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三一重能(688349):整机制造筑底,“两海”持续突破有望驱动盈利回升
国金证券· 2025-04-29 01:48
业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 28 日公司披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报,2024 年全年公司实现营收 178 亿元,同比增长 19.1%;实现归母净利润 18.1 亿元,同比下降 9.7%,实现扣非归母净利 15.9 亿元,同比 下降 1.8%。2025 年一季度公司实现营收 21.9 亿元,同比增长 26.6%;实现归母净利润-1.91 亿元,同比下降 172%。 经营分析 制造业务盈利筑底,"两海"突破有望带动盈利回升:2024 年公司 风机制造板块实现收入 136 亿元,同比增长 13.8%,实现毛利率 10.99%,同比下降 0.19pct。2024 年以来公司"两海"业务取得多 项重大突破:海外方面,公司深耕中亚、南亚、东南亚等类中国市 场,突破欧洲高端市场,在印度、哈萨克斯坦、菲律宾、德国等地 区实现订单获取,全年新签项目合同近 2GW;海上方面,公司中标 揭阳石碑山 200MW 风电项目及河北建投祥云岛 250MW 海风项目, 海上机型进入批量化交付阶段。2024 年公司海外毛利率约 21.7%, 较国内风机业务毛利率高 10pct 以上,预计随着公司"两海"持续 突破,交付占 ...
伊力特(600197):产品结构明显提升,关注改革成效
国金证券· 2025-04-29 01:45
2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1)24 年 实现营收 22.0 亿元,同比-1.3%;归母净利 2.9 亿元,同比-15.9%。 2)25Q1 实现营收 8.0 亿元,同比-4.3%;归母净利 1.4 亿元,同 比-9.3%。业绩表现符合预期,外部环境扰动下仍有承压。 从营收结构来看:1)产品端,24 年高档/中档/低档分别实现营收 15.3/5.1/1.3 亿元,同比+4.3%/-8.2%/-20.5%,其中销量分别- 13.6%/-6.5%/-27.1%,吨价分别+20.7%/-1.8%/+9.0%。25Q1 高档 /中档/低档分别实现营收6.2/1.3/0.3亿元,同比+8.8%/-30.7%/- 41.0%。公司产品结构提升明显,伊力王等自营产品有不错增长。 2)区域端,24 年疆内/疆外分别实现营收 16.0/5.7 亿元,同比- 5.8%/+16.7%;25Q1 疆内/疆外分别实现营收 7.0/0.9 亿元,同比 +3.5%/-37.9%。3)渠道端,24 年直销/线上/批发分别实现营收 4.9/1.3/15.4 亿元,同比+90.9%/-1.7%/-1 ...
迎驾贡酒(603198):省外节奏拖累,产品结构持续优化
国金证券· 2025-04-29 01:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.34 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.59 billion RMB, up 13.4% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.05 billion RMB, down 12.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 830 million RMB, down 9.5% year-on-year, indicating a decline in performance compared to market expectations [2]. - The revenue structure shows that the underperformance is mainly due to low-priced products and challenges in expanding outside the province [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 73.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, and a net profit of 25.9 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 13.4% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue was 20.5 billion RMB, a decrease of 12.3% year-on-year, and the net profit was 8.3 billion RMB, down 9.5% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - By product, the revenue for mid-to-high-end and regular liquor in 2024 was 57.1 billion RMB and 12.9 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +13.8% and -6.5% [3]. - The revenue from mid-to-high-end liquor in Q1 2025 was 17.2 billion RMB, down 8.6% year-on-year, while regular liquor revenue fell by 32.1% [3]. - Regionally, the company reported revenues of 50.9 billion RMB from within the province and 19.1 billion RMB from outside the province in 2024, with year-on-year growth of 12.8% and 1.3%, respectively [3]. Financial Quality - The net profit margin for 2024 increased by 1.5 percentage points to 35.3%, with a gross margin increase of 2.9 percentage points [4]. - In Q1 2025, the net profit margin was 40.5%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 1.5 percentage points [4]. - The company is focusing on marketing for its cave-aged series, indicating a sustained upward potential in product structure [4]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 10% and 14%, respectively, with expected revenues growing by 3.4% in 2025 and 5.1% in 2026 [5]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.72 billion RMB, 2.90 billion RMB, and 3.26 billion RMB, respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 3.40 RMB, 3.62 RMB, and 4.07 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.4, 13.5, and 12.0 [5].
传音控股(688036):2024年报、25年一季报点评:营收稳健增长,看好新市场、高端化、AI多重成长
东吴证券· 2025-04-29 01:36
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电子 传音控股(688036) 2024年报&25年一季报点评:营收稳健增长, 看好新市场&高端化&AI 多重成长 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 62,295 | 68,715 | 77,500 | 88,500 | 100,300 | | 同比(%) | 33.69 | 10.31 | 12.78 | 14.19 | 13.33 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 5,537 | 5,549 | 6,278 | 7,310 | 8,492 | | 同比(%) | 122.93 | 0.22 | 13.14 | 16.45 | 16.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 4.86 | 4.87 | 5.51 | 6.41 | 7.45 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 16.82 | 16.78 | 14.83 | 12.74 | 10.97 | [Tabl ...
三诺生物(300298):销售费用投入增加,CGM产品有望快速放量
国金证券· 2025-04-29 01:34
业绩简述 2025 年 4 月 28 日,公司发布 2025 年一季度报告,25Q1 公司实现 收入 10.42 亿元,同比+2.76%;归母净利润 7212 万元,同比- 10.90%;扣非归母净利润 6684 万元,同比-13.84%。 经营分析 一季度销售费用投入增加,CGM 产品有望快速放量。一季度公司收 入端保持稳健增长,以血糖监测产品为核心的慢性病快速检测业 务经营平稳。Q1 公司销售费用投入 2.89 亿元,同比+19.57%,预 计针对新产品 CGM 的国内外推广投入仍在持续,短期利润端增速 有一定压力,但 CGM 产品保持快速增长趋势,份额有望持续提升。 重视创新研发投入,第二代 CGM 产品顺利获批。2024 年 12 月公司 公告新一代 CGM 产品国内获批,CGM 二代新产品在设计、工艺上进 一步改进。相较于一代产品,公司持续葡萄糖监测系统二代产品采 用一体式植入,无需组装,用户佩戴更简单;此外公司进一步优化 了产品尺寸,能够带给用户更好的佩戴体验。 签订欧洲 CGM 合作协议,海外市场有望逐步放量。2024 年 12 月公 司披露了关于签订日常经营重要合同的公告,公司与 A. MEN ...
苏垦农发(601952):公司信息更新报告:粮价下行致销售规模收缩,期待粮价回升改善业绩
开源证券· 2025-04-29 01:32
农林牧渔/种植业 苏垦农发(601952.SH) 粮价下行致销售规模收缩,期待粮价回升改善业绩 2025 年 04 月 29 日 投资评级:买入(维持) | 日期 | 2025/4/28 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 9.87 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 12.48/8.73 | | 总市值(亿元) | 136.01 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 136.01 | | 总股本(亿股) | 13.78 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 13.78 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 69.93 | 股价走势图 数据来源:聚源 -16% -8% 0% 8% 16% 24% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 苏垦农发 沪深300 相关研究报告 《麦价下跌致业绩承压,期待市场回 暖后业绩修复—公司信息更新报告》 -2024.10.30 《成本下降扩大盈利空间,稻种销售 表 现 靓 丽 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.8.22 陈雪丽(分析师) 朱本伦(联系人) chenxueli@kysec.cn zhubenlun@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790 ...
青岛啤酒(600600):跨过一季度压力位,后续量价有望提速
东吴证券· 2025-04-29 01:30
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·食品饮料 青岛啤酒(600600) 2025 年一季报点评:跨过一季度压力位,后 续量价有望提速 买入(维持) 2025 年 04 月 29 日 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书:S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭晓东 执业证书:S0600525040001 guoxd@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 2024/4/29 2024/8/28 2024/12/27 2025/4/27 青岛啤酒 沪深300 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 33,937 | 32,138 | 33,614 | 34,783 | 35,909 | | 同比(%) | 5.49 | (5.30) | 4.59 | 3.48 | 3.24 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 4,268 | ...
新凤鸣(603225):涤丝龙头业绩稳步改善,行业竞争格局持续向好
信达证券· 2025-04-29 01:30
证券研究报告 公司研究 [Tabl 点评报告 e_ReportType] [《Table_O 首次覆盖报告:扩张 therReport] 节奏加快,打 造低成本龙头》2021.6.30 《60 万吨聚酯投产,成长性持续强 化》2021.7.5 《单季度业绩创新高,验证龙头盈利 弹性》2021.7.14 《2 季度公司业绩高增,持续布局产 能扩张》2021.8.18 《尽显龙头成本优势,扩张产能迎投 产大年》2021.11.02 《新凤鸣:22Q1 公司业绩承压,但扩 能投产势头强劲》2022.5.12 《新凤鸣:行业至暗时期将过,长丝 业务有望迎来反弹》2022.8.30 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [涤丝龙头业绩稳步改善,行业竞争格局持续向好 Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 29 日 [Table_S 事件: ummary] 2025 年 4 月 24 日晚,新凤鸣发布 2024 年年度报告。2024 年公司 实现营业收入 670.91 亿 ...
菜百股份(605599):业绩超预期,投资类产品表现亮眼
信达证券· 2025-04-29 01:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at a "Buy" level, indicating a strong performance relative to the benchmark [12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 20.23 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.24%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 719 million yuan, up 1.73% [1]. - The performance of investment products has been particularly strong, contributing to 64% of total revenue in 2024 [3]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 77.89% for 2024, with a cash dividend of 0.72 yuan per share [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.887 billion yuan, a 17% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 165 million yuan, up 43% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 8.222 billion yuan, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 320 million yuan, an increase of 17% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 8.34%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Product Performance Summary - In 2024, the revenue from gold jewelry decreased by 11% to 5.473 billion yuan, while precious metal investment products saw a 45% increase to 12.906 billion yuan [3]. - The sales volume of gold jewelry dropped by 26.42% due to rising gold prices, while sales of precious metal investment products grew by 18.64% [3]. Channel Performance Summary - The company reported online sales of 4.818 billion yuan, accounting for 23.8% of total sales, with a significant growth of 60.26% in the e-commerce segment [4]. - The offline channel generated 15.095 billion yuan, representing 74.7% of total sales, with a 16.47% average sales growth in Beijing [4]. Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.122 billion yuan, 27.211 billion yuan, and 29.837 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 13%, and 10% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 808 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 12% increase [5].
浙能电力(600023):公司点评:1Q25电价下降盈利承压, 24年维持高分红
国金证券· 2025-04-29 01:28
4 月 28 日晚间公司发布 24 年年报及 25 年一季报,24 年全年实现 营收 880.0 亿元,同比-8.3%;实现归母净利润 77.5 亿元,同比 +18.9%。1Q25 实现营收 176.0 亿元,同比-12.1%;实现归母净利润 10.7 亿元,同比-40.8%。2024 年度计划现金分红 0.29 元/股,同比 +0.04 元/股,现金分红比例约 50.2%,当前股价对应股息率约 5.0%。 24 年增量降本火电盈利实质性改善。24 年公司完成上网电量 1647 亿度,同比+6.6%,主因:1)六横电厂二期项目全面投产,叠加镇 海天然气#3、镇海联合#7 机组投产,公司火电装机规模净增 205.1 万千瓦;2)浙江省用电需求景气+省内电力供需偏紧需火电顶峰保 供,公司煤机利用小时数同比+99 小时、达 5632 小时。成本方面, 24 年公司度电燃料及备件成本同比-8.3%,大于火电不含税综合平 均上网电价降幅、即 3.6%。 25 年电价降幅大于成本降幅,Q1 盈利暂承压。1Q25 公司完成上网 电量 366 亿千瓦时、同比基本持平,营收下降主因电价下降:根据 国网浙江公司,3M25 浙江省 ...