Core Viewpoint - Yongli Investment (01145) announced the completion of the acquisition of mining transport vehicles, which was finalized on December 31, 2025, making the buyer the sole beneficial owner of the vehicles [1] Group 1 - The acquisition of mining transport vehicles has been completed [1] - The buyer is now the exclusive beneficial owner of the mining transport vehicles [1]

巴媒报道，美巴商会研究表明，在2025年8月至11月期间，受美加征关税影响，巴21个行业对美出 口同比下降，出口总额减少约 15 亿美元，其中食品、塑料和橡胶、木材、金属及运输设备等行业损失 最重。 （原标题：今年8-11月巴西对美国出口下降） ...

Economic Data Overview - In November 2025, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 4.8% year-on-year, slightly below the expected 5.0% and previous value of 4.9%[2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.3% year-on-year, significantly lower than the expected 2.9%[2] - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment was -2.6%, worse than the expected -2.3% and previous -1.7%[2] Industrial Production Insights - The year-on-year growth rate of industrial added value showed a slight slowdown compared to the previous value, with the monthly growth rate aligning with historical averages[3] - High-tech manufacturing sectors outperformed overall industrial growth, indicating a shift in production dynamics[3] - The annual industrial production growth rate is projected to stabilize around 5.8%, with potential constraints from "anti-involution" and a slight weakening in exports affecting December's production[3] Consumer Spending Trends - The year-on-year growth rate of retail sales in November was impacted by early online shopping promotions and diminishing subsidy effects, leading to a broader decline across most categories[4] - Notably, furniture, building materials, and home appliances were significantly affected, with automotive consumption dragging down overall growth by nearly 2 percentage points[4] - The annual retail sales growth is expected to be around 3.7%, with a focus on stimulating service consumption in the short term[4] Investment Outlook - Fixed asset investment saw an expanded decline, particularly in manufacturing, where negative growth persisted for five consecutive months[5] - Infrastructure investment showed signs of stabilization, with improvements in transportation and energy sectors, while water conservancy and public facilities continued to lag[5] - Real estate investment experienced a significant drop of -30.3% year-on-year, with ongoing declines in new construction and completion areas[5] Risk Factors - Geopolitical uncertainties may elevate market risk preferences, potentially disrupting economic stability[6] - Unexpected changes in economic conditions or policies could arise due to increasing volatility in overseas markets and domestic economic transitions[6]

Core Viewpoint - Sweden's economy continues to show signs of contraction in October, with a notable structural divergence as industrial orders experience significant growth despite overall economic weakness [1][3]. Economic Indicators - October GDP decreased by 0.3% month-on-month, following a 0.1% decline in September, marking the fifth instance of monthly negative GDP this year [1]. - Year-on-year, October GDP grew by 2.1%, a slowdown from the revised 2.8% in September [1]. Industrial Orders - Total industrial orders in October increased by 12.1% year-on-year, up from a revised 6.7% in the previous month [1]. - Domestic orders surged by 23.2%, compared to a mere 2.1% growth in September, while foreign orders saw a slowdown to 4.6% from 10.4% [1]. Sector Performance - The transportation equipment sector saw a remarkable order increase of 60.6%, and capital goods orders rose by 36.7%, driving overall order growth [1]. - Conversely, orders in the coal and refined petroleum products sector fell by 22.1%, and electrical equipment manufacturing orders decreased by 10.1% [1]. Industrial Output - Seasonally adjusted, industrial orders rose by 4.7% month-on-month, with a cumulative increase of 6.4% year-to-date compared to the same period in 2024 [2]. - Industrial output grew by only 5.9% year-on-year in October, significantly lower than the revised 14.6% in September [2]. - Key manufacturing sectors showed continued weakness, with food, beverage, and tobacco production down by 3.7%, textiles and clothing down by 5.3%, and wood products down by 2.4% [2]. Consumer Spending - Household spending decreased by 0.9% month-on-month in October, reversing the 0.5% growth seen in September [3]. - Year-on-year, household consumption grew by 2.3%, down from the revised 3.6% in September [3]. - Spending in transportation, retail, and motor services fell by 2.4%, while entertainment and cultural services saw a 0.9% decline [3]. Overall Economic Outlook - The Swedish economy is characterized by a complex situation of "demand recovery, production lag, and weak consumption" in October [3]. - The surge in domestic orders suggests potential future production recovery, but the current simultaneous decline in output and consumption indicates an unstable economic recovery foundation [3].

Core Viewpoints - The article presents a dual perspective on the investment landscape for 2026, focusing on both financial conditions ("who holds the deposits") and economic realities ("spring water flows to the midstream") [3][4][5][6] - The year 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for awakening the investment value of the Chinese stock market, breaking the stereotype of short-lived bull markets [6][8] Economic and Policy Outlook for 2026 - The nominal GDP growth rate for 2026 is projected to be around 4.5%, slightly higher than the estimated 4% for 2025 [15] - Fixed asset investment is expected to remain low, between 0% and 1%, with a neutral expectation of around 1% [16] - Consumption is anticipated to align with nominal GDP growth, while exports are expected to show resilience with a growth rate of around 5% [16][18] - The fiscal budget expenditure growth rate is likely to be set at around 5%, with an increase in government debt expected [17][18] Price Trends for 2026 - CPI year-on-year growth is expected to turn positive, but its investment significance may be limited [19][20] - PPI year-on-year growth is anticipated to show an upward trend, with the potential for a positive turnaround depending on economic conditions in the first half of 2026 [21][22] - Housing prices remain uncertain, with a focus on the relationship between mortgage rates and rental yields as a potential indicator for price stabilization [23][24][27] Midstream Economic Outlook - The midstream sector is expected to outperform in the next 3-6 months, with notable changes in profit margins for midstream companies, particularly in overseas markets [30][34] - The supply-demand dynamics in the midstream sector are shifting, with policies aimed at reducing internal competition benefiting this segment [35][36] - The midstream sector is seen as having strong potential due to its differentiation from upstream and downstream sectors, which are currently facing challenges [39][40] Financial Conditions and Deposit Distribution - The distribution of deposits will significantly influence market valuations and investment styles in 2026 [47][48] - M2 growth is expected to decline, impacting stock market valuations and the relative performance of different market segments [48][49] - The transfer of deposits from residents to enterprises or non-bank financial institutions will be crucial for driving economic activity and stock market engagement [52][53][60] Investment Insights and Conclusions - The article emphasizes a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the stock market, with a focus on safety margins and profit improvements [50][51] - The potential for a bull market in stocks is acknowledged, but the pace of growth may slow compared to previous years [87] - The article suggests that the investment landscape will require careful monitoring of economic indicators and policy developments to identify key turning points [51][88]

韩国央行在11月底的《经济展望更新报告》中将韩国2025年和2026年实际GDP增长预期分别上调至1% 和1.8%。 一年前，一场6小时的戒严令风波把韩国拖入危机。据央视新闻报道，当地时间12月3日上午，在韩国前 总统尹锡悦发动"紧急戒严"一周年之际，韩国总统李在明发表特别声明，表示将推动设立12月3日为"国 民主权日"。 李在明在讲话中表示，"紧急戒严"事件是一场"亲卫队政变"，出现在21世纪的韩国前所未有，但同样前 所未有地依靠韩国民众的力量以和平方式得到解决。李在明表示，戒严事件的追责并没有结束，相关人 员应得到严惩，韩国政府未来将会把韩国打造成一个更为繁荣、强大且充满人性温度的国家。 2024年12月3日，时任韩国总统尹锡悦以在野党裹挟国会、掣肘施政等原因深夜宣布进行"紧急戒严"， 遭韩国国会弹劾下台。韩国随后举行提前大选，在野党领袖李在明当选韩国总统。 "审判风暴"将来临 目前，处于风暴中心的尹锡悦和他的妻子金建希及其执政圈子数名核心成员都已被起诉或拘留。 今年8月被特别检察官起诉并拘留的前第一夫人金建希于3日接受了最终的审理。检方寻求对金建希判处 15年监禁和20亿韩元（约962万人民币）的罚款， ...

Core Insights - The total export value of foreign direct investment (FDI) enterprises in Vietnam reached $295.66 billion by the end of October, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [1] Export Products - Six major export products exceeded $10 billion in export value, including: - Computers, electronic products, and accessories: $84.16 billion - Mobile phones and accessories: $48.51 billion - Machinery, equipment, tools, and accessories: $43.78 billion - Textiles: $20.41 billion - Footwear: $16.1 billion - Transportation vehicles and accessories: $11.83 billion [1] Major Export Markets - The primary export markets for Vietnam include: - United States - Mainland China - South Korea - Hong Kong, China - Japan [1]

Core Insights - The report presented by Huang Fusheng at the "2026 Postal Financial Forum" highlights China's economic recovery, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" focusing on modern industrial systems and high-tech sectors [3][8]. Group 1: Economic Recovery and Industrial Policy - China is building a modern industrial system under the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on high-tech sectors showing significant performance [3][8]. - The plan prioritizes the construction of a modern industrial system and strengthening the real economy, aiming to "recreate a Chinese high-tech industry" over the next decade [3][8]. - Key strategies include enhancing traditional industries, addressing core technology challenges, and fostering strategic emerging industries like new materials and quantum technology [3][8]. Group 2: Manufacturing Sector Performance - The manufacturing sector exhibits a K-shaped recovery, with high-tech product exports growing faster than the overall export growth rate of 5.3% in the first ten months of 2025 [4][9]. - Profit growth in upstream manufacturing sectors like transportation equipment and non-ferrous metal smelting significantly outpaces that of downstream industries such as furniture and apparel [4][9]. - A-share non-financial companies reported a revenue increase of 0.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with net profits rising by 3.29% [4][10]. Group 3: Consumer Wealth and Spending Trends - Recovery of resident wealth is projected to take 3-5 years, with service consumption identified as a future growth area [5][10]. - In 2025, there remains a significant gap in resident wealth compared to the peak in 2021, but optimistic scenarios suggest recovery to previous levels by 2028 [5][10]. - The consumption structure indicates a saturation in goods consumption (15% of GDP) compared to major Western countries, while service consumption in healthcare and education is below global averages, indicating substantial growth potential [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. manufacturing sector has contracted for nine consecutive months, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropping from 48.7 to 48.2 in November, indicating ongoing economic challenges due to tariff uncertainties and high production costs [1][4]. Group 1: Manufacturing Activity - The U.S. manufacturing PMI has decreased to 48.2, marking the largest contraction in factory activity in four months and the most significant drop in backlog orders in seven months [1][4]. - The manufacturing sector's contribution to the U.S. economy is approximately 10.1%, with only four industries, including computers and electronics, showing growth, while sectors like apparel and textiles are experiencing severe contractions [5]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has led to a decline in customer demand, with manufacturers delaying orders until costs are clearer [4][5]. - Since the Trump administration raised tariffs in April, many U.S. manufacturers have faced increased costs for raw materials sourced from abroad, contributing to the overall economic slowdown [4][5]. Group 3: Industry Sentiment - Manufacturers across various sectors, including wood products and chemicals, report low business confidence, with many only accepting short-term orders and lacking plans for inventory expansion [6]. - The electrical equipment and appliance manufacturers have expressed concerns over "trade chaos," while transportation equipment manufacturers are planning long-term changes due to the evolving tariff environment [6].

Group 1 - The article provides an objective ranking of open-end fund net values, highlighting the top and bottom performers without subjective bias [1] - The top 10 funds with the highest net value growth include: Huatai-PB Hongrui Mixed A, Huatai-PB Hongrui Mixed C, Guotou Ruijin Silver Futures C, Guotou Ruijin Silver Futures A, AVIC Vision Leading Mixed A, AVIC Vision Leading Mixed C, Wanjia Trend Leading Mixed A, Wanjia Trend Leading Mixed C, Wanjia State-Owned Enterprise Power Mixed A, and Wanjia State-Owned Enterprise Power Mixed C [2] - The bottom 10 funds with the lowest net value growth include: Taikang Yangtze Economic Belt Bond D, Debang Enjoy Life Mixed C, Debang Enjoy Life Mixed A, AVIC Preferred Leading Mixed C, AVIC Preferred Leading Mixed A, Galaxy Core Advantage Mixed A, Galaxy Core Advantage Mixed C, Zhongyin Securities Health Industry Mixed, Yinhua Growth Smart Selection Mixed C, and Yinhua Growth Smart Selection Mixed A [3] Group 2 - The article notes that Taikang Yangtze Economic Belt Bond D experienced a decline in net value, while its A and C counterparts did not, indicating that the decline is not due to issues with the fund's holdings but rather a result of a valuation adjustment [4] - The market analysis indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index opened high and fluctuated upward, while the ChiNext opened high and then fell before recovering, with a total transaction volume of 1.88 trillion, and a stock rise-to-fall ratio of 3398:2872 [6] - The leading sectors include non-ferrous metals, tourism, and transportation services, each with gains exceeding 2%, while the transportation equipment sector lagged [6] Group 3 - The top holdings of the funds show a concentration of 53.17% in the top ten positions, with notable performers including ST Huashang, Tencent Holdings, and TCL Electronics, indicating a focus on growth-oriented stocks [7] - The fund with the lowest net value growth, Debang Enjoy Life Mixed C, shows a concentration of 60.72% in its top ten holdings, with only one stock, Honggong Technology, experiencing a significant decline [7]