公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 燕京啤酒（000729）2025 年中报预告点评 强推（维持） U8 放量驱动，业绩再超预期 目标价：15.5 元 事项： ❖ 公司发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计上半年实现归母净利润10.6~11.4亿元， 同增约 40%~50%；扣非净利润 9.3~10.0 亿元，同增约 25%~35%。测算单 Q2 预计实现归母净利润 9.0~9.7 亿元，同增约 36.7%-48.3%；扣非归母净利润 7.7~8.5 亿元，同增约 21.1%~32.7%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 14,667 | 15,472 | 16,114 | 16,608 | | 同比增速(%) | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,056 | 1,552 | 1,864 | 2,137 | | 同比增速(%) | 63.7% | 47.0% | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Zhujiang Beer [7] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the growth potential of Zhujiang Beer, particularly with the rapid expansion of its 97 Pure Draft product since its launch in 2019, which has seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 99% from 2.79 million tons in 2019 to 22.07 million tons in 2022 [7][17] - Despite concerns about the slowdown in the premium beer segment, regional beers, particularly in the 8-10 yuan price range, continue to show strong growth, with Zhujiang Beer positioned favorably in the Guangdong market [15][17] - The report anticipates that Zhujiang Beer will achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.45, 0.56, and 0.67 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected EPS compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% from 2025 to 2027 [7][8] Company Overview - Zhujiang Beer, established in 1985, is a major state-owned enterprise in the beer brewing and cultural industry, with a brand value of 18.8 billion yuan [19][22] - The company has a strong market presence in Guangdong, which is the second-largest beer-producing province in China, with a beer production of 4.54 million tons in 2023 [16][19] Industry Review - The report notes that regional beers have outperformed leading brands since 2021, with Zhujiang Beer, Yanjing Beer, and Chongqing Beer showing CAGRs of 4.8%, 4.3%, and 3.7% respectively, while leading brands like China Resources Beer and Tsingtao Brewery have seen CAGRs of only 0.4% and 0.5% [15][41] - The overall beer industry faced challenges in 2024, with a reported decline in production of 8.42% from March to December [41][47] Investment Highlights - Zhujiang Beer is expected to benefit from its strong positioning in the Guangdong market, where the economic environment and consumer demographics favor beer consumption [16][75] - The company is actively expanding its product line with the introduction of the 980ml Zhujiang Original Draft, which emphasizes cultural branding and competitive pricing [18][75]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月09日 泸州老窖（000568.SZ） 优于大市 以消费者为中心，数字化赋能供应链，提升竞争壁垒 市场表现：增速预期下修，估值出现折价。2023H2-2025H1 公司股价跑输白 酒板块 21%，预测 PE 下跌 45%，主因内外部周期叠加，公司收入及业绩增速 边际放缓：行业需求承压影响大单品国窖的量价表现，同时公司自身发展进 入阶段性调整。我们认为市场基于短期增速的定价有失偏颇，当前行业弱景 气度背景下公司积极去化渠道包袱，以消费者为中心推进数字化转型，进行 前瞻性产品布局，管理层面的相对优势仍是共识；当前 PE 接近 2013 年初水 平，于经营、于投资层面均有布局机会。 竞争壁垒：管理禀赋为核，全价位产品布局。公司在行业中为管理驱动类， 组织、渠道为核心优势，历史两轮调整通过深度改革实现破局。公司组织机 制市场化、激励充足，庞大且专业化的销售队伍开拓市场；组织力支撑精细 化的渠道管理模式得以落地跑通，因地制宜、强化管控。产品层面"浓香鼻 祖"名酒基因根植，双品牌多品系布局，全价位带均有可贡献增长的大单品。 数字化思辩：科技增密供应链，以消费者为中心提升竞争壁垒。近两年白 ...

买入（维持） 巨化股份（600160）2025 年半年度业绩预增点评 公 司 点 评 制冷剂高景气延续，公司上半年归母净利大幅预增 136%-155% 2025 年 7 月 9 日 投资要点： 基础化工行业 S0340518040001 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱： luliting@dgzq.com.cn | 主要数据 月 | 2025 | 年 | 7 | 8 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | 28.79 | | | 总市值（亿元） | | | | 777.26 | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | 2699.75 | | | 流通股本（百万股）2699.75 | | | | | | | ROE（TTM） | | | | 13.20% | | | 12 月最高价（元） | | | | 29.00 | | | 12 月最低价（元） | | | | 14.19 | | 股价走势 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，Wind 证 券 研 究 报 告 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with estimates ranging from 1.97 to 2.13 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 136% to 155% [1][7]. - The long-term outlook for refrigerants is positive, with the company positioned to benefit as a leader in the fluorochemical industry [1][7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Projected total revenue for 2025 is 29.355 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 20% [2][11]. - Estimated net profit for 2025 is 3.943 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 101% compared to the previous year [8][12]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.46 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19.7 times [8][12]. Production and Sales Performance - The company's main products, including fluorinated refrigerants, have shown stable growth in production and sales, contributing to increased gross margins and profit [7]. - Revenue from refrigerants is expected to reach 6.086 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant price increase of 61.88% year-on-year [7]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the price of refrigerants has been recovering due to reduced production quotas for second-generation refrigerants and strong downstream demand [7]. - The company is expected to benefit from a favorable market environment as global temperatures rise, leading to increased demand for refrigerants [7].

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |首次覆盖 个股表现 2024-07 2024-09 2024-11 2025-02 2025-04 2025-07 -27% -13% 1% 15% 29% 43% 57% 71% 85% 99% 113% 隆扬电子 电子 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 33.66 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）2.83 | / 0.82 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）95 | / 28 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 33.66 / 11.65 | | 资产负债率(%) | 4.0% | | 市盈率 | 116.07 | | 第一大股东 | 隆扬国际股份有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com 隆扬电子(301389) 引领布局 hvlp5 高频铜箔 l 投资要点 积极布局 hv ...

魔芋势能持续，盈利提升可期 盐津铺子(002847) | [table_Authors] 訾猛(分析师) | 颜慧菁(分析师) | 陈力宇(分析师) | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 100.00 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | | | 登记编号 S0880513120002 | S0880525040022 | S0880522090005 | | | 本报告导读： 公司魔芋势能持续，具备供应链竞争优势，全渠道、多品类战略下我们预计或有望 保持较好发展势头，有望持续提升盈利能力。 投资要点： 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.09 | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 4,115 | 5,304 | 6,698 | 8,132 | 9,694 | ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月09日 圣泉集团（605589.SH） 优于大市 新建产能快速投产稳产，半年度业绩预告同比高增 公司半年度归母净利润预计同比增长 48.19%-54.83%。圣泉集团 7 月 8 日晚 公布半年度业绩预增预告，预计 2025 年上半年度实现归属于母公司所有者 的净利润 49100 万元到 51300 万元，与上年同期相比，增加 15967.70 万元 到 18167.70 万元，同比增加 48.19%到 54.83%。其中二季度公司归母净利润 为 28428.8-30628.8 万元，同比增加 46.59%到 57.93%，环比增加 37.53%到 48.17%。 受益于全球 AI 算力建设、高频通信及新能源汽车、储能等领域快速发展， 带动公司先进电子材料及电池材料放量增长。聚苯醚树脂超低介电常数和介 电损耗的特性使其成为制造高频高速 PCB 基板理想材料，公司自主研发的聚 苯醚树脂通过国内重点头部企业认证。硅碳负极材料应用领域逐渐从消费电 子向动力电池拓展。2025 年上半年公司 1000 吨/年 PPO 树脂、1000 吨/年多 孔碳等先进电子材料及电池材料生产线产能陆续 ...

m 2025 年 7 月 9 日 | H70455@capital.com.tw | | | --- | --- | | 沈嘉婕 目标价(元) | RMB 40 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 机械设备 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/7/8) | | 33.91 | | 深证成指(2025/7/8) | | 10588.39 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 34.95/17.21 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 637.75 | | A 股数(百万) | | 630.92 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 213.95 | | 主要股东 | | 阜新金胤能源 | | | | 咨询有限公司 | | | | (38.93%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 11.68 | | 股价/账面净值 | | 2.90 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 19.7 35.8 | 60.3 | | 近期评等 | | | | 风电装备产品 | 93% | | --- | --- | | 新能源发电 | 5.8% | 机构投资者占流通 A 股比 ...

2025 年 7 月 9 日 | H70529@capital.com.tw | | | --- | --- | | 何利超 目标价(元) | 45 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | 通信 | | --- | --- | --- | | A 股价(2025/7/8) | | 34.21 | | 深证成指(2025/7/8) | | 10588.39 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | 35.56/18.69 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | 781.64 | | A 股数(百万) | | 643.39 | | A 市值(亿元) | | 220.10 | | 主要股东 | | 赵延平 | | | | (19.84%) | | 每股净值(元) | | 4.67 | | | 一个月 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 9.7 21.7 | 77.1 | 近期评等 | | | | 产品组合 | | | --- | --- | | 地理空间信息 | 18.1% | | 机器人与无人驾驶 | 5.7% | | 建筑与基建 | 32.4% | | 资源与公共事业 | 43.8% | 机构投资者占流通 A ...