Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.50% as of 10:29 AM, with a trading volume of 672.89 million shares and a turnover of 951.88 billion yuan, representing a 2.13% decrease from the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Defense and Military Industry: Increased by 2.21% with a transaction amount of 404.44 billion yuan, led by Jianglong Shipbuilding which rose by 20.01% [1] - Computer: Increased by 0.83% with a transaction amount of 597.57 billion yuan, led by Haixia Innovation which rose by 15.13% [1] - Oil and Petrochemicals: Increased by 0.57% with a transaction amount of 76.18 billion yuan, led by Unified Shares which rose by 10.00% [1] - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Pharmaceutical and Biological: Decreased by 1.69% with a transaction amount of 680.11 billion yuan, led by Yao Yigou which fell by 7.34% [2] - Electric Power Equipment: Decreased by 1.39% with a transaction amount of 1,442.13 billion yuan, led by Xidian New Energy which fell by 9.98% [2] - Non-Bank Financial: Decreased by 1.26% with a transaction amount of 182.80 billion yuan, led by Northeast Securities which fell by 2.97% [2]

Core Views - The A-share market is experiencing a phase of style switching around the 4000-point mark, influenced by external market conditions and internal capital dynamics [3][4][14] - The market is expected to stabilize and build a foundation for future trends, with upcoming important meetings in December likely to provide positive signals for economic policy [4][15] Market Overview - Last week, the three major indices of the A-share market showed a downward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3990.49 points, down 0.97% [7][8] - The market's performance was characterized by a mixed sentiment, with high dividend sectors like utilities providing support while technology stocks faced profit-taking pressure [3][6][14] Sector Analysis 1. Healthcare Sector - The healthcare sector, particularly pharmaceutical stocks, is expected to have a rebound due to previous underperformance and the aging population driving demand [9][12] - Recent policy changes regarding drug pricing and procurement are anticipated to positively impact the sector [9] 2. Free Trade Zone in Hainan - Stocks related to the Hainan Free Trade Zone have surged, with the upcoming full closure of the island expected to bring significant policy benefits [10] 3. Oil and Gas Sector - Oil and gas exploration stocks have seen gains due to breakthroughs in shale oil production and supportive government policies [11] 4. Chemical Sector - The chemical industry is showing signs of recovery, with several companies reporting significant earnings growth [11] 5. Consumer Sector - The consumer sector is expected to benefit from government policies aimed at boosting consumption, particularly in the food and beverage industries [12] 6. New Energy Sector - New energy stocks, including those in solar and battery technologies, are anticipated to perform well due to supportive government policies and ongoing demand for sustainable energy solutions [13] Investment Strategy - A cautious and balanced investment approach is recommended, focusing on undervalued "elephant stocks," healthcare, cyclical sectors, and technology stocks with strong earnings support [5][16]

Core Viewpoint - International Industry's stock price has shown a significant increase this year, with a notable rise in recent trading days, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities for investors [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 17, International Industry's stock price increased by 2.04%, reaching 6.99 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 59.68 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.81% [1]. - The stock has risen by 16.50% year-to-date, with a 6.39% increase over the last five trading days, 17.28% over the last 20 days, and 20.73% over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, International Industry reported a revenue of 1.302 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 46.47%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 20.11 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 104.45% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 395 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]. Group 3: Business Overview - International Industry, established on March 28, 1999, and listed on September 26, 2000, is based in Urumqi, Xinjiang, and operates in sectors including oil and petrochemical product wholesale, storage, transportation, and energy trading [2]. - The company's main revenue sources include wholesale of oil and chemical products (67.59%), entrusted processing of galvanizing (17.50%), and other related activities [2]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of shareholders for International Industry was 39,200, an increase of 0.99% from the previous period, with an average of 12,277 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 0.98% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, a new shareholder, Jinyuan Shun'an Yuanqi Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, holds 2.4559 million shares, while CITIC Prudential Multi-Strategy Mixed Fund has exited the top ten list [3].

个股方面，11月14日，有1484只个股获融资净买入，净买入金额在3000万元以上的有111股。其中，13 股获融资净买入额超1亿元。药明康德获融资净买入额居首，净买入2.07亿元；融资净买入金额居前的 还有先导智能、中芯国际、天赐材料、中金黄金、中集集团、江波龙、盛新锂能、兴业银锡等股。 Wind统计显示，11月14日，申万31个一级行业中有9行业获融资净买入，其中，煤炭行业获融资净买入 额居首，当日净买入1.34亿元；获融资净买入居前的行业还有商贸零售、石油石化、轻工制造等。 ...

华泰证券研报表示，上周港股冲高回落，恒生指数上涨1.3%，恒生科技指数下跌0.4%。行业间高低切 演绎较为极致，今年以来相对滞涨的板块上周涨跌幅排名靠前，如农林牧渔、房地产、医药、石油石 化、纺织服饰等。在盈利数据并未明显改善的情况下资金提前切换，或因当前流动性承压、主线不清晰 等交易性因素。若资金高低切持续，短期建议关注今年以来表现排名靠后的消费者服务、建筑、纺织服 装、家电以及具有防御属性的红利方向。此外，12月开始港股流动性压力边际暂缓，切换或难一帆风 顺，依然建议均衡配置。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The marginal convergence of macro - liquidity has been confirmed, and the subsequent basic assumption is a fundamental combination of stable profits, converging macro - liquidity, and declining risk appetite. The cost - performance ratio of stocks and bonds favors bonds, and the equity style favors value. The recommended allocation combination is long - term bonds plus value - type equity assets. Specifically, the Shanghai Composite 50 Index (80% position) and the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF (20% position) are recommended [8][24]. - China is in a marginal de - leveraging process. The liability growth rate of the real - sector is expected to decline, and the government's liability growth rate will also trend downwards. The economy on the asset side needs to be observed for signs of stabilization or marginal upward movement [2][17]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 National Balance Sheet Analysis 3.1.1 Liability Side - In October 2025, the liability growth rate of the real - sector was 8.6%, down from 8.8% previously, with a larger - than - expected decline. It is expected to drop slightly to around 8.5% in November and continue to decline, returning to the de - leveraging phase. By the end of the year, it is expected to fall to around 8.3% [2][17]. - The financial sector's liquidity marginally converged last week. The high - point of liquidity in November is estimated to have occurred on the 6th, and the probability of marginal convergence of macro - liquidity is relatively high in the future [2][17]. - The government's liability growth rate was 13.9% at the end of October 2025, down from 14.5% previously, and is expected to decline to around 13.0% in November and by the end of the year [3][18]. 3.1.2 Fiscal Policy - Last week, the net increase in government bonds (including national and local bonds) was 476.1 billion yuan, higher than the planned 264.8 billion yuan. Next week, the planned net increase is 228.3 billion yuan [3][18]. 3.1.3 Monetary Policy - Last week, the average weekly trading volume of funds decreased, the price of funds increased, and the term spread slightly decreased. The yield of one - year Treasury bonds fluctuated narrowly, closing at 1.41% at the weekend. The lower limit of the one - year Treasury bond yield is estimated to be around 1.3%, with a central value of around 1.4%. The term spread between ten - year and one - year Treasury bonds slightly decreased to 40 basis points. The future fluctuation ranges of ten - year and thirty - year Treasury bond yields are estimated to be around 1.6% - 1.9% and 1.8% - 2.3% respectively [3][18]. 3.1.4 Asset Side - In October, the physical quantity data continued to weaken compared to September. The annual real economic growth target for 2025 is around 5%, and the nominal economic growth target is around 4.9%. It is necessary to observe whether this nominal economic growth rate will become the central target for China's nominal economic growth in the next 1 - 2 years [4][19]. 3.2 Stock - Bond Cost - Performance and Stock - Bond Style - Last week, the liquidity marginally converged, and the high - point of liquidity in November is estimated to have occurred on the 6th, with a high probability of subsequent marginal convergence of macro - liquidity. Stocks performed poorly, and bonds were stable. The value style in the equity market continued to dominate. The cost - performance ratio of stocks and bonds slightly favored bonds. The ten - year Treasury bond yield remained stable at 1.81%, the one - year Treasury bond yield increased by 1 basis point to 1.41%, the term spread slightly decreased to 40 basis points, and the thirty - year Treasury bond yield decreased by 1 basis point to 2.15% [6][21]. - The broad - based rotation strategy outperformed the CSI 300 Index by 1.1 percentage points last week. Since its establishment in July 2024, the broad - based rotation strategy has underperformed the CSI 300 Index by - 6.62 percentage points, with a maximum drawdown of 12.1% (compared to the CSI 300's maximum drawdown of 15.7%) [6][21]. 3.3 Industry Recommendation 3.3.1 Industry Performance Review - This week, the A - share market declined slightly. Among the Shenwan primary industries, the top - performing sectors were comprehensive, textile and apparel, commercial retail, beauty care, and pharmaceutical biology, with weekly increases of 7%, 4.4%, 4.1%, 3.7%, and 3.3% respectively. The sectors with the largest declines were communication, electronics, computer, machinery and equipment, and national defense and military industry, with weekly changes of - 4.8%, - 4.8%, - 3%, - 2.2%, and - 2.2% respectively [29]. 3.3.2 Industry Crowding and Trading Volume - As of November 14, the top five crowded industries were power equipment, electronics, pharmaceutical biology, basic chemicals, and non - ferrous metals, with crowding levels of 15.6%, 14.5%, 7.2%, 7.1%, and 6% respectively. The bottom five were beauty care, comprehensive, steel, social services, and petroleum and petrochemicals, with levels of 0.2%, 0.5%, 0.8%, 0.8%, and 0.8% respectively [31]. - This week, the top five industries with increased crowding were pharmaceutical biology, commercial retail, food and beverage, real estate, and banks, with increases of 2.4%, 0.6%, 0.6%, 0.4%, and 0.3% respectively. The bottom five with decreased crowding were power equipment, automobiles, computers, electronics, and machinery and equipment, with changes of - 1.6%, - 1.3%, - 0.9%, - 0.5%, and - 0.5% respectively [31]. - The average daily trading volume of the entire A - share market was 2.04 trillion yuan this week, slightly higher than last week's 2.01 trillion yuan. The industries with the highest year - on - year growth in trading volume were food and beverage, comprehensive, commercial retail, basic chemicals, and beauty care, with volume changes of 59.1%, 35.2%, 35%, 34.7%, and 19.7% respectively. The industries with the smallest increases in trading volume were media, computer, steel, banks, and coal, with volume changes of - 21.7%, - 21.6%, - 20%, - 13%, and - 10.4% respectively [33]. 3.3.3 Industry Valuation and Profitability - This week, among the Shenwan primary industries, the sectors with the largest increases in PE(TTM) were comprehensive, commercial retail, beauty care, textile and apparel, and basic chemicals, with changes of 5.3%, 5.1%, 4.9%, 4.6%, and 4.3% respectively. The sectors with the smallest increases were communication, electronics, national defense and military industry, machinery and equipment, and computer, with valuation changes of - 2.4%, - 1.9%, - 1.7%, - 1.3%, and - 1.2% respectively [36]. - As of November 14, 2025, industries with high full - year profit forecasts in 2024 and relatively low current valuations compared to history include banks, insurance, petroleum and petrochemicals, transportation, beauty care, new energy, and consumer electronics [38]. 3.3.4 Industry Prosperity - Externally, there was a marginal recovery. In October, the global manufacturing PMI rose from 50.7 to 50.8, and the PMIs of major economies showed mixed changes. The CCFI index increased by 3.4% week - on - week in the latest week. Port cargo throughput declined. South Korea's export growth rate dropped to 3.6% in October and rose to 6.4% in the first 10 days of November. Vietnam's export growth rate slightly decreased from 25.3% in September to 18.2% in October [40]. - Domestically, second - hand housing prices fell in the latest week, and quantity indicators showed mixed changes. Highway truck traffic declined. The capacity utilization rate of ten industries, which had been rising from May to August 2025, declined from September to October and slightly rebounded in November but remained at a historical low. Automobile trading volume was at a relatively high level compared to the same period in history, new - home sales remained at a historical low, and second - hand housing sales declined seasonally compared to history. As of November 9, the national urban second - hand housing listing price index decreased by 0.39% week - on - week. As of October 31, the producer price index increased by 0.3% week - on - week [40]. 3.3.5 Public Fund Market Review - In the second week of November (November 10 - 14), most active public equity funds outperformed the CSI 300. The 10%, 20%, 30%, and 50% weekly performance levels were 2.3%, 1.1%, 0.5%, and - 0.5% respectively, while the CSI 300 declined by 1.1% weekly [53]. - As of November 14, the net asset value of active public equity funds was estimated to be 3.89 trillion yuan, slightly higher than 3.66 trillion yuan in Q4 2024 [53]. 3.3.6 Industry Recommendations - In the de - leveraging cycle, the cost - performance ratio of stocks and bonds only slightly favors equities, and the value style is more likely to dominate. Dividend - type stocks are expected to have three characteristics: no balance - sheet expansion, good profitability, and survival. Combining these characteristics with the under - allocation in the public fund's quarterly report, an A + H dividend portfolio of 13 stocks and an A - share portfolio of 20 stocks are recommended, mainly concentrated in industries such as banks, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [59].

Group 1 - The report highlights a divergence between the stock market and the macroeconomic fundamentals, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising approximately 15% in the second half of the year despite weak economic data, such as a 2.9% year-on-year growth in retail sales in October, which is at a yearly low [1][2][3] - The report suggests that the transition from a "liquidity bull" market to a "fundamental bull" market is necessary for the Shanghai Composite Index to maintain its position above 4000 points, emphasizing the importance of monitoring the easing of political cycles and economic recovery [2][3] - The report indicates that the A-share market is experiencing a significant style rotation, with a notable shift from high-growth sectors to value sectors, particularly in the context of the "high cut low" market behavior observed since early September [3][31][38] Group 2 - The report notes that the technology sector has shown significant internal differentiation, with strong performance in sectors supported by fundamentals, such as AI hardware, while software applications and weaker performance sectors have lagged [3][43][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies, such as Nvidia and Alibaba, as they will provide critical signals regarding the sustainability of the tech sector's performance and its impact on global risk assets [52][59] - The report predicts that the technology sector may underperform in the fourth quarter but could rebound in the early part of the next year, based on historical trends and the current dependence on global AI industry trends [53][56][62] Group 3 - The report highlights that the Hong Kong stock market has seen a structural divergence, with high dividend yield stocks outperforming the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index, driven by significant inflows from southbound capital [4][26][27] - The report indicates that the energy and financial sectors have shown strong performance compared to information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, reflecting a shift in investor preference towards value stocks [4][26][27] - The report suggests that the performance of the Hong Kong tech sector is constrained by the strengthening of the US dollar and the recent hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, which have dampened market liquidity expectations [4][26][27]

中信建投研报表示，当前机构关注基础化工、国防军工、汽车、纺织服装、非银行金融和传媒行业，通 信行业的机构关注度从高位下降。最近一周"石油石化"、"煤炭"、"钢铁"、"轻工制造"和"非银行金 融"行业的机构关注度在提升。当前较多行业处于触发拥挤指标阈值的状态（流动性、成分股一致 性）。2025年11月看好电力及公用事业、基础化工、电力设备及新能源、电子和计算机的相对收益。黄 金、白银、铜和原油的VIX抬升，中长期依然看多黄金。 (本文来自第一财经) ...

Market Review - Global stock indices showed divergence this week, with European, Brazilian, and Indian indices rising, while Chinese and American tech stocks declined. The Shanghai Composite Index continued its narrow fluctuation, with major broad indices generally adjusting. The average daily trading volume in the A-share market remained around 2 trillion yuan, indicating a focus on existing stock games. Growth leaders fell while small-cap stocks rose, with the micro-cap index increasing by 4.11% [1][2] - In terms of sector performance, the TMT, machinery, and military sectors saw the largest declines, while precious metals and copper prices rose, and domestic double焦 prices weakened [1][2] Market Outlook - The core theme for November remains "small-cap stocks + thematic investment." The recent pullback in Chinese and American tech stocks is attributed to tight overseas liquidity and concerns over AI bubbles. Future attention will be on U.S. economic data and changes in December rate cut expectations. The current A-share market is primarily focused on existing stock games, with financing and southbound trading showing a "high-low cut" trend. The performance benchmark for public funds is expected to curb issues like style drift and short-term ranking chasing, potentially weakening extreme institutional clustering [2][3] Fundamental Analysis - The domestic economy is expected to achieve a growth rate of around 5% for the year, despite a weakening trend in both supply and demand in October. Industrial added value growth was 6.1%, continuing to decline. Investment in narrow infrastructure turned negative, and real estate development investment and sales areas also saw significant declines. Retail sales growth was only 2.9%, marking five consecutive months of decline, particularly in major consumer goods. However, corporate earnings are stabilizing, and with PPI growth expected to turn positive next year, the potential for profit improvement in certain sectors is anticipated [3][4] Macro Policy - Future policy observations will focus on the December Political Bureau meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference. The central bank has reiterated "cross-cycle adjustment," signaling a balance between long-term goals and supportive monetary policy. The third-quarter monetary policy report indicates that the national economy is progressing steadily, with a solid foundation for achieving annual targets. The central bank's focus is shifting towards supporting policies that consider long-term objectives [4] Funding Dynamics - Since November, market style has shifted, with tech leaders retreating and small-cap stocks outperforming. This is due to concerns over the AI bubble affecting tech sentiment in A-shares. Financing transactions in sectors like semiconductors and communication equipment have seen net selling since November. Southbound funds have favored banks and oil sectors, leading to a phase where value stocks outperform tech stocks. Recent guidelines from the fund industry association aim to curb style drift and extreme clustering among funds, prompting some capital to migrate towards underweight sectors [5][6] Industry Configuration - Focus on "14th Five-Year Plan" related thematic investments, such as energy storage, batteries, domestic substitution, and new materials. Attention should also be given to sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" trends, such as chemicals, and the guidance signals from Hong Kong's innovative pharmaceuticals to A-shares [5]

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform the Market" [3] Core Views - The report highlights the increase in overseas natural gas prices and lithium hexafluorophosphate prices, while methionine prices have decreased. It suggests focusing on sectors mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply, and electronic materials companies under the context of self-sufficiency [3][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of November 10-16, 2025, among 100 tracked chemical products, 42 saw price increases, 30 saw price decreases, and 28 remained stable. The average price of 31% of products increased month-on-month, while 56% decreased, and 13% remained unchanged. The top gainers included butyl acetate and sulfur, while the largest declines were seen in pure pyridine and methionine [8][29]. Price Trends - The average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose to 135,000 CNY/ton, marking a 13.45% increase week-on-week and a 141.07% increase year-on-year. Conversely, methionine's average price fell to 19.55 CNY/kg, down 1.76% week-on-week and 0.91% year-on-year [31][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, and the impact of supply-side reforms. It suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy that includes companies in emerging fields such as semiconductor materials and new energy materials, with specific recommendations for companies like Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng [10][29]. Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index rose by 2.61%, ranking 9th among 31 primary industries, while the oil and petrochemical sector increased by 2.29%, ranking 11th [8][10]. Key Stocks - The report identifies "Golden Stocks" for November as Hualu Hengsheng and Yake Technology, highlighting their strong performance and growth potential [5][11][17].