Core Points - The article discusses a sudden crisis in the Shenzhen Shui Bei gold and jewelry market, particularly focusing on the company "Yue Bao Xin," which has gone missing after causing significant financial losses to its partners [1][5][11] - The market, which handles nearly 70% of China's jewelry processing and has an annual transaction volume of 120 billion yuan, is facing a trust collapse amid rising gold prices [4][10] Group 1: Company Overview - "Yue Bao Xin" was established in August 2023 with a registered capital of 1 million yuan and underwent a change in actual control in May 2023 [5] - The company has left over 300 affected merchants in a state of distress, as its owner has disappeared since September 13 [5][11] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The gold price reached a new high of 835 yuan per gram in the first half of the year, creating a risky environment for gold merchants who engage in speculative trading [6][10] - Merchants often operate on a high-leverage model, where they take orders at lower prices and gamble on future price drops, which can lead to significant losses if prices rise instead [6][9] Group 3: Financial Ecosystem - The Shui Bei market is described as a complex financial ecosystem, involving various financial instruments such as futures trading and high-leverage operations [8][9] - The collapse of "Yue Bao Xin" serves as a stark reminder of the risks inherent in this high-stakes environment, where price volatility can lead to rapid financial ruin for merchants [9][11] Group 4: Implications and Reactions - The incident has sparked widespread concern and a reevaluation of trust within the market, as merchants face the possibility of unrecoverable losses [11][12] - Ongoing police investigations aim to address the situation, but the uncertainty surrounding the recovery of lost funds remains a significant issue for affected parties [11]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - The report predicts that PX will operate weakly, PTA will operate in a volatile manner, and PR will also operate in a volatile manner. The PX view is rated -1, while the PTA and PR views are rated 0 [2][3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Information - **Upstream**: On September 18, 2025, the prices of WTI and Brent crude oil futures decreased by 0.75%. The spot price of naphtha in CFR Japan dropped by 1.56%, and the spot price of xylene (isomeric grade) in FOB Korea decreased by 0.67%. The spot price of para - xylene (PX) in CFR China Main Port fell by 1.10% [1]. - **PTA Price**: The closing price of the CZCE TA main - contract decreased by 0.98%, while the settlement price increased by 0.21%. The spot price of domestic PTA increased by 0.09%, and the CCFEI price index of domestic and foreign PTA also showed slight increases [1]. - **PX Price**: The closing price of the CZCE PX main - contract decreased by 1.30%, and the settlement price decreased by 0.27%. The domestic spot price of PX remained unchanged, and the PXN spread increased by 0.15%, while the PX - MX spread decreased by 2.92% [1]. - **PR Price**: The closing price of the CZCE PR main - contract decreased by 0.89%, and the settlement price increased by 0.38%. The market prices of polyester bottle - chips in the East and South China markets decreased [1]. - **Downstream Price**: The CCFEI price indices of most polyester products remained stable or decreased slightly, such as the price index of polyester bottle - chips decreased by 0.51% [2]. Operating Conditions - The operating rate of the PX in the polyester industry chain decreased by 1.59%. The PTA factory load rate remained unchanged, the polyester factory load rate increased by 0.22%, the bottle - chip factory load rate remained unchanged, and the load rate of Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms increased by 2.01% [1]. - The sales rate of polyester filament decreased by 1.61%, the sales rate of polyester staple fiber increased by 8.96%, and the sales rate of polyester chips decreased by 33.45% [1]. Device Information - The 1.2 - million - ton PTA device of Ningbo Taihua stopped operating on September 5 [2]. Important News and Market Analysis - **PX**: On September 17, due to Ukraine's harassment of Baltic ports, Russia's weekly crude oil exports plummeted, and the overall positive impact on the crude oil supply - demand situation was limited. The cost support for PX was insufficient. The domestic PX operating load was at a high level, and some device maintenance plans were postponed. The demand - side PTA factory maintenance expectations increased, and there was only one transaction heard during the day. The supply of PX increased, and although it was the peak season for downstream polyester, the new orders and load did not exceed expectations, and the PXN was expected to operate weakly [2]. - **PTA**: The fundamentals did not change significantly. The influence of the Fed's interest - rate cut was overdrawn, the crude oil market declined during the session, the sales of polyester filament were flat, and the PTA market increase was limited. The supply of PTA was expected to increase in the short term, and the new PTA device maintenance plans from October to November had limited impact on the current market [2]. - **PR**: The mainstream negotiation price of polyester bottle - chips in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets decreased. The prices of polyester raw materials PTA and bottle - chip futures first rose and then fell. The supply - side quotations were mostly stable, and some were lowered in the afternoon. The downstream terminals were cautious and the trading atmosphere was cold [2].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a decline in gold and silver prices, with the most active gold futures for December 2025 dropping by $39.6 to close at $3678.2 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 1.07% [1] - Short-term futures traders are taking profits, leading to a market correction that may persist for some time [1] - Despite the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut aligning with market expectations, the market is still processing the implications of this decision and its signals [1] Group 2 - The Bank of England announced on the same day that it would maintain its bank rate at 4.00%, which did not provide new upward momentum for gold prices [1] - Analysts believe that despite the recent drop in gold prices following the Fed's rate cut, there remains strong buying interest in the gold market [1] - Silver futures for December delivery also saw a slight decline, with prices falling by 5.2 cents to close at $42.100 per ounce, a decrease of 0.12% [1]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Nickel and Stainless Steel Daily Review 20250918: Rate Cut Implemented, Upward Drive Insufficient [1] Group 2: Market Data Summary Nickel Futures - On September 17, 2025, Shanghai nickel futures' closing prices declined, with the active contract's closing price at 121,790 yuan/ton (-820), trading volume at 90,734 lots (-13,858), and open interest at 58,829 lots (-7,709) [2] - LME 3 - month nickel's closing price was $15,250 (-165), trading volume was 6,290 lots ( + 1,202), and the price ratio of Shanghai - LME nickel futures was 7.89 (-0.05) [2] Stainless Steel Futures - On September 17, 2025, Shanghai stainless steel futures' closing prices were mostly down, with the active contract's closing price at 12,840 yuan/ton (-12), trading volume at 170,126 lots (-60,650), and open interest at 127,750 lots (-3,036) [2] Spot Market - SMM 1 electrolytic nickel's average price was 122,800 yuan/ton, with a basis of 990 yuan/ton compared to the active futures contract [2] - The average price of 304/2B coil - trimmed edge (Wuxi) was 13,850 yuan/ton, with a basis of 915 yuan/ton compared to the active futures contract [2] Inventory - Shanghai Futures Exchange's nickel inventory decreased by 26 tons to 26,167 tons; LME nickel inventory increased by 2,034 tons to 228,468 tons [2] - Shanghai Futures Exchange's stainless steel inventory decreased by 480 tons to 95,265 tons [2] Group 3: Industry News - Nickel 28 Capital Corp's Q2 2025 production report showed that the Ramu nickel - cobalt project in Papua New Guinea produced 8,564 tons of MHP nickel metal ( + 22.87% YoY) and 787 tons of cobalt metal, with MHP nickel sales volume at 7,846 tons ( + 27.93% YoY) and cobalt sales volume at 719 tons [2] Group 4: Market Analysis Nickel Market - **Supply**: Nickel ore prices remained flat, last week's nickel ore arrivals decreased, and port inventories increased; nickel - iron mills' losses narrowed, September's domestic production schedule increased, Indonesian production increased, and nickel - iron inventory decreased; September's domestic electrolytic nickel production increased, and export profits expanded [2] - **Demand**: Ternary production decreased; stainless steel mills' production increased; alloy and electroplating demand was stable [2] - **Inventory**: SHFE inventory decreased, LME inventory increased, social inventory increased, and bonded area inventory decreased [2] - **Outlook**: After the Fed's rate cut, the nickel fundamentals are weak with inventory pressure, and nickel prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level [2] Stainless Steel Market - **Supply**: September's stainless steel production schedule increased [2] - **Demand**: Terminal demand was weak [2] - **Cost**: High - nickel pig iron prices and high - carbon ferrochrome prices remained flat [2] - **Outlook**: Although the fundamentals are loose, the cost side provides support, and prices are expected to fluctuate within a range [2] Group 5: Trading Strategies - For nickel, the strategy is to short on rallies [2] - For stainless steel, the suggestion is to wait and see [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The US corn report has lowered the yield per unit, but the production remains at a high level, causing the US corn price to decline. It may continue to be adjusted downward, and the US corn will fluctuate within a narrow range. China has imposed a 15% tariff on US corn, with a total of 26% tariff within the quota, and a 22% tariff on US sorghum. Although the import profit of foreign corn is relatively high, the domestic corn spot price is expected to decline with the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn [5][6]. - The inventory of corn starch has decreased this week. The current starch price depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. Due to weak demand, starch enterprises will be in a long - term loss state. The 01 starch contract is expected to fluctuate at the bottom in the short term [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Data 3.1.1 Futures Market - Corn futures: The C2601 contract closed at 2164, up 9 (0.42%), with a trading volume of 151,038 (up 22.66%) and an open interest of 445,010 (up 0.15%); the C2605 contract closed at 2231, up 7 (0.31%), with a trading volume of 11,113 (down 20.49%) and an open interest of 86,022 (down 0.13%); the C2509 contract closed at 2255, up 1 (0.04%), with a trading volume of 232 (down 23.43%) and an open interest of 752 (up 9.94%) [3]. - Corn starch futures: The CS2601 contract closed at 2487, up 12 (0.48%), with a trading volume of 35,769 (up 39.81%) and an open interest of 67,858 (down 0.83%); the CS2605 contract closed at 2574, up 7 (0.27%), with a trading volume of 348 (down 31.32%) and an open interest of 1,383 (down 2.47%); the CS2509 contract closed at 2596, up 11 (0.42%), with a trading volume of 9 (up 800.00%) and an open interest of 8 (up 100.00%) [3]. 3.1.2 Spot and Basis - Corn spot: Today's quotes in different regions are as follows: Qinggang 2250 (up 10), Jiajishenghua 2180 (unchanged), Zhuchengxingmao 2378 (unchanged), Shouguang 2284 (unchanged), Jinzhou Port 2300 (unchanged), Nantong Port 2410 (down 10), and Guangdong Port 2440 (unchanged). The basis varies from - 75 to 185 [3]. - Corn starch spot: Quotes from different manufacturers are as follows: Longfeng 2700, Zhongliang 2700, Jiajia 2800, Yufeng 2990, Jinyumi 2850, Zhuchengxingmao 2940, and Hengren Industry and Trade 2780, all unchanged. The basis ranges from 126 to 416 [3]. 3.1.3 Spreads - Corn inter - delivery spreads: C01 - C05 is - 67 (up 2), C05 - C09 is - 24 (up 6), C09 - C01 is 91 (down 8). - Corn starch inter - delivery spreads: CS01 - CS05 is - 87 (up 5), CS05 - CS09 is - 22 (down 4), CS09 - CS01 is 109 (down 1). - Cross - variety spreads: CS09 - C09 is 341 (up 10), CS01 - C01 is 323 (up 3), CS05 - C05 is 343 (unchanged) [3]. 3.2 Market Judgment - Corn: The US corn market is affected by yield and tariff policies. In China, the northern port closing prices are stable, and the northeast and north China corn spots are relatively stable in the short term. However, due to imports, auctions, and the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, the corn spot price is expected to decline. By the end of September, the north China corn price may reach 2200 yuan/ton, and the Heilongjiang price may be below 2100 yuan/ton [5][6]. - Starch: The number of vehicles arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, and the corn spot price in Shandong is stable. The starch price in Shandong is around 2750 yuan, and the northeast starch spot is weak. This week, the corn starch inventory decreased to 120 million tons, a decrease of 2.6 million tons from last week, with a monthly decrease of 8.95% and a year - on - year increase of 37.5%. The starch price depends on corn price and downstream stocking. In the long - term, due to weak demand, enterprises will be in a loss state. The 01 starch contract is expected to fluctuate at the bottom in the short term [7]. 3.3 Corn Options - Option strategy: Use a short - term strategy of accumulating puts and calls, with rolling operations [13]. 3.4 Relevant Attachments - The attachments include charts of various prices, basis, and spreads of corn and corn starch, such as the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis and spreads of corn and corn starch futures contracts [15][17][23].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.15% to close at 3831.66 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.06% to 13075.66 points. The ChiNext Index dropped 1.64% to 3095.85 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 31.352 billion yuan, an increase of 7.584 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Certain sectors, such as hollow core fiber and optical switches, saw gains despite the overall market decline [1] Investment Competitions - The "掘金大赛" (Gold Digging Competition) is currently ongoing, with the 74th session starting on September 15 and running until September 30. Participants can simulate trading with a virtual capital of 500,000 yuan [1] - The competition rewards participants with positive returns, offering weekly and monthly prizes, encouraging active participation [1][10] Futures Trading Insights - The "经·粮杯—全国期货模拟争霸赛" (National Futures Simulation Competition) is also being held, allowing participants to trade with a simulated capital of 1 million yuan, providing a risk-free environment to learn about futures trading [3][10] - The competition features weekly and monthly rewards, with a focus on providing educational resources and real-time market insights to participants [10][12] Economic Context - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the rate range to 4.00%-4.25%, marking the first rate cut since December 2024. This move is seen as a risk management strategy rather than the start of a sustained easing cycle [6] - Market analysts suggest that the recent A-share sell-off may not be directly related to the Fed's decision, but rather due to speculative trading behavior [6] Educational Resources - Participants in the competitions gain access to exclusive resources, including the "火线快评" (Hotline Quick Review), which provides insights into market trends and investment strategies [9][13] - The competitions aim to enhance participants' trading skills and market understanding through interactive learning and community engagement [12][10]

Core Viewpoint - The main contract for casting aluminum alloy futures is experiencing a weak fluctuation, with a current price of 20,310.0 yuan, reflecting a decline of 1.00% [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - New Lake Futures indicates that the price of casting aluminum alloy continues to follow the aluminum price trend [2] - The domestic automotive market is generally recovering, primarily driven by new energy vehicles, but the consumption of recycled casting aluminum alloy is not significantly improving [2] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in the operating rate of some recycled aluminum alloy enterprises, with production remaining stable but slightly declining; however, ADC12 inventory remains high [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The overall supply and demand fundamentals lack strong drivers in the short term, leading to casting aluminum alloy prices continuing to follow aluminum prices [2] - According to Ruida Futures, the tight supply of raw materials, particularly scrap aluminum, is supporting the cost of casting aluminum [3] - The demand side is seeing a gradual improvement in the operating conditions of downstream die-casting plants, but due to high aluminum inventory, downstream purchasing demand is mainly for essential needs, resulting in a relatively flat transaction situation in the spot market [3] Group 3: Trading Recommendations - New Lake Futures suggests a bullish approach to corrections in the market [2] - Ruida Futures recommends light position trading with a focus on controlling rhythm and trading risks [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Methanol: The trading logic is the transmission of port pressure to the inland. There is seasonal stocking demand and incremental stocking from the new Lianhong device in the inland, but the port will cause continuous reverse flow impact. The current price is benchmarked against the inland price, and the inland behavior is crucial. Xingxing is expected to start operation in early September, but inventory is still accumulating. Reverse flow can relieve port pressure but will affect inland valuation. Currently, the valuation and inventory are average, and the driving force is weak. It's necessary to wait before bottom - fishing, considering import variables such as India's purchase from Iran and unplanned maintenance [2]. - Polyethylene: The inventory of the two major oil companies is neutral year - on - year. Upstream two - oil and coal - chemical industries are destocking, social inventory is flat, and downstream raw material and finished - product inventories are neutral. The overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is about - 110 in North China and - 50 in East China. The overseas markets in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia are stable. The import profit is around - 200 with no further increase for now. The non - standard HD injection price is stable, other price differences are fluctuating, and LD is weakening. The maintenance in September is flat compared to the previous month, and the domestic linear production has decreased recently. Attention should be paid to the LL - HD conversion and US quotes. The pressure from new devices in 2025 is significant, and the commissioning of new devices should be monitored [3]. - Polypropylene: The upstream two - oil and mid - stream inventories are destocking. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, the non - standard price difference is neutral, and the import profit is around - 700. Exports have been performing well this year. The non - standard price difference is neutral. The European and American markets are stable. The PDH profit is around - 400, propylene is fluctuating, and the powder production start - up rate is stable. The drawing production scheduling is neutral. The subsequent supply is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. The current downstream orders are average, and the raw material and finished - product inventories are neutral. Under the background of over - capacity, the pressure on 01 is expected to be moderately excessive. If exports continue to increase or there are many PDH device maintenance, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [3]. - PVC: The basis is maintained at 01 - 270, and the factory - pickup basis is - 480. The downstream start - up rate is seasonally weakening, and the willingness to hold goods at low prices is strong. The mid - upstream inventory is continuously accumulating. The northwest devices have seasonal maintenance in summer, and the load center is between the spring maintenance and the high production in Q1. In Q4, attention should be paid to the commissioning and export sustainability. The recent near - end export orders have slightly declined. The coal sentiment is positive, the semi - coke cost is stable, and the profit of calcium carbide is under pressure due to PVC maintenance; the FOB counter - offer for caustic soda exports is 380. Attention should be paid to whether subsequent export orders can support the high price of caustic soda. The PVC comprehensive profit is - 100. Currently, the static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, the cost is stable, the downstream performance is mediocre, and the macro - environment is neutral. Attention should be paid to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and start - up rates [3]. 3. Summary by Commodity Methanol - Price Data: The daily changes of动力煤期货,江苏现货,华南现货,鲁南折盘面,西南折盘面,河北折盘面,西北折盘面,CFR中国,CFR东南亚,进口利润,主力基差,盘面MTO利润 are 0, - 8, - 5, 10, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0 respectively [2]. Polyethylene - Price and Inventory Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the price of Northeast Asia ethylene remained at 850 on September 12 - 17. The prices of North China LL, East China LL, East China LD, East China HD, LL美金, and LL美湾 had certain fluctuations. The import profit was - 76 on September 15 - 17. The主力期货 price and基差 also changed. The two - oil inventory was 66 throughout, and the仓单 increased from 11993 on September 11 to 12736 on September 15 - 17. The daily changes on September 17 compared to the previous day were 0, 30, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 10, 0, 0 [3]. Polypropylene - Price and Inventory Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the prices of山东丙烯,东北亚丙烯,华东PP,华北PP,山东粉料,华东共聚,PP美金,PP美湾,出口利润,主力期货,基差,两油库存,仓单 had different changes. The daily changes on September 17 compared to the previous day were 0, 0, 10, - 8, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 10, 0, 0 [3]. PVC - Price and Profit Data: From September 11 to September 17, 2025, the prices of西北电石,山东烧碱,电石法 - 华东,乙烯法 - 华东,电石法 - 华南,电石法 - 西北,进口美金价 (CFR中国),出口利润,西北综合利润,华北综合利润,基差 (高端交割品) had certain changes. The daily change of西北电石 on September 17 compared to the previous day was 50, and other items had no change [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Views - **PTA**: The PTA futures fluctuated and closed higher due to some device news. The spot market trading atmosphere was average, and the basis of the spot slightly strengthened. The supply of PTA is expected to return, and the market supply - demand outlook is weak. The spot price of PTA will mainly fluctuate following the cost side. Attention should be paid to the changes in polyester upstream and downstream devices and terminal demand [5]. - **MEG**: The price of ethylene glycol was consolidating at a low level. The short - term supply and demand of ethylene glycol remained tight, and the basis still had some support during the delivery period. However, with the progress of new device commissioning, the supply - demand in the distant months will turn loose, and the disk will be under pressure. Attention should be paid to device changes [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1.前日回顾 There is no specific content about the previous day's review in the report. 3.2.每日提示 - **PTA**: The fundamentals were affected by device news. The spot basis was - 92, the factory inventory was 3.84 days (a decrease of 0.06 days compared with the previous period), and the 20 - day moving average was downward. The main position was net short with a decrease in short positions. The supply is expected to return, and the price will follow the cost side [5][6]. - **MEG**: The price was consolidating at a low level. The spot basis was 76, the inventory in East China was 37.24 tons (a decrease of 0.73 tons compared with the previous period), and the 20 - day moving average was downward. The main position was net short with an increase in short positions. The short - term supply and demand was tight, but the long - term supply - demand will turn loose [7][8]. 3.3.今日关注 There is no specific content about what to focus on today in the report. 3.4.基本面数据 - **PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It shows the PTA production capacity, production, import, total supply, polyester production, demand, and inventory from January 2024 to December 2025. For example, in September 2025, the PTA production capacity was 9172, the production was 626, the total supply was 626, the total demand was 624, and the ending inventory was 337 [12]. - **Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It presents the EG production, import, total supply, polyester production, demand, and port inventory from January 2024 to December 2025. For example, in September 2025, the EG production was 58, the total supply was 234, the total demand was 233, and the port inventory change was 2 [13]. - **Price and Profit Data**: It includes the prices of various products such as naphtha, PX, PTA, MEG, and polyester filaments, as well as the processing fees and profits of different production methods. For example, the PTA processing fee was 51.58 yuan/ton, and the naphtha MEG internal - market profit was - 1110.70 yuan/ton [14]. 3.5.影响因素总结 - **L利多**: The average operating load of polyester devices increased to 91.3%, a 1 - percentage - point increase from the previous week. With the approaching of the "Golden September and Silver October" peak season, the market's expectation of demand start was slightly reflected. Yisheng Hainan's 2 million - ton device was shut down for maintenance and is expected to restart in November [11]. - **利空**: The profit margins of all links in the industrial chain continued to be under pressure, and the overall operating atmosphere was still cautious. The short - term commodity market was greatly affected by the macro - level, and attention should be paid to the cost side and the upper resistance level of the disk rebound [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The market is trading on the expected magnitude of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and the US dollar index is continuously weakening. Fundamentally, domestic copper production is expected to decrease significantly due to reduced scrap copper imports and domestic smelter maintenance, which will support copper prices. However, the significant inventory build - up at the Shanghai Futures Exchange will limit the upside potential of the market [9]. - The price of lithium carbonate is expected to be strong in the short - term, but the specific situation of mine resumption is unclear, which may cap the upside [10][11]. - In the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand balance of crude oil will weaken, and it is recommended to go short on rallies. In the short - term, the market may focus on whether Europe and the US will increase sanctions on Russian crude oil, and the price will fluctuate. It is recommended to wait and see [12]. - The supply and demand of asphalt are both increasing. As the futures price has fallen to the lower end of the trading range, it is recommended to wait and see [14]. - It is expected that PP will trade in a range in the near term, with limited downside [15][16]. - It is expected that plastic will trade in a range in the near term, with limited downside [17]. - The upside potential of PVC is limited in the near term. Attention should be paid to whether the recent increase in demand can be sustained [18][19]. - Coking coal remains in a relatively strong trend at present [20]. - The urea market is building a bottom, with a chance of a rebound later. However, the loose supply - demand pattern has not reversed, and the market lacks drivers [21][22]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Overview - As of the close on September 17, most domestic futures main contracts declined. The container shipping European line dropped nearly 7%, rapeseed meal and polysilicon fell more than 2%, and alumina, silver futures, and soybeans No. 2 dropped nearly 2%. In terms of gains, low - sulfur fuel oil (LU) rose nearly 2%, SC crude oil and fuel oil rose more than 1%. Stock index futures and treasury bond futures also showed varying degrees of increase [6]. - As of 15:22 on September 17, in terms of capital flow in domestic futures main contracts, crude oil 2511, alumina 2601, and ten - year treasury bond 2512 had capital inflows, while CSI 1000 2509, CSI 500 2509, and SSE 50 2509 had capital outflows [7]. Hot - Spot Varieties Copper - Today, Shanghai copper opened and closed lower. The TC/RC fees remained weakly stable. The supply of refined copper will remain tight. The production of electrolytic copper in August decreased slightly month - on - month and increased year - on - year. The supply of scrap copper in September will decline, and smelters have maintenance plans. The inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange has started to build up [9]. Lithium Carbonate - Lithium carbonate opened low and closed high today. The average prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate increased. The supply from lithium mica raw materials decreased, and lithium spodumene became the main raw material. The demand is expected to increase during the peak season, and the price is expected to be strong in the short - term [10][11]. Crude Oil - Crude oil is gradually exiting the seasonal travel peak. The overall oil product inventory in the US continues to increase, and OPEC+ will adjust production. Saudi Aramco has lowered the price of its flagship product. The supply - demand balance of crude oil will weaken in the medium - to - long - term, and it will fluctuate in the short - term [12]. Asphalt - The asphalt production rate has rebounded but is still at a relatively low level. The expected production in September will increase. The downstream construction rate has increased, but the shipment volume has decreased. The refinery inventory has increased slightly. The cost support is limited, and the supply and demand are both increasing [14]. PP - The downstream operating rate of PP has rebounded but is at a relatively low level. The enterprise operating rate has increased, and the production ratio of standard products has risen. The cost has rebounded, and new production capacity has been put into operation. It is expected to trade in a range in the near term [15][16]. Plastic - The plastic operating rate has declined slightly. The downstream operating rate has increased, and the demand for agricultural films is expected to increase. The cost has rebounded, and new production capacity has been put into operation. It is expected to trade in a range in the near term [17]. PVC - The upstream calcium carbide price has increased. The PVC operating rate has increased and is at a relatively high level. The downstream operating rate has increased but is still low compared to previous years. The export outlook has weakened, and the inventory pressure is large. The upside potential is limited [18][19]. Coking Coal - Coking coal opened high and closed low today but turned positive at the end. The spot price in the Shanxi market was stable, and the price of Mongolian coking coal increased. The production and imports have increased, and the inventory is gradually shifting to the end - users. The demand has increased, and it remains in a strong trend [20]. Urea - Urea opened low and closed low today, with weak intraday fluctuations. The daily production is expected to remain at a relatively high level, and the demand is affected by factors such as weak terminal demand and high inventory. The market is building a bottom, and there is a chance of a rebound [21][22].