1月29日早间，沪指窄幅震荡，创业板指冲高回落。截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.1%，深证成指涨0.01%，创业板指跌0.05%。盘面上 看，AI应用端持续活跃，因赛集团、浙文互联等多股涨停。贵金属板块持续走强，中国黄金5连板，湖南黄金4连板。基本金属 板块震荡拉升，白银有色8连板，怡球资源等多股涨停。房地产板块拉升，深深房A等涨停。下跌方面，林业、半导体板块等跌 幅居前。 | | | 东财概念指数 | | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 昨日连板 含 一字 | 快手概念 | 昨日连板 | Sora概念 | 短剧互动游 戏 | 体育 | 营销服务 | 需要遇 | 房地产服务 | 广播电视 | | 7.41% | 6.73% | 6.70% | 6.14% | 5.80% | 8.97% | 8.30% | 4.19% | 4.07% | 3.55% | | 昨日涨停_含 一字 4.81% | Al语料 4.77% | 小红书概念 4.69% | 昨日涨停 4.66% | Web3.0 ...

28 January 2026 | 7:31PM HKT Equity Research CHINA METALS & MINING: BASE METALS Raising earnings on higher copper and gold prices; Maintain Buy on Zijin and CMOC We revise up earnings by 9-33% for 2026-27E for Chinese copper and gold stocks under our coverage by incorporating the latest commodity price forecast from the global team and the latest company updates. We remain positive on copper and gold names under our coverage. Our preferred names are Zijin and CMOC as both companies will not only benefit fro ...

1月28日，A股三大指数涨跌不一。在有色、煤炭（核心股）等资源股护盘下，沪指收红；但光伏（核心股）、医药（核心股）、商业航天等板块回调， 创业板指收绿。市场亏钱效应明显，共计3640只个股收跌。 受访人士表示，近期指数震荡、个股普跌、局部热点抱团的背后，核心矛盾在于宏观预期与微观数据的背离，以及存量资金在有限方向上的避险与博弈。 当前市场风格正由题材炒作转向业绩支撑。需要注意的是，资源品短期涨幅巨大，面临调整压力。建议投资者加强仓位管理，尤其警惕个股业绩"暴雷"风 险。 有色金属（核心股）掀涨停潮 今日量价均温和表现，三市放量709亿元至2.99万亿元。指数涨跌不一，沪指收涨0.27%报4151.24点，创业板指收跌0.57%报3323.56点，深证成指、沪深 300、上证50微红，但是科创50、上证50微绿。 杠杆资金方面，截至1月27日，沪深京两融余额为2.72万亿元。 盘面上，小金属概念、稀缺资源、磷化工（核心股）、黄金概念（核心股）、稀土永磁（核心股）等资源股大涨，科技股波动较大，航空航天装备、医疗 器械、机器人等下跌。 | 东财概念指数 | | | | 东财行业指数 | | | | A股市场核心指数 ...

每经AI快讯，当地时间1月28日，伦敦基本金属多数上涨，LME期锡涨3.52%报56795.0美元/吨，LME期 铝涨1.59%报3263.5美元/吨，LME期镍涨1.12%报18440.0美元/吨，LME期铜涨0.74%报13120.0美元/ 吨，LME期锌涨0.51%报3375.5美元/吨，LME期铅跌0.05%报2027.0美元/吨。 ...

基本金属市场近期的强劲上涨正面临基本面验证的关键时刻。尽管涵盖六大工业金属的伦敦基本金属指数（LMEX）今年已累计上涨约7%，但高 盛集团发出警示，当前的价格表现已开始与实体需求出现显著背离。 1月28日，高盛股票研究联席主管Trina Chen指出："我们观察到实际生产端已出现负面反应，需求开始回落。"该行针对铜市场的最新调查显示， 从消费电子到工业硬件等下游领域的客户正在缩减采购，导致加工企业的订单量普遍下降。尤为值得关注的是，作为铜消费传统支柱的电网建设 订单也显现出增长放缓的迹象。 此轮金属价格的上涨主要受到供应趋紧预期、美元走势疲软以及对美联储降息预期的共同推动。然而，随着需求端疲软信号逐步显现，市场乐观 情绪与实体经济基本面之间的背离正引发越来越多分析师的警惕。 ，虽将2026年上半年铝价目标上调至3150美元/吨，但维持中长期看空观点，认为随着印尼等地新增产能释放，叠加光伏、汽车等领域需求增长放 缓，全球铝市场预计在2026年步入结构性过剩。 当前铜价一度触及每吨13247美元高位，主要受到全球供应紧张预期、美元走弱及美联储降息前景的支撑。然而，高盛于1月28日指出，其最新市 场调查显示，从消费 ...

全球资金正持续加码大宗商品市场，且流向正在快速"聚焦"。 据追风交易台，摩根大通1月27日发布的全球大宗商品研究报告显示，受连续第三周的大规模资金流入 以及贵金属和天然气价格上涨的推动，全球大宗商品市场的未平仓合约（Open Interest）总价值已攀升 至历史新高。 截至2026年1月23日的一周内，全球大宗商品市场的未平仓合约估值周环比增长近6%（约增加1010亿美 元），达到1.83万亿美元。 报告指出，本轮规模扩张主要由持续的资金净流入叠加价格上涨共同推动，其中贵金属与农产品成为最 集中的资金承接方向。 全球大宗商品期货市场合约口径的净流入规模约为360亿美元，且在各类资产中呈现高度集中。其中， 贵金属板块录得215亿美元的合约净流入，而黄金吸引的合约净流入约158亿美元，显著高于白银、铂金 和钯金。 在价格层面，报告显示，金价当周上涨约8%，银价上涨约14%，价格与资金形成正向共振。 因此，截至1月23日当周，贵金属市场未平仓合约价值环比大增16%（约590亿美元）至4330亿美元，成 为当周贡献最大的单一板块。 摩根大通大宗商品策略团队指出，当前贵金属投资者持仓已接近阶段性高位，但黄金的结构性逻 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - Gold is expected to reach a new high, and silver is aiming for 100. Copper prices are likely to be strong due to the decline of the US dollar. Zinc and tin are expected to trade in a high - level range. Lead prices are supported by the decrease in LME inventory. Aluminum is expected to perform strongly, with an increase in alumina maintenance. Cast aluminum alloy will follow the trend of electrolytic aluminum. Platinum is expected to move upward in a volatile manner, and palladium is expected to rise slowly. The situation of nickel in Indonesia remains uncertain, with a game between hedging and speculative positions. Stainless steel prices are supported by the rise of ferronickel due to concerns about nickel ore in Indonesia [2]. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold and Silver - **Fundamental Data**: For gold, Comex gold 2602 rose 2.11% to 4938.40, while Shanghai gold 2602 fell 0.49% to 1083.56. For silver, Comex silver 2602 rose 3.51% to 96.215, and Shanghai silver 2602 rose 0.82% to 23370. Gold ETF holdings increased by 2 to 1079.66. Shanghai gold inventory increased by 2019 to 102009 kg, and Comex gold inventory (previous day) increased by 6979 to 36142880 troy ounces. Shanghai silver inventory decreased by 11727 to 589052 kg, and Comex silver inventory (previous day) decreased by 4162840 to 422313658 troy ounces [4]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Trump downplayed the risk of dollar depreciation, and the euro - US dollar exchange rate broke through 1.20. The US consumer confidence index in January dropped to the lowest level since May 2014. The US will hold an air force combat readiness exercise in the Middle East, causing oil prices to rise 3% and spot gold to rise over 2%. The US government shutdown is approaching [4][6][7][8]. - **Trend Intensity**: Gold and silver both have a trend intensity of 1 [10]. Copper - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai copper's main contract closed at 102600, up 0.71%, and the night - session price dropped 1.01% to 101560. London copper 3M electronic disk closed at 13024, down 1.21%. Shanghai copper inventory decreased by 406 to 144908, and London copper inventory increased by 1825 to 172350 [11]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The "new Fed newswire" said that the Fed is expected to pause rate cuts this week. Japanese copper smelters are still negotiating TC/RC for 2026. A Chilean copper mine was fined, and a copper - gold mine in northern Chile stopped production. Road blockades at some mines in Chile were lifted [11][13]. - **Trend Intensity**: Copper has a trend intensity of 1 [13]. Zinc - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai zinc's main contract closed at 24950, up 0.91%. London zinc 3M electronic disk closed at 3351, up 2.51%. Shanghai zinc inventory decreased by 624 to 28312 tons, and London zinc inventory decreased by 775 to 110550 tons [14]. - **News**: The US will hold an air force combat readiness exercise in the Middle East. The "new Fed newswire" said that the Fed is expected to pause rate cuts in January, and there is uncertainty about future rate cuts [15][16]. - **Trend Intensity**: Zinc has a trend intensity of 0 [16]. Lead - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai lead's main contract closed at 17000, down 0.41%. London lead 3M electronic disk closed at 2036, up 0.05%. LME lead inventory decreased by 2425 to 211175 tons [17]. - **News**: The "new Fed newswire" said that the Fed is expected to pause rate cuts this week [18]. - **Trend Intensity**: Lead has a trend intensity of 0 [18]. Tin - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai tin's main contract closed at 451160, up 6.07%, and the night - session price dropped 3.26% to 436450. London tin 3M electronic disk closed at 54865, up 0.68%. Shanghai tin inventory decreased by 71 to 8553 [21]. - **Macro and Industry News**: US consumer confidence dropped to the lowest level since 2014. The Japanese finance minister said that they will coordinate with the US to take appropriate actions on exchange - rate fluctuations if necessary [21][23]. - **Trend Intensity**: Tin has a trend intensity of 0 [22]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai aluminum's main contract closed at 24305, up 90. LME aluminum 3M closed at 3213, up 17. The domestic aluminum ingot social inventory was 79.60 million tons, unchanged from the previous day. The average domestic alumina price was 2649, down 4 [24]. - **Comprehensive News**: UBS said that rising metal and memory prices will erode the profits of electric vehicle enterprises. The US government shutdown is approaching [26]. - **Trend Intensity**: Aluminum has a trend intensity of 1, alumina has a trend intensity of 0, and cast aluminum alloy has a trend intensity of 1 [26]. Platinum and Palladium - **Macro and Industry News**: Trump said he is not worried about dollar depreciation. The "Fed newswire" said that the Fed is expected to pause rate cuts, and the path of resuming rate cuts is unclear. Trump said the US has sent a large naval fleet towards Iran. The Hungarian central bank governor said Hungary may consider increasing the proportion of gold in central bank reserves [31]. - **Trend Intensity**: Platinum and palladium both have a trend intensity of 0 [30]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Fundamental Data**: Shanghai nickel's main contract closed at 146110, up 730. The stainless - steel main contract closed at 14540, down 105 [33]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The Indonesian government has suspended issuing new smelting licenses. The Chinese government has implemented export license management for some steel products. The Indonesian government may adjust the nickel ore production target and benchmark price formula. Some mines in Indonesia are facing potential fines for illegal land occupation [33][34][36]. - **Trend Intensity**: Nickel and stainless steel both have a trend intensity of 0 [38].

每经AI快讯，当地时间1月27日，伦敦基本金属涨跌参半，LME期锡涨1.17%报54865.0美元/吨，LME期 铝涨0.75%报3212.5美元/吨，LME期锌涨0.48%报3358.5美元/吨，LME期铅跌0.49%报2028.0美元/吨， LME期铜跌1.33%报13024.0美元/吨，LME期镍跌1.55%报18235.0美元/吨。 ...

| 国贸商品指数 | 证监许可【2012】31号 ITC 国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格: | | --- | --- | | ITEC | 国贸商品指数日报 | | | 国贸期货研究院 F3014717 从业资格号: 别建春 2026/01/27 | | | Z0013223 宏观金融中心 投资咨询号: | | | -(1月26日),国内商品期市收盘多数上涨,贵金属涨幅居前,沪银涨12.78%;能源品全部. | | | 涨,燃油涨6.81%;航运期货全部上涨,集运指数(欧线)涨5.46%;油脂油料全部上涨,菜油涨 4.08%;化工品多数上涨,丁二烯橡胶涨3.59%;非金属建材全部上涨,玻璃涨2.45%;基本金属多数 | | | 上涨,沪锡涨1.37%;黑色系涨跌参半,焦煤涨1.35%;新能源材料多数上涨,多晶硅涨1.19%;农副 | | | 产品跌幅居前,生猪跌0.99%。 | | | 热评:周一国内商品多数上涨,其中,工业品多数上涨,农产品涨跌互现。具体来看: | | | (1)黑色系涨跌参半。春节前夕钢厂加大检修力度,造成对铁矿的压制,叠加库存高企,铁矿期货 震荡走低,主力小幅收跌。对于后市,目前铁矿石基本 ...

2026年01月27日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-贵金属及基本金属 观点与策略 | 黄金：再创新高 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 白银：冲刺100 | 2 | | 铜：美元承压，价格偏强 | 4 | | 锌：震荡偏强 | 6 | | 铅：LME库存减少，支撑价格 | 8 | | 锡：区间震荡 | 9 | | 铝：24000一线震荡 | 10 | | 氧化铝：偏弱运行 | 10 | | 铸造铝合金：高位震荡 | 10 | | 铂：跟随黄金白银回调但趋势并未反转 | 12 | | 钯：找底后继续演绎 | 12 | | 镍：印尼事件悬而未决，套保与投机盘博弈 | 14 | | 不锈钢：印尼加剧镍矿担忧，镍铁跟涨支撑重心 | 14 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 商 品 研 究 2026 年 1 月 27 日 黄金：再创新高 白银：冲刺 100 刘雨萱 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 贵金属基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | ...