Core Viewpoint - As of July 21, the total market financing balance reached 1.90 trillion yuan, reflecting an increase of 15.398 billion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a growing interest in margin trading [1]. Financing Balances - The financing balance for the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 959.609 billion yuan, up by 7.417 billion yuan; for the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, it was 938.876 billion yuan, increasing by 7.824 billion yuan; and for the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 6.081 billion yuan, rising by 158 million yuan [1]. Individual Stock Performance - On July 21, a total of 2,131 stocks received net financing purchases, with 646 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan. Notably, 33 stocks had net purchases over 100 million yuan [1]. - C Huaxin led with a net purchase of 504.835 million yuan, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang and Feilihua with net purchases of 453.477 million yuan and 387.185 million yuan, respectively [2]. Industry Analysis - The industries with the highest concentration of stocks receiving net purchases over 100 million yuan included non-bank financials, electronics, and power equipment, with 5, 5, and 3 stocks respectively [1]. - In terms of board distribution, 25 stocks were from the main board, 6 from the ChiNext board, and 2 from the Sci-Tech Innovation board [1]. Financing Balance to Market Value Ratio - The average ratio of financing balance to circulating market value for stocks with significant net purchases was 2.75%. The stock with the highest ratio was Dongfang Caifu, with a financing balance of 23.316 billion yuan, accounting for 7.47% of its market value [2]. - Other notable stocks with high financing balance ratios included C Huaxin (6.22%), Shenghe Resources (5.74%), and Zhongxing Communications (5.18%) [2].

Core Conclusions - The top five sectors for active fund accumulation in Q2 2025 are telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, non-bank financials, banking, and military industry, indicating a shift in investment logic towards these sectors due to overseas computing power and innovative drug trends [10][11] - The reduction in holdings is primarily seen in food and beverage and automotive sectors, with food and beverage representing core assets and automotive linked to anti-involution trends [10] Asset Allocation and Sector Distribution - The allocation for active equity funds in Q2 2025 shows a significant increase in midstream manufacturing to 41.86% (up 1.58 percentage points), while downstream consumption decreased to 34% (down 2.98 percentage points) [19] - The overall allocation for upstream raw materials is 9.29% (down 0.26 percentage points), financial and real estate sectors increased to 7.93% (up 1.67 percentage points), and support services remained stable at 6.8% (down 0.03 percentage points) [19] Upstream Raw Materials - The allocation in upstream raw materials shows a slight recovery, with non-ferrous metals at 4.65% (up 0.15 percentage points) and basic chemicals at 2.95% (unchanged), while coal and steel sectors saw declines [24] - The top three sectors with increased allocation are precious metals at 1.08% (up 0.11 percentage points), glass and fiberglass at 0.19% (up 0.11 percentage points), and energy metals at 0.32% (up 0.09 percentage points) [24] Midstream Manufacturing - Telecommunications saw a significant increase in allocation to 5.33% (up 2.39 percentage points), while defense and military industry reached 4.17% (up 0.99 percentage points) [28] - The electronics sector remains dominant at 18.67% (down 0.07 percentage points), with notable declines in machinery and power equipment sectors [28] Downstream Consumption - The pharmaceuticals sector increased to 10.91% (up 0.37 percentage points), while food and beverage decreased to 6.74% (down 2.08 percentage points) [33] - The automotive sector allocation is at 6.33% (down 1.49 percentage points), with significant declines in the white wine sector [33] Financial and Real Estate - The banking sector allocation increased to 4.88% (up 1.12 percentage points), while non-bank financials rose to 1.85% (up 0.76 percentage points) [3] - Real estate remains at a low allocation of 0.68% (down 0.19 percentage points), indicating a cautious approach towards this sector [3] Support Services - The allocation in support services is led by transportation at 1.97% (up 0.32 percentage points), while computer services saw a decline to 2.59% (down 0.53 percentage points) [3]

Group 1: Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index continued to rise, with the degree of inversion in the China-US interest rate differential deepening, and inflation expectations rebounding [1][13] - Offshore dollar liquidity has marginally eased, while the domestic interbank funding situation tightened initially before easing, with the yield curve steepening [1][19] Group 2: Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading activity has rebounded, with most industry trading heat above the 80th percentile, particularly in sectors like computers, light industry, textiles, pharmaceuticals, communications, and machinery [2][26] - Major indices' volatility has decreased, with most industry volatilities below the 40th historical percentile [2][31] Group 3: Institutional Research - High research activity was noted in sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, computers, communications, retail, and automotive [3][14] Group 4: Analyst Forecasts - Analysts have raised net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025/2026, with most sectors including non-ferrous metals, real estate, communications, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, machinery, building materials, light industry, electronics, transportation, electricity and utilities, retail, construction, steel, electric new energy, consumer services, and banking seeing upward revisions [3][4][19] - The proportion of stocks with upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025/2026 has increased across the A-share market [4][17] Group 5: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading activity has increased, with overall net selling of A-shares; the buy/sell ratio in sectors like non-ferrous metals, communications, and computers has risen [4][5] - Northbound funds primarily net bought sectors such as military, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, while net selling was observed in computers, electronics, and media [4][33] Group 6: Margin Financing Activity - Margin financing activity has continued to rise, reaching the highest point since March of this year, with net purchases mainly in sectors like computers, machinery, and electronics [5][12] - The proportion of margin financing in sectors such as steel, communications, and home appliances has increased [5][38] Group 7: Fund Activity - Active equity funds have increased their positions, particularly in TMT, home appliances, and oil and petrochemicals, while reducing positions in pharmaceuticals, retail, and agriculture [6][45] - New equity fund establishment has significantly increased, with both active and passive equity fund sizes rising [6][50]

最近A股市场热闹非凡，机器人概念、钢铁板块轮番表演，12只个股获得融资客超亿元净买入。北方稀土3.8亿的净买入额高居榜首，新易盛、海南华铁紧 随其后。电子和有色金属板块成为资金宠儿，机构调研也密集指向这些领域。 | | | 7月18日融资净买入居前个股 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 简称 | 融资净买入 | 最新融资余额 | 占流通市 值比例 | 行业 | | | | (亿元) | (亿元) | | | | | | | | (%) | | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 3.80 | 41.44 | 3.48 | 有色金属 | | 300502 | 新易盛 | 2.81 | 57.64 | 3.57 | 通信 | | 603300 | 海南华铁 | 1.63 | 18.57 | 7.92 | 非银金融 | | 603228 | 景旺电子 | 1.45 | 8.23 | 1.67 | 电子 | | 002463 | 沪电股份 | 1.28 | 16.42 | 1.64 | 电子 | | 600316 | 洪都航空 | 1.27 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among several companies, indicating a concentration of shares and potential investment opportunities in those stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - A total of 94 companies reported their latest shareholder account numbers as of July 20, with 16 companies experiencing a continuous decline for more than three periods, and one company, Guoyuan Securities, seeing a decrease for 12 consecutive periods, with a cumulative decline of 7.13% [1]. - Zhongyuan Media has also seen a significant decline, with its shareholder accounts dropping for 9 consecutive periods, resulting in a cumulative decline of 29.57% [1]. - Other companies with notable declines in shareholder accounts include Jiemai Technology, Xiyu Co., and Shuangxiang Co. [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with decreasing shareholder accounts, 14 have seen their stock prices rise, while only 2 have experienced declines, with Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong showing high cumulative gains of 25.89%, 22.93%, and 16.93%, respectively [2]. - 12 of these companies outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with excess returns of 19.55%, 16.98%, and 11.76% for Xiyu Co., Haixia Co., and Jiangsu Shentong, respectively [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest - In the past month, 5 companies with decreasing shareholder accounts have been subject to institutional research, with Jiangsu Shentong and Haixia Co. being the most frequently researched, each receiving 3 inquiries [2]. - The number of institutions involved in research is highest for Jiangsu Shentong (23 institutions), followed by Haixia Co. (8 institutions) and AVIC High-Tech (4 institutions) [2]. Group 4: Performance Forecasts - One company has released its half-year performance report, with Guoyuan Securities showing a net profit increase of 40.44% [3]. - Seven companies have issued performance forecasts, with five expecting profit increases and one predicting a profit [3]. - Hai De Control is projected to have the highest median net profit increase of 251.80%, with an expected net profit of 12.50 million [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current domestic and overseas factors are generally favorable. The "anti - involution" policy and the upcoming Politburo meeting at the end of the month have raised policy expectations. Overseas, the postponement of reciprocal tariffs to August and the TACO transaction have boosted market sentiment, while the recent expectation of a Fed rate cut has increased. A - share liquidity and market sentiment are strong, and stock index futures are expected to run strongly. The strategy is mainly to adjust and go long [3]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Main Views and Strategy Overview - **Influence Factors and Their Driving Forces**: Economic and corporate earnings are neutral; macro - policies are neutral; overseas factors are slightly positive; liquidity is slightly positive [3]. - **Investment View and Strategy**: Adjust and go long. The trading strategy is to adjust and go long unilaterally, and pay attention to domestic policies and overseas geopolitical factors [3]. 3.2 Stock Index Market Review - **Index Performance**: Last week, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 rose 1.09% to 4058.5; the Shanghai Composite 50 rose 0.28% to 2764.5; the CSI 500 rose 1.2% to 6099.6; the CSI 1000 rose 1.41% to 6552.1 [5]. - **Industry Index Performance**: In the Shenwan Primary Industry Index, communication (7.6%), pharmaceutical biology (4%), automobiles (3.3%), machinery and equipment (2.9%), and national defense and military industry (2.3%) led the gains last week, while media (- 2.2%), real estate (- 2.2%), public utilities (- 1.4%), non - bank finance (- 1.2%), and banks (- 1%) led the losses [8]. - **Futures Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume and open interest of various stock index futures showed different changes. For example, the trading volume of CSI 1000 futures decreased by 3.10%, and the open interest decreased by 11.96% [12]. - **Cross - Variety Spread Performance**: The spread between the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 and the Shanghai Composite 50, and the spread between the CSI 1000 and the CSI 500 are at certain historical percentile levels [17]. 3.3 Stock Index Influence Factors - Liquidity - **Funds and Macro - liquidity**: The central bank conducted 17268 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations this week, achieving a net investment of 12011 billion yuan. Next week, 17268 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will expire, and 2000 billion yuan of MLF will expire on July 25 [23]. - **Market Liquidity Indicators**: As of July 17, the margin trading balance of A - shares was 18984.4 billion yuan, an increase of 285.5 billion yuan from the previous week. The average daily trading volume of A - shares last week increased by 323.8 billion yuan compared with the previous week [29]. 3.4 Stock Index Influence Factors - Economic Fundamentals and Corporate Earnings - **Macroeconomic Indicators**: In the first half of 2025, China's GDP totaled 660536 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.3%. In June, industrial added value increased by 6.8% year - on - year, but the demand side weakened. Real estate investment from January to June further declined to - 11.2%, and the growth rate of consumption in June was 4.8%, lower than last month's 6.4% [3]. - **Corporate Earnings Indicators**: The report provides the year - on - year growth rate of net profit attributable to the parent and ROE of major broad - based indexes and Shenwan primary industry indexes [44][45]. 3.5 Stock Index Influence Factors - Policy Driving - **Recent Macro - policy Trends**: A series of important meetings and policies have been introduced, including the central government's emphasis on promoting the construction of a unified national market, urban work deployment, and a series of monetary and fiscal policies [49][50][51]. 3.6 Stock Index Influence Factors - Overseas Factors - **US Economic Data**: In June, the US manufacturing PMI was 49%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous value; the non - manufacturing PMI was 50.8%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous value. The unemployment rate was 4.1%, and the number of new non - farm jobs was 147,000 [57]. - **Trump Team's Actions**: Trump's team has announced a series of tariff policies, which have a significant impact on international trade and the global economic situation [65][67][69]. 3.7 Stock Index Influence Factors - Valuation - **Index Valuation Levels**: As of July 18, 2025, the rolling price - to - earnings ratios of the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were 13.4 times, 11.4 times, 29.8 times, and 40.2 times respectively, and were at the 71.4%, 81.4%, 70.6%, and 60.8% percentile levels in the past ten years [72].

中信证券：出海可能是新的方向 A股继港股后也逐步转为增量市场，最重要的是不断寻找新的存在预期差且未来能够形成资金共识的板 块，半年报季后的出海可能是新的方向。从半年报预告来看，出海依旧是强劲的业绩超预期线索之一。从 过去几年的经验来看，出海对企业ROE和利润率的抬升作用明显，出海本身也是积极"反内卷"并提高利润 率的一种形式；从未来的趋势来看，一旦讲通全球收入敞口逻辑，会带来股票端配置的稳定性和估值溢 价，这是新兴市场跨入成熟市场的必经之路。 今年出海作为业绩最好的线索之一，却因为贸易战导致行情剧烈波动且一直呈现零散的自下而上驱动状 态，随着8月后贸易战预期逐步稳定、半年报季结束，出海可能会再次形成板块性行情。配置上，从当下 到半年报季结束，依然建议围绕恒科、有色、通信、创新药、军工和游戏轮动，当下更偏恒生科技。 国泰海通：科技主题仍是主线 6月以来主题交易热度持续回升，热点主题结构分化。海外云厂商业绩指引乐观叠加英伟达CEO黄仁勋来 华的积极表态，维持推升AI产业相关主题热度且有显著资金净流入，近期活跃的创新药主题再度走 强；"反内卷"政策催化密集，但市场强分歧下股价波动加剧，稳定币与跨境支付主题有所回调。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF (513750) has reached a record high in both scale and shares, indicating strong investor interest and market activity [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of July 18, 2025, the Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF has seen a net value increase of 75.44% over the past year, ranking 59th out of 2917 index stock funds, placing it in the top 2.02% [2]. - The ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 31.47% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being 4 months and a total increase of 38.25% during that period [2]. - The ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized return of 21.19% over the last three months [2]. Group 2: Market Activity - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF reached a scale of 7.985 billion yuan, marking a 912.04% increase year-to-date, with the latest share count at 5.072 billion [1]. - The ETF experienced a turnover rate of 13.01% with a trading volume of 1.054 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1]. - Over the past 13 days, the ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a peak single-day inflow of 820 million yuan, totaling 3.096 billion yuan in net inflows [1]. Group 3: Index Composition - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Financial Theme Index (931024) includes up to 50 listed companies, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 77.92% of the index [3]. - The top three holdings—China Ping An, AIA Group, and Hong Kong Exchanges—each represent over 14% of the index [3]. - Recent regulatory policies in the insurance sector have been favorable, aimed at mitigating risks associated with interest rate spreads and enhancing the operational environment for insurance companies [3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - Analysts remain optimistic about investment opportunities in the non-bank sector, driven by macroeconomic stability and liquidity release from monetary policy adjustments [4]. - New regulations in the securities industry are expected to boost revenue growth for brokerage firms, while long-term investment policies for insurance companies may improve valuation and returns [4]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF is the first and only ETF tracking the non-bank index, providing unique investment access without QDII quota restrictions [4].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69% to close at 3534.48 points, with a weekly high of 3536.01 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.04% to 10913.84 points, reaching a high of 10946.4 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 3.17%, closing at 2277.15 points, with a peak of 2296.91 points [1] - In the global market, the Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 1.51%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.07% and the S&P 500 rose by 0.59% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.84% and the Nikkei 225 Index increased by 0.63% [1] New Stock Issuance - Two new stocks were issued last week: Shanda Electric Power (301609.SZ) and Jiyuan Group (603262.SH), both on July 14, 2025 [2] Margin Trading - The total margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 18964.13 billion yuan, with a financing balance of 18832.44 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 131.68 billion yuan [3] - The margin trading balance increased by 265.22 billion yuan compared to the previous week [3] - The Shanghai market's margin trading balance was 9613.62 billion yuan, up by 143.67 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen market's balance was 9350.51 billion yuan, increasing by 121.55 billion yuan [3] - A total of 3442 stocks had margin buying, with 89 stocks exceeding 1 billion yuan in buying amount, led by Zhongji Xuchuang (88.2 billion yuan), Xinyi Sheng (80.46 billion yuan), and Dongfang Caifu (62.35 billion yuan) [3][4] Fund Issuance - Sixteen new funds were issued last week, including various types such as mixed funds, bond funds, and money market funds [5] Share Buybacks - Seventeen companies announced share buybacks last week, with the highest amounts being TCL (2.5 billion yuan), Hangyang Co. (60.36 million yuan), and Yanshan Technology (59.99 million yuan) [7] - The sectors with the highest buyback amounts were electronics, basic chemicals, and computers [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The conference call discusses the non-bank financial sector in China, focusing on the impact of Real World Assets (RWA) and the performance of various financial institutions, particularly insurance companies and securities firms. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **RWA Business Growth**: The RWA business is expected to become a significant growth point for non-bank institutions, with major Chinese securities firms actively pursuing virtual asset trading licenses and tokenized securities issuance, indicating a shift in valuation dynamics for these firms [2][1]. 2. **Incremental Capital Sources**: Large state-owned insurance companies will allocate 30% of their new premiums to A-shares starting in 2025, alongside the expansion of private equity stock investment funds, which will inject significant capital into the market in the second half of the year [3][1]. 3. **Current State of Non-Bank Sector**: The non-bank sector is currently in a low point but has substantial potential for reallocation, with many public funds under-allocated to this sector. Key firms like Ping An and Taikang are highlighted as being undervalued [4][1][5]. 4. **Equity Financing in Securities Firms**: Equity financing remains a case-by-case basis, with high participation from major shareholders. Policy changes are slightly easing restrictions on private placements, but the market impact is limited due to the high involvement of controlling shareholders [6][1]. 5. **Performance of Non-Bank Sector**: Over 60% of listed securities firms reported over 40% growth in performance for the first half of 2025, with some firms like Huaxi Securities and Guolian Minsheng showing exceptional growth rates [8][9]. 6. **RWA On-Chain Development**: The integration of RWA with blockchain technology is seen as a crucial catalyst for growth, with companies like China Taiping Asset Management collaborating to enhance asset tokenization and improve valuation potential [11][1]. 7. **Market Performance and Future Expectations**: The non-bank financial sector is expected to perform strongly, driven by RWA business developments and favorable market conditions, with a recommendation to focus on leading firms in the Hong Kong market [10][1]. 8. **Valuation of China Taiping**: China Taiping is currently undervalued, with a PEB ratio around 0.6 and a significant drop in the cost of liabilities, indicating potential for future growth [18][1]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **2DB Market Potential**: The 2DB market is projected to have significant growth potential, with compliance and asset transparency being key focus areas [12][1]. 2. **The Pack's Initial Strategy**: The Pack's investment strategy includes various funds and has established partnerships with significant financial institutions, indicating a robust ecosystem for RWA issuance and distribution [13][1]. 3. **Hong Kong Virtual Asset Market**: Hong Kong is actively developing its virtual asset market, with stablecoins playing a crucial role in enhancing market infrastructure [14][1]. 4. **Global Tokenization Trends**: The global market for tokenization of non-liquid assets is expected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, with Blackrock's BITO serving as a case study for successful implementation [15][1]. 5. **Insurance Product Performance**: Dividend insurance products are performing well, positively impacting the reduction of rigid liability costs for insurance companies [20][1]. 6. **Recommendations for Insurance Stocks**: The recommended order for insurance stocks includes Xinhua Insurance and China Life, with a focus on companies with strong ties to virtual assets [22][1]. 7. **Future Logic for Non-Bank Sector Growth**: The future growth of the non-bank sector is expected to be driven by improvements in asset quality and increased allocations to equities, particularly from insurance premiums [23][1].