2025 年 05 月 09 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 煤炭/煤炭开采 兰花科创（600123.SH） Q1 价跌致煤炭及煤化工盈利走弱，关注煤炭成长性 张绪成（分析师） zhangxucheng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520020003 Q1 价跌致煤炭及煤化工盈利走弱，关注煤炭成长性，维持"买入"评级 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 一季报，2024 年实现营收 117 亿元，同比-12%，归 母净利润 7.2 亿元，同比-65.8%，扣非归母净利润 7 亿元，同比-66.8%；其中 2024Q4 实现营收 32.8 亿元，环比+11.4%，归母净利润 0.1 亿元，环比-93%， 扣非归母净利润-0.1 亿元，环比-104.3%。2025Q1 实现营收 21.9 亿元，同比-3.1%， 归母净利润 0.3 亿元，同比-75.3%，扣非归母净利润 0.3 亿元，同比-75.6%。考 虑到煤炭及煤化工产品价格下滑，我们下调 2025-2026 年盈利预测并新增 2027 年盈利预测，预计 2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为 3.1/4.6/5.6 亿元（2025-2026 年前值 ...

证券研究报告 葫芦岛项目有序推进，未来有望陆续增厚公司利润 据 25 年一季报，公司 25Q1 末在建工程为 17.6 亿元。据 24 年报，公司提 前 6 个月完成葫芦岛项目一期一阶段项目建设，从江苏优嘉、江苏优士抽调 骨干员工，高效推进生产调试稳步向前，已开品种均拿出合格产品，未来或 将陆续增厚公司利润。 5 月 6 日，商务部公布对原产于印度的进口氯氰菊酯反倾销调查的最终裁定， 裁定自印度进口的氯氰菊酯存在严重倾销，国内产业受到实质损害，各印度 公司被裁定的反倾销税率为 48.4%至 166.2%。商务部决定自 2025 年 5 月 7 日起实施反倾销措施，期限 5 年。氯氰菊酯价格长期处于低位，我们认为 伴随反倾销终裁落地，氯氰菊酯的价格有望提振。考虑公司葫芦岛项目成长 性，以及行业景气有望逐步复苏，维持"增持"评级。 进口氯氰菊酯对国内价格抑制明显，各印度公司倾销幅度为 48%至 166% 据商务部，我国进口氯氰菊酯全部来自印度，2019-2023 年进口数量分别为 2049/3199/3003/2065/3602 吨 ， 中 国 氯 氰 菊 酯 需 求 量 分 别 为 4160/4980/4310 ...

2024 年公司实现营业收入 115.34 亿元，同比增长 2.24%，实现归母净利 润 23.66 亿元，同比增长 18.19%。加权平均净资产收益率 5.81%，提升 0.65pct。 2025 年一季度实现营业收入 30.92 亿元，同比增长 38.95%，归母净利润 9.80 亿元，同比增长 114.86%。 事件点评 投资业务成为业绩增长重要驱动。固定收益类投资业务采用配置和交易 并重的投资策略，连续多年实现投资收益率领先市场水平。丰富交易品种及 策略，扩大交易对手范围，专业化投资交易能力有效提升。2024 年投资业务 实现收入 27.34 亿元，同比增长 16.36%，一季度实现投资业务收入 11.20 亿 元，同比增长 104.08%。 公募管理规模大幅提升。通过渠道拓展与机构合作，落地多笔机构委外 专户，积极拓展债券投顾，年末受托管理规模 595.27 亿元，同比增长 4.01%。 东吴基金规模大幅增长 55.81%达到 398.57 亿元，其中权益类基金增长 75.66%，债券类基金增长 105.27%，通过打造中长期绝对收益优势和销售体 系转型推动品牌建设，资管业务实现收入 1.69 亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.238 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.1%, which is in line with the performance forecast [2][6] - In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 1.782 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 328 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 145.73% [2][6] - The gross profit margin for the year reached 38.1%, an increase of 6.7 percentage points compared to 2023, with Q4 2024 gross profit margin at 41.55% [12] - The company has a strong order backlog, with contract liabilities reaching 354 million yuan by the end of 2024, nearly doubling from the previous year [12] - The company plans to establish production bases globally to meet international standards, with ongoing projects in Saudi Arabia [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported total operating revenue of 6.238 billion yuan and a gross profit of 2.376 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 38% [16] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 1.156 billion yuan, with an EPS of 1.52 yuan [16] Market Position and Growth - The company continues to strengthen its position in traditional sectors such as pipelines, refining, and LNG, while expanding into emerging fields like power generation and renewable energy [12] - Significant projects won in 2024 include contracts for major LNG and petrochemical projects [12] Future Outlook - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.456 billion yuan, 1.766 billion yuan, and 2.041 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14, 12, and 10 [12]

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨天赐材料（002709.SZ） [Table_Title] 天赐材料发布 2025 年一季报：出货高于行业增 速，盈利企稳改善 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 天赐材料发布 2025 年一季报，2025Q1 实现收入 34.89 亿元，同比增长 41.64%，环比下降 4.56%。归母净利润 1.50 亿元，同比增长 30.8%，环比增长 2.74%。扣非净利润为 1.34 亿元， 同比增长 33.35%，环比增长 41.54%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 叶之楠 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520090003 SFC：BQK482 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Rank]投资评级 买入丨维持 公司基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 当前股价(元) 17.09 总股本(万股) 191,434 流通A股/B股(万股) 138,490/0 每股净资产(元) 6.77 近12月最高 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨尚太科技（001301.SZ） [Table_Title] 尚太科技 2025 年一季报点评：Q1 单吨盈利超 预期，涨价落地助力盈利稳健 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年一季报，2025Q1 营业收入 16.3 亿元，同比增长 89.0%，环比增长 1.1%； 归母净利润 2.4 亿元，同比增长 60.9%，环比下降 8.2%；扣非净利润 2.5 亿元，同比增长 72.6%， 环比增长 4.2%，业绩基本落于业绩预告中枢。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 叶之楠 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520090003 SFC：BQK482 尚太科技（001301.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 尚太科技 2025 2] 年一季报点评：Q1 单吨盈利超 预期，涨价落地助力盈利稳健 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2025 年一季报，2025Q1 营业收入 16.3 亿元，同比增长 89.0%，环比增长 1. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and maintained [9] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 3.789 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to the parent company of -215 million yuan in 2024, with a revenue decline of 23% year-on-year [2][6] - In Q4 2024, the company is projected to have revenue of 1.057 billion yuan, with a net loss of 101 million yuan, reflecting a 24% year-on-year revenue decline [2][6] - For Q1 2025, the company anticipates revenue of 741 million yuan, with a net loss of 39 million yuan, indicating a 5% year-on-year revenue decline but a narrowing of losses [2][6] - The positive effects of national subsidies have been observed since Q4 2024, leading to a reduction in revenue decline, and this trend is expected to continue into Q2 2025 [2][6] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company faced a revenue decline of 23% in 2024, with specific declines in customized furniture, supporting home products, and overall business models [13] - The revenue decline has narrowed from 29% in Q3 2024 to 17% in Q4 2024, indicating a positive trend due to national subsidies [13] Cost Management and Efficiency - In Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin increase of 7.4 percentage points and a net profit margin increase of 5.9 percentage points, reflecting effective cost management [13] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on its traditional strengths in customization and supporting products, aiming for high-quality development [13] - The company is actively expanding its overseas presence under the Sunpina brand, with successful franchise establishments in various countries [13] Channel Development - The company is implementing a new channel strategy that includes a mix of direct sales and franchise models to enhance market coverage [13] - The company aims to reduce the operational requirements for franchisees, facilitating faster market entry and shared resources [13] Future Outlook - The company plans to distribute dividends of 187 million yuan in 2024, with an expected dividend yield close to 7% [13] - Projections for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 are approximately 70 million, 100 million, and 150 million yuan, respectively [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady revenue growth, with a projected 10.81% increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 1.13 billion yuan, and a 13.64% increase in net profit, amounting to 183 million yuan [2][5]. - The company's strategy focuses on the high-end and specialized instrument sectors, which is expected to drive further growth and improve product structure [5][6]. - Despite a strong performance in 2024, the first quarter of 2025 shows a slight profit pressure due to increased depreciation from the Vietnam factory and high R&D expenses [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 45.16% and a net margin of 15.85%, reflecting improvements of 1.84 and 0.33 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [3][4]. - The revenue breakdown by business segments for 2024 includes: - Testing Instruments: Revenue of 155 million yuan, up 14.62%, with a gross margin of 42.56% [3]. - General Instruments: Revenue of 660 million yuan, up 8.33%, with a gross margin of 46.02% [3]. - Specialized Instruments: Revenue of 92 million yuan, up 72.94%, with a gross margin of 50.82% [3]. - Temperature and Environmental Testing Instruments: Revenue of 219 million yuan, down 0.21%, with a gross margin of 42.34% [3]. - The company forecasts net profits of 228 million yuan, 274 million yuan, and 314 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 17, 15, and 13 [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" investment rating for China Shenhua Energy Company (601088.SH) [3][8] Core Views - The company reported a 21.1% year-on-year decline in revenue for Q1 2025, totaling 69.585 billion yuan, and an 18.0% decrease in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 11.949 billion yuan [3] - The increase in long-term contracts has stabilized performance, and dividend growth is expected [3][7] - The coal segment's gross margin improved to 30.1%, up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, despite a decrease in coal sales volume [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.601 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 2.80%, down 0.74 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s total assets as of March 30, 2025, were 672.307 billion yuan, a 0.60% increase year-on-year, while net assets rose by 3.2% to 433.114 billion yuan [3] - The average coal selling price decreased by 11.5% to 506 yuan per ton, while the average unit sales cost fell by 13.07% to 353 yuan per ton [3][4] Segment Performance Summary - The coal segment generated revenue of 51.599 billion yuan, down 25.7% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 15.509 billion yuan [3] - The power segment's revenue was 20.854 billion yuan, a 14.7% decline, with a gross margin of 15.4%, down 1.3 percentage points [4] - The transportation segment's revenue decreased across various divisions, with coal chemical gross margins improving [5] Future Outlook - EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.74, 2.89, and 2.96 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14.1, 13.4, and 13.1 [8][10] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of at least 65% of net profit attributable to shareholders over the next three years [7]

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 中科星图(688568.SH) 2025 年 05 月 08 日 买入（维持） 证券分析师 陈涵泊 资格编号：S0120524040004 邮箱：chenhb3＠tebon.com.cn 李佩京 资格编号：S0120524090004 邮箱：lipj＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -69% -51% -34% -17% 0% 17% 34% 51% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 中科星图 沪深300 | 沪深300对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅(%) | 21.50 | -1.63 | -0.25 | | 相对涨幅(%) | 14.16 | 0.68 | 0.78 | | 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 | | | | 相关研究 所属行业：计算机/IT 服务Ⅱ 当前价格(元)：56.80 中科星图：对标 PLTR，AI+数 据分析之王 投资要点 未来战场"制智权"是致胜关键 1、基础技术进步驱动战场形态升级，"制智权"是关键，核心 ...