据国家统计局网站， 2025 年 12 月份，全国居民消费价格同比上涨 0.8% 。 其中，城市上涨 0.9% ，农村上涨 0.6% ；食品价格上涨 1.1% ，非食品价格上涨 0.8% ；消费品 价格上涨 1.0% ，服务价格上涨 0.6% 。 12 月份，全国居民消费价格环比上涨 0.2% 。其中，城市上涨 0.2% ，农村上涨 0.2% ；食品价格 上涨 0.3% ，非食品价格上涨 0.1% ；消费品价格上涨 0.3% ，服务价格持平。 2025 年全年，全国居民消费价格与上年持平。 PPI 环比上涨 0.2% ，连续 3 个月上涨，涨幅比上月扩大 0.1 个百分点。 本月 PPI 环比运行的主要 特点： 一是供需结构改善带动部分行业价格上涨。 重点行业产能治理与市场竞争秩序综合整治持续显 效，煤炭开采和洗选业、煤炭加工价格环比分别上涨 1.3% 和 0.8% ，均连续 5 个月上涨；锂离子电 池制造价格上涨 1.0% ，水泥制造价格上涨 0.5% ，均连续 3 个月上涨；新能源车整车制造价格由上 月下降 0.2% 转为上涨 0.1% 。需求季节性增加带动燃气生产和供应业、电力热力生产和供应业价格 分别 ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.8% year-on-year, with the core CPI rising by 1.2% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in consumer demand as the New Year approaches [1][2][3] - The month-on-month increase in CPI was primarily driven by rising prices of industrial consumer goods, excluding energy, which rose by 0.6%, contributing approximately 0.16 percentage points to the CPI increase [2] - Food prices rose by 1.1% year-on-year, with significant increases in fresh vegetables (18.2%) and fresh fruits (4.4%), contributing approximately 0.17 percentage points to the year-on-year CPI increase [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month, marking the third consecutive month of increase, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [4] - The month-on-month PPI increase was supported by improved supply-demand dynamics, with notable price increases in coal mining (1.3%) and lithium-ion battery manufacturing (1.0%) [4] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 1.9%, but the decline rate narrowed by 0.3 percentage points, reflecting positive price changes in certain industries due to ongoing macroeconomic policies [5]

Group 1: CPI Overview - In December 2025, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.8% year-on-year, with urban areas rising by 0.9% and rural areas by 0.6% [1] - The CPI rose by 0.2% month-on-month in December, with both urban and rural areas experiencing the same increase [1] - For the entire year of 2025, the CPI remained unchanged compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Year-on-Year Price Changes - In December, food, tobacco, and alcohol prices rose by 0.8% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.24 percentage points to the CPI increase [2] - Fresh vegetable prices surged by 18.2%, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.39 percentage points, while fresh fruit prices increased by 4.4%, contributing about 0.09 percentage points [2] - Prices for pork decreased by 14.6%, leading to a CPI decrease of about 0.20 percentage points [2] Group 3: Month-on-Month Price Changes - In December, food, tobacco, and alcohol prices increased by 0.2% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.05 percentage points to the CPI [3] - Fresh fruit prices rose by 2.6%, impacting the CPI by about 0.05 percentage points, while fresh vegetable prices increased by 0.8%, contributing approximately 0.02 percentage points [3] - Prices for clothing and transportation remained stable, while housing prices decreased by 0.1% [3] Group 4: PPI Overview - In December 2025, the industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [8] - Month-on-month, the PPI rose by 0.2%, with the increase expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [8] - For the entire year of 2025, the PPI fell by 2.6% [8] Group 5: Year-on-Year PPI Changes - In December, the prices of production materials decreased by 2.1%, contributing approximately 1.53 percentage points to the overall decline in the PPI [9] - Prices in the mining industry fell by 4.7%, while raw materials and processing industries saw declines of 2.6% and 1.6%, respectively [9] - Life goods prices decreased by 1.3%, impacting the PPI by about 0.35 percentage points [9] Group 6: Month-on-Month PPI Changes - In December, production materials prices increased by 0.3%, contributing approximately 0.24 percentage points to the overall PPI increase [10] - Prices in the mining industry rose by 0.8%, while life goods prices remained stable [10] - Prices for non-ferrous metals and fuel power categories saw increases, while black metal materials prices decreased by 0.4% [10] Group 7: CPI and PPI Insights - The CPI's month-on-month increase was driven by rising industrial consumer goods prices, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.2% [18][19] - The PPI's month-on-month increase reflects improvements in supply-demand structures and seasonal demand increases in certain industries [21] - The overall economic policies have positively influenced price trends in various sectors, leading to a narrowing of price declines in specific industries [22]

2025年12月份CPI同比涨幅继续扩大 PPI同比降幅收窄 ——国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年12月份CPI和PPI数据 CPI同比上涨0.8%，涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点，回升至2023年3月份以来最高，同比涨幅扩大主要是 食品价格涨幅扩大拉动。食品价格上涨1.1%，涨幅比上月扩大0.9个百分点，对CPI同比的上拉影响比上 月增加约0.17个百分点。食品中，鲜菜和鲜果价格涨幅分别扩大至18.2%和4.4%，对CPI同比的上拉影响 比上月合计增加约0.16个百分点；牛肉、羊肉和水产品价格分别上涨6.9%、4.4%和1.6%，涨幅均有扩 大；猪肉价格下降14.6%，降幅略有收窄。能源价格下降3.8%，降幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点，其中汽油 价格降幅扩大至8.4%。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅连续4个月保持在1%以 上。服务价格上涨0.6%，影响CPI同比上涨约0.25个百分点。其中，家庭服务价格上涨1.2%；房租价格 下降0.3%。扣除能源的工业消费品价格上涨2.5%，影响CPI同比上涨约0.63个百分点。其中，金饰品价 格涨幅继续扩大至68.5%；家用器具和家庭日用 ...

CPI同比上涨0.8%，涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点，回升至2023年3月份以来最高，同比涨幅扩大主要是 食品价格涨幅扩大拉动。食品价格上涨1.1%，涨幅比上月扩大0.9个百分点，对CPI同比的上拉影响比上 月增加约0.17个百分点。食品中，鲜菜和鲜果价格涨幅分别扩大至18.2%和4.4%，对CPI同比的上拉影响 比上月合计增加约0.16个百分点；牛肉、羊肉和水产品价格分别上涨6.9%、4.4%和1.6%，涨幅均有扩 大；猪肉价格下降14.6%，降幅略有收窄。能源价格下降3.8%，降幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点，其中汽油 价格降幅扩大至8.4%。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅连续4个月保持在1%以上。 服务价格上涨0.6%，影响CPI同比上涨约0.25个百分点。其中，家庭服务价格上涨1.2%；房租价格下降 0.3%。扣除能源的工业消费品价格上涨2.5%，影响CPI同比上涨约0.63个百分点。其中，金饰品价格涨 幅继续扩大至68.5%；家用器具和家庭日用杂品价格涨幅分别扩大至5.9%和3.2%；燃油小汽车和新能源 小汽车价格降幅分别收窄至2.4%和2.2%。 二、PPI环比涨幅扩大，同比降幅 ...

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In December 2025, the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.8% year-on-year, with urban areas rising by 0.9% and rural areas by 0.6% [1][3][22] - Food prices rose by 1.1%, while non-food prices increased by 0.8%. The prices of consumer goods went up by 1.0%, and service prices saw a 0.6% increase [1][3][24] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2%, marking a continuous increase for four months [22][24] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - In December 2025, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, but the decline was narrower than the previous month by 0.3 percentage points. Month-on-month, the PPI increased by 0.2%, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points [12][13][27] - The prices of industrial producers' outgoing products were influenced by a 2.1% decline in production materials, which affected the overall PPI level [16][21] - The prices of coal mining and washing, as well as lithium-ion battery manufacturing, showed positive changes, with respective increases of 1.3% and 1.0% month-on-month [25][27] Group 3: Price Changes in Specific Categories - In December, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol rose by 0.8% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.24 percentage points to the CPI increase [6][22] - Fresh vegetable prices surged by 18.2%, while fresh fruit prices increased by 4.4%, significantly impacting the CPI [6][24] - The prices of industrial producer inputs, particularly in the construction materials and non-metallic categories, saw a decline of 6.4% year-on-year [19][21] Group 4: Overall Economic Context - The expansion of domestic demand and consumption policies continued to show effects, with increased consumer demand leading to a rise in the CPI [22][23] - The overall industrial production prices reflected a mixed trend, with some sectors experiencing price increases due to improved supply-demand structures [25][27] - The overall economic environment is characterized by a combination of rising consumer prices and declining producer prices, indicating a complex economic landscape [22][27]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.8% year-on-year in December 2025, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.2% year-on-year [1][2][3] - The month-on-month increase in CPI was primarily driven by rising prices of industrial consumer goods, which increased by 0.6%, contributing approximately 0.16 percentage points to the CPI [2] - Food prices rose by 1.1% year-on-year, significantly impacting the CPI, with fresh vegetables and fruits seeing price increases of 18.2% and 4.4%, respectively [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month, marking the third consecutive month of increases, with the year-on-year decline narrowing to 1.9% [1][4][5] - Key industries such as coal mining and lithium-ion battery manufacturing saw price increases, with coal mining prices rising by 1.3% and lithium-ion battery prices by 1.0% [4] - The year-on-year decline in PPI was mitigated by improved market conditions and the implementation of macroeconomic policies, with certain sectors like coal mining and battery manufacturing experiencing reduced price declines [5]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In December, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.8% year-on-year, up from 0.7% in the previous month, marking the highest level since March 2023 [1][4] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, maintaining above 1% for four consecutive months [4] - The increase in CPI was primarily driven by a rise in food prices, which increased by 1.1%, with fresh vegetables and fruits seeing significant price hikes of 18.2% and 4.4% respectively [4][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month, marking the third consecutive month of increase, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [5][7] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 1.9%, but the decline was narrower by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating some positive changes in certain industries [7] - Key industries such as coal mining and lithium-ion battery manufacturing saw price increases, reflecting improvements in supply-demand dynamics and ongoing policy effects [5][6]

今日看点 1月9日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事： 1、2025年12月CPI、PPI数据将公布 1月9日，国家统计局将公布2025年12月份CPI（居民消费价格指数）和PPI（工业生产者出厂价格指数）数据。 2、国新办将举行新闻发布会 介绍加快国家水网建设进展情况 2026年1月9日上午10时，商务部将举行新闻发布会，水利部副部长陈敏介绍加快国家水网建设进展情况，并答记者问。 3、28.29亿元市值限售股今日解禁 1月9日，共有8家公司限售股解禁，合计解禁量为1.64亿股，按最新收盘价计算，合计解禁市值为28.29亿元。 从解禁量来看，2家公司解禁股数超千万股。盾安环境、金风科技、开发科技解禁量居前，解禁股数分别为1.39亿股、1140.9万股、669.33万股。从解禁市值 来看，2家公司解禁市值超亿元。盾安环境、开发科技、金风科技解禁市值居前，解禁市值分别为18.04亿元、6.11亿元、3.31亿元。 4、11家公司披露回购进展 1月9日，11家公司共发布12个股票回购相关进展。其中，5家公司首次披露股票回购预案，3家公司回购方案获股东大会通过，1家公司披露股票回购实施进 展，2家公司回购方案已实施完毕 ...

Economic Outlook - The global economy in 2026 is expected to exhibit a complex system characterized by non-linearity, path dependence, and adaptability, showing high instability but resilience [1] - The "First Financial Chief Economist Confidence Index" for January 2026 is reported at 50.32, indicating a recovery and maintaining a prosperous state [2][3] Inflation and Price Predictions - The average predicted year-on-year CPI growth for December 2025 is 0.8%, while the PPI is forecasted at -2% [5][6] - CPI predictions range from a minimum of 0.5% to a maximum of 0.9%, indicating a slight increase from November's 0.7% [6] - The PPI predictions range from -2.3% to -1.9%, showing a slight improvement from the previous month's -2.2% [6] Industrial and Investment Growth - The predicted growth rate for industrial added value in December 2025 is 4.9%, slightly above the previous month's 4.8% [9][10] - Fixed asset investment is expected to decline by an average of -2.2%, showing a recovery from November's -2.6% [11] - Real estate development investment is forecasted to decrease by -15.8%, with signs of a narrowing decline in transaction volumes [12] Trade and Export Forecasts - The trade surplus for December 2025 is predicted to be $1113.5 billion, remaining stable compared to the previous month [13][14] - Exports are expected to grow by 2.5%, down from 5.9% in the previous month, while imports are forecasted to increase by 0.7% [14][15] Financing and Monetary Policy - New loans are projected to reach 7182.5 billion yuan in December 2025, recovering from the previous month's 3900 billion yuan [15][16] - The total social financing is expected to average 1.8 trillion yuan, lower than the previous month's 2.5 trillion yuan [16][17] - M2 growth is predicted to remain at 8%, consistent with November's figures [18] Policy Directions - Fiscal policy is anticipated to become more proactive, with an increase in the scale of government debt and continued support for local debt initiatives [20][21] - Monetary policy is expected to remain moderately accommodative, with potential for further interest rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions [20][21]