Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 5.67, indicating a potential upside of 26.3% from the current price of HKD 4.49 [4][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a FY24 net profit of RMB 1.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, with a net profit margin of 11.4%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points from FY23 [1]. - Revenue for FY24 reached RMB 10.07 billion, reflecting a 19.1% year-on-year growth, driven by increases in both adult and children's product sales [1]. - The company plans to expand its store network by adding 124 new outlets in 2024, with a focus on enhancing the shopping experience through the introduction of "super stores" [3]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue: RMB 10,074 million, up 19.1% from FY23 [5] - FY24 net profit: RMB 1,149 million, up 15.4% from FY23 [5] - FY25 projected revenue: RMB 11,869 million, a 17.8% increase [5] - FY25 projected net profit: RMB 1,332 million, a 16.0% increase [5] - FY24 dividend per share: HKD 0.1, with a payout ratio of 45% [1][5]. Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of 2024, inventory rose to RMB 2.11 billion, a 56.2% increase, leading to an increase in inventory turnover days from 93 to 107 days [2]. - Operating cash flow decreased to RMB 56 million due to increased inventory levels [2]. Store Expansion Strategy - The company is set to increase the number of "super stores" from 5 to 100 by the end of 2025, with an expected average store efficiency of RMB 10 million per year [3]. - The product mix in these stores will consist of 30% premium products, 20% off-season products, and 30% cost-effective products [3].

2025 年 03 月 18 日 公司点评 买入/维持 361 度(01361) 目标价: 昨收盘:4.82 24 年财报点评：营收破百亿，25 年布局超品店有望带来新增量 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (14%) 2% 18% 34% 50% 24/3/18 24/5/29 24/8/9 24/10/20 24/12/31 25/3/13 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 20.68/20.68 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿港元) | 99.66/99.66 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 4.98/3.15 | | (港元) | | 相关研究报告 <<24Q3 经营数据点评：运营持续稳 健，国庆表现强劲，看好全年百亿收 入目标达成>>--2024-10-21 <<361 度点评：24Q1 流水表现亮眼， 期待全年百亿收入目标达成>>-- 2024-04-13 <<2023 年业绩点评：业绩表现超预 期，24 年收入有望破百亿>>--2024- 03-14 证券分析师：郭彬 E-MAIL：guobin@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190519090001 证券 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive outlook on Tencent Holdings with an expected revenue growth of 8.8% year-on-year for Q4 2024 and 7.8% for the entire year [4]. Core Insights - Tencent is anticipated to report a Q4 revenue of 168.9 billion RMB, with a full-year revenue forecast of 656.5 billion RMB, reflecting strong growth in value-added services and marketing services [4]. - The Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 54.1 billion RMB in Q4, marking a 26.7% increase year-on-year, and 220.6 billion RMB for the full year, representing a 39.9% growth [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with lower-than-expected sales and management expense ratios [5]. Revenue Breakdown - Value-added services are expected to generate 77.1 billion RMB in Q4, up 11.6% year-on-year, and 317.2 billion RMB for the full year, an increase of 6.3% [4]. - Marketing services are projected to grow by 13.6% year-on-year in Q4 to 33.8 billion RMB, with a full-year growth of 18.46% to 120.2 billion RMB [4]. - Cloud and financial services are expected to record 55.9 billion RMB in Q4, a 2.7% increase, and 211.7 billion RMB for the full year, up 3.9% [4]. AI and Product Development - Tencent's new feature in Tencent Yuanbao allows users to upload and export Tencent documents, enhancing productivity and collaboration [6]. - Tencent Games is set to showcase new products at the 2025 Game Developers Conference, including the highly anticipated multiplayer adventure game "Honor of Kings World," which could contribute 1 to 1.5 billion RMB monthly if successful [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto (stock code: 2015.HK) [1][4][5] Core Views - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 144.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, but net profit decreased by 31.37% to 8.03 billion yuan [4][6] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 44.27 billion yuan, up 6.09% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.52 billion yuan, down 37.74% year-on-year [4] - The company delivered 500,500 vehicles in 2024, a 33.10% increase year-on-year, with Q4 deliveries reaching 158,700 units, a 20.40% increase year-on-year [4][5] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles decreased by 13.48% year-on-year to 276,800 yuan in 2024, primarily due to the increased sales of lower-priced models [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025E: Revenue of 186.90 billion yuan, net profit of 11.49 billion yuan, EPS of 5.41 yuan [6][8] - 2026E: Revenue of 235.39 billion yuan, net profit of 15.40 billion yuan, EPS of 7.26 yuan [6][8] - 2027E: Revenue of 276.45 billion yuan, net profit of 19.11 billion yuan, EPS of 9.01 yuan [6][8] - Key Financial Ratios: - 2024: Gross margin at 20.53%, net profit margin at 5.56% [8] - 2025E: Gross margin expected to decrease to 19.86% [8] - 2024 R&D expense ratio at 7.66%, with a focus on maintaining cost control [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of new electric models, including the i8 and i6, is expected to enhance market competitiveness and drive sales growth [4][5] - The company is expanding its charging infrastructure, with plans to increase the number of charging stations to 4,000 by the end of 2025 [4][5] - Li Auto is focusing on international market expansion, establishing a presence in Central Asia and planning to enter markets in the Middle East, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The company, 德昌电机控股, is actively exploring applications for humanoid robots and aims to leverage its expertise in drive systems to tap into high-growth markets [8] - The automotive sector is a key growth area, with revenue from automotive products expected to grow at a rate of 10% annually over the next three fiscal years [9] - The company forecasts revenue growth from $3.814 billion in 2024 to $4.939 billion in 2027, with net profit increasing from $229 million to $396 million during the same period [7][11] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: $3.647 billion - 2024: $3.815 billion (YoY growth of 6%) - 2025: $4.135 billion (YoY growth of 8%) - 2026: $4.519 billion (YoY growth of 9%) - 2027: $4.939 billion (YoY growth of 9%) [7] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: $158 million - 2024: $229 million (YoY growth of 45%) - 2025: $295 million (YoY growth of 29%) - 2026: $352 million (YoY growth of 19%) - 2027: $396 million (YoY growth of 12%) [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from $0.17 in 2023 to $0.42 in 2027 [7] Market Performance - The automotive product revenue for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to reach $3.210 billion, reflecting a 10.2% increase [11] - The company has reported a 10% revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific region for automotive products, outperforming the regional light vehicle production growth of 8% [9] - In the Americas, automotive product revenue is projected to grow by 9%, exceeding the estimated 6% increase in vehicle production [9] Valuation - The company is assigned a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio range of 8 to 10 times for 2025, leading to a fair value range of HKD 19.69 to HKD 24.61 [8]

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.03.16 2024 年收入稳健增长，至尊浓缩引领行业变革 蓝月亮集团(6993) ——蓝月亮集团更新报告 [Table_Industry] 耐用消费品 毛利率显著提升，推广开支增加拖累净利 2024.03.28 渠道改革成效渐显，有望重回增长轨道 2023.12.03 | 财务摘要（百万港元） | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 7,597 | 7,947 | 7,324 | 8,503 | 9,389 | 10,381 | | (+/-)% | 8.6% | 4.6% | -7.8% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | | 毛利润 | 4,439 | 4,595 | 4,540 | 5,187 | 5,727 | 6,332 | | 净利润 | 1,014 | 611 | 325 | -706.6 | 406.0 | 587.7 | | (+/-)% | -22.5% | -39. ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [10]. Core Viewpoints - The rapid development of the Mao Geping brand since 2019 is attributed to the favorable trends in high-end cosmetics and the return to traditional aesthetics, supported by the brand's classic philosophy, the founder's unique industry position, and high-quality products, creating significant entry barriers [3][5][21]. - The company is expected to benefit from a clear growth logic in the medium to long term, driven by product diversification and channel optimization [8][29]. Product Analysis - The brand is expanding its product lines, including color cosmetics, skincare, and fragrance, with a focus on enhancing its foundation category and introducing new products that align with consumer preferences [6][28]. - The foundation category is transitioning from niche professional products to more mainstream offerings, with a rich reserve of potential single products [32][35]. - The skincare line is being upgraded to meet technological trends, with significant products like the caviar mask becoming a flagship item [45][48]. Channel Strategy - The company has a solid offline presence while online channels are expected to become a significant source of revenue and profit, with online growth outpacing offline [7][34]. - Offline, the brand is enhancing store efficiency through strategic upgrades in shopping districts, while online, it is focusing on detailed operations to attract younger consumers [7][34]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 9.01 billion, 12.00 billion, and 15.42 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 51, 38, and 30 times [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto (stock code: 2015.HK) [1] Core Views - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 144.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, but net profit decreased by 31.37% to 8.03 billion yuan, with an EPS of 4.03 yuan [4] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 44.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.09%, and a net profit of 3.52 billion yuan, down 37.74% year-on-year but up 25.18% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company delivered 500,500 vehicles in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 33.10%, with Q4 deliveries reaching 158,700 units, up 20.40% year-on-year [4] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles decreased by 13.48% year-on-year to 276,800 yuan in 2024, with Q4 ASP at 268,700 yuan, down 12.29% year-on-year [4] - The company expects Q1 2025 deliveries to be between 88,000 and 93,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 9.5% to 15.7% [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: - 2025E Revenue: 186.90 billion yuan, Net Profit: 11.49 billion yuan, EPS: 5.41 yuan - 2026E Revenue: 235.39 billion yuan, Net Profit: 15.40 billion yuan, EPS: 7.26 yuan - 2027E Revenue: 276.45 billion yuan, Net Profit: 19.11 billion yuan, EPS: 9.01 yuan [6][8] - The company’s gross margin for vehicle sales in 2024 was 19.8%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [4] - R&D expense ratio for 2024 was 7.66%, a decrease of 0.88 percentage points year-on-year [4] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of new electric models, including the i8 SUV in July and the i6 later in the year, aims to enhance market presence [4] - Upgrades in intelligent driving technology and expansion of charging infrastructure are expected to boost sales [4] - The company is focusing on international market expansion, establishing a luxury brand image in Central Asia and planning to enter markets in the Middle East, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong revenue and net profit growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35% for revenue and 41% for net profit from 2021 to 2023. For the first half of 2024, revenue and net profit both increased by 41% year-on-year [4][6]. - The company has a robust product development capability, with a total of 387 products as of June 30, 2024, including 337 makeup items and 50 skincare items, averaging about 75 new product upgrades annually [6]. - The company has a strong channel management capability, with 372 self-operated counters, ranking second among all beauty brands in China, and a diverse online sales presence across major e-commerce platforms [6]. - The company targets the high-end segment of the makeup market, maintaining a significant price difference from international brands, with a strong performance in light-reflecting products [6]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 40.58 billion, 55.56 billion, and 72.94 billion RMB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 37%, and 31% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 8.9 billion, 12.2 billion, and 16.3 billion RMB for the same years, with growth rates of 35%, 37%, and 34% [7]. - The report provides a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecast of 52, 38, and 28 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, based on the closing price of 101.0 HKD on March 14, 2024 [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.304 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 211 million for 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 9.8% and 67.2% respectively. The decline is attributed to falling cement prices and increased impairment losses. However, with the gradual recovery of construction activity and the implementation of staggered production, cement prices are expected to rise, benefiting the company as a leading player in South China [1][2][5] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly in Q4, with a gross margin of 19.3%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points from the previous quarter. The aggregate business saw a high growth in sales volume, with a year-on-year increase of 56.2% [2][4] - The company plans to reduce capital expenditures by 47.7% to RMB 2.52 billion in 2025, which is expected to further improve its financial condition [3][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of RMB 2.304 billion, with a net profit of RMB 211 million, reflecting a decline of 9.8% and 67.2% year-on-year respectively. The second half of 2024 saw revenues of RMB 1.259 billion and a net profit of RMB 50 million, down 11.3% and 44.1% year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s sales in the cement, concrete, and aggregate segments were RMB 15.04 billion, RMB 4.16 billion, and RMB 2.52 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -20.4%, +21.6%, and +56.2% [2] Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for cement, concrete, and aggregate was 15.1%, 12.2%, and 35.1% respectively, with year-on-year changes of +3.4, +0.3, and -19.2 percentage points. The gross margin for Q4 was 19.3%, showing a significant improvement [2][3] - The company’s selling expense ratio decreased slightly to 1.8%, while the management expense ratio increased to 11.4% due to declining revenues [3] Market Outlook - As of March 14, 2025, the national average cement price was RMB 402 per ton, up 9.9% year-on-year. The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in cement prices starting in March 2025 [4] - The company aims to enhance energy efficiency in its cement production lines, with 18 lines meeting the highest energy consumption standards by the end of 2024, which is expected to further highlight its cost advantages [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is RMB 0.16, RMB 0.18, and RMB 0.20 respectively, with an upward revision of 21.3% and 29.4% from previous estimates [5][17] - The target price has been adjusted downwards by 17.2% to HKD 2.92, based on a price-to-book ratio of 0.43x for 2025 [5][9]