Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company has demonstrated a full industry chain advantage, achieving a historical high in performance [2] - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.81% [5][13] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 reached 116.392 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.12% [13] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the alumina segment generated revenue of 33.243 billion yuan, an increase of 1.789 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 4.707 billion yuan, up 9.92% year-on-year [5][15] - The primary aluminum segment achieved revenue of 75.946 billion yuan, an increase of 7.740 billion yuan year-on-year, with a profit of 8.105 billion yuan, up 5.10% year-on-year [5][15] - The company’s electrolytic aluminum production increased by 9.4% year-on-year to 3.97 million tons in H1 2025 [14] Resource Assurance and Cost Control - The company has enhanced its resource assurance capabilities, with the self-sufficiency rate of alumina ore increasing by 6 percentage points compared to the beginning of the year, reaching a five-year high [16] - The company maintains cost control capabilities, with both alumina and electrolytic aluminum costs below the industry average [14] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to benefit from rising aluminum prices, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 14.021 billion, 15.382 billion, and 16.144 billion yuan respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.07%, 9.70%, and 4.96% [17] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 9.6 for 2025, 8.7 for 2026, and 8.3 for 2027 [17]

Group 1 - As of August 31, 31 private equity firms held a total of 46.99 billion shares in 175 A-share companies, with a combined market value of 658.29 billion yuan [1][25] - Compared to the end of Q1, the number of private equity firms increased by 5, and the number of shares held rose by 4.1 billion, with a market value increase of 158.07 billion yuan [1] - The sectors attracting significant investment include technology, particularly AI, as well as cyclical stocks and pharmaceuticals, indicating a favorable investment environment [1] Group 2 - The computer industry is the only sector with a total holding value exceeding 100 billion yuan, while other sectors like non-ferrous metals, electronics, and food and beverage also show significant holdings [12][13] - Among the 24 companies with a market value exceeding 5 billion yuan, 12 maintained their holdings, 6 saw increases, 4 were reduced, and 2 were newly added [15] - The top private equity firm by the number of companies held is Gao Yi Asset, with 9 companies, and its largest holding, Hikvision, was significantly reduced by 12 million shares [16] Group 3 - 31 companies have seen their stock prices rise over 30% since the end of Q2, with 14 of those rising over 50% [23] - The leading stock in terms of growth is Kaipu Cloud, which has increased nearly 160% following an announcement of a significant acquisition [23] - The technology growth sector is predominant among the companies with significant stock price increases, particularly in semiconductors and automotive components [23]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial metals sector in A-share listed companies has shown mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with many companies experiencing growth in revenue and profit, while others faced declines in both metrics [1][2]. Performance Analysis - Among the 58 selected industrial metal companies, half achieved double growth in performance, including notable companies like Zijin Mining and Tianshan Aluminum [1][2]. - Three companies, including Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and Zhongfu Industrial, reported profit growth despite no revenue increase [1][2]. - Sixteen companies, such as Ningbo Fubon and Yongmaotai, saw revenue growth but no profit increase [1][2][3]. - Three companies, including Minfa Aluminum, Xinbo Co., and Jinchong Co., experienced declines in both revenue and profit [2][5]. - Seven companies, including Wanshun New Materials and Hongchuang Holdings, reported losses [1][5]. Companies with Revenue Growth but No Profit Increase - Companies that reported revenue growth without profit increase include Ningbo Fubon, Yongmaotai, and several others, with varying degrees of revenue growth and profit decline [3][4]. Companies with Declining Performance - Minfa Aluminum reported revenue of 775 million yuan, down 24.89%, and a net profit of 3 million yuan, down 81.13% [2][5]. - Xinbo Co. had revenue of 3.996 billion yuan, down 4.11%, and a net profit of 37 million yuan, down 75.74% [2][5]. - Jinchong Co. reported revenue of 501 million yuan, down 4.98%, and a net profit of 24 million yuan, down 51.2% [2][5]. Companies Reporting Losses - Wanshun New Materials reported revenue of 2.692 billion yuan, down 10.11%, with a net loss of 53 million yuan [6]. - Hongchuang Holdings had revenue of 1.448 billion yuan, down 13.82%, with a net loss of 118 million yuan [6]. - Yian Technology reported revenue of 722 million yuan, down 6.95%, with a net loss of 19 million yuan [6]. - Baiyin Nonferrous Metals reported revenue of 4.4559 billion yuan, down 15.28%, with a net loss of 217 million yuan [6]. - Luoping Zinc Electric reported revenue of 521 million yuan, down 25.97%, with a net loss of 92 million yuan [6]. Notable Declines - Luoping Zinc Electric experienced the largest decline in net profit, with a drop of 3964% due to various operational challenges, including raw material supply risks and regulatory penalties [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [7] Core Insights - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown strong performance, with the index rising by 8.59% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index and ranking 5th among 31 sectors [2][14] - The price of precious metals has been supported by financial attributes due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which has led to a collective rise in metals such as cobalt, copper, and rare earths [4][5] - The report emphasizes the potential for continued strength in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly in precious and industrial metals [5] Summary by Sections Market Review (2025.8.18-2025.8.29) - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 8.59%, with small metals leading the rise at 23.81%, followed by metal new materials (7.69%), precious metals (6.76%), industrial metals (5.71%), and energy metals (4.41%) [2][14] Precious Metals - As of August 29, COMEX gold closed at $3,516 per ounce, up 3.97% over two weeks and 31.63% year-to-date; COMEX silver closed at $40.75 per ounce, up 7.18% over two weeks and 35.88% year-to-date [21][22] - The report notes that geopolitical uncertainties and ongoing central bank purchases are expected to support gold prices [23] Industrial Metals - LME copper closed at $9,805 per ton, up 1.91% over two weeks and 12.89% year-to-date; domestic copper averaged 79,310 yuan per ton, up 0.37% over two weeks and 8.20% year-to-date [29] - The report highlights strong demand for copper driven by global economic recovery and green energy investments [29] Small Metals - Black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) price reached 251,000 yuan per ton, up 24.26% over two weeks and 75.52% year-to-date; LME tin price was $34,950 per ton, up 3.99% over two weeks and 22.80% year-to-date [36] - The report indicates that supply-demand dynamics are tightening, particularly for tungsten and tin [37] Rare Earths - The China Rare Earth Price Index was 225.11, up 6.39% over two weeks and 37.44% year-to-date; praseodymium-neodymium oxide closed at 597,500 yuan per ton, up 10.96% over two weeks and 48.45% year-to-date [48] - The report discusses the impact of new regulations on rare earth mining and processing, which are expected to tighten supply [65] Energy Metals - As of August 29, the average price of electrolytic cobalt was 267,000 yuan per ton, up 1.33% over two weeks and 86.71% year-to-date; sulfuric acid cobalt (≥20.5%) averaged 53,100 yuan per ton, up 2.12% over two weeks and 94.51% year-to-date [55] - The report notes strong demand for cobalt driven by battery production [55] Major Events - The report highlights the implementation of new regulations for rare earth mining and processing, which aim to optimize supply-side management and include imported minerals in total quantity control [65]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high but closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3820.98 points, down 0.96%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12474.44 points, down 0.63% [1] - The ChiNext Index remained flat at 2872.12 points [1] Sector Performance Top Performing Sectors - The gaming sector increased by 1.42%, with a total trading volume of 940.11 million hands and a net inflow of 173.66 billion [2] - The film and television sector rose by 1.02%, with a trading volume of 628.13 million hands and a net outflow of 1.36 billion [2] - The electronic chemicals sector saw a gain of 0.89%, with a trading volume of 775.46 million hands and a net inflow of 8.19 billion [2] Underperforming Sectors - The military equipment sector declined by 5.12%, with a trading volume of 1471.68 million hands and a net outflow of 58.26 billion [2] - The military electronics sector fell by 3.59%, with a trading volume of 788.21 million hands and a net outflow of 21.09 billion [2] - The small metals sector decreased by 3.15%, with a trading volume of 1032.60 million hands and a net outflow of 11.76 billion [2]

Company Overview - Ningbo Jintian Copper Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. is located in Jiangbei District, Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, established on June 20, 1992, and listed on April 22, 2020 [2] - The company's main business involves non-ferrous metal processing, with primary products including copper products and rare earth permanent magnet materials [2] - The revenue composition of the main business includes: copper wire (48.35%), copper and copper alloy products (41.61%), other (9.00%), and rare earth permanent magnet products (1.04%) [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 59.294 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.46%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 373 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 203.86% [2] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 930 million yuan in dividends, with 465 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 3, the stock price of Jintian shares was 11.54 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 19.948 billion yuan [1] - The stock has increased by 99.24% year-to-date, but has decreased by 8.41% in the last five trading days [1] - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard six times this year, with the most recent appearance on August 22, where it recorded a net buy of -25.6827 million yuan [1] Shareholder Information - As of August 20, the number of shareholders of Jintian shares was 211,600, an increase of 171.25% from the previous period [2] - The average circulating shares per person decreased by 57.72% to 8,052 shares [2] - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 31.7357 million shares, an increase of 20.8655 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5][3][17] Core Views - The company is benefiting from increased production and rising precious metal prices, leading to a significant reduction in main mine costs [1][3] - In H1 2025, the company's revenue reached $2.82 billion, a year-on-year increase of 46.9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders soared by 1511% to $340 million [1][8] - The Las Bambas copper mine has been a key contributor to profit growth, with its C1 cost dropping to $1.07 per pound (equivalent to $2,359 per ton), the lowest in recent years [1][8] Financial Performance - The company expects copper production to increase by over 50% within the next five years, with annual copper output projected to reach 610,000 tons by 2028 [2][11] - The report forecasts net profits of $732 million, $927 million, and $1.019 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 352%, 26.6%, and 9.9% [3][17] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $0.06, $0.08, and $0.08 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3][17] Production and Cost Analysis - In H1 2025, the Las Bambas copper mine produced 211,000 tons of copper, along with by-products including 43,000 ounces of gold and 2.44 million ounces of silver [2][9] - Operating costs per ton of copper (excluding depreciation and interest) decreased by $1,436 year-on-year to $3,697 per ton in H1 2025 [2][9] - The report anticipates further cost reductions in the second half of 2025 due to rising precious metal prices [1][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianshan Aluminum is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][17]. Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 met expectations, with revenue of 15.328 billion yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.084 billion yuan, up 0.5% year-on-year. The increase in revenue was primarily driven by strong sales of electrolytic aluminum and alumina, although rising bauxite costs limited profit growth [1][2]. - The company is progressing well with its 200,000-ton electrolytic aluminum expansion project, which is expected to fully release capacity in 2026, resulting in a production increase of 21% [4]. - The report anticipates a favorable supply-demand situation for electrolytic aluminum, with potential cost reductions due to the company's integrated layout. The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 4.61 billion, 5.97 billion, and 7.14 billion yuan, respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the electrolytic aluminum production was 585,400 tons, stable year-on-year, with external sales up approximately 2%. The average selling price for electrolytic aluminum was about 20,250 yuan per ton, an increase of 2.8% year-on-year, while production costs rose by about 2% [2]. - Alumina production reached 1.1999 million tons, up 9.76% year-on-year, with external sales increasing by about 7%. The average selling price for alumina was approximately 3,700 yuan per ton, up 6% year-on-year, but production costs increased by 18% due to rising bauxite procurement costs [2]. - The company reported a financial expense of 250 million yuan, down 32.6% year-on-year, mainly due to a decrease in interest expenses from lower interest-bearing liabilities [3]. Expansion Projects - The company announced plans to upgrade 1.4 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity with a focus on green and low-carbon efficiency, with the 200,000-ton surplus capacity project expected to start construction soon. The first batch of aluminum ingots is anticipated to be produced by December 2025 [4]. Future Projections - The report adjusts the price assumptions for aluminum and alumina, projecting net profits of 4.61 billion, 5.97 billion, and 7.14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.6, 8.2, and 6.9 [4][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.574 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 707 million yuan, an increase of 59.5% year-on-year [1] - The significant improvement in Q2 profitability is attributed to the decline in alumina prices and lower electricity costs, with a net profit of 477 million yuan in Q2, representing a 107.2% increase quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company has completed the acquisition of the remaining 24% stake in Zhongfu Aluminum, increasing its electrolytic aluminum equity capacity from approximately 630,000 tons to 750,000 tons [3] - A substantial employee stock ownership plan has been launched, raising up to 1.25 billion yuan, and a high dividend plan has been announced, aiming for dividends of no less than 60% of the distributable profits for the next three years [4] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, with projected profits of 2.54 billion yuan and 2.87 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027 respectively [4] - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 18.79 billion yuan in 2023 to 24.54 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.5% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.29 yuan in 2023 to 0.71 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [5] Market and Price Outlook - The report anticipates that aluminum prices will have upward potential due to improving macroeconomic sentiment and seasonal demand [4] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 10.0x for 2025, 8.1x for 2026, and 7.2x for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation [4]

Group 1: Industry Perspective on Institutional Research - The overall number of institutional research engagements in the A-share market has shown a rebound, although it remains below the levels of 2024, indicating a recovery in research interest [2][14]. - In the past week, the top sectors by the number of institutional engagements were pharmaceuticals, machinery, electronics, power equipment, and basic chemicals, with notable increases in attention for machinery, pharmaceuticals, automobiles, computers, and electronics [3][21]. - For August, the total number of institutional engagements in the A-share market was 1,509, which is lower than the 2,050 engagements in the same month of 2024, reflecting a generally low level of engagement for the year [22][24]. Group 2: Individual Company Focus - Yunnan Copper, Aidi Te, and Meiyingsen were among the companies that received significant market attention, with Yunnan Copper having 12 engagements in the past week [30][31]. - Aidi Te has been frequently researched, with three engagements last week, focusing on its overseas strategy and positive outlook for future growth, reporting a 34% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue for the first half of 2025 [34][34]. - Oriental Tantalum's mid-year performance showed steady growth, prompting plans to expand production capacity to meet market demand, with two engagements last week [4][34].