Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the China Commodity Price Index (CBPI) reached 117.9 points in December 2025, marking a month-on-month increase of 3.2% and a year-on-year increase of 6%, indicating a structural optimization alongside a cyclical rebound [1][2] - The increase in the CBPI is attributed to a series of government policies aimed at promoting consumption, stabilizing growth, and reducing internal competition, which are showing positive effects [1][2] - Among the 50 monitored commodities, 31 saw price increases in December, with lithium carbonate, refined tin, and apples leading the gains at 15.5%, 11.7%, and 8.5% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metals sector has been a key driver of the index's rise, with the non-ferrous metals price index reaching 145.2 points in December, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 4.9% and a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [1][2] - Factors such as the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a weaker dollar, and supply chain disruptions have contributed to rising prices, particularly for lithium carbonate and refined tin [2] - The agricultural products price index also saw a month-on-month increase of 2.5% and a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, driven by seasonal demand and supply chain challenges [2] Group 3 - Looking ahead to 2026, the outlook for the commodity market is supported by proactive macroeconomic policies, an expanding domestic demand market, and ongoing industrial structural upgrades [3]

【华宝期货】黑色产业链周报 华宝期货 2026.1.5 以上内容谨代表个人观点，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与华宝期货有限公司和作者无关，据此入市交易，风险自负！投资有风险，入市需谨慎！ 目录 01 周度行情回顾 02 本周黑色行情预判 03 品种数据（成材、铁矿石、煤焦、铁合金） 以上内容谨代表个人观点，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与华宝期货有限公司和作者无关，据此入市交易，风险自负！投资有风险，入市需谨慎！ 01 周度行情回顾 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2025.12.31 | 2025.12.26 | | 价格变动 | 2025.12.31 | | 2025.12.26 | 价格变动 | 涨跌幅 | | 螺纹钢 | RB2605 | 3122 | 3118 | 4 | 0.13% | HRB400E: Φ20: 汇总价格: 上海 | 3300 | 3290 | 10 | 0.30% | | 热轧卷板 ...

Metal Market - Domestic base metals experienced a general increase, with Shanghai aluminum leading at a rise of 3.98%, reaching a peak of 23,780 yuan/ton, a new high since March 2022 [1] - Shanghai copper, zinc, and tin also saw gains exceeding 2%, with copper up 2.68%, zinc up 2.25%, and tin up 2.45% [1] - Other metals had increases of less than 1%, while alumina rose by 0.14% and casting aluminum surged by 4.14%, hitting a historical high of 22,695 yuan/ton since its listing [1] - Lithium carbonate increased by 7.74%, and polysilicon rose by 2.31%, while industrial silicon fell by 1.24% [1] - In the black metal sector, iron ore was the only metal to rise, up 0.95%, while hot-rolled and rebar both fell over 0.7% [1] - As of 15:04, foreign base metals were generally up, with London nickel stable at $16,820/ton, and tin rising by 5.22% and copper by 3.39% [1] - Precious metals also saw gains, with COMEX gold up 2.3% and silver up 6%, while domestic gold and silver rose by 1.4% and 1.16% respectively [1][2] Macro Environment - The Chinese Commodity Price Index rose for the eighth consecutive month, reaching 117.9 points in December 2025, a 3.2% increase from the previous month, indicating improved market conditions [6] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net withdrawal of 468.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, maintaining a stable monetary policy [7] - The US dollar index increased by 0.22% to 98.66, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve later this year [8]

Core Viewpoint - The China Commodity Price Index (CBPI) for December 2025 reached 117.9 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.2% and a year-on-year increase of 6%, indicating a recovery in the commodity market driven by improved supply and demand dynamics and increased business confidence [1][3]. Summary by Category Overall Market Performance - The CBPI has shown a continuous month-on-month increase for eight consecutive months, reaching its highest level since June 2024, suggesting a strengthening of economic growth momentum [1]. - The outlook for 2026 indicates potential challenges from global economic recovery, but supportive macroeconomic policies and structural economic upgrades in China are expected to foster new demand for commodities [1]. Price Index Breakdown - The price indices for various categories in December 2025 are as follows: - Energy Price Index: 97.8 points, down 0.2% month-on-month, down 6.9% year-on-year - Chemical Price Index: 95.6 points, up 0.3% month-on-month, down 12.6% year-on-year - Black Metal Price Index: 77.5 points, up 0.4% month-on-month, down 5% year-on-year - Non-ferrous Metal Price Index: 145.2 points, up 4.9% month-on-month, up 14.8% year-on-year - Mineral Price Index: 71.6 points, up 0.8% month-on-month, down 12.2% year-on-year - Agricultural Product Price Index: 98.1 points, up 2.5% month-on-month, up 5.5% year-on-year [3][4]. Commodity Price Changes - Among 50 monitored commodities, 31 (62%) saw price increases, while 19 (38%) experienced declines in December 2025. The top three commodities with the highest month-on-month price increases were lithium carbonate (up 15.5%), refined tin (up 11.7%), and apples (up 8.5%). The largest declines were seen in caustic soda (down 7.2%), ethylene glycol (down 6.8%), and coking coal (down 6.5%) [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that China's commodity price index reached 117.9 points in December 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.2% and a year-on-year increase of 6%, marking the highest level since June 2024 and demonstrating improved supply and demand in the commodity market [1][2] - Among the 50 monitored commodities, 31 saw price increases in December 2025, with lithium carbonate, refined tin, and apples showing the largest increases of 15.5%, 11.7%, and 8.5% respectively [1] - The non-ferrous metals price index rose significantly by 4.9% month-on-month, while agricultural product prices increased by 2.5% due to seasonal demand and adverse weather conditions affecting storage and transportation [1] Group 2 - The overall trend of China's commodity market in 2025 is stable and improving, showcasing the resilience and potential of the Chinese economy despite external uncertainties such as global economic pressures and geopolitical tensions [2] - Looking ahead to 2026, while challenges remain, proactive macroeconomic policies are expected to support the continued recovery of the domestic economy and commodity market, alongside structural transformation that will create new demand for commodities [2]

| | | | | | | | H色合属状性能 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | 2026/01/05 | 国贸期货出品 TG 国贸期货 | | | | | | | | | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | | | | | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | | | | | | | | | 张宝慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | | | | | | | | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | | | | | | | | | 董子勖 | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | | | | | | | | 薛夏泽 | F03117750 | Z0022680 | | | | 远月合约收盘价 | RB2610 | HC2610 | 12609 | J2609 | JM2609 | 7000 | | | - 1000 | | | (元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation reported that the commodity price index reached 117.9 points in December 2025, indicating a continued recovery in the commodity market and improved supply-demand dynamics, which supports stable economic performance for the year [1][3]. Group 1: Commodity Price Index - The commodity price index for December 2025 was 117.9 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.2%, marking the eighth consecutive month of growth and the highest level since June 2024 [3]. - Among the 50 monitored commodities, 31 saw price increases in December, with lithium carbonate, refined tin, and apples leading the gains at 15.5%, 11.7%, and 8.5% respectively [5]. Group 2: Market Outlook - Experts predict that the overall commodity market in China will maintain a stable and positive trend in 2025, supported by proactive macroeconomic policies and structural economic upgrades that will create new demand for commodities [7]. - The price index for non-ferrous metals rose significantly by 4.9%, while agricultural products increased by 2.5%. Other indices, including mineral, black metal, and chemical prices, also saw slight increases of 0.8%, 0.4%, and 0.3% respectively [8].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints Manufacturing - Overall: In December, the manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 57.6%, with a change of 37.3%. Four industries had their manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 4 less than the previous month and 3 less than the same period last year [4]. - Supply: Slightly declined. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI production index in December was 50.5, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, while 10 industries declined [4]. - Demand: Still needed improvement. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 49.6, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Three industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 12 industries declined [4]. - Inventory: Continued destocking. The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI finished - goods inventory in December remained flat at 47.9. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease [4]. Non - Manufacturing - Overall: In December, the non - manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 22.0%, with a change of 10.2%. Eleven industries had their non - manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 5 more than the previous month and 1 more than the same period last year [5]. - Supply: Employment remained at a low level. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 45.5, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Both the service and construction sectors increased by 0.4 percentage points [5]. - Demand: Still needed improvement. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 46.3, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector's new orders increased by 0.2 percentage points, and the construction sector's new orders increased by 1.7 percentage points [5]. - Inventory: Continued destocking. The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI inventory in December was 45.3, with no change from the previous month. The service sector's inventory remained unchanged, and the construction sector's inventory increased by 0.8 percentage points [5]. Summary by Directory Overview - Manufacturing PMI: In December, the manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 57.6%, with a change of 37.3%. Four industries had their manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 4 less than the previous month and 3 less than the same period last year [10]. - Non - Manufacturing PMI: In December, the non - manufacturing PMI's five - year percentile was at 22.0%, with a change of 10.2%. Eleven industries had their non - manufacturing PMI in the expansion range, 5 more than the previous month and 1 more than the same period last year [10]. Demand - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 49.6, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Three industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 12 industries declined. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI new orders in December was 46.3, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector's new orders increased by 0.2 percentage points, and the construction sector's new orders increased by 1.7 percentage points. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. Pay attention to the improvement in textiles and pharmaceuticals and the decline in petroleum [16]. Supply - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI production index in December was 50.5, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. The manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 48.3, a 0.1 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month. Five industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 10 industries declined. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI employee index in December was 45.5, a 0.4 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service and construction sectors both increased by 0.4 percentage points. Eleven industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 3 industries declined. Pay attention to the decline in non - ferrous metals and农副食品 and the improvement in ferrous metals [25]. Price - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI ex - factory price index in December was 48.2, a 0.2 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. Seven industries saw their ex - factory prices improve, and 8 industries declined. In terms of profit, the profit trend in December increased by 0.4 percentage points, and the overall continued to converge. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing charge price index in December was 48.3, a 0.2 - percentage - point increase from the previous month. The service sector increased by 0.3 percentage points, and the construction sector decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Eight industries showed month - on - month improvement, and 7 industries declined. In terms of profit, the profit in December remained unchanged. The service sector decreased by 0.1 percentage points, and the construction sector increased by 0.5 percentage points. Pay attention to the improvement in non - ferrous metals and the decline in petroleum [34]. Inventory - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the manufacturing PMI finished - goods inventory in December remained flat at 47.9. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease. The manufacturing PMI raw - material inventory in November decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 47.5. Seven industries saw inventory increase, and 8 industries saw inventory decrease. - Non - Manufacturing: The 3 - month average of the non - manufacturing PMI inventory in December was 45.3, with no change from the previous month. The service sector's inventory remained unchanged, and the construction sector's inventory increased by 0.8 percentage points. Five industries saw inventory increase, and 10 industries saw inventory decrease. Pay attention to the destocking of non - metallic products and the increase in construction inventory [42]. Main Manufacturing Industry PMI Charts - The report provides data on the PMI of various manufacturing industries, including general equipment, special equipment, automobiles, computers, motors, pharmaceuticals,农副食品, textiles, non - ferrous metals, petroleum, chemicals, ferrous metals, non - metallic products, metal products, and chemical fiber and rubber products, showing values, month - on - month changes, three - year averages, and year - on - year changes [53][54][57][58][59][66][67][68].

Metal Market - Domestic base metals generally rose, with only lead and tin declining by 0.66% and 0.45% respectively. Nickel and aluminum both increased by over 2%, with nickel rising 2.44% to a new high of 135,570 yuan/ton, and aluminum up 2.25% to 23,030 yuan/ton, marking the highest since March 2022 [1] - In the external market, base metals mostly fell, with only London aluminum and lead rising by 0.4% and 0.2% respectively. Tin and nickel dropped over 1%, with tin down 1.67% and nickel down 1.47% [1] - Precious metals saw declines, with COMEX gold down 1.16% and silver down 8.66%. Domestic gold and silver also fell by 0.85% and 4.27% respectively [1] Macro Environment - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's manufacturing PMI for December was 50.1%, indicating a recovery in economic activity. The new orders index rose to 50.8%, and the production index increased to 51.7%, reflecting positive changes in the manufacturing sector [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a total of approximately 295 billion yuan for early-stage construction projects and central budget investments for 2026, aimed at stabilizing investment [6] - The People's Bank of China conducted a net injection of 502.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [7] - The USD/CNY exchange rate was reported at 7.0288, with the dollar index rising 0.09% to 98.31. The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes indicated a potential for future rate cuts if inflation decreases as expected [8] Oil Market - Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell slightly, with WTI down 0.1% and Brent down 0.11%. Analysts predict a nearly 20% decline in oil prices in 2025, with Brent potentially experiencing the longest annual decline in history due to oversupply [11] - OPEC+ is expected to pause production increases in the first quarter of 2026, with analysts forecasting that supply will exceed demand, leading to further price drops [11]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Overseas, the Q3 US GDP exceeded expectations with a 4.3% growth, and the job market showed resilience, dampening rate - cut expectations. Domestically, policies aim to expand domestic demand, but November economic data indicated weak domestic demand, still needing policy support. Attention should be paid to domestic PMI data and Trump's nominee for the next Fed chair [2]. - The breakthrough of the RMB against the US dollar at the 7.00 mark may end the low - volatility forex market. The RMB is likely to end the year stably, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of exchange - rate stabilization policies [5][6]. - Short - term stock indices are expected to be volatile and bullish, but continuous upward breakthroughs still need to be observed. Bonds are not pessimistic in the medium - term. The container shipping European line futures are expected to be volatile, with the near - term contract range - bound and the far - term contract under pressure [6][8][11]. - For precious metals, platinum and palladium are recommended to be held lightly during the holiday. Gold and silver are expected to be weak in the short - term and bullish in the long - term. Copper is recommended to be observed more and traded less before the holiday. Aluminum is expected to be bullish in the long - term, while alumina and cast aluminum alloy have their own characteristics [15][18][21]. - Zinc has limited upside space. Nickel - stainless steel is driven by supply reduction expectations and demand improvement, but it is recommended to reduce positions during the holiday. Tin has rebounded from oversold conditions and is expected to be volatile. Carbonate lithium has long - term value support and is recommended to be bought on dips. Industrial silicon and polysilicon prices are gradually rising, and long positions can be considered on dips [25][26][29]. - Lead is expected to be volatile. Steel products are expected to be range - bound, with iron ore oscillating, coking coal and coke facing uncertain supply, and ferrosilicon and ferromanganese being volatile and bullish in the short - term [34][36][41]. - Pulp and offset paper can be observed first, and low - buying strategies can be tried lightly. Crude oil is expected to be range - bound at a low level. LPG is supported in the near - term and pressured in the long - term. PTA - PX has a strong - expectation and weak - reality situation. MEG - bottle chips are under valuation pressure until macro - narrative is realized. Methanol can be bought at a low level [45][49][58]. - PP and PE are expected to be bottom - oscillating. Pure benzene - styrene is expected to be bullish and oscillating. Fuel oil has weak cracking, and low - sulfur fuel oil has stable cracking. Urea can be bought in the far - month contract. Soda ash, glass, and caustic soda are affected by supply and demand and market sentiment [63][66][73]. - Logs can be observed or a fine - grid strategy can be used. Propylene is expected to be range - bound at a low level, and attention should be paid to marginal changes [79][80]. - For agricultural products, pigs' long - term supply may be affected by policies, while short - term fundamentals prevail. Oilseeds are strong in the near - term and weak in the far - term. Oils are widely oscillating under supply pressure. Cotton may correct in the short - term and rise in the long - term. Sugar maintains a balance. Eggs are generally bearish. Apples are expected to be oscillating. Red dates are expected to be range - bound at a low level [84][85][90] Group 3: Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Financial Futures - **Market Information**: Central rural work conference focuses on agricultural technology; 2026 national subsidy plan is released; Fed meeting minutes show divided views on rate cuts; Trump may sue the current Fed chair and will announce the next nominee in January [1][4]. - **Core Logic**: Overseas, the US economy is strong, dampening rate - cut expectations. Domestically, policies aim to expand domestic demand, but domestic demand is weak, still needing policy support [2]. - **RMB Exchange Rate**: The RMB broke through the 7.00 mark, and it is expected to end the year stably. Attention should be paid to exchange - rate stabilization policies [5][6]. - **Stock Indices**: The stock indices were volatile and bullish last trading day. Policy signals are positive, but continuous upward breakthroughs still need to be observed [6][7]. - **Bonds**: The bond market was range - bound on Tuesday. The mid - term view on bonds is not pessimistic, and long positions can be held during the holiday [7][8]. - **Container Shipping European Line**: The futures market closed down yesterday. The market is concerned about the sustainability of price increases, and the near - term contract is range - bound while the far - term contract is under pressure [9][11]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals - **Platinum & Palladium**: Platinum rose and palladium oscillated last night. The long - term bullish foundation remains, but short - term price fluctuations may intensify. It is recommended to hold lightly during the holiday [14][15]. - **Gold & Silver**: Gold oscillated and silver rose. The short - term view is weak, and the long - term view is bullish. It is recommended to reduce long positions or stay out of the market during the holiday [16][18]. - **Copper**: Copper prices rose last night. Short - term adjustments do not change the long - term upward trend. It is recommended to observe more and trade less before the holiday [19][21]. - **Aluminum Industry Chain**: Aluminum is expected to be bullish in the long - term, alumina is expected to be range - bound, and cast aluminum alloy is expected to be bullish. Attention should be paid to the impact of related varieties [22][23]. - **Zinc**: Zinc prices were bullish last trading day. The upside space is limited, and it is expected to be range - bound at a high level in the short - term [25]. - **Nickel - Stainless Steel**: Nickel and stainless steel prices rose yesterday. The supply is expected to shrink in 2026, and demand is expected to improve. It is recommended to reduce positions during the holiday [25][26]. - **Tin**: Tin prices rebounded from oversold conditions last trading day. It is expected to be range - bound in the short - term [27]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The futures price rose yesterday. The long - term value is supported, and it is recommended to buy on dips [28][29]. - **Industrial Silicon & Polysilicon**: The prices of industrial silicon and polysilicon futures rose yesterday. The industrial silicon market is in a supply - demand weak state, and polysilicon prices are showing signs of warming. Long positions can be considered on dips [30][32]. - **Lead**: Lead prices oscillated narrowly last trading day. It is expected to be range - bound in the short - term [33][34]. Black Metals - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: Steel products oscillated yesterday. The fundamentals have few contradictions, and prices are expected to be range - bound [35][36]. - **Iron Ore**: Iron ore prices followed other metals up and down. The fundamentals are neutral, and prices are expected to be range - bound [37][38]. - **Coking Coal & Coke**: Coal and coke prices opened low and closed high on Tuesday. The supply and demand of coking coal and coke are facing uncertainties, and attention should be paid to the supply recovery in January [39][40]. - **Silicon Iron & Silicon Manganese**: Ferroalloys were bullish and oscillating yesterday. They are expected to be bullish and oscillating in the short - term, but the upside space may be limited [41][42]. Energy and Chemicals - **Pulp - Offset Paper**: Pulp futures rebounded yesterday, and offset paper futures rose. The market is still neutral, and low - buying strategies can be tried lightly [44][46]. - **Crude Oil**: Crude oil futures closed down yesterday. OPEC+ is expected to continue to suspend the production increase plan. Oil prices are expected to be range - bound at a low level [47][49]. - **LPG**: LPG prices rose yesterday. It is supported in the near - term and pressured in the long - term [50][51]. - **PTA - PX**: PX supply is expected to remain high, and PTA supply is uncertain. PTA processing fees are expected to rise, but the space is limited. PX is expected to be tight in the first half of 2026 [52][55]. - **MEG - Bottle Chips**: MEG supply is expected to increase, and demand is expected to weaken. It is under valuation pressure until macro - narrative is realized [56][58]. - **Methanol**: Methanol prices rose sharply. It is recommended to buy at a low level [59][60]. - **PP**: PP prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be range - bound, and attention should be paid to the scale of plant maintenance in January [61][63]. - **PE**: PE prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be bottom - oscillating, with supply pressure relieved and demand weakening [64][66]. - **Pure Benzene - Styrene**: Pure benzene and styrene prices rose yesterday. They are expected to be bullish and oscillating, but high - buying is not recommended [67][69]. - **Fuel Oil**: Fuel oil prices closed at 2473 yuan/ton yesterday. The supply is abundant, and the cracking is weak [70]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Low - sulfur fuel oil prices closed at 2977 yuan/ton yesterday. The supply is improving, and the cracking is stable [71][72]. - **Urea**: Urea prices closed at 1756 yesterday. It is recommended to buy in the far - month contract [72][73]. - **Soda Ash - Glass - Caustic Soda**: Soda ash, glass, and caustic soda prices rose yesterday. Soda ash is affected by new capacity and demand; glass is affected by cold - repair and inventory; caustic soda is affected by market sentiment and downstream demand [73][76]. - **Logs**: Log prices closed at 776 yesterday. It can be observed or a fine - grid strategy can be used [77][79]. - **Propylene**: Propylene prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be range - bound at a low level, and attention should be paid to marginal changes [80]. Agricultural Products - **Pigs**: Pig futures prices rose yesterday. The long - term supply may be affected by policies, while short - term fundamentals prevail [83][84]. - **Oilseeds**: The external market was weak, and the domestic near - month market was strong. It is recommended to try a 3 - 5 positive spread lightly [85][86]. - **Oils**: International oils are under supply pressure, and domestic oils are oscillating. Palm oil and rapeseed oil are relatively strong, and soybean oil is weak [87][88]. - **Cotton**: Cotton futures prices were mixed. The short - term may correct, and the long - term may rise. Attention should be paid to downstream orders and policy changes [89][90]. - **Sugar**: Sugar futures prices were mixed. The short - term upward pressure is increasing [91][93]. - **Eggs**: Egg futures prices fell yesterday. It is generally bearish in the long - term, and long positions can be held lightly for a rebound [94]. - **Apples**: Apple futures prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be oscillating, and long positions can be bought on dips [95][96]. - **Red Dates**: Red date futures prices are expected to be range - bound at a low level. Attention should be paid to downstream pre - holiday purchases [97][98].