Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Xingquan Global Vision Stock (340006) reported a profit of 20.16 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a net asset value growth rate of 1.82% and a fund size of 1.177 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [2][15]. Fund Performance - As of July 21, the fund's unit net value was 2.41 yuan [2]. - The fund's three-month net value growth rate was 11.43%, ranking 19 out of 61 comparable funds [4]. - The six-month net value growth rate was 9.46%, ranking 29 out of 61 comparable funds [4]. - The one-year net value growth rate was 16.73%, ranking 37 out of 61 comparable funds [4]. - The three-year net value growth rate was -15.60%, ranking 44 out of 60 comparable funds [4]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund's three-year Sharpe ratio was -0.1241, ranking 45 out of 60 comparable funds [9]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 35.97%, ranking 26 out of 59 comparable funds [11]. - The highest stock position was 92.23% at the end of H1 2020, while the lowest was 80.78% at the end of Q3 2022 [14]. Investment Focus - The fund management emphasized a focus on the technology sector, driven by government policies promoting technological innovation and new productivity [3]. - The fund aims to identify companies with high technological barriers and strong competitive advantages, particularly in sectors like smart driving, AI technology, and military electronics [3]. - The fund also seeks opportunities in companies that either reduce capital expenditures and increase cash dividends or actively develop new growth avenues to sustain performance [3]. Top Holdings - As of Q2 2025, the fund's top ten holdings included Ningde Times, Luxshare Precision, Sany Heavy Industry, Zijin Mining, Northern Huachuang, Aidi Pharmaceutical, Shandong Gold, Huaqin Technology, Electric Connection Technology, and Philips [19].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints The report objectively reflects the research views of futures and securities companies on various commodity varieties, tracks hot - spot varieties, analyzes market investment sentiment, and summarizes investment driving logics. It presents the market mainstream views on different asset classes, including their price trends, strategy viewpoints, and corresponding利多 and利空 logics [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Data - **Commodities**: From May 12 to May 16, 2025, ethylene glycol had the highest weekly increase of 5.74% among commodities, while gold had the largest decline of 4.64%. Other commodities like iron ore, PTA, etc., also had different degrees of price changes [3]. - **Equities**: The NASDAQ Index had a significant increase of 7.15%, the Hang Seng Index rose 2.09%, while the CSI 500 decreased by 0.10% [3]. - **Bonds**: Chinese government bonds of 5 - year, 2 - year, and 10 - year terms all had price increases, with the 5 - year bond rising 4.06% [3]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US Dollar Index increased by 0.56%, while the Euro - US Dollar exchange rate decreased by 0.76% [3]. 3.2 Commodity Views 3.2.1 Macro - Financial Sector - **Stock Index Futures**: Among 9 institutions' views, 2 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 6 are neutral.利多 factors include successful Sino - US tariff negotiations, a relatively loose market capital supply, and growth in the social financing scale.利空 factors are net out - flow of industry funds, reduction in ETF shares, and conservative domestic policies [5]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Among 7 institutions' views, 0 are bullish, 2 are bearish, and 5 are neutral.利多 factors are the unchanged loose monetary policy and reduced expectations of fiscal stimulus.利空 factors are the recovery of market risk appetite and limited space for further interest - rate cuts [5]. 3.2.2 Energy Sector - **Crude Oil**: Among 9 institutions' views, 2 are bullish, 3 are bearish, and 4 are neutral.利多 factors are low global crude oil inventories, positive Sino - US negotiation results, and potential uncertainty in OPEC+ production increases.利空 factors are Iran's potential nuclear - deal signing and an increase in US crude oil inventories [6]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products Sector - **Palm Oil**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 2 are bearish, and 4 are neutral.利多 factors are the growth of Malaysian palm oil shipping data, increased export competitiveness, and potential replenishment demand in India.利空 factors are high inventory pressure and a decline in crude oil prices [6]. 3.2.4 Non - Ferrous Metals Sector - **Copper**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 1 is bearish, and 5 are neutral.利多 factors are low copper concentrate TC, positive Sino - US tariff negotiations, and strong terminal demand.利空 factors are weak overseas demand and high inventory in China [7]. 3.2.5 Chemical Sector - **Soda Ash**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 2 are bearish, and 4 are neutral.利多 factors are concentrated maintenance in May and high exports.利空 factors are high industry inventory, new production capacity, and weak downstream demand [7]. 3.2.6 Precious Metals Sector - **Gold**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 0 are bearish, and 6 are neutral.利多 factors are the downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating and geopolitical uncertainties.利空 factors are the recovery of risk appetite and capital out - flow from gold ETFs [8]. 3.2.7 Black Metals Sector - **Iron Ore**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 1 is bearish, and 5 are neutral.利多 factors are high molten iron production and low port inventory.利空 factors are expected increase in supply and weakening demand [8].

Summary of Key Points Overall Economic Insights - Manufacturing PMI has significantly declined, with production and new orders indices both showing downward trends, indicating a weakening demand in the manufacturing sector [7] - Non-manufacturing PMI remains in the expansion zone, with service sector performance being relatively stable despite a drag from the construction industry [7] Strategy and Performance Verification - The performance verification for Q1 2025 shows a recovery in net profit for the A-share market, with a year-on-year growth of 6.3%, contrasting with a significant decline in Q4 2024 [8] - The supply-demand dynamics in the manufacturing sector remain weak, with fixed asset turnover rates declining, which negatively impacts profitability [9] - The export chain is under pressure, with the performance of companies involved in overseas operations outperforming those reliant on exports [10] Industry-Specific Insights Financial Sector - Banks are expected to maintain stable performance with better-than-expected interest margins, focusing on high-dividend stocks [18] - Non-bank financial institutions are showing strong performance on the liability side, with profit differentiation influenced by fair value changes [19] - The real estate sector is under pressure but is expected to stabilize due to government policies aimed at boosting demand and maintaining property prices [20] Materials Sector - Oil prices are expected to enter a second bottoming process, with OPEC likely to increase production in June [23] - The chemical sector is showing signs of recovery, with Q1 2025 performance indicating a bottoming out of profitability [27] - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing price support from inventory reductions, particularly in copper and aluminum [29] Consumer Goods - The agricultural sector is facing challenges due to rising feed costs and potential supply constraints from the U.S. due to tariffs [35] - The food and beverage industry is focusing on health-oriented products and targeting younger demographics, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [35] - The pharmaceutical sector is emphasizing domestic production of key drugs and medical devices, highlighting a trend towards self-sufficiency [35] Manufacturing Sector - The machinery and equipment sector is expected to benefit from infrastructure investments and a focus on self-sufficiency [10] - The defense industry is seeing a positive impact from geopolitical tensions, leading to increased investment [10] - The home appliance sector is experiencing growth in exports and domestic sales, driven by consumer incentives [10] Policy and Market Trends - The government is focusing on expanding domestic demand through new consumption policies, particularly in the food and beverage sector [3] - The construction and decoration sectors are expected to benefit from increased infrastructure investment, with a focus on high-elasticity sectors [22] - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with expectations of a volatile market in the second quarter of 2025 due to potential economic pressures [11]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, driven by increased production and favorable metal prices [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.542 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 50.74% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.37% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 808 million yuan, up 9.61% year-on-year and up 305.62% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production Volume - The company saw substantial growth in the production and sales of its main products in Q1 2025: - Copper production reached 44,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.81% [2]. - Zinc production was 30,000 tons, up 18.17% year-on-year and 6.95% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Lead production was 16,700 tons, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 38.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32.76% [2]. - Molybdenum production was 1,248 tons, up 43.64% year-on-year and 20.37% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Iron concentrate production was 337,900 tons, up 14.69% year-on-year but down 13.48% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Future Prospects - The company is progressing with the preliminary procedures for the Yulong Phase III project, which is expected to enhance its production capacity significantly, reaching 30 million tons per year upon completion [2]. - The smelting segment also showed improved profitability, with copper smelting production at 90,100 tons, a year-on-year increase of 54.83% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.64% [2]. Price Trends - In Q1 2025, metal prices showed a notable upward trend: - Domestic copper price was 77,000 yuan/ton, up 11.4% year-on-year and 2.3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Zinc price was 24,000 yuan/ton, up 14.4% year-on-year but down 5.8% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Lead price was 17,000 yuan/ton, up 6.0% year-on-year and 1.1% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Molybdenum concentrate price was 3,509 yuan/ton, up 5.4% year-on-year but down 5.1% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 1.43 yuan, 1.79 yuan, and 2.12 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 9, and 7 respectively [3].