Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices this year. Key areas of focus for June include safety regulations affecting the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance volatility due to "export grabbing," the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][4][11] - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on high oil prices, the ongoing high demand in the oil and gas extraction sector, and the growth potential in new materials, particularly in electronic and renewable energy materials [4][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 8, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemicals sector is 22.18, at the 69.94 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.89, at the 29.26 percentile historically. For the SW oil and petrochemical sector, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 10.97, at the 17.71 percentile historically, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.14, at the 20.11 percentile historically [4][11] Price Changes - In the week of June 2-8, 2025, among 100 tracked chemical products, 17 saw price increases, 51 saw decreases, and 32 remained stable. The average price of hydrochloric acid rose by 31%, while vitamin E prices fell by 5.01% [10][30] Key Focus Areas - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the impact of safety regulations on the pesticide sector, the performance fluctuations of companies due to export dynamics, and the critical nature of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [4][11] - It also highlights the potential for recovery in demand due to policy support in 2025, particularly for leading companies in high-demand sub-sectors like fluorochemicals and vitamins [11][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Views - A new round of rural electric vehicle promotion has been initiated, and polysilicon prices remain stable. The photovoltaic sector in China saw rapid growth in installed capacity in the first quarter, with optimistic demand growth expected in the U.S. and emerging economies. Supply-side reforms in the photovoltaic sector are anticipated to strengthen [1]. - The wind power sector is expected to see steady progress in domestic offshore and onshore bidding and construction, with demand improving by 2025, which may restore profitability in the complete machine and component segments. The report suggests prioritizing investments in segments likely to see improved profitability, such as complete machines and foundation piles [1]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, the government aims to develop smart connected vehicles, with annual sales expected to maintain high growth, driving demand for batteries and materials. Some material segments have seen price increases due to supply and demand dynamics, which may lead to a recovery in profitability by 2025 [1]. - The report highlights the ongoing industrialization of solid-state batteries, with mass production expected by 2027, benefiting companies involved in batteries, materials, and equipment in related fields [1]. - The electric equipment sector is experiencing ongoing reforms in the power system, which is expected to accelerate the construction of ultra-high voltage and main grid projects, maintaining high demand for related grid equipment. The overseas demand for grid renovation is also strong [1]. - The hydrogen energy sector is being driven by policies promoting industrial development, with applications in green hydrogen and chemicals expected to open up new opportunities. The report recommends focusing on companies with cost and technological advantages in electrolyzer production and those benefiting from hydrogen infrastructure development [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector rose by 1.38% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.13% [10]. - The new energy vehicle index saw the largest increase at 1.90%, while the lithium battery index had the smallest increase at 0.08% [13]. Key Industry Information - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments announced the launch of the 2025 rural new energy vehicle initiative, with expected wholesale sales of 1.24 million new energy passenger vehicles in May, a year-on-year increase of 38% [24]. - The polysilicon market is currently stable, with limited transaction volumes and a slight downward trend in prices expected based on new order signing [24]. Company Developments - Longpan Technology signed a sales contract for over 5 billion yuan of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials [26]. - Aisheng Co. plans to invest approximately 750 million yuan in a wind power project in Linyi County [26]. - Zhongke Electric plans to invest in a lithium-ion battery anode material project in Oman, with a total investment not exceeding 8 billion yuan [26].

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 6 月 9 日 周度金融市场跟踪 中美元首通电话，本周股市普遍上涨；债券市场 先抑后扬，窄幅震荡（ 6 月 2 日 -6 月 6 ） 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 宏观经济 证券分析师：郭军 (8610)66229081 jun.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519070001 证券分析师：李晨希 chenxi.li@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300525010002 股票方面，本周 A 股迎来普涨，小盘股继续跑赢大盘股。全周累计看，沪深 300 本 周上涨 0.9%，中证 2000 上涨 2.3%。港股恒生指数本周上涨 2.2%。行业方面，本周 31 个一级行业有 26 个上涨，通信、有色金属和电子行业领涨，家用电器、食品饮料 2 个消费类行业领跌。医药行业本周上涨 1.1%连续 7 周上涨。周内看，本周由于端 午假期仅 4 个交易日。美东时间 6 月 1 日中午新闻报道白宫国家经济委员会主任哈西 特在接受采访时表示预计中美元首将于本周就关税问题进行会谈。周 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The binding of the Trump administration's tariff and tax - cut policies will become more obvious, and it is highly likely that the two policies will either pass or be rejected simultaneously [2][11] - The US employment market is operating stably. In May, employment signals were contradictory, but non - farm employment increased by 1.1% year - on - year, and the weekly wage index growth rate is close to the pre - pandemic level, which may not change the downward trend of core inflation [2][14] - The focus of monetary policy lies in the persistence of the impact of tariffs on inflation [2][14] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 High - frequency Data Panoramic Scan - CBO estimates that the OBBBA may lead to a reduction of $3.7 trillion in federal fiscal revenue and $1.3 trillion in expenditure from 2025 - 2034, along with $55.1 billion in debt costs, resulting in an increase of about $3 trillion in government debt. However, tariffs may reduce the deficit by $2.8 trillion from 2025 - 2035, but will also cause negative economic impacts and inflation in the next two years [2][10] - The Trump administration's tariff policy faces legal challenges, and the OBBBA is still under discussion in the Senate. The binding of tariff and tax - cut policies will be stronger [2][11] - In May, the US employment market had contradictory signals. ADP employment increased slightly, while non - farm employment grew strongly. Non - farm employment increased by 1.1% year - on - year, and the non - farm hourly wage growth rate was stable [2][14] - From June 2 - 7, 2025, agricultural product prices mostly declined, and commodity prices showed mixed trends. For example, the average wholesale price of pork decreased by 0.55% week - on - week, and the price of Brent crude oil futures increased by 1.60% week - on - week [2] 3.2 High - frequency Data and Important Macroeconomic Indicators Trend Comparison - Multiple charts show the trend comparison between high - frequency data and important macro - indicators such as PPI, CPI, and export volume, but specific analysis is not provided in the text [22][28][29] 3.3 Important High - frequency Indicators in the US and Europe - Charts display the relationship between US weekly economic indicators and actual economic growth, initial jobless claims and unemployment rate, same - store sales growth and PCE year - on - year, etc., as well as the implied prospects of interest rate hikes or cuts by the Federal Reserve and the ECB, but specific analysis is not provided in the text [83][85][87] 3.4 Seasonal Trends of High - frequency Data - Multiple charts show the seasonal trends of high - frequency data such as 30 - city commercial housing transaction area, LME copper spot settlement price, and production material price index, but specific analysis is not provided in the text [94][96][100] 3.5 High - frequency Traffic Data in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen - Charts show the year - on - year changes in subway passenger volume in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, but specific analysis is not provided in the text [147][151]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of style factors in A-share investment strategies, highlighting a quantitative framework for constructing style factor portfolios [3][7] - The manufacturing PMI shows a marginal recovery, indicating a need for continued policy support for domestic demand [9][10] Market Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3385.36, with a slight increase of 0.04% [4] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.19%, closing at 10183.70 [4] - The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.09%, ending at 3873.98 [4] Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw an increase of 1.16%, while the beauty care sector declined by 1.70% [5] - The communication industry rose by 1.00%, whereas the textile and apparel sector decreased by 1.18% [5] - The petroleum and petrochemical sector increased by 0.88%, while the food and beverage sector fell by 0.92% [5] Style Factor Analysis - The report identifies four main dimensions for constructing style factors: market capitalization, valuation, profitability, and momentum [7] - Historical data indicates that different periods in the A-share market have been dominated by different style factors, with high valuation factors expected to strengthen from 2025 [7][8] - The report suggests that high profitability, high valuation, and small-cap stocks will dominate the A-share market in the current year [8] PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI for May was reported at 49.5%, a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery [9] - New export orders increased by 2.8 percentage points to 47.5%, while new orders only rose by 0.6 percentage points, suggesting weaker domestic demand compared to external demand [9][10] - The report notes that the construction sector's PMI showed a slowdown in expansion, while the service sector's PMI slightly increased to 50.2% [10]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the pessimistic expectations surrounding computing infrastructure are reversing, with leading companies like Nvidia and Broadcom showing strong market performance, indicating a sustained high prosperity trend in computing infrastructure [3][4][5] - The AI industry chain is expected to have a certain rebound potential under the influence of overseas mapping and market style rotation, making it an optimal time for investment [2][4][6] Computing Infrastructure - Recent performance in the A-share TMT sector has been notable, with telecommunications, computers, electronics, and media sectors rising by 2.42%, 2.42%, 2.23%, and 1.34% respectively, while computing infrastructure components like optical modules, copper connections, and circuit boards saw increases of 5.18%, 4.45%, and 3.88% [4] - The launch of new AI products, such as AR glasses, is accelerating the integration of AI applications from concept to execution, with major tech companies like Microsoft and Google heavily investing in this area [6] AI Industry Chain - The report highlights that the AI application landscape is transitioning towards deep integration and task execution, with significant developments expected at the upcoming ByteDance Volcano Engine 2025 conference [6] - The computing infrastructure sector, particularly components directly benefiting from the high prosperity of overseas computing leaders like Nvidia, is identified as a key area for investment focus [6]

固定收益 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2025 年 6 月 8 日 PMI 修复，内需仍需重视 5 月 PMI 数据点评 制造业 PMI 边际回暖，内需相对而言仍需后续政策支持。 相关研究报告 《市场策略更新》20250601 《美国关税政策面临法律挑战》20250530 《策略点评》20250530 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 固定收益 证券分析师：肖成哲 (8610)66229354 chengzhe.xiao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300520060005 ◼ 制造业 PMI 数据在枯荣线下边际回暖，中国国家统计局 5 月 31 日公布， 5 月份，中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为 49.5%，比上月上升 0.5 个百分 点。"抢出口"仍在持续，但边际有所放缓；出厂价格、产成品库存、主要 原材料购进价格、供应商配送时间分项指数下降，其余分项较上月有所回 升。 ◼ 分项而言，内需相对外需仍有所不足。PMI 分项中新订单增长相较新出 口订单增长仍有所不足。5 月制造业新出口订单上行 2.8 个百分点至 47.5%，但 5 月制造业新订单仅上涨 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a diversified investment strategy with a focus on specific stocks, including SF Holding, Anji Technology, and others, indicating a positive outlook for these companies in the near term [1] - The macroeconomic analysis points to a mixed performance in domestic and foreign demand, with improvements in the external trade environment positively impacting manufacturing sentiment [2][5] - The tourism sector shows a strong recovery during the Dragon Boat Festival, with significant increases in domestic travel and spending, driven by short-distance leisure travel and cultural events [8][10] Macroeconomic Analysis - In May, the manufacturing PMI rose to 49.5%, indicating a slight recovery but still within a contraction zone, with new orders and production indices showing improvements [5][6] - The high-tech manufacturing sector continues to expand, with a PMI of 50.9%, reflecting robust demand and export orders [7] - The report notes a positive shift in manufacturing expectations, with a production activity expectation index of 52.5% [6] Tourism Sector Insights - The Dragon Boat Festival saw 119 million domestic trips, a 5.7% increase year-on-year, with total spending reaching 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9% [8][10] - The integration of cultural and sports events has significantly boosted tourism, with family-oriented travel becoming a prominent trend [9] - Cross-border travel remains strong, with a notable increase in inbound tourism, particularly from countries with visa-free policies [10] Pharmaceutical Sector Analysis - The report on Ma Yinglong indicates a solid revenue growth of 18.85% year-on-year for 2024, with a total revenue of 3.728 billion yuan [12] - The company’s focus on the healthcare sector, particularly in the treatment of hemorrhoids, is expected to drive future growth, supported by a strong brand presence [13][15] - The pharmaceutical industry overall is experiencing steady growth, with a significant increase in sales of hemorrhoid treatment products [13]

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperforming the Market" [32] Core Insights - Nvidia reported strong Q1 earnings with revenue of $44.1 billion, a 12% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 69% year-over-year increase, despite being affected by export controls [11][12] - The DeepSeek R1 model has completed a minor version upgrade, achieving top performance among domestic models and nearing international leaders [13][14] - Huawei's Pangu team launched the Pangu Ultra MoE model, addressing stability issues in training large-scale models, which signifies a successful practice of autonomous training using domestic computing power [15][16] Company Dynamics - Zhongke Chuangda announced a special loan commitment of up to 70 million yuan for stock repurchase [3] - Kingsoft Office disclosed the results of its restricted stock incentive plan, with a total of 505,289 shares newly added, bringing the total share capital to 463,179,293 shares [23] - The report highlights the importance of companies in the Huawei supply chain and EDA software sector, suggesting a focus on firms like Softcom Power, Tuo Wei Information, and others [4]

Core Insights - The report explores the construction and application of a style factor system for A-shares, focusing on four dimensions: market capitalization, valuation, profitability, and momentum [2][9][12] - A-shares have exhibited different dominant factors over various periods, with profitability leading from 2013 to 2014, small-cap factors from 2015 to 2016, valuation from 2016 to 2018, and a return to profitability dominance from 2019 to early 2021 [2][24][27] - The report predicts a resurgence of high valuation factors starting in 2025, driven by expectations of weak profit recovery and strong policy support [2][27] Style Factor Construction and Performance - The style factor system is constructed using a bottom-up approach, assigning style labels to each stock based on their factor indicators [9][12] - The performance of the style factors shows that small-cap stocks have generally outperformed large-cap stocks since 2010, with a notable fivefold return from small-cap strategies [12][17] - Valuation factors indicate that low valuation styles have been particularly strong, especially during specific periods such as 2017-2018 and 2022-2024 [14][15] Influencing Factors of Style Factors - Profitability factors are highly correlated with economic cycles, showing better performance during economic upturns [45][46] - Valuation factors are closely linked to market sentiment, with high valuation stocks performing better during periods of positive sentiment [49][50] - Market capitalization factors are significantly influenced by remaining liquidity, with small-cap factors performing strongly in liquidity-rich environments [53][54] Application of Style Factor System - The report establishes an A-share style investment system based on the identified style factors, suggesting that the current dominant styles are high profitability, high valuation, and small-cap [2][27] - The analysis indicates that the A-share market has not fully priced in the expected profit recovery, suggesting potential upside for high profitability and high valuation factors [2][27] - Different asset types exhibit varying dominant style factors, with emerging growth assets showing significant small-cap advantages and dividend assets reflecting low valuation strengths [29][33]