵守美国出口限制而推出，专为中国市场设计的 AI 加速器。2025 年 4 月，美国政府决定禁止英伟达 向中国市场销售其 H20 芯片。上一波 H20 芯片断供，国产 GPU 公司快速获得市场验证的机会，且获资 源倾斜，生态合力加速形成。中国 GPU 重点企业发展迅速，凭借技术 ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]