点击按钮 ▲预约直播 支持以旧换新特别国债资金下达 4月 29日消息，国家发展改革委近日印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品 以旧换新。1月6日，国家发展改革委、财政部向地方下达首批超长期特别国债资金，支持地方做好跨年政策衔接和资金接续，推动消费品以旧换 新加力扩围取得显著成效。 截至4月27日24时，全国汽车以旧换新281.4万辆，12类家电以旧换新4941.6万台，手机等数码产品购新3785.5万件，家装厨卫"焕新"4090.6万 件，电动自行车以旧换新超420万台，带动相关消费品销售额约7200亿元，支撑一季度全国社会消费品零售总额同比增长4.6%。（国家发展改革 委） ｜点评｜ 以旧换新补贴，确实为当下促消费提供了重要动力。对于消费者来说，政策期内购物可以享受到实实在在的价格优惠，在"买到就是赚 到"的心理下，置换需求得到了有效释放。目前，外部经济不确定性增强，第二批资金接续，能为消费市场及时补充火力。消费侧繁荣，才能带 动企业生产投资复苏，进而以内需支撑起经济增长。 需要注意的是，现行补贴政策更多激发的或还是存量置换需求，在新增需求上的刺激 ...

Group 1: Real Estate in Hong Kong - The Hong Kong government anticipates the availability of approximately 105,000 new private residential units over the next three to four years [1] - As of March 2025, there are about 28,000 completed unsold units, 65,000 units under construction, and 12,000 units ready to commence construction [1][2] Group 2: Transportation in Guangdong - Guangdong is expected to experience a peak in traffic flow on April 30, with an estimated 9.02 million vehicle trips during the holiday period [3] - The high demand for public travel is driven by major events such as the Canton Fair and music festivals [3][4] Group 3: Automotive Sales in Shenzhen - Shenzhen's "trade-in" policy has led to the sale of 39,000 vehicles, generating sales revenue of 9.77 billion yuan [4] - The policy also stimulated sales of 6.198 million home appliances and digital products, amounting to 11.75 billion yuan [4][5] Group 4: Tourism in Macau - In the first quarter of 2025, Macau saw a 9.1% year-on-year increase in group tourists, totaling 550,000 visitors [6] - The average hotel occupancy rate rose by 5.2 percentage points to 90.1%, despite a 5.8% decrease in available hotel rooms [6][7] Group 5: Stock Market Performance - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 9,849.80 points, reflecting a slight decline of 0.05% [8] - Notable stock movements include a 20.01% increase in shares of Bochuang Technology, Jusaierong, and Zhaogui Co., while Jiayuan Technology and ST Saiwei saw declines of 20.01% and 20.00%, respectively [8]

Core Insights - The "trade-in for new" policy has significantly boosted consumer enthusiasm, leading to a direct consumption increase of over 170 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [3][8] - Chengdu's retail sales of consumer goods reached 273.27 billion yuan in the first quarter, marking a year-on-year growth of 6.0%, which is 2.7 percentage points faster than the previous year [1][8] Group 1: Automotive Sector - As of March 31, the Sichuan Province automotive replacement platform in Chengdu received over 41,000 subsidy applications, amounting to nearly 500 million yuan, resulting in new car sales of 8.8 billion yuan [1][3] - The first quarter saw a 2.9% growth in automotive retail sales, with new energy vehicles experiencing a 22.8% increase [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Electronics and Appliances - In the first quarter, over 1.207 million units of home appliances were replaced under the subsidy program, directly driving sales exceeding 4.16 billion yuan [4] - The sales of digital products under the subsidy program reached over 2.64 billion yuan, with more than 954,000 units sold [4] Group 3: Overall Consumption Growth - Chengdu conducted over 1,000 promotional activities in the first quarter, significantly enhancing market activity, with online and offline consumption growing by over 5% [5] - The transaction growth rates on the Meituan platform for in-store dining and other services were 31.4% and 43.2%, respectively, with order volume growth rates of 22.6% and 37.6% [5] Group 4: New Economic Initiatives - The "Chengdu First Launch Season" initiative aims to create a new economic engine for consumption, with over 4,000 new stores established since 2019 [6] - In the first quarter, Chengdu welcomed 148 new stores and hosted over 50 first-launch events [6] Group 5: Policy Support - Chengdu has implemented various measures to enhance consumer spending, including the issuance of multiple plans aimed at boosting consumption throughout the year [7]

Core Viewpoint - Boss Electric reported a strong financial performance for 2024, with total revenue of 11.213 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.577 billion yuan, while maintaining a high dividend payout strategy [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Boss Electric achieved an operating income of 11.213 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.577 billion yuan [1] - The company has cumulatively distributed dividends of 6.376 billion yuan since its listing, with plans for continued high dividend payouts over the next three years [1] Market Position - Boss Electric leads the industry in core categories, with offline sales of range hoods accounting for 32.06% and online sales at 21.41%, as well as gas stoves with offline sales at 31.73% and online sales at 19.81% [1] - The online sales share of the combined range hood and gas stove package is 26.89%, ranking first in the industry [1] - In the full kitchen appliance category, the sales share of the micro-steaming and baking integrated machine is 27.7% offline, also leading the industry [1] - The dishwasher's sales volume and revenue share are 20.65% and 18.25% respectively, making it the top Chinese brand [1] - The integrated stove has an offline sales share of 39.5%, leading the industry [1] - Desktop range hoods became the top-selling product on Tmall by the end of 2024, solidifying its market leadership [1] Strategic Initiatives - Following the implementation of national subsidy policies in 2024, the retail concentration of the top 10 home appliance brands increased to 82.8%, a 2% year-on-year growth [2] - Boss Electric responded quickly to the new policies, achieving a growth rate of 108% in key account channels within three months of the subsidy launch [2] - The company adopted a "Boss + Mingqi" dual-brand strategy to penetrate lower-tier markets, with the Mingqi brand achieving a top 10 market share for the first time [2] - Boss Electric has expanded into the North American market, establishing a subsidiary and participating in the KBIS exhibition, with over 100 outlets in North America [2] - The company has entered the commercial kitchen market, which is nearing a scale of 100 billion yuan, focusing on smart commercial kitchen appliances to reduce operational costs for clients [2] Overall Strategy - Boss Electric maintains a dual focus on high-end markets and emerging markets, ensuring a robust and healthy growth structure while capitalizing on new market opportunities [3]

Group 1: Tourism and Travel Trends - The "May Day" holiday is a peak period for cultural and tourism consumption, with the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) predicting a potential 3% increase in annual tourism revenue during this 5-day holiday [1] - According to a report by Tongcheng Travel, the travel enthusiasm for the "May Day" holiday in 2025 is expected to reach the peak level since 2023, indicating a strong demand and a trend towards quality leisure vacations [1] - Various local governments are launching diverse promotional activities to stimulate consumption, including the "May Day Cultural and Tourism Consumption Week" organized by the Ministry of Culture and Tourism [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Upgrading and Promotions - The "May Day" holiday is also seen as an opportunity for consumer goods upgrading, with the Ministry of Commerce emphasizing the importance of promoting "old-for-new" consumption activities during this period [4] - Financial institutions are introducing various promotional offers to accelerate the replacement demand for consumer goods such as mobile phones, home appliances, and automobiles [4][5] - Companies are leveraging holiday periods to implement "old-for-new" campaigns, offering low-interest loans and installment plans to lower the financial barriers for consumers [5] Group 3: Consumer Protection and Awareness - Several regions, including Beijing and Tianjin, have issued consumption tips for the "May Day" holiday, urging consumers to engage in rational and green consumption while being cautious of "low-price traps" [6] - The financial sector is encouraged to proactively protect consumer rights by establishing dynamic risk assessment mechanisms and transparent information disclosure systems [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 68.77, representing a potential upside of 9% from the current price of RMB 55.17 [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 shows stable growth, with revenue reaching RMB 5.79 billion, up 7.59% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 497 million, up 5.82% year-on-year [1][8]. - External sales growth is expected to outpace internal sales, driven by high demand and national subsidies, contributing to a positive outlook for 2025 [1][8]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) decreased by 0.51 percentage points to 23.91% in Q1 2025, while overall profitability remains stable despite increased competition in the domestic market [1][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: RMB 21,304 million - 2024A: RMB 22,427 million - 2025E: RMB 23,821 million - 2026E: RMB 25,073 million - 2027E: RMB 26,392 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.6%, 5.3%, 6.2%, 5.3%, and 5.3% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: - 2023A: RMB 2,180 million - 2024A: RMB 2,244 million - 2025E: RMB 2,397 million - 2026E: RMB 2,557 million - 2027E: RMB 2,708 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.4%, 3.0%, 6.8%, 6.7%, and 5.9% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2025E: RMB 2.99 - 2026E: RMB 3.19 - 2027E: RMB 3.38 [3][8]. Company Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates selling RMB 7.37 billion worth of goods to SEB, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by trade-in programs and market share growth [1][8].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "old-for-new" subsidy policy in Gansu Province aims to stimulate consumption and promote high-quality economic development in the region through comprehensive support from the tax authority [1]. Group 1: Policy Implementation and Support - The Gansu Provincial Department of Commerce released guidelines for the "old-for-new" subsidy, leading to a city-wide initiative in Jiuquan City [1]. - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau has actively promoted tax incentives related to value-added tax, corporate income tax, and vehicle purchase tax through various media platforms [1]. - Tax officials have provided on-site guidance to businesses involved in the program, addressing specific tax-related queries and ensuring smooth participation [1][2]. Group 2: Service Optimization and Efficiency - The increase in sales due to the "old-for-new" initiative has led to a significant rise in invoice requests from mobile digital product retailers [2]. - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau established a "green channel" for invoice applications, reducing approval times to under ten minutes, thus facilitating seamless operations for businesses [2]. - A dedicated consultation window for "old-for-new" business inquiries has been set up at the tax office to provide accurate and professional assistance to both businesses and consumers [3]. Group 3: Interdepartmental Collaboration - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau has strengthened collaboration with various departments, including finance, commerce, and market regulation, to ensure effective implementation of the "old-for-new" policy [4]. - Businesses participating in the program have reported significant increases in sales, prompting the tax bureau to assist with tax incentives and operational compliance [4]. - Through thorough investigations and consultations, the tax bureau and related departments have addressed potential issues affecting the policy's implementation, ensuring a fair market environment [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jimsar County has successfully implemented various consumer promotion measures in 2023, resulting in a significant increase in retail sales and tourism, establishing a strong foundation for economic growth throughout the year [1][4]. Group 1: Consumer Promotion Measures - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in Jimsar County reached 193 million yuan in the first quarter, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.1% [1]. - During key holidays such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, Jimsar County launched activities like family dinners, car exhibitions, and group purchases, distributing consumption vouchers worth millions, which boosted consumption in key sectors by nearly 7 million yuan [1]. - The Unified People's Supermarket in Jimsar County reported a 70% year-on-year increase in revenue in the first quarter, driven by government-issued consumption vouchers and promotional activities [1]. Group 2: Tourism and Cultural Activities - Jimsar County hosted various tourism and cultural events, including the "North Court New Year Goods Festival" and "Ice and Snow Carnival," attracting 1.4863 million tourists in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 4.59% [1]. - Tourism consumption reached 100 million yuan in the first quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.39% [1]. - The Hao Wei International Hotel experienced high occupancy rates, with bookings extending into mid-May due to the influx of tourists from cultural and sports events [2]. Group 3: Trade-in Policies and Market Growth - The implementation of the national trade-in policy has led to significant results in Jimsar County, with over 40 merchants participating and generating sales of more than 9 million yuan [4]. - The Jieguan Automobile Trade reported a 60% year-on-year increase in daily customer visits, with sales of over 110 vehicles in the first quarter, doubling their revenue compared to the previous year [4]. - The county aims to leverage trade-in policies and consumer promotion strategies to enhance the consumption environment and stimulate market growth [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, with total operating income reaching 60.514 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.825 billion yuan, up 160.36% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total operating income of 15.666 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.06%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 21.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.247 billion yuan, up 138.2% year-on-year and 74.19% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's revenue from major business segments in 2024 included modified plastics (32.075 billion yuan), materials trading (12.371 billion yuan), green petrochemicals (11.436 billion yuan), and new materials (3.654 billion yuan), with respective year-on-year growth rates of 18.95%, 61.77%, 22.30%, and 15.73% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The modified plastics segment remains the largest, with a production capacity of 3.72 million tons per year and sales volume of 2.5515 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.78% [3] - The company is actively expanding its market share in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy, leveraging its competitive advantages in modified plastics [3] Group 3: International Expansion - In 2024, the company's revenue from mainland China and overseas was 51.306 billion yuan and 8.792 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 29.68% and 10.73% [4] - The company is accelerating local supply and service capabilities in overseas markets, achieving significant results in the U.S., Europe, India, Vietnam, and Malaysia [4] Group 4: Strategic Development - The company is a leading domestic player in the special engineering plastics sector, achieving import substitution in markets such as LED lighting and new energy vehicles, with sales of 23,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.59% [5] - The company has plans to increase production capacity for various specialty resins, with projects expected to come online between 2025 and 2026 [5] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.451 billion yuan, 2.069 billion yuan, and 2.460 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.4, 13.6, and 11.4 [6] - The company is rated as "overweight" based on its competitive position and comprehensive product offerings in the global chemical new materials industry [6]

Group 1: Company Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total operating revenue of 877 million, a year-on-year decrease of 47.54% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 110 million, down 76.21% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company reported total operating revenue of 224 million, a decline of 45.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4 million, down 96.18% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company generated operating revenue of 98 million, a year-on-year decrease of 63.97%, and a net profit of 8 million, down 89.90% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for 2024 was 40.69%, a decrease of 6.41 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin for 2024 decreased by 15.3 percentage points to 12.46% [1] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 41.11%, down 5.05 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 decreased by 20.38 percentage points to 7.80% [1] - The selling, administrative, research and development, and financial expense ratios for 2024 were 13.93%, 8.78%, 4.26%, and -2.32%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +3.37 percentage points, +4.37 percentage points, +0.82 percentage points, and -0.52 percentage points [1] - In Q1 2025, the selling, administrative, research and development, and financial expense ratios were 10.74%, 17.46%, 4.94%, and -1.09%, with year-on-year increases of 3.76 percentage points, 10.56 percentage points, 1.57 percentage points, and 2.2 percentage points [1] Group 3: Industry Overview - The integrated stove industry in China faced pressure in 2024, with a total retail market value of 17.3 billion, down 30.6% year-on-year [2] - Online retail sales in the integrated stove market were 2.647 billion, a decline of 38.84% year-on-year, while the offline market also experienced significant adjustments [2] - The dishwasher industry showed resilience, with a retail market value of 13.2 billion in 2024, growing by 17.2% year-on-year, and retail volume reaching 2.29 million units, up 18.0% year-on-year [2] - The growth in the dishwasher market is attributed to increased acceptance in domestic households and the promotion of trade-in programs [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 128 million, 137 million, and 144 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 16.1%, 7.0%, and 5.1% [2] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" based on the company's 2024 performance and the overall industry environment [2]