Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" based on its strong performance and growth potential [10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.09 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.92%. The social business revenue reached 4.63 billion RMB, growing by 58.1%, while the innovative business revenue was 460 million RMB, up by 21.3% [1][2]. - The operating profit was 729 million RMB, an increase of 32.3%, and the adjusted EBITDA was 963 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 42.8% [1]. - The company expects to record a revenue of approximately 1.5 to 1.57 billion RMB in Q1 2025, which is a year-on-year increase of about 41.5% to 48.1% [2]. Summary by Sections Social Business Performance - The social business continues to show robust growth, with a revenue of 4.63 billion RMB in 2024, up 58.1%. Key products like MICO and YoHo are contributing significantly, while the new product SUGO has seen revenue growth exceeding 200% [3]. - The average monthly active users (MAU) for the social business reached 32.835 million in Q1 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.4% [3]. Innovative Business Development - The innovative business, particularly in premium games, has shown significant growth, with total revenue exceeding 705 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of over 80%. The flagship game "Alice's Dream: Merge Games" has also performed well [3]. - The social e-commerce segment has experienced revenue growth exceeding 200% and profit growth over 600% [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to maintain high growth in its social and gaming products, with new products in development. The acquisition of remaining shares in NBT Social Networking is anticipated to further enhance profits in 2025 [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 903 million, 1.12 billion, and 1.38 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth rates of 88.1%, 23.9%, and 23.3% respectively [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) is "Buy" [3]. Core Insights - Horizon Robotics is positioned as a leader in the new generation of automotive intelligent chips and a world-class AI algorithm company, focusing on software-defined principles and exploring new boundaries in intelligent driving [5][14]. - The market for intelligent driving is expected to grow significantly, with the AD (Autonomous Driving) market projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 144.2% from 2019 to 2023, and the overall AD+ADAS market expected to grow at a CAGR of 57.8% during the same period [5][12][37]. - Horizon Robotics has achieved a market share of 28.65% in the full-stage intelligent driving computing solutions market as of the first half of 2024, and is expected to further increase its share in the OEM ADAS and AD markets [5][57]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Horizon Robotics focuses on intelligent driving chip platforms, full-scene intelligent driving solutions, and supporting toolchains, establishing itself as a comprehensive supplier in the industry [5][14]. - The company has launched several intelligent driving chips, including J2, J3, J5, and J6, and has developed a self-adaptive BPU computing unit that maximizes computational efficiency [14]. Market Growth - The AD+ADAS market is projected to reach a scale of 407 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 48.8% from 2025 to 2030 [12][37]. - The domestic OEM market share has increased from 19.8% in 2019 to 39.8% in 2023, with expectations to exceed 60% by 2029 [61]. Competitive Position - Horizon Robotics has established a strong customer base, providing stable and reliable intelligent driving solutions to 27 OEMs, covering 42 brands [57][69]. - The company is recognized for its competitive advantages in cost-effectiveness, software capabilities, and customization, which have solidified its position in the industry [11][21]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Horizon Robotics are estimated at 36.10 billion yuan in 2025, 56.97 billion yuan in 2026, and 80.53 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 51%, 58%, and 41% respectively [6]. - The net profit is expected to turn positive by 2027, with a forecasted profit of 668 million yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an IPO-specific rating of 6.1, based on various criteria including company operations, industry outlook, valuation, and market sentiment [6][8]. Core Insights - The company, Heng Rui Pharmaceutical, is a leading innovative pharmaceutical enterprise rooted in China, with projected revenues of 27.985 billion RMB (+22.6%) and a net profit of 6.337 billion RMB (+47.3%) for 2024. The gross margin is expected to improve by 1.6 percentage points to 86.2% [1]. - The core growth driver is the revenue from innovative drugs, which is expected to increase from 38.1% of total revenue in 2022 to 46.3% in 2024, supported by key products like PD-L1&TGF-β and HER2ADC [1]. - The global pharmaceutical market is projected to grow from $1,472.3 billion in 2023 to $1,938.7 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 5.7%. The Chinese pharmaceutical market is expected to grow from 1,618.3 billion RMB in 2023 to 2,342.0 billion RMB by 2028, with a CAGR of 7.7% [2]. - The company has a strong R&D capability, with an investment of 8.2 billion RMB in 2024, representing 29.4% of total revenue, and cumulative R&D investment exceeding 44 billion RMB [3]. - The company has a robust commercialization capability with a sales and marketing team of approximately 9,000, covering over 22,000 hospitals and 200,000 retail pharmacies in China [4]. Company Overview - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical is positioned as a global leader in innovative pharmaceuticals, focusing on unmet medical needs across various therapeutic areas, including oncology, metabolic and cardiovascular diseases, immunology, and neuroscience [3]. - The company has over 110 commercialized drugs, including 19 new molecular entities and four other innovative drugs [3]. - The financial health of the company is strong, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 8% and no interest-bearing debt, allowing for sustainable R&D investments [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][21]. Core Views - The company's retail business continues to benefit from national subsidies, leading to sustained revenue growth. However, increased investment in the food delivery business is expected to impact profitability [3][21]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1,307.5 billion, 1,400.4 billion, and 1,486.9 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 3%, 2%, and 1% respectively. Adjusted net profits for the same period are projected to be 452 billion, 521 billion, and 570 billion yuan, with adjustments of -13%, -8%, and -9% respectively [3][21]. Revenue Summary - The company achieved a total revenue of 3,011 billion yuan in the latest quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 16%. The retail segment contributed 2,638 billion yuan, also up 16% year-on-year. The self-operated business saw a 16% increase, with the electronics category benefiting from subsidies, growing by 17% [10][11]. - The logistics segment generated 470 billion yuan, a 12% increase year-on-year, while new business revenue reached 58 billion yuan, up 18% year-on-year, driven primarily by the rapid growth of the Jingxi business [10][11]. Profit Summary - The company's non-GAAP net profit was 12.8 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 4.2%. The operating profit margin (OPM) for the retail business was 4.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to improved gross margins [2][11]. - The logistics business had an OPM of 0.3%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased short-term investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel. The new business segment reported an OPM of -23%, reflecting an increase in losses due to higher order volumes [2][11]. AI Application and Shareholder Returns - The company is actively applying AI technology across various retail and supply chain scenarios, including optimizing search recommendation systems and enhancing operational efficiency through automation [3][12]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the company has repurchased approximately 80.7 million shares for a total of about 1.5 billion USD, representing 2.8% of the circulating shares as of December 31, 2024 [3][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][21]. Core Views - The company's retail business continues to benefit from government subsidies, leading to sustained revenue growth. However, increased investment in the food delivery business is expected to impact profitability [3][21]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1,307.5 billion, 1,400.4 billion, and 1,486.9 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 3%, 2%, and 1% respectively. Adjusted net profits for the same period are forecasted to be 452 billion, 521 billion, and 570 billion yuan, with adjustments of -13%, -8%, and -9% respectively [3][21]. Revenue Summary - The company achieved a total revenue of 3,011 billion yuan in the latest quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 16%. The breakdown includes: - Retail revenue of 2,638 billion yuan, also up 16% year-on-year, with self-operated business revenue growing by 16% [10][11]. - Logistics revenue of 470 billion yuan, up 12% year-on-year [10]. - New business revenue of 58 billion yuan, up 18% year-on-year, driven primarily by the rapid growth of the Jingxi business [10][11]. Profit Summary - The company's non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was 128 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 4.2%. The operating profit margin (OPM) for the retail business was 4.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to improved gross margins [2][11]. - The logistics business reported an OPM of 0.3%, down 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased short-term investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel [2][11]. - The new business segment had an OPM of -23%, a decline of 4 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased losses from the Jingxi business [2][11]. AI Application and Shareholder Returns - The company is actively applying AI technology across various retail and supply chain scenarios, including optimizing search recommendation systems and enhancing operational efficiency [3][12]. - As of 2025, the company has repurchased approximately 80.7 million shares, totaling around 1.5 billion USD, representing 2.8% of the circulating shares as of December 31, 2024 [3][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Swire Properties (1972.HK) with a target price of HKD 21.55 [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance met expectations, with improvements in the operation of shopping centers in mainland China. Retail sales in key locations such as Shanghai and Beijing showed positive growth, while declines in other areas were significantly reduced compared to 2024 [2][8]. - The report highlights the strong competitive advantage of Swire Properties due to its prime location shopping centers and robust leasing capabilities, which are expected to drive rental income growth in the coming years [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 14,428 million, HKD 14,616 million, HKD 14,995 million, and HKD 18,638 million respectively, with growth rates of -2.1%, 1.3%, 2.6%, and 24.3% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be -HKD 766 million in 2024, increasing to HKD 2,676 million in 2025, HKD 4,132 million in 2026, and HKD 5,671 million in 2027, with growth rates of -129.0%, 449.3%, 54.4%, and 37.2% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -HKD 0.13 in 2024, HKD 0.46 in 2025, HKD 0.72 in 2026, and HKD 0.98 in 2027 [4]. Market Performance - The report notes that Swire Properties' shopping centers in Hong Kong maintained full occupancy, with slight improvements in retail sales growth compared to the previous year [8]. - The overall rental market for office spaces in Hong Kong remains under pressure due to oversupply, with an occupancy rate of 89% in Q1 [8]. Investment Recommendation - Swire Properties is characterized as a commercial real estate company that generates stable cash flow through holding assets with a competitive moat. The expected growth in net profit and consistent dividend growth of 5% annually supports the investment thesis [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings (700 HK) with a target price raised to HKD 604.00, indicating a potential upside of 15.9% from the current price of HKD 521.00 [1][39]. Core Insights - The first quarter performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue growing 13% year-on-year to RMB 180 billion, surpassing market expectations by 4% [2][6]. - The growth was driven by strong performance in domestic games, social networking, and marketing services, with notable contributions from AI investments and cost optimizations in payment and cloud services [6][7]. - The report highlights that the integration of AI across Tencent's business ecosystem is expected to enhance platform traffic and advertising revenue stability [6][7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 show a steady increase, with expected revenues of RMB 609 billion in 2023, RMB 660 billion in 2024, and RMB 723 billion in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% [3][42]. - Net profit is projected to grow from RMB 157.7 billion in 2023 to RMB 250.2 billion in 2025, with a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) from RMB 16.33 to RMB 27.23 over the same period [3][42]. - The report notes an improvement in gross margin, with a projected gross margin of 54.5% for Q2 2025, up from 53.5% in the previous quarter [37]. Segment Performance - Domestic game revenue is expected to continue its rapid growth, with a year-on-year increase of 24% in Q1 2025, supported by a low base from the previous year and the success of new game launches [6][7]. - Social networking revenue grew by 7% year-on-year, driven by increased music subscription services and mobile game in-app purchases [6][7]. - Marketing services revenue saw a significant boost, with video account revenue increasing by over 60% [6][7]. Capital Expenditure and AI Investment - Capital expenditures reached RMB 27.5 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 91% year-on-year increase, primarily due to ongoing investments in AI and cloud service infrastructure [6][7]. - The report emphasizes that some of these investments have already started to yield revenue contributions, particularly in advertising optimization and content recommendation algorithms [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, Kunlun Energy (0135.HK) [6]. Core Views - Kunlun Energy, as a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation, is positioned to benefit from the high-quality development of its natural gas terminal business, with a projected net profit of 6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [1][4]. - The company aims to increase its dividend payout ratio to 45% by 2024, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1][46]. - The natural gas sales business is expected to maintain strong growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.7% in revenue from 2016 to 2024, supported by a stable supply of high-quality gas from its parent company [2][53]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Kunlun Energy is the largest natural gas terminal utilization enterprise in China, focusing on natural gas sales and comprehensive utilization, with operations covering 28 provinces and municipalities by the end of 2024 [17][26]. - The company achieved a natural gas sales volume of 54.2 billion cubic meters in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [17][26]. 2. Business Development - The natural gas sales business is expanding, with a significant focus on industrial gas sales, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 24.35% from 2018 to 2024 [2][58]. - The company has established two LNG receiving stations with a total unloading capacity of 13 million tons per year, contributing a pre-tax profit of 3.577 billion yuan in 2024, with a profit margin of 75% [3][72]. 3. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 6.649 billion yuan, 7.124 billion yuan, and 7.598 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.77 yuan, 0.82 yuan, and 0.88 yuan [4][5]. - The report highlights a stable financial structure with a projected revenue of 187.046 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 5.46% [5][28]. 4. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Kunlun Energy benefits from a strong resource supply from its parent company, which allows it to maintain a competitive edge in purchasing costs compared to other gas companies [2][64]. - The company is gradually transitioning from upstream oil exploration to focus on natural gas terminal utilization, reducing its cyclical exposure [3][89].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - Geely Automobile announced plans to acquire all issued shares of Zeekr at a suggested purchase price of $2.57 per share or $25.66 per American depositary share, aiming for complete integration of Zeekr as a wholly-owned subsidiary [2][5]. - The integration of Zeekr is seen as a positive long-term development for Geely, enhancing brand positioning and internal resource integration, which is expected to lower costs and improve competitiveness [9]. - The company is entering a new product era supported by the GEA architecture, with a strong new vehicle cycle and successful transitions to new energy across its brands [9]. Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - On May 7, 2025, Geely announced its plan to acquire all shares of Zeekr, currently holding approximately 65.7% of the shares [2][5]. - The proposed purchase price represents a premium of about 13.6% over the last trading day’s closing price and a 20% premium over the weighted average price of the last 30 trading days [9]. Financial Performance - Zeekr is expected to contribute positively to Geely's profitability, with Zeekr achieving a quarterly profit of 150 million yuan in Q4 2024 [9]. - Geely's net profit for 2025 is projected to be 16.1 billion yuan, with a corresponding PE ratio of 9.8X [9]. Product Strategy - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, including five new models and several facelifts under the Geely brand [9]. - The company is also focusing on enhancing its smart driving capabilities across its product lines, with significant advancements expected in the upcoming models [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported 1Q25 performance that exceeded expectations, with revenue growth of 16-17% year-on-year, gross profit growth of 20-21%, and net profit attributable to shareholders growing by 28-29%. This is primarily attributed to the optimization of the distribution business structure and the continuous increase in market share of domestic brands [5][6] - The domestic market is expected to benefit from the recovery of distribution losses and the demand driven by AI, which may lead to profit elasticity release. The Southeast Asian market continues to show high gross margins and growth rates, with gross margins expected to remain relatively stable [6][7] - The company is committed to broadening its product portfolio to meet the increasingly diverse needs of customers, enhancing overall market competitiveness. By deepening partnerships with globally recognized brands, the company has successfully built a comprehensive product ecosystem covering enterprise systems, consumer electronics, and cloud computing [7] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of HKD 11.78 billion, HKD 13.15 billion, and HKD 14.29 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 12.0%, 11.6%, and 8.7% [5][8] - The estimated revenue for 2025 is HKD 96.42 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.2%. The company’s PE ratio for 2025 is projected to be 8X [8][9] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 12.2% in 2024 to 14.0% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [8][9]