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国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属-20260226
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-26 02:05
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold is expected to move upward in an oscillatory manner [2][4] - Attention should be paid to the post - holiday gap - up in silver [2][4] - The sentiment in the copper market has warmed up, and prices are expected to rise [2][9] - An increase in lead inventory restricts price recovery [2][12] - Tin is expected to be slightly stronger in an oscillatory pattern [2][14] - The platinum market may be boosted by news, with positive sentiment [2][21] - Palladium is expected to follow the upward trend [2][21] - Speculative sentiment still exists in Shanghai nickel futures, and continuous attention should be paid to nickel ore contradictions [2][25] - For stainless steel, cost support has shifted upward, but inventory accumulation in the off - season restricts price elasticity [2][25] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs 3.1 Gold - **Price Data**: Yesterday, the closing price of Shanghai Gold 2602 was 1151.06, up 0.05%, and the night - session closing price was 1153.90, up 0.65%. The closing price of Comex Gold 2602 was 5183.70, up 0.45%. The spot price of London Gold was 5164.31, up 0.63% [4] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of Shanghai Gold 2602 was 198,537, an increase of 71,634 from the previous day, and the position was 155,075, a decrease of 2,336 [4] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Gold was 105,072 kilograms, with no change from the previous day. The inventory of Comex Gold (in troy ounces, the day before) was 33,701,164, a decrease of 73,343 [4] - **Spread Data**: The spread between Gold T + D and AU2602 was - 5.99, with no change from the previous day. The cost of the inter - period arbitrage of buying December Shanghai Gold and selling June Shanghai Gold decreased by 0.87 to 4.77 [4] 3.2 Silver - **Price Data**: Yesterday, the closing price of Shanghai Silver 2602 was 23029, up 3.46%, and the night - session closing price was 23365.00, up 4.00%. The closing price of Comex Silver 2602 was 89.860, up 2.43%. The spot price of London Silver was 89.221, up 2.45% [4] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of Shanghai Silver 2602 was 413,159, an increase of 202,427 from the previous day, and the position was 182,667, an increase of 7,570 [4] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Silver was 355,830 kilograms, an increase of 5951 from the previous day. The inventory of Comex Silver (in troy ounces, the day before) was 364,000,164, a decrease of 2,969 [4] - **Spread Data**: The spread between Silver T + D and AG2602 was 841, a decrease of 175 from the previous day. The cost of the inter - period arbitrage of buying December Shanghai Silver and selling June Shanghai Silver decreased by 11.3 to 73.41 [4] 3.3 Copper - **Price Data**: Yesterday, the closing price of the main Shanghai Copper contract was 102,890, up 1.36%, and the night - session closing price was 103040, up 0.15%. The closing price of LME Copper 3M was 13,350, up 1.17% [9] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of the Shanghai Copper index was 291,554, an increase of 93,583 from the previous day, and the position was 556,155, a decrease of 7,927. The trading volume of LME Copper 3M was 18,795, a decrease of 6,860, and the position was 321,000, an increase of 4,315 [9] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Copper was 287,806, an increase of 10,717 from the previous day. The inventory of LME Copper was 249,650, an increase of 6,475, and the注销仓单 ratio was 5.02%, an increase of 0.52% [9] - **Spread Data**: The LME Copper cash - to - 3M spread was - 85.04, a decrease of 1.44 from the previous day. The spread between the spot and the near - month futures contract was - 180, a decrease of 430 [9] - **News**: In December 2025, the global refined copper production was 2.2506 million tons, with consumption of 2.1526 million tons, resulting in a supply surplus of 98,000 tons. Uganda plans to connect a new railway to Tanzania's railway, which will open a new export channel for minerals such as copper. Hudbay Minerals has received approval to expand its Copper Mountain mine [9][11] 3.4 Lead - **Price Data**: The closing price of the main Shanghai Lead contract was 16735, up 0.39%. The closing price of LME Lead 3M was 1959.5, up 0.38% [12] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of the main Shanghai Lead contract was 67705, an increase of 12420 from the previous day. The trading volume of LME Lead was 6359, an increase of 3009. The position of the main Shanghai Lead contract was 71996, an increase of 2284, and the position of LME Lead was 173292, an increase of 3619 [12] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Lead futures was 59323 tons, an increase of 946 from the previous day. The inventory of LME Lead was 286300 tons, a decrease of 25 [12] - **News**: Investors bet that NVIDIA's strong performance will reignite the enthusiasm for AI trading, and Shanghai issued the "Shanghai Seven" housing policies [12] 3.5 Tin - **Price Data**: Yesterday, the closing price of the main Shanghai Tin contract was 416,160, up 7.62%, and the night - session closing price was 423,990, up 5.77%. The closing price of LME Tin 3M was 53,915, up 7.19% [15] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of the main Shanghai Tin contract was 173,225, an increase of 99,126 from the previous day, and the position was 18,346, a decrease of 2,692. The trading volume of LME Tin 3M was 884, an increase of 160, and the position was 21,849, an increase of 113 [15] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Tin was 11,738, a decrease of 43 from the previous day. The inventory of LME Tin was 7,680, an increase of 25, and the注销仓单 ratio was 6.57%, a decrease of 0.38% [15] - **Spread Data**: The spread between SMM 1 tin ingot and the main futures contract was 19,380, an increase of 26,980 from the previous day [15] - **News**: Xi Jinping met with German Chancellor Merz, Zimbabwe banned the export of all raw ores and lithium concentrates, and the G20 finance and central bank deputies' meeting was held [15][16][18] 3.6 Platinum and Palladium - **Price Data**: The closing price of Platinum Futures 2606 was 586.00, up 7.54%. The closing price of Palladium Futures 2606 was 457.95, up 6.49% [21] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of Shanghai Platinum was 11,498 kilograms, an increase of 5,375 from the previous day, and the position was 26,569, an increase of 802. The trading volume of NYMEX Palladium was 18,811 kilograms, a decrease of 2,383, and the position was 42,276, an increase of 29,007 [21] - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of Shanghai Platinum was 1 kilogram (no change), and the inventory of NYMEX Platinum (in troy ounces, the day before) was 578,195, with no change [21] - **Spread Data**: The spread between PT9995 and PT2606 was - 1.98, an increase of 3.79 from the previous day. The cost of the inter - period arbitrage of buying Shanghai Platinum 2606 and selling 2610 increased by 0.42 to 7.21 [21] - **News**: CME Group suspended metal and natural gas futures and options trading due to a "technical problem", and NVIDIA's Q4 earnings were impressive [23][24] 3.7 Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price Data**: The closing price of the main Shanghai Nickel contract was 141,250, and the closing price of the main Stainless Steel contract was 14,245 [25] - **Trading Volume and Position Data**: The trading volume of the main Shanghai Nickel contract was 221,614, and the trading volume of the main Stainless Steel contract was 173,978 [25] - **Industrial Chain Data**: The price of 8 - 12% high - nickel pig iron (ex - factory price) was 1,070. The price of 304/2B coil - rough edge (Wuxi) was 14,300 [25] - **News**: The Indonesian government has suspended the issuance of new smelting licenses, the Indonesian nickel ore benchmark price formula will be revised, and there were various incidents in Indonesian nickel mines and related industries [25][26][27]
基本金属全线上涨,乐观需求预期提振期铜触及两周高点【2月25日LME收盘】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 00:45
2月25日(周三),伦敦金属交易所(LME)基本金属周三全线飘红,其中伦铜盘中触及两周高点,因 为在美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模加征关税违法后,市场情绪被经济增长与需求乐观预期主导。 伦敦时间2月25日17:00(北京时间2月26日01:00),LME三个月期铜上涨156美元,或1.18%,收报每吨 13,322.50美元,盘中早些时候曾触及13,335美元,创2月11日以来新高。 | | 2月25日 LIE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金屋 | 收盘价 | 张跃 | 楽器 | | 三个月期铜 | 13.322.50 1 | +156.00 ↑ +1.18% | | | 三个月期铝 | 3.170.50 ↑ | +77.00 ↑ +2.49% | | | 三个月期锌 | 3,388.50 1 | +9.00 ↑ +0.27% | | | 三个月期铅 | 1.990.50 1 | +35.50 ↑ +1.82% | | | 三个月期镇 | 18,085.00 | +176.00 ↑ +0.98% | | | 三个月期锡 | | 53,698 ...
伦敦基本金属全线上涨,LME期锡涨7.19%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-25 22:18
每经AI快讯,当地时间2月25日,伦敦基本金属全线上涨,LME期锡涨7.19%报53915.0美元/吨,LME期 铝涨2.62%报3174.5美元/吨,LME期铅涨2.07%报1995.5美元/吨,LME期铜涨1.39%报13349.5美元/吨, LME期镍涨0.76%报18045.0美元/吨,LME期锌涨0.22%报3387.0美元/吨。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
A股稀土永磁午后狂飙,多股涨停,港股AI应用持续下跌,MiniMax重挫15%
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-25 07:51
Market Performance - The A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.72% and the ChiNext Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and Sci-Tech Innovation Index all rising over 1% [1] - More than 3,700 stocks in the market rose, with 101 stocks hitting the daily limit, marking over two consecutive days of more than 100 stocks reaching the limit [1] Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth permanent magnet concept saw a significant surge, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth (600111), China Rare Earth (600259), and others hitting the daily limit [1] - Prices of rare earth products increased significantly, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 882,000 CNY/ton, up 41,600 CNY/ton; neodymium metal at 1,036,700 CNY/ton, up 31,700 CNY/ton; dysprosium oxide at 1,622,900 CNY/ton, up 170,000 CNY/ton; and terbium oxide at 6,438,000 CNY/ton, up 118,000 CNY/ton [1] Basic Metals Sector - The basic metals sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Feilihua (300395) rising over 18%, and several others hitting the daily limit [1] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry saw an expanded upward trend, with stocks like Youyan Silicon (20cm) hitting the daily limit and others like Fuchuang Precision and Jiangfeng Electronics rising over 10% [2] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector showed a strong performance, with stocks like Aerospace Development (000547) hitting the daily limit and others like Keshun Co. rising over 14% [2] - Blue Arrow Aerospace announced plans for a recovery test of its reusable rocket in the second quarter of this year [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector performed strongly, with stocks like I Love My Home (000560) and City Investment Holdings (600649) hitting the daily limit [2] - New policies were announced in Shanghai to relax housing purchase restrictions and optimize housing fund loan policies, effective from February 26 [2] Phosphate Chemical Sector - The phosphate chemical sector saw explosive growth, with stocks like Chengxing Co. (600078) and others achieving consecutive limit-ups [2] Declining Sectors - The storage chip sector faced declines, with stocks like Purun Co. dropping over 7% and others like Lanjie Technology and Jiangbolong falling over 3% [3] - The film and television cinema sector also saw a downturn, with Hengdian Film (603103) experiencing consecutive limit-downs [4] Hong Kong and International Markets - The Hong Kong stock index showed a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Technology Index fluctuating but ultimately rising by 0.13% [4] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 2.20%, while the KOSPI index in South Korea increased by 1.91%, marking a historic close above 6,000 points [4]
石油、化工、有色等周期品大涨,标普油气ETF(513350)涨超7.4%,石油ETF富国(159148)涨5.7%,有色ETF富国(159168)、化工50ETF(516120)分别上涨2.98%、2.54%。
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-24 04:21
今日盘间,周期板块延续强势,基本金属、化工原料等行业涨势不俗,助推相关ETF走高。截至发 稿,富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF(513350)涨超7.4%,石油ETF富国(159148)、有色ETF富国 (159168)、化工50ETF(516120)分别上涨5.70%、3.08%、2.54%。 消息面上,A股春节休市期间,美伊紧张局势加剧,市场对原油供应中断的担忧升温,同时地缘风 险也推高了有色及化工品的价格。 研究机构表示,在地缘冲突仍存在不确定性的前提下,中长期原油供需格局仍具备景气基础,在长 期主义视角下,持续看好"三桶油"及油服板块。此外,宏观经济修复提振化工需求,长期来看化工品产 能出清利好龙头企业。 对相关板块感兴趣的投资者,可以关注富国基金旗下的标普油气ETF(513350)、石油ETF富国 (159148)、有色ETF富国(159168)、化工50ETF(516120)等产品。 石油ETF富国(159148)跟踪国证石油天然气指数,聚焦于A股市场中与石油、天然气全产业链相 关的上市公司,覆盖勘探开发、设备服务、燃气输配及综合性能源运营等核心环节;标普油气ETF (513350)则聚焦美股油气勘探 ...
伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期锌跌1.09%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-23 22:47
每经AI快讯,当地时间2月23日,伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期锡涨1.74%报47370.0美元/吨,LME期 镍跌0.37%报17285.0美元/吨,LME期铝跌0.37%报3091.0美元/吨,LME期铜跌0.49%报12901.0美元/ 吨,LME期铅跌0.66%报1952.0美元/吨,LME期锌跌1.09%报3345.5美元/吨。 ...
伦敦基本金属全线上涨,LME期锡涨1.99%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-20 23:18
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,当地时间2月20日,伦敦基本金属全线上涨,LME期锡涨1.99%报46740.0美元/吨,本周累 计上涨0.08%;LME期铜涨1.26%报13000.0美元/吨,本周累计上涨0.92%;LME期铝涨1.21%报3105.5美 元/吨,本周累计上涨0.91%;LME期锌涨0.91%报3378.0美元/吨,本周累计上涨1.21%;LME期镍涨 0.78%报17435.0美元/吨,本周累计上涨2.66%;LME期铅涨0.69%报1966.5美元/吨,本周累计上涨 0.33%。 ...
伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期铝跌0.66%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-19 23:28
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,当地时间2月19日,伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期镍涨0.14%报17300.0美元/吨,LME期 锌跌0.18%报3347.5美元/吨,LME期锡跌0.19%报45830.0美元/吨,LME期铜跌0.57%报12838.0美元/ 吨,LME期铅跌0.59%报1953.0美元/吨,LME期铝跌0.66%报3068.5美元/吨。 ...
伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期镍跌1.67%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-17 23:41
Core Viewpoint - The majority of base metals in London experienced a decline on February 17, with specific price movements noted for various metals [1] Price Movements - LME zinc remained stable at $3,290.0 per ton [1] - LME tin decreased by 0.21% to $45,585.0 per ton [1] - LME aluminum fell by 0.54% to $3,036.0 per ton [1] - LME lead dropped by 0.74% to $1,943.5 per ton [1] - LME copper declined by 1.46% to $12,663.5 per ton [1] - LME nickel saw a decrease of 1.67% to $16,830.0 per ton [1]
伦敦基本金属多数下跌,LME期锡跌3.12%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-16 23:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the fluctuations in the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices for various metals, with most showing a downward trend except for nickel, which experienced a slight increase [1] Group 2 - LME nickel rose by 0.92% to $17,140.0 per ton [1] - LME lead decreased by 0.31% to $1,954.0 per ton [1] - LME copper fell by 0.43% to $12,826.0 per ton [1] - LME aluminum dropped by 1.12% to $3,043.0 per ton [1] - LME zinc declined by 1.27% to $3,295.0 per ton [1] - LME tin saw a significant decrease of 3.12%, reaching $45,245.0 per ton [1]