Group 1 - The report indicates that the "Shenwan Hongyuan Gold Stock Portfolio" reflects the market outlook and style judgment for the upcoming month, showcasing the research team's capabilities and competitiveness in the market [1][11] - The previous portfolio showed a slight increase of 0.14% from December 1 to December 31, 2025, with the A-share portfolio averaging a 0.80% increase, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 2.06% and 2.28%, respectively [6][15] - Since the first release of the gold stock portfolio on March 28, 2017, the cumulative increase has reached 401.73%, with the A-share portfolio up by 293.13%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 271.65 and 260.01 percentage points, respectively [6][15] Group 2 - The strategy judgment for the current period maintains that the conditions supporting the spring market remain unchanged, with liquidity in the stock market being loose and upcoming events likely to boost risk appetite [14] - The report suggests focusing on cyclical Alpha and thematic rotation opportunities, particularly in basic chemicals and non-ferrous metals, as well as sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and high-dividend strategies [14] - The top recommended stocks include "Iron Triangle" stocks: Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Technology, and CIMC Enric (Hong Kong), along with other stocks such as Xingfa Group, TBEA, Chifeng Gold, WuXi AppTec, China National Glass, Ping An Insurance (Hong Kong), and Alibaba-W (Hong Kong) [6][17][18] Group 3 - The report highlights the performance of the top ten gold stocks, with Hualu Hengsheng benefiting from favorable policies in the domestic chemical industry, and Lingyi Technology experiencing high growth in AI and robotics [17][20] - CIMC Enric is positioned to benefit from the shipbuilding cycle and clean energy equipment orders, while Xingfa Group has a solid base in phosphate and specialty chemicals [18][20] - Other notable stocks include WuXi AppTec, which is seeing strong global demand in the CXO industry, and Alibaba-W, which is accelerating its integration from data centers to application layers in AI [18][22]

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 私募基金管理人除了可以自主发行基金产品外，还可通过与其他持牌金融机构合作的方式提供资产管理服务。比较典型的方式就是由证券公司、 基金管理公司、期货公司及前述机构依法设立的从事私募资产管理业务的子公司以非公开的形式募集资金或者接受财产委托，设立私募资产管理 计划，或由信托公司发行信托计划，私募基金管理人则接受聘请，作为产品的投资顾问，为其提供专业的投资策略建议和研究支持。 信托方面来看，IFinD数据显示， 截至12月24日，183家证券类私募旗下有业绩显示的信托产品共1926只，今年来收益均值高达19.40% ；其中 股票策略信托产品占比最多，共1137只，今年来收益均值为21.10%。 私募管理人担任信托产品投资顾问，不仅是业务拓展的机遇，更是整体投资研究能力、市场分析能力和资产配置能力的重要体现。 为此，本文 按不同规模私募， 分别梳理出今年来业绩前十的股票策略信托产品， 供投资者参考。 (同一私募管理的相同策略，仅选取收益最高的产品参与 排名) 01 位居第2、第3的分别是： 淡水泉担任投资顾问的"平安信托-淡水泉成长三期"，今年来实现收益 ...

科技引领，股指后继有力 浙商期货：研究中心股指团队 期货交易咨询号：Z0019474 日期：2025年12月 本报告内容及观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明 投资有风险，入市需谨慎 1. 中期选举前，中美摩擦会持续，但更多是博弈手段，关税大幅上升的概率较小，中美整体会处在阶段性缓和期。 2. 我们预期2026年美国仍有2-3次降息，流动性外溢逻辑延续，但日本加息会影响资本外溢效果，使得外资流入国内效果不及预期。 3. 2026年是"十五五"开局之年，宏观政策层面保持了必要的宽松，但力度未加大。资本市场严监管是常态，市场稳定性依靠保障投资者利益， 推动中长期资金稳固入市，政策总体对资本市场还是友好的。 4. 流动性层面，国内A股市场会保持流动性充裕，但此轮估值抬升过后，流动性叙事边际减弱。 5. 总量经济增速维持稳定，但传统经济（房地产等）的反弹预期仍然较弱，需要更多的政策支持。 结构判断： 结构上更加看好科技成长股机会，还有就是"反内卷"条线的企业利润修复方向（传统制造业、新能源等领域），更加看多IM。若 地产、消费等增量政策落地视角，低估值板块存在盈利及估值修复的双重机会，可配置 ...

Group 1 - The leverage funds have significantly increased their positions in A-shares this year, with the margin financing balance exceeding 2.54 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [1][2] - A-shares have seen a net financing inflow of over 6723 billion yuan in the past year, with a notable increase in the last month [2] - The technology sector has become the core allocation direction for leveraged funds, with significant net inflows in the electronics, power equipment, and communication industries [2][3] Group 2 - Individual stocks in the AI industry chain and leading new energy companies have attracted the most leveraged funds, with New Yisheng and CATL receiving substantial net inflows [3] - In the past month, CATL and other key players in the technology sector have continued to see strong net financing inflows, while several companies faced net outflows [3] - The current margin financing balance accounts for 2.58% of the A-share market's circulating market value, which is lower than the historical peak of 4.73% in 2015, indicating a more stable and mature market [4]

今日A股科技赛道再度回暖，5G通信、机器人、人工智能、消费电子板块拉升明显，汽车零部件 （562700）盘中大涨超1%，持仓股中斯菱智驱大涨超13%，五洲新春、新泉股份、万向钱潮等个股纷 纷大涨。人工智能AIETF（515070）持仓股中寒武纪快速拉升，盘中大涨超6%，拓维信息、协创数据 纷纷跟涨。 汽车零部件ETF（562700）。 每日经济新闻 消息方面，2025江苏省人工智能产业发展大会27日在江苏南京举行。会上，江苏省"人工智能+"行 动方案等系列政策举措现场发布，南京人工智能应用中试基地等平台和项目正式启动，并发布加快推 进"人工智能+软件"产业发展政策措施征求意见稿，全面推动南京软件产业智能化升级，致力打造"全国 软件产业智能化第一城"。人工智能（软件）产业是南京的核心产业之一。目前，南京正向万亿软件产 业集群稳步迈进。 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 在AI产业链中，软件行业主要处于中游技术层和下游应用层，扮演着核心技术支撑和应用落地的 关键角色。具体来看，软件行业在中游技术层主要提供AI框架、开发平台和算法模型，这些技术是AI 应用开发的基础。在下游应用层，软件行业通过将AI技术与各行业结合，推动AI ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the current A-share market rally is primarily driven by liquidity, with expectations of fluctuations in early 2026 due to concentrated inflows into the CSI A500 ETF and other factors. However, favorable conditions for the spring market remain intact, suggesting a focus on thematic opportunities rather than traditional cyclical plays [2][5][6]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The A-share market has shown a significant liquidity-driven rally, with the CSI A500 ETF experiencing concentrated inflows, indicating a rapid influx of new capital [2][5]. - Factors supporting the spring market include: 1. Loose market liquidity, with private equity firms increasing purchases and insurance companies potentially reallocating to A-shares due to high premium growth [5]. 2. A continuous time window supporting risk appetite, highlighted by key events such as the Spring Festival in February, the Two Sessions in March, and a potential visit from Trump in April [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Themes - The article suggests a focus on "non-main battlefield" spring themes, where opportunities lie in thematic investments rather than traditional cyclical sectors like AI and beta plays, which are currently limited [6][7]. - Thematic rotations are expected in spring, including: 1. Industrial themes (e.g., commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion). 2. Funding themes (e.g., from CSI A500 to insurance allocations). 3. Policy themes (e.g., Hainan, service consumption) [6][7]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The medium-term outlook remains bullish, with a two-phase bull market anticipated: the first phase being a structural bull market in technology, currently at a high level, and the second phase expected in the second half of 2026, driven by fundamental improvements and increased asset allocation towards equities [7][9]. - The spring market is characterized by a lack of capital scarcity and favorable time windows, suggesting widespread profit-making opportunities across various themes [6][9].

证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 行业相对指数表现 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 20% 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 2025-08 2025-10 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 发布时间：2025-12-29 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最高 | 5449.43 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《关注内需低位品种，有望迎来估值与 业绩双重修复》 - 2025.12.22 建材行业报告 （2025.12.22-2025.12.26） 地产政策托底需求，关注反内卷落地情况 投资要点 12 月 24 日，北京市住房城乡建设委、市发展改革委、人民银行 北京市分行、北京住房公积金管理中心等 4 部门联合印发《关于进一 步优化调整本市房地产相关政策的通知》，放宽非 ...

本周，市场继续反弹。从12月17日开始，上证指数日K线八连涨，追平了今年4月8日-17日的八连 涨纪录。 当前已是牛市，且慢牛特征明显，看多做多是主旋律，仅需要在不同的行情阶段适当控制一下节奏 及注意策略即可。 从全周的表现来看，市场呈现"中间更强"的特征，中证500指数、创业板指数周涨幅位居前两位， 涨幅均超过3.9%；微盘股指数涨幅最小，全周仅涨0.7%。 那么，八连涨之后，市场会再创新高吗？后市机会在哪里？今天，达哥和牛博士就大家关心的话题 进行讨论。 牛博士：达哥，你好，又到周末我们聊行情的时间。虽然本周大盘涨幅很小，但大盘五连阳以及热 点发力确实让市场暖意明显。对于后市，你是如何看待的？ 道达：对于大市及市场风格，除了宽基指数之外，我平时也观察一些风格指数。 就在本周，平均股价指数创下了本轮牛市以来的新高，这是市场对后续行情看好的表现。 此外，主要指数中，上证指数、深证成指、创业板指数距离年内高点还有不到2%的差距。 就上证指数来看，目前距离9-10月的上升趋势线已经非常近了，下周一很有可能突破这条趋势线。 12月8日，上证指数反弹到该趋势线附近时遇阻，并展开调整。另外，达哥本周也提过，年内上证 指 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges announced a series of fee reduction measures for 2026, with a total expected reduction of over 19 billion yuan, benefiting investors across various financial products [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange will waive listing fees for companies, reduce transaction unit usage fees, and exempt certain bond transaction fees, while also reducing fees for its subsidiaries [1] - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund has officially launched, with three regional funds established to promote venture capital investment in technology and long-term projects [1] Group 2 - The National Investment UBS Silver Futures Fund announced a limit on regular investment amounts for its A-class fund shares, effective December 29, 2025, due to high premium rates [2] - The China Securities REITs Total Return Index increased by 1.56% from December 22 to 26, with over 80% of products rising, although some experienced significant declines due to accounting treatment concerns [2] - The first water power REIT in Xinjiang successfully concluded its issuance, attracting over 160 billion yuan in subscription funds [3] Group 3 - The total scale of the ETF market reached 6.03 trillion yuan as of December 26, marking a significant growth of nearly 2.3 trillion yuan in 2023, the first time the annual increase surpassed 2 trillion yuan since the inception of ETFs in China [5] - The public fund industry in China reached a record high of 36.96 trillion yuan by the end of October 2023, driven by continuous optimization of the industry ecosystem and increased demand for wealth management [6] - The report from the People's Bank of China indicated that the financial system remains stable, with overall financial risks under control, and highlighted the need for continued reforms and improvements in the financial sector [7] Group 4 - Recent leadership changes occurred in several fund companies, including the appointment of new executives at Xinda Australia Fund and Nord Fund, indicating ongoing shifts in management within the industry [9][10] - The establishment of specialized subsidiaries by fund companies aims to enhance their core public fund business while promoting differentiated development [10] - The investment outlook for 2026 remains positive, with expectations for growth in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, particularly in sectors like AI, consumption, and manufacturing [11]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) is approaching the 4000-point mark, with significant market movements influenced by the A500 ETF and regulatory guidance aimed at stabilizing long-term investments [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The SSE reached a high of 3977 points, marking an eight-day consecutive rise [1]. - A500 ETF has seen a net inflow of over 260 billion yuan since December, indicating strong demand for related funds [3]. - The market's trading volume has returned to 2.18 trillion yuan, suggesting increased investor activity [6]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory guidance has been issued to prevent short-term capital inflows, promoting long-term investment strategies [1]. - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the need for a policy environment that supports long-term investments in A-shares [4]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The appreciation of the Chinese yuan is attracting foreign capital, with a recent 2.3% decline in the US dollar index contributing to this trend [6]. - Historical data shows a positive correlation between the yuan's exchange rate and stock market performance [6]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The rise in commodity prices, including precious metals and industrial materials, is driving a bullish trend in related stocks [7][8]. - The technology sector, particularly AI-related stocks, has shown significant rebounds, with companies like Nvidia experiencing a 13% increase [6].