Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the sector [5] Core Views - The report indicates that the precious metals market is expected to maintain a bullish trend in the medium to long term due to inflationary pressures and global liquidity easing, despite recent price corrections [1][34] - For industrial metals, copper prices are supported by tight supply conditions and liquidity easing, while aluminum prices are expected to show strong fluctuations due to overseas production cuts and geopolitical tensions [2][3] - Energy metals, particularly lithium, are projected to see strong price performance driven by positive demand expectations, while cobalt prices are also on an upward trend despite cautious purchasing strategies from downstream buyers [3][25] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - U.S. September CPI recorded at 3%, lower than the expected 3.1%, indicating a potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][34] - The consumer confidence index in the U.S. has declined to 53.6, reflecting weak economic fundamentals [1][34] - The report suggests that the recent pullback in gold prices is considered sufficient, and long-term bullish trends remain intact [1][34] Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by tight supply due to disruptions in mining and easing liquidity conditions [2] - Global copper inventory increased by 19,400 tons, with Chinese inventory rising by 17,100 tons [2] - The report highlights that the aluminum industry in China is maintaining production levels, while overseas production cuts are expected to support aluminum prices [2] - Nickel demand remains strong, particularly in the battery sector, with prices expected to rise [2] Energy Metals - Lithium prices are showing strong performance, with battery-grade lithium carbonate prices rising by 5.4% to 80,000 yuan/ton [3][25] - Cobalt prices are also on the rise, supported by strong demand from the ternary material sector, although purchasing strategies are becoming more cautious [3][25] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Chifeng Jilong Gold for precious metals [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum, Nanshan Aluminum, and China Hongqiao for industrial metals [2][8] - Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium for energy metals [3][8]

Group 1 - The Chinese assets are becoming increasingly attractive, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index rising by 1.66%, driven by significant gains in Alibaba (3.64%), Baidu (2.9%), and JD.com (2.1%) [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts a 30% increase in the Chinese stock market over the next three years, citing an 80% rebound in the MSCI China Index since its 2022 low and expected corporate earnings growth of 12% [1][2] - Morgan Stanley highlights that global capital allocation to Chinese stocks remains "pitifully low," indicating potential for further investment [1] Group 2 - Intel reported a third-quarter revenue of $13.65 billion, marking a significant turnaround from a loss of $0.46 per share last year, with a gross margin of 40% exceeding expectations [2] - The Federal Reserve may halt quantitative tightening (QT) as early as next week, which could lead to increased liquidity in the market, reversing the previous trend of withdrawing liquidity [2] - The WTI crude oil price surged by 5.62% to $61.79 per barrel, signaling a potential shift in global capital allocation as liquidity conditions change [4] Group 3 - Gold prices rose by 1.62% to $4,131 per ounce, with analysts suggesting that central banks and wealthy investors are accumulating gold, anticipating a new era of liquidity [4] - Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook on gold, projecting a target price of $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, emphasizing the potential for upward price movement [4] - The current market dynamics suggest that the upcoming FOMC meeting in October could lead to significant shifts in global capital markets, particularly if the Fed stops its tightening measures [6]

Group 1: Investment Ratings - There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the report. Group 2: Core Views - The nickel market has high inventories and an oversupplied pattern, so nickel prices are expected to remain in low - level oscillations. The stainless - steel market has weak downstream demand growth, increasing inventories, and weakening cost support, so it is expected to remain in range - bound oscillations [3][5]. Group 3: Nickel Market Analysis Futures - On October 23, 2025, the main contract 2512 of Shanghai nickel opened at 121,100 yuan/ton and closed at 121,380 yuan/ton, a 0.19% change from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 93,921 (+20,070) lots, and the open interest was 127,005 (+5,694) lots. The main contract showed a volatile pattern of opening low and closing high, with a fluctuation range of only 0.44%. Supported by the expectation of loose liquidity and strong new - energy demand, along with the overall strength of the non - ferrous sector, the price oscillated upward [1]. Nickel Ore - The nickel ore market is mainly in a wait - and - see state, and prices are stable. There is a certain price difference between supply and demand in the domestic market. In the Philippines, the Surigao mining area is about to enter the rainy season, and shipments are coming to an end. In Indonesia, the domestic trade benchmark price in October (Phase II) increased by 0.06 - 0.11 US dollars, and the current mainstream premium is +26, with the premium range mostly between +25 - 27. Indonesian factories have recently been purchasing raw materials [2]. Spot - Jinchuan Group's sales price in the Shanghai market was 123,300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Spot trading was average, and the spot premiums of each brand increased slightly. The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipts were 26,881 (-72) tons, and LME nickel inventories were 250,854 (-24) tons [2]. Strategy - Due to high inventories and oversupply, it is expected that nickel prices will remain in low - level oscillations. The strategy is mainly range - bound operations for the single - side, and no operations for cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options [3]. Group 4: Stainless - Steel Market Analysis Futures - On October 23, 2025, the main contract 2512 of stainless steel opened at 12,700 yuan/ton and closed at 12,765 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 151,385 (+52,175) lots, and the open interest was 166,411 (-4,171) lots. Driven by the strong nickel price, the main contract showed a volatile and strong trend with increasing volume and price, but there was a short - term oversold rebound. The continuous reduction of open interest in the main contract for 5 days reflects strong risk - aversion sentiment among funds, and the market doubts the sustainability of the rebound [3]. Spot - The driving effect of futures on spot is not obvious, and actual trading remains light. Spot prices remain low. The stainless - steel price in the Wuxi market is 13,000 (+0) yuan/ton, and in the Foshan market is 13,000 (+0) yuan/ton. The 304/2B premium is 335 - 635 yuan/ton. The ex - factory tax - included average price of high - nickel pig iron decreased by 1.50 yuan/nickel point to 934.0 yuan/nickel point [3]. Strategy - Due to weak downstream demand growth, increasing inventories, and weakening cost support, stainless steel is expected to remain in a range - bound oscillation. The single - side strategy is neutral, and no operations for cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options [5].

Core Viewpoint - The bond market showed slight weakness on October 23, with government bond futures closing down across the board, while interbank bond yields experienced a minor rebound. The net liquidity withdrawal from the open market was 23.5 billion yuan, leading to a slight decline in funding rates. Analysts suggest that the new fund redemption regulations set to take effect in November may limit the downward potential of yields for a certain period. Despite ongoing trade uncertainties, the likelihood of liquidity easing remains strong, indicating limited upward risks for bond yields [1][2][6]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed down, with the 30-year main contract falling by 0.34% to 115.21, the 10-year main contract down by 0.12% to 108.035, the 5-year main contract down by 0.07% to 105.645, and the 2-year main contract down by 0.02% to 102.336 [2]. - Interbank major rate bond yields initially decreased before rising, with the 10-year policy bank bond yield increasing by 0.5 basis points to 1.911%, the 30-year government bond yield up by 1 basis point to 2.196%, and the 10-year government bond yield up by 1 basis point to 1.837% [2]. International Market Trends - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields generally fell, with the 2-year yield down by 0.43 basis points to 3.4403%, the 3-year yield down by 1.12 basis points to 3.4386%, the 5-year yield down by 0.52 basis points to 3.5464%, the 10-year yield down by 0.58 basis points to 3.9474%, and the 30-year yield down by 0.66 basis points to 4.5287% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields mostly rose, with the 10-year yield increasing by 1.2 basis points to 1.666% [4]. - In the Eurozone, bond yields mostly increased, with the 10-year UK bond yield down by 6 basis points to 4.416%, while the 10-year French bond yield rose by 1.2 basis points to 3.353%, the 10-year German bond yield up by 1.1 basis points to 2.562%, the 10-year Italian bond yield up by 0.5 basis points to 3.346%, and the 10-year Spanish bond yield up by 1 basis point to 3.089% [4]. Primary Market Activity - The Export-Import Bank's 1-year and 3-year financial bonds had winning yields of 1.3649% and 1.6815%, respectively, with overall multiples of 2.31 and 3.94, and marginal multiples of 1.11 and 6.2 [5]. - The China Development Bank's 3-year and 7-year financial bonds had winning yields of 1.7342% and 1.9415%, respectively, with overall multiples of 3.04 and 4.56, and marginal multiples of 3.24 and 3.38 [5]. Liquidity Conditions - On October 23, the central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation with a fixed rate and quantity, totaling 212.5 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%. The total amount of reverse repos maturing that day was 236 billion yuan, resulting in a net liquidity withdrawal of 23.5 billion yuan [6]. - The Ministry of Finance and the central bank conducted a tender for 2025 central treasury cash management deposits, with a total winning amount of 120 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.76% [6]. - The Shibor short-term rates mostly declined, with the overnight rate unchanged at 1.318%, the 7-day rate down by 0.5 basis points to 1.417%, the 14-day rate up by 6.0 basis points to 1.512%, and the 1-month rate down by 0.1 basis points to 1.556% [6]. Institutional Perspectives - Huatai Fixed Income suggests that the supply of Chinese dollar bonds is unlikely to increase significantly in the short term, but supply elasticity may rise. With interest rate cuts, cross-border allocation demand, and a decline in credit risk, the yields on Chinese dollar bonds are expected to decrease further. The focus should be on high coupon rates and capital gains opportunities, with potential disruptions from tariffs, exchange rates, and foreign debt regulations [8]. - CITIC Securities notes that the continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the impact of tariff policies on the U.S. economy may lead to a sustained weakening of the U.S. dollar index. The Chinese central bank's policies are expected to be flexible to mitigate expectations of a one-sided currency trend [8].

Core Insights - The current market environment is characterized by declining deposit rates and a rising stock market, prompting investors to diversify their asset allocation to enhance returns and reduce volatility [1] - "Fixed Income +" funds have emerged as a popular choice for investors seeking stable returns through a bond base while allocating a small portion to equity assets for additional gains [1] Group 1: Market Trends - As of October 15, 2023, the Ant Wealth platform reported a 141% year-on-year increase in subscription scale for "Fixed Income +" funds, with the number of holding users rising by 70% compared to last year [3] - The performance of "Fixed Income +" funds has been strong this year, with over 3300 out of approximately 3700 funds achieving positive returns in Q3, and a median return of 3.54% [4] - Some top-performing "Fixed Income +" funds have reported returns exceeding 5% this year and over 10% in the past year [4] Group 2: Comparative Performance - The average yield of "Fixed Income +" funds on the Ant Wealth platform is 3.2% higher than that of pure bond funds, with user-held "Fixed Income +" funds yielding five times more than pure bond funds [4] - The average maximum drawdown of "Fixed Income +" funds is 10.3% lower than the average of equity funds, indicating lower risk [4] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Industry experts describe "Fixed Income +" funds as a balanced investment option, with over 80% of the underlying assets in low-risk fixed income securities and no more than 20% in higher-risk equities or convertible bonds [4] - The growing popularity of "Fixed Income +" funds reflects a shift in investor behavior towards a more rational assessment of risk and return, moving away from a singular focus on high returns [4] - For risk-averse investors, low-risk "Fixed Income +" options are recommended, while those with a higher risk tolerance may consider medium to high-risk variants [5] - The overall upward trend in the stock market is expected to continue in a low-interest-rate environment, making "Fixed Income +" products effective for both growth and risk management [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while geopolitical events can cause short-term market fluctuations, their long-term impact tends to diminish over time, suggesting that investors should maintain a calm perspective and focus on fundamental trends rather than short-term noise [3][4][7]. Market Reaction to Geopolitical Events - The market exhibits a learning ability, showing diminishing marginal effects in response to repeated geopolitical events. Compared to the market's reaction during the U.S.-China tariff conflict in April, the current market volatility is significantly reduced [4]. - Investors have developed stable expectations regarding U.S.-China negotiations due to multiple rounds of discussions throughout the year, which has lessened panic [4]. - The market has become familiar with Trump's negotiation tactics, which include applying pressure followed by signals of potential meetings, thereby reducing fear among investors [4]. Historical Analysis of Geopolitical Events - Historical data from JPMorgan indicates that major geopolitical events from 1940 to 2022 had a temporary negative impact on the S&P 500 index, with average returns lower in the month and three months following such events. However, returns tend to normalize after six months to a year [7]. - The Shanghai Composite Index also follows a similar pattern, suggesting that the noise created by geopolitical events is often smoothed out over time [9]. Long-term Market Drivers - The article highlights that short-term market fluctuations due to geopolitical shocks do not necessarily indicate a change in long-term trends. It is crucial to assess whether the core drivers of the market, such as macroeconomic fundamentals, industry evolution, and liquidity conditions, remain stable [13]. - Despite external uncertainties, the fundamental logic supporting equity asset performance has not changed. The current liquidity environment is supported by both domestic and international factors, including anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [13]. Economic Indicators and Policy Support - Recent anti-involution measures have stabilized the PPI growth rate, which is closely linked to industrial profits. As these policies deepen, a recovery in PPI is expected to positively impact corporate earnings [17]. - Upcoming macro policy meetings are anticipated to yield supportive measures that will inject momentum into economic development [17]. - There is a positive trend in investment sentiment, as evidenced by the increase in new fund issuance, indicating growing investor confidence in the equity market [20]. Market Opportunities - Geopolitical shocks often lead to emotional overreactions in the market, creating opportunities to purchase quality assets at reasonable prices. Following the panic earlier in the year, valuable companies regained market recognition [22].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Report's Core View - Due to the combination of the stock - bond seesaw and loose liquidity counter - cyclical adjustments, bond futures operations are more difficult, and the bond market shows obvious oscillation characteristics. The future trend of the bond market is still mainly influenced by these two factors [2]. - The economic data released recently indicates that the downward pressure on the economy is still large, which provides long - term support for the bond market. The government's counter - cyclical adjustment measures and the central bank's loose monetary policy are double - edged swords for the bond market. Loose liquidity is beneficial to the bond market, especially the short - end bond market [2]. - Geopolitical risks give way to economic downward risks, and the bond market may see more favorable factors driven by risk - aversion factors. The overall bond market remains oscillatory. Attention should be paid to the impact of the stock - bond seesaw on the bond market. If the upward momentum of the stock market weakens, the bond market may enter an upward channel again [3]. - Looking forward to the fourth quarter, the bond market may be in a pattern of oscillating with a slight upward trend [31]. Summary by Directory 1. Chapter 1: Market Review - The stock - bond seesaw logic has led the bond market into a continuous downward trend, but on the weekly level, it shows a high - level oscillatory trend. On the daily level, it is at the neckline position of the long - term high - level oscillation and has the need for an oscillatory rebound. The combination of abundant liquidity logic and the stock - bond seesaw logic makes bond market operations more difficult [9]. 2. Chapter 2: Overview of Important News - In September, China's CPI rose 0.1% month - on - month and fell 0.3% year - on - year. The core CPI rose 1% year - on - year, with the increase expanding for the fifth consecutive month. PPI remained flat month - on - month and fell 2.3% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing for two consecutive months [13]. - Premier Li Qiang emphasized the need to implement counter - cyclical adjustments more effectively, expand domestic demand, and create a first - class industrial ecosystem [13][15]. - In the first three quarters of this year, China's total goods trade import and export value was 33.61 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4%. The import and export growth rate accelerated quarter by quarter. In September, the total import and export value was 4.04 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 8%, the highest monthly growth rate this year [15]. - In September, the added value of large - scale industrial enterprises increased by 6.5% year - on - year and 0.64% month - on - month. From January to September, it increased by 6.2% year - on - year [15]. - From January to September 2025, China's fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 371,535 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 0.5%. Among them, private fixed - asset investment decreased by 3.1% year - on - year. In September, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 0.07% month - on - month [15]. - China's social consumer goods retail in September was 4,197.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.0%. From January to September, the total retail sales of social consumer goods was 36,587.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.5% [16]. 3. Chapter 3: Analysis of Important Influencing Factors 3.1 Economic Fundamental - In September, the added value of large - scale industrial enterprises increased by 6.5% year - on - year and 0.64% month - on - month. China's social consumer goods retail in September was 4,197.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.0%. The overall economic data shows that the endogenous driving force of the economy is strengthening, and the downward pressure on the economy has weakened. If counter - cyclical adjustments continue to increase, the economic fundamentals will be bearish for the bond market in the long run [17]. 3.2 Policy Aspect - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy to ensure abundant liquidity, support consumption and investment, and maintain the stability of the financial market and the RMB exchange rate. In August, the M1 - M2 scissors gap narrowed, indicating an increase in economic activities. The growth rate of social financing stock slightly increased, and the monthly new social financing mainly relied on government bond issuance [19]. 3.3 Capital Aspect - Since July 25, DR007 has been continuously declining, and the cost of funds has decreased. The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy to maintain abundant liquidity. The Fed's potential interest rate cuts in the second half of the year may provide more room for domestic monetary policy easing, but the adjustment of monetary policy still depends on domestic demand. The probability of an unexpectedly loose monetary policy is low, but it remains an option if necessary [22]. 3.4 Supply - Demand Aspect - The National Development and Reform Commission will issue the third batch of funds for consumer goods trade - in this July and formulate a detailed plan for the use of national subsidy funds. The special treasury bond funds for equipment renewal this year amount to 200 billion yuan, with the first batch of about 173 billion yuan allocated to about 7,500 projects in 16 fields. The issuance of special bonds has accelerated recently, and the market is waiting for the effects and implementation of relevant policies [24]. 3.5 Sentiment Aspect - The stock - bond cost - performance ratio has broken through the short - term oscillatory range and declined, indicating that the market pays more attention to the stock market and the risk appetite has increased. Although the stock - bond cost - performance ratio has slightly decreased recently, it is still in a high - level range. Whether it will continue to decline needs continuous observation. Short - term bonds are more affected by the capital aspect, while long - term bonds are more affected by the stock - bond seesaw [27]. 4. Chapter 4: Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The international environment for China's A - shares has become extremely complex, and short - term fluctuations may increase, but the long - term upward trend is generally recognized. The impact of the stock - bond seesaw on the bond market has become more complex. Under the background of continuous Fed interest rate cuts, the combined effect of the stock - bond seesaw and liquidity logic makes bond market operations more difficult. In the fourth quarter, the bond market may be in a pattern of oscillating with a slight upward trend [31].

Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices, surpassing $4300, is driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors, including expectations of interest rate stability and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid economic slowdown and geopolitical risks [2][5] - The global stock market is experiencing a rebalancing of risk preferences, with investors shifting from high-valuation sectors to defensive assets such as banks, energy, and utilities, while still finding opportunities in growth sectors like AI and robotics [3][6] - The relationship between gold and the stock market is evolving, with both potentially rising together due to a combination of liquidity expectations and the need for diversification in investment portfolios [5][8] Group 2 - The A-share market is showing signs of structural differentiation, with stable performance in cyclical, financial, and consumer sectors, while technology growth sectors are experiencing increased volatility [6] - There is a cautious yet active market sentiment, with institutional interest in sectors like computing power, energy, and high-end manufacturing, indicating a shift from emotion-driven to logic-driven investment strategies [6][8] - The recent rise in gold prices reflects a significant revaluation of risk in global markets, highlighting the ongoing changes in macroeconomic variables such as interest rates and monetary policy [5][8]

Summary of Conference Call on Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals industry is currently experiencing a high-level fluctuation, awaiting demand recovery and liquidity easing to trigger a main upward trend in prices [1][3][13] - The expectation of a soft landing for the US economy, along with the first interest rate cut, has stabilized overseas demand, but the main upward wave in non-ferrous metal prices has not yet started [1][3] Key Points and Arguments Market Outlook - The performance expectations for various non-ferrous sub-sectors in 2026 are generally optimistic, with an expected increase of approximately 20% or more [1][4] - The anticipated main upward wave is expected around the end of Q1 2026, driven by interest rate cuts, the end of the US balance sheet reduction, and overseas reconstruction demand [1][5] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The ongoing US-China geopolitical tensions have normalized, reducing their impact on market sentiment, but the supply-side constraints are stronger than demand influences [1][6] - It is expected that most metals will remain in a supply-demand imbalance in 2026, with supply constraints being more definitive [1][6] Specific Metal Insights - **Gold**: Short-term trading is overheated, with valuations stretched. A potential adjustment is expected after geopolitical events cool down, but long-term prospects remain positive due to economic recovery and inflation [1][7] - **Copper**: Short-term demand is suppressed by high prices, but mining and smelting companies may reduce production, leading to a supply-demand imbalance from Q4 2025 through 2026 [1][8][9] - **Aluminum**: The electrolytic aluminum sector is recommended as a top investment choice due to its strong dividend attributes and resilience in profits, with a significant upside potential if prices rise [1][10][11] Small Metals Perspective - **Cobalt**: Inventory is decreasing, indicating potential for price increases [2][12] - **Lithium**: Currently under pressure but nearing a bottom in supply-demand dynamics, strategic positioning is advised [2][12] - **Tungsten**: Long-term outlook is positive due to supply shortages and geopolitical factors [2][12] Additional Important Insights - The overall sentiment for the non-ferrous metals industry remains optimistic, with recommendations to actively monitor and allocate resources to various metal sectors to capitalize on future growth opportunities [1][14] - The copper market is expected to see a price increase and earnings per share (EPS) growth, with mainstream companies' valuations returning to reasonable levels [1][9][14]

Summary of the Conference Call on Aluminum Industry Outlook Industry Overview - The focus is on the aluminum sector, particularly electrolytic aluminum, with a positive outlook for 2025 and beyond, anticipating an economic bottom early in the year [1][3][12]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Positioning**: The aluminum sector is currently undervalued relative to gold, with valuations below the 40th percentile over the past two years. Most mainstream companies in this sector have single-digit valuations, aligning with market expectations [1][3]. 2. **Profitability and Demand**: The profit margin for electrolytic aluminum is approximately 4,500 RMB per ton, indicating significant potential for profit improvement with price increases. The expected global demand growth for electrolytic aluminum is between 3% and 5% under normal economic conditions [1][6][10]. 3. **Supply Dynamics**: Global electrolytic aluminum production is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 2% over the next three years, with cautious expansion from Chinese enterprises due to resource constraints [1][6][12]. 4. **Inventory Levels**: Current global electrolytic aluminum inventory is critically low, around 150,000 tons, equivalent to about one week of turnover. This low inventory level could lead to market squeezes and price spikes if shortages occur [1][8]. 5. **Economic Recovery Impact**: A potential economic recovery coupled with liquidity easing could trigger significant price increases and performance improvements in the electrolytic aluminum sector, making it a top investment choice [2][11][12]. Additional Important Points - **Defensive Attributes**: The aluminum sector exhibits strong dividend characteristics and stability in capital flows, making it a defensive investment during periods of risk aversion [6][9]. - **Regional Supply Constraints**: In the U.S. and Europe, high electricity prices and resource scarcity hinder the resumption of production in major aluminum companies, limiting overall supply growth [9]. - **Domestic Demand Trends**: In the domestic market, demand is expected to see slight declines in construction and photovoltaic sectors, while the automotive sector may experience modest growth due to increased aluminum usage in electric vehicles [10]. - **Future Variables**: The end of geopolitical conflicts could significantly boost demand for basic metals like copper and aluminum, further enhancing the market outlook [11]. This comprehensive analysis highlights the favorable conditions for the aluminum sector, particularly electrolytic aluminum, suggesting it as a strategic investment opportunity in the coming years.