国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖12月15日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，近期，主要国际组织纷纷上调对中国经济增长预 期，也表明国际社会对中国经济发展的信心。付凌晖表示，下阶段，要贯彻落实好中央经济工作会议精神，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，持续扩大内需、 优化供给，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长，为"十五五"开好局、起好步打下坚实基础。 F = = = = 1-15-12 r the state the states of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the station of the states of the state t a local the state n a status and the state the last be a 1872 and and Harry the first the state the sta ...

中新网12月15日电 国新办15日举行新闻发布会，请国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合 统计司司长付凌晖介绍2025年11月份国民经济运行情况，并答记者问。会上，付凌晖介绍，今年以来， 面对外部环境变化和内部风险挑战叠加的复杂严峻局面，在党中央坚强领导下，各地区各部门深入实施 更加积极有为的宏观政策，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，积极做强国内大循环，国民经济保持总体平 稳、稳中有进发展态势。从全年情况看，尽管有困难有压力，但我国经济韧性强，宏观政策支持有力， 新动能稳步成长，实现全年预期目标有较好条件。 二是发展新动能持续壮大。科技创新和产业创新深入融合，新质生产力培育壮大，新业态新模式快速发 展，为经济发展注入新的活力和动力。从供给看，高端化、数字化、智能化生产发展向好。1-11月份， 规模以上高技术制造业增加值同比增长9.2%，数字产品制造业增加值增长9.3%；工业机器人、集成电 路产量分别增长29.2%和10.6%。从需求看，消费模式创新加快，文化体育等服务性消费快速成长。1-11 月份，服务零售额中，文体休闲类、通讯信息服务类零售额同比增长均超过10%。即时零售和直播电商 等带动下，1-11月 ...

二是发展新动能持续壮大。科技创新和产业创新深入融合，新质生产力培育壮大，新业态新模式快速发 展，为经济发展注入新的活力和动力。从供给看，高端化、数字化、智能化生产发展向好。1-11月份， 规模以上高技术制造业增加值同比增长9.2%，数字产品制造业增加值增长9.3%；工业机器人、集成电 路产量分别增长29.2%和10.6%。从需求看，消费模式创新加快，文化体育等服务性消费快速成长。1-11 月份，服务零售额中，文体休闲类、通讯信息服务类零售额同比增长均超过10%。即时零售和直播电商 等带动下，1-11月份，实物商品网上零售额同比增长5.7%。从价格看，我国数字化绿色化转型深入推 进，新能源产业、数字产品制造快速发展，带动相关产品价格上涨。11月份，有色金属冶炼和压延加工 业价格同比上涨7.8%，集成电路制造价格上涨1.7%，新动能的成长壮大，将有利于经济向好发展。 三是宏观政策继续显效。今年以来，我国经济保持稳中有进发展态势，离不开更加积极有为的宏观政策 精准发力。"两重"建设和"两新"政策的实施，以及全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，扩大了需求、促进了 生产、推动了经济。近期，有关部门积极推动落实进一步促进消费、扩 ...

Economic Overview - The national economy showed a steady and progressive development trend in November, supported by proactive macro policies and the deepening of the national unified market construction [2][6] Production and Industry - Industrial production maintained stable growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 4.8% year-on-year in November, consistent with the previous month [4] - The equipment manufacturing industry experienced rapid growth, with an added value increase of 7.7%, contributing 59.4% to the overall industrial growth [4] - The service sector also grew steadily, with a production index increase of 4.2% year-on-year, particularly in modern services like information technology and business services, which grew by 12.9% and 8.4% respectively [4] Market Sales - Retail sales of consumer goods continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 1.3% in November, driven by an improvement in consumer quality and rapid growth in certain upgraded products [4] - Retail sales in the cosmetics and gold and jewelry categories increased by 6.1% and 8.5% respectively [4] - Service retail also saw significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.4% from January to November, reflecting a 0.1 percentage point acceleration compared to the previous ten months [4] Foreign Trade - Foreign trade demonstrated resilience, with total goods imports and exports increasing by 4.1% year-on-year in November, a 4 percentage point acceleration from the previous month [5] - Exports grew by 5.7%, reversing the decline seen in the previous month [5] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative saw a year-on-year increase of 6% from January to November, outpacing overall foreign trade growth [5] Employment and Prices - Urban employment remained stable, with the urban survey unemployment rate at 5.1% in November, unchanged from the previous month [6] - The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year in November, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) stable at a 1.2% increase [6] Living Standards and Infrastructure - Grain production was robust, contributing to food security and income stability for residents [6] - Energy supply increased, with significant growth in crude oil, natural gas, and electricity generation [6] - Investment in living standards continued to grow, with notable increases in the accommodation and catering, wholesale and retail, and electricity and heat production sectors, all showing year-on-year growth of 7.1% or more [6]

新华社北京12月13日电 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出："推 动大中小企业协同融通发展。"这是加快实施创新驱动发展战略，优化产业组织结构，建设现代化产业 体系，构建新发展格局的重要举措。协同融通发展并非简单的企业间合作，而是以市场、资本、技术、 信息等互通共享为基础，提升整体创新效率、产业链韧性和宏观经济稳定性的深度融合发展模式。 大中小企业协同融通发展有利于构建产业创新生态系统。通过大中小企业协同，能够更好汇聚各方创新 资源，激发全社会创新活力。大企业拥有丰富的研发资源、先进装备和技术储备，但由于组织庞大复 杂，有时创新活力不足；对于一些细分领域，也往往无暇顾及。中小企业市场嗅觉敏锐，组织方式和决 策机制灵活，但经常受制于资金短缺、技术积累薄弱、抗风险能力弱。通过构建开放创新平台，大企业 可以发布技术需求清单，为中小企业提供清晰的需求导向和市场支撑。中小企业的技术创新可以通过技 术许可、专利共享或者企业并购等方式融入大企业平台，加速商业化进程。中小企业的创新成果，也为 大企业的技术升级和产品创新提供了源泉，帮助大企业不断向产业链高端迈进。这种"大企业搭台、中 小企业唱戏" ...

Group 1 - The core economic growth target for Dongguan during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is to maintain an average annual growth rate of around 5%, aiming for a GDP exceeding 1.7 trillion yuan by 2030, with per capita GDP surpassing the threshold of moderately developed countries [1][2] - Dongguan's economic growth has slowed after years of rapid expansion, necessitating higher demands for economic structure and quality improvements [1][2] - The city aims to leverage technology and innovation as key drivers for new productive forces, focusing on AI and technology-driven industries to support economic advancement [2][3] Group 2 - Dongguan recognizes existing challenges in its economic development, including low overall quality, reliance on a single pillar industry, and a small scale of emerging strategic industries [2][3] - To address these shortcomings, Dongguan plans to enhance the integration of technological and industrial innovation, aiming for R&D investment to reach 4.1% of GDP and service industry value added to account for 50% of GDP by 2030 [3] - The city will focus on building a robust AI ecosystem, enhancing capabilities in AI hardware and software, and establishing a national AI application pilot base [5][4] Group 3 - Dongguan's foreign trade has shown resilience, with total import and export volume expected to reach a historical high by 2025, despite a challenging international environment [5] - The city plans to expand its overseas warehouse layout and establish more overseas exhibition centers to enhance trade quality and efficiency [5][6] - Dongguan aims to tap into the domestic market, leveraging its advantages as a key city in the Greater Bay Area to boost internal circulation and expand growth opportunities [6][7]

当前，我国经济面临国内有效需求不足、国内供强需弱矛盾突出，以及外部环境复杂性、严峻 性、不确定性上升的双重挑战。在此背景下，更好统筹国内经济工作与国际经贸斗争，加快建 设强大国内市场，增强国内大循环内生动力和可靠性，已成为夯实发展根基、应对风险挑战的 必然选择。 近日，中央经济工作会议在北京举行。会议确定，明年经济工作抓好八项重点任务，其中， "坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场"居于首位。 根据会议部署，围绕建设强大国内市场的目标，明年将继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽 松的货币政策。这将为内需扩张创造适宜环境。在财政政策方面，会议提出，保持必要的财政 赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，以及"重视解决地方财政困难"等。这预示着中央财政将承担更 多责任，发挥更大的主导与兜底作用。在货币政策方面，政策将以促进经济稳定增长与物价合 理回升为重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保持流动性充裕，畅通货币政策 传导机制等。 今年以来，社会消费品零售总额增速有所下滑，既反映了促消费政策的边际效应变化，也受基 数抬高等因素影响，明年稳消费需付出更大努力。在提振消费方面，在供给端，会议提出深入 实施提振消费专项行动，扩大优 ...

央视网消息：刚刚闭幕的中央经济工作会议部署了2026年经济工作的八项重点任务，其中将"坚持 内需主导，建设强大国内市场"列为2026年经济工作的首要位置。专家表示，坚持内需主导，做强国内 大循环，推动市场由大到强。 ...

事 件 点 评 绎，迎接跨年行情 ——中央经济工作会议点评 | 策 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 政策表态释放积极信号，大盘有望继续向上演 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 略 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 研 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 绎，迎接跨年行情 | 究 | | | | | | | | | | | | ——中央经济工作会议点评 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 分析师：熊越（SAC | 执业证书编号：S0340524080001） | | | | | | | | | | | | 电话：0769-22118627 | 邮箱：xiongyue@dgzq.com.cn | 年 | 月 | 日 | 2025 | 12 | 12 | | | | | | 分析师：叶子沛（SAC | 执业证书编号：S0340525070001） | | | | | | | | | ...

Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the long-term positive support conditions and basic trends of China's economy remain unchanged, urging confidence and the use of advantages to address challenges and consolidate economic stability [1] Group 1: Economic Potential and Policy Support - The conference highlights the need to fully tap economic potential as both a goal and a fundamental driver of high-quality development, focusing on technological innovation and institutional reform to optimize efficiency and create new value growth [1] - It calls for a combination of fiscal, monetary, and tax distribution policies to support growth, while also addressing existing challenges through reforms to stimulate vitality and endogenous momentum [1][2] Group 2: Government and Market Relationship - A balanced relationship between government and market is crucial for achieving a virtuous economic cycle, emphasizing the need to effectively stimulate private investment and innovation while ensuring a fair market environment for private enterprises [2] - The establishment of a unified national market with fair competition rules and necessary regulatory oversight is essential for fostering a conducive investment climate [2] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The strategy of investing in both physical assets and human capital is vital for solidifying the foundation of development, with a focus on new infrastructure, high-end equipment, and talent cultivation to drive innovation [2] - The synergy between advanced hard assets and innovative talent is expected to promote economic growth, leading to a domestic economy primarily driven by internal demand [2] Group 4: Strategic Focus for Economic Work - The conference outlines the overall requirements and policy direction for next year's economic work, emphasizing the need for practical goals, addressing existing difficulties, and enhancing the sense of gain for residents and enterprises [3] - Key focus areas include strengthening domestic circulation, expanding new spaces for internal demand growth, promoting technological and industrial innovation, deepening reforms, and improving people's livelihoods [3]