春节前大幅离场后，A股节后的资金回流态势已成为市场关注焦点。 杠杆资金单日回流346亿元。 其中，前期累计涨幅较多的电子、电力设备、计算机、有色金属、通信等行业遭受资金明显减仓，融资 资金净卖出金额在33亿元～74亿元之间。 节后首个交易日，杠杆资金的持仓偏好截然相反。节前受到偏爱的行业出现大幅卖出，并流向节前遭到 减仓的行业。 根据Wind数据，2月24日，有26个行业获得杠杆资金回补仓位。电子、计算机、有色金属、电力设备、 通信、国防军工等板块获得融资资金大笔买入，净流入金额均超20亿元。而公用事业、石油石化、建筑 装饰、综合、煤炭5个行业遭到杠杆资金减仓。 这与当日的市场表现并不完全一致。24日，石油石化、煤炭行业领涨，建筑材料和公用事业也表现不 俗；有色金属行业涨幅居前，但计算机行业则处于跌势。25日，有色金属、建筑材料涨幅依旧居前，国 防军工、电子、电力设备行业涨幅超过1%，计算机和通信行业涨幅靠后，均微涨0.2%。 两融资金在春节前大幅净流出后，节后首个交易日大幅回流了346亿元，其中融资资金回流了338.89亿 元。杠杆资金的持仓偏好，春节前后也截然相反，此前大笔净卖出的行业在节后被大笔净买入。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant inflow of over 24.5 billion in main funds, leading the market in capital absorption, with Northern Rare Earth topping the A-share capital absorption list [1][8]. Group 1: Macro Perspective - The U.S. government is utilizing the Pentagon's AI project to establish "reference prices" for critical minerals and build a global metal trading group, indicating a shift in the global metal market from "cost efficiency first" to "safety premium first" [3][10]. - According to Galaxy Securities, the prices of key mineral resources such as copper, tungsten, and rare earths are expected to rise due to the "safety premium" [3][10]. Group 2: Industry Perspective - Spot gold has approached 5,200 USD per ounce, while tungsten, known as the "industrial tooth," has experienced a strong upward trend since last year, with prices increasing over 220% throughout the year [3][10]. - Five Mining Securities believes that China's dominant position in the tungsten industry chain will remain unchallenged for the next 5-10 years [3][10]. - According to CICC, the global tungsten supply-demand gap is expected to continue to widen from 2026 to 2028, supporting a sustained increase in tungsten price levels [3][10]. Group 3: Performance Perspective - The non-ferrous ETF (159876) has seen over half of its constituent stocks disclose performance forecasts, with more than 80% of stocks expecting earnings growth and over 30% anticipating a doubling of earnings [3][10]. - Bank of China Securities suggests that as the market enters the second phase of a bull market—driven by profit growth—there will be opportunities for revaluation in the non-ferrous metal sector, supported by financial attributes and industry trends [3][10]. - The non-ferrous ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for effective exposure to the sector's beta trends [3][10].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a significant surge, with public equity funds seeing a strong start to the year, as nearly half of these products have reached historical net asset value highs, and over 90% have achieved positive returns [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a robust performance with over 3,700 stocks rising and more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit up [6]. - The trading volume has increased significantly, surpassing 2 trillion yuan, reaching 2.48 trillion yuan [6]. - The metals sector has been a key driver, with the sector rising 21.94% year-to-date, and 18 constituent stocks gaining over 50% [3]. Group 2: Fund Performance - Among 4,780 comparable active equity funds, 2,347 have achieved historical net asset value highs, representing 49.1% of the total [2]. - Over 90% of active equity funds have recorded positive returns since the beginning of the year, with 149 funds increasing by over 20% [2]. - The top-performing funds, managed by the same fund manager, have reported year-to-date returns of 52.64%, 51.95%, and 46.61% respectively [2]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are shifting from liquidity-driven to profit-driven, with a recommendation for investors to maintain a contrarian mindset as market leadership may rotate quickly [1]. - Focus areas for future investments include semiconductor chips and AI applications, with an emphasis on maintaining a balanced portfolio [6][7]. - The outlook for the market remains optimistic, with expectations for stabilization and recovery, particularly in emerging technologies and value stocks [7].

2月25日（周三），伦敦金属交易所（LME）铜价延续涨势，市场人士押注中国市场参与者在春节长假 之后将出现补仓需求。 三个月期铜上涨0.93%，最新报每吨13,288.50美元，盘中触及每吨13,308.50美元，创2月12日以来最高 位。 沪铜主力合约上涨0.84%，收报每吨102,460元，该合约盘中一度触及102,780元，亦创2月12日以来最高 水平。 第一量子概述了其100%持股的Taca-Taca铜矿项目潜在的50亿美元开发计划，将该资产定位为阿根廷寻 求吸引大规模外国投资的下一个主要铜增长项目。 其他基本金属方面，三个月期锡跳涨逾5%，报每吨52,950美元。 三个月期铝上涨0.68%，报每吨3,110.5美元。 三个月期锌攀升0.98%，报每吨3,387.5美元。 三个月期铅上涨0.44%，报每吨1,959.5美元。 三个月期镍上涨3.66%，报每吨17,915美元。 花旗周二表示看涨铜价，预计未来三个月铜价将触及每吨14,000美元。 该投行指出，铜价短期下行风险有限，理由是预期实物和金融市场的逢低买盘将保持强劲且未来数月中 国将迎来季节性库存消耗。 中国洋山铜升水周二飙升60%至每吨53美 ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive performance during the Spring Festival, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising over 3% and the overall Hang Seng Index increasing by 1.4% [1] - The A-share market also experienced a "New Year opening red," with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points [1] - Despite the initial positive performance, the Hong Kong market faced a downturn post-holiday, particularly in internet stocks, while sectors like materials, real estate, energy, and healthcare supported the market [1] Sector Performance - The performance of various sectors in the Hong Kong market is as follows: - Materials: +21.60% - Real Estate and Construction: +19.06% - Energy: +18.94% - Industrial: +16.70% - Healthcare: +10.39% - Financials: +6.10% - Information Technology: -8.77% [2] Investment Opportunities - There are significant investment opportunities in the Hong Kong market, particularly in sectors like industrial metals, high-end manufacturing, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The influx of southbound capital has led to a change in pricing logic for Hong Kong stocks, making them more sensitive to changes in risk appetite from mainland investors [4] - The appreciation of the Renminbi since December 2024 has increased the attractiveness of Chinese assets, benefiting companies listed in Hong Kong that report earnings in Renminbi [5] Economic Factors - The Federal Reserve is in a rate-cutting cycle, and the expected changes in liquidity are limited, indicating a stable environment for the Hong Kong market [9] - The correlation between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares has strengthened, suggesting that Hong Kong stocks may experience passive increases alongside A-shares [4] Fund Management Insights - Fund manager Zhou Hanying, with extensive experience in global investments, is optimistic about sectors such as non-ferrous metals, AI, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][16] - The upcoming fund, 景顺长城衡瑞精选混合, will focus on a balanced investment strategy, allowing for a maximum of 50% allocation to Hong Kong stocks to leverage Zhou's expertise [11]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月25日 基金投资价值分析 一键布局有色全赛道——南方中证申万有色金属 ETF 投资价 值分析 一键布局有色全赛道 近期有色板块调整并非趋势终结：有色金属板块近期出现短期波动，但市场 基本已消化了特朗普提名沃什为下一任美联储主席的冲击，降息仍是大方 向，贵金属根本逻辑并未改变，各金属品种的定价有望回归基本面。 宏观、供需、资金维度均支撑贵金属定价：宏观层面，美联储开启降息周期， 全球流动性转向宽松，直接利好有色金属价格；从供需来看，历史上央行购 金与黄金价格存在较强相关性，近年来央行购金快速提升，支撑金价表现； 此外，黄金投资价值的提升吸引了大量投资者涌入以 ETF 计价的黄金市场。 新兴产业的发展为工业金属提供大量新增需求：在产业层面，人工智能、新 能源这些新兴产业的发展远远超出市场预期，新兴领域的发展成为需求增长 的新引擎，比如 AI 数据中心建设、电网升级、新能源转型等，这为铜、铝 等金属带来了需求弹性、打开长期需求增长空间。 南方中证申万有色金属 ETF（512400）是南方基金发行的一只以跟踪中证 申万有色金属指数为目标的 ETF 基金，基金经理为崔蕾女士，是市场上有 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a strong upward trend, with the three major indices collectively rising. The cyclical sectors, including real estate services, non-ferrous metals, and steel, lead the market, while the technology growth sector shows mixed performance [3][6] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.72% to 4147.23 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.29% to 14475.87 points, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 1.41% to 3354.82 points. The total market turnover reached approximately 2.48 trillion, indicating a good profit effect with 3742 stocks rising and 1609 falling [2][3] Sector Performance - The cyclical stocks have shown significant strength, with steel, non-ferrous metals, real estate, building materials, and basic chemicals rising by 4.26%, 3.53%, 2.51%, 2.41%, and 2.37% respectively. The recent policy adjustments in Shanghai's real estate sector have further boosted these sectors [6][8] - The rare earth sector also experienced a surge, with prices for various rare earth products increasing significantly post-holiday. For instance, the average price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose by 4.16 million yuan/ton, while neodymium metal increased by 8 million yuan/ton [6][8] Investment Themes - The report identifies several key investment themes, including AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, robotics, consumer sectors, brokerage firms, precious metals, and non-ferrous metals. Each theme has specific core logic and follow-up points for future monitoring [9][10] - The AI application sector is highlighted for its potential growth driven by product application acceleration and technological upgrades. The commercial aerospace sector is supported by the establishment of a commercial aerospace office, while nuclear fusion and quantum technology are gaining traction due to industrialization and policy support [9][10] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The report suggests a shift in market sentiment from "concept-driven" to "price-driven" profit enhancement, indicating a balanced allocation between technology and consumer sectors. The upcoming "Two Sessions" may further influence the cyclical sectors, particularly in real estate policy implementation and commodity prices [8][11] - The bond market is experiencing adjustments, with the long-end bonds leading the decline. The report notes that the LPR rates remain unchanged, and the market is expected to maintain a stable liquidity environment in the short term [8][11]

周期股又杀疯了！ 2月25日，截至A股收盘，三大指数集体上攻，上证指数上涨0.72%，报4147.23点，深成指涨1.20%，创业板指涨1.1%，全 市场近3800个股飘红，100股涨停。 化工板块今日延续强势，磷化工概念股成为全场最靓的"仔"。 表现最亮眼的是周期品涨价主线——贵金属、有色、化工、建材等多板块轮番上攻，澄星股份强势2连板，川金诺、清水 源双双录得20cm涨停；有色金属板块更疯狂，北方稀土、锡业股份、驰宏锌锗、云南锗业、章源钨业等20余只个股集体 封板；油气航运板块中，中远海能、招商轮船两大千亿巨头盘中四天三板，通源石油涨超18%…… 盘中时段，澄星股份强势2连板，川金诺、清水源双双20cm涨停，川发龙蟒、云天化、司尔特封死10cm涨停板，湖北宜 化、兴发集团、川恒股份大涨超6%。 很显然，这场周期品种的涨价狂欢行情已席卷整个周期板块，正成为贯穿全场的强势投资主线。 01 磷化工上演"王炸"行情 | | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 张耀%1 | 总市值 | 吉力净额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 300505 | 川金 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant activity post-holiday, achieving consecutive "limit-up" days, with 26 stocks experiencing continuous gains, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has seen a continuous rise, with 100 stocks hitting the daily limit-up, a phenomenon not observed since early January [1]. - A total of 26 stocks have achieved consecutive limit-up days, accounting for nearly 14% of the total limit-up stocks [1]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The basic chemical sector led the market with 32 limit-up stocks, representing 17% of the total limit-up stocks, followed by non-ferrous metals and petroleum sectors, which together contributed to one-third of the limit-up stocks [3]. - In terms of consecutive limit-up stocks, the basic chemical and construction decoration sectors were the primary contributors, with 7 and 5 stocks respectively, indicating a strong focus on cyclical sectors [5]. Group 3: Individual Stock Highlights - Notable stocks among the limit-up performers include Northern Rare Earth, Changfei Fiber, and China Railway, with significant market capitalizations exceeding 1 billion [7]. - China Merchants Energy recorded a continuous limit-up trend, reaching a historical high of 14.75 yuan, with a trading volume of 3.087 billion yuan, marking the highest level in nearly a decade [7]. Group 4: Financing Activity - Post-holiday, the financing balance in the A-share market increased significantly, with a net financing amount of 33.889 billion yuan on February 24, marking the second-highest record this year [10]. - Among the 31 sectors, 26 experienced an increase in financing balance, with electronics and computers being the primary focus for investors [10]. Group 5: Individual Stock Financing - A total of 19 stocks saw net financing exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Zhongji Xuchuang leading at 1 billion yuan, followed by Kingsoft and China Glass [11]. - The financing balance for key sectors such as electronics, power equipment, and non-bank financials remains robust, with several stocks showing significant net buying activity [11].

来源：上海有色网 金属市场： 截至日间收盘，内盘基本金属普涨，仅沪锌唯一下跌，跌幅达0.04%。沪锡以7.62%的涨幅领涨，沪镍 涨2.32%。其余金属涨幅均在1%以内。氧化铝主连涨0.77%，铸造铝主连涨1.25%。 此外，碳酸锂主连涨3.4%，工业硅主连涨0.3%，多晶硅主连跌0.76%。欧线集运主连跌4.76%报 1278.6。 黑色系方面集体飘红，且涨幅均在1%以上，铁矿涨1.42%，不锈钢涨1.24%，螺纹钢涨1.72%，热卷涨 1.19%。双焦方面，焦煤、焦炭均涨2.32%。 外盘方面，截至15:04分，外盘基本金属普涨，伦锡以5.27%的涨幅领涨外盘基本金属，伦镍涨1%。其 余金属涨幅均在1%以内。 【上海市住房城乡建设管理委等五部门印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》 】据上海 住房城乡建设管理公众号消息：为更好满足居民刚性和改善性住房需求，促进房地产市场平稳健康发 展，2月25日，市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、市公积金管理中心等五 部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》（以下简称《通知》），自2026年2月26 日起施行。一、进一步调减住房 ...