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岳阳兴长(000819):公司事件点评报告:中报业绩承压,加速建设第二增长极
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-25 09:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [9] Core Views - The company faced significant performance pressure in the first half of 2025, with total revenue declining by 19.17% year-on-year to 1.529 billion yuan, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -29 million yuan [4][5] - The decline in performance is attributed to a downturn in the energy and chemical industry, influenced by falling international oil prices and domestic gasoline price reductions [5] - The company is actively pursuing a transformation towards new materials and energy-saving industries, with a focus on high-end polyolefins and other emerging sectors [7][8] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company’s stock price is currently at 16.86 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 6.2 billion yuan and a 52-week price range of 13.39 to 20.72 yuan [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the energy and chemical segment generated 768 million yuan in revenue, down 43.79% year-on-year, significantly impacting overall performance [5] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -104 million yuan due to losses, but managed to maintain a cash and cash equivalents balance of 273 million yuan through bank financing [6] Growth Strategy - The company is accelerating the construction of its second growth engine, aiming to establish a complete green propylene supply chain by the end of the year [7][8] - The high-end polyolefins project is expected to become a new core growth driver, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 showing a gradual recovery in net profit from 56 million yuan to 169 million yuan [9][11] Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts net profits of 56 million yuan, 105 million yuan, and 169 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.15, 0.28, and 0.46 yuan [9][11]
山西省贸促会:搭平台、链资源 助企拓展国际“朋友圈”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-23 06:13
Core Insights - The participation of Shanxi enterprises in the Fourth China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo has significantly increased from 6 in 2024 to 22 in 2025, indicating a strong growth in engagement [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Fourth China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo was held in Taiyuan, with a focus on enhancing global supply chain cooperation [2][4]. - Key representatives from companies such as Honeywell, GE Healthcare, and China Construction Bank participated in discussions on leveraging the expo for deeper involvement in global supply chains [2]. Group 2: Strategic Goals - The expo aims to facilitate connections among various enterprises across the supply chain, promoting collaboration between large and small businesses [2]. - Shanxi Province's trade promotion agency is focusing on sectors like clean energy, advanced manufacturing, digital technology, green agriculture, and health to showcase the province's supply chain advantages [2][3]. Group 3: International Cooperation Initiatives - Shanxi's trade promotion agency is actively organizing events to enhance the province's brand recognition and encourage international collaboration through initiatives like "Shanxi Brand Silk Road" [3]. - Plans are in place for Shanxi to participate in the 2025 Osaka World Expo, promoting products in hydrogen energy, advanced manufacturing, and cultural tourism [5].
嘉化能源: 北京海润天睿律师事务所关于浙江嘉化能源化工股份有限公司2025年第二次临时股东大会的法律意见书
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-22 16:29
Core Points - The legal opinion letter confirms that the procedures for convening and holding the 2025 Second Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. comply with relevant laws and regulations [4][14] - The meeting was announced on August 6, 2024, and was held on August 22, 2025, with a total of 329 shareholders present, representing 570,127,055 shares, which is 43.2251% of the total voting shares [3][5] - The voting process included both on-site and online voting, with specific time frames for each method [3][7] Meeting Procedures - The meeting was convened following a resolution and notification sent to all shareholders, published in major financial newspapers and on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website [3][4] - The meeting was chaired by the company's chairman, Han Jianhong, and took place at the Jiahua Research Institute [3][4] Attendance and Voting - A total of 329 participants, including shareholders and their proxies, attended the meeting, confirming their qualifications as per legal requirements [5][14] - The voting results showed that 569,746,455 shares (99.9333%) were in favor of the proposals, with only 270,400 shares (0.4362%) against [7][10] Resolutions - All items on the agenda were approved without any additions, rejections, or modifications, aligning with the meeting notification [5][14] - The resolutions passed included ordinary and special resolutions, with the required majority achieved for each [10][14]
宝城期货能化板块数据周报-20250822
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 09:35
Report Overview - Report Date: August 22, 2025 [4] - Report Type: Weekly Report on Energy and Chemicals Sector - Author: Chen Dong [4] 1. Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the domestic energy and chemical commodity sector showed a trend of oscillating and stabilizing. The rebound of crude oil futures strengthened the cost support for downstream products, boosting the performance of the aromatic hydrocarbon, polyolefin, and oil - chemical sectors. [4] - Methanol futures rebounded after a significant decline, but the port inventory accumulation trend continued, and there were still upward resistance. Fuel oil and asphalt also had a slight inventory increase. [4] - In the aromatic hydrocarbon sector, PTA had a slight inventory increase, while ethylene glycol had a slight inventory decrease. In the polyolefin sector, plastics, PVC, polypropylene, and styrene all showed a slight inventory increase. [4] - With the improvement of the macro - environment and the increasing expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, macro factors outweighed industrial factors. Although there was inventory pressure in the energy and chemical sector, it did not prevent the sector from oscillating and stabilizing this week. [4] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Energy and Chemical Sector - The overall trend of the domestic energy and chemical commodity sector this week was oscillating and stabilizing, affected by cost support and macro - environment changes. [4] Rubber - There are data charts on rubber, including rubber basis, 9 - 1 month spread, futures inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, Qingdao Free Trade Zone rubber inventory, and tire (full - steel and semi - steel)开工率. [6][7][9] Methanol - Data charts cover methanol basis, 9 - 1 month spread, domestic port inventory, inland social inventory, methanol - to - olefin开工率, and coal - to - methanol cost accounting. [19][21][23] Crude Oil - Charts show crude oil basis, futures inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, US commercial crude oil inventory, US refinery开工率, and net position changes of WTI and Brent crude oil. [32][34][36] Fuel Oil - There are charts on the basis of domestic high - sulfur fuel oil, monthly spread, domestic production from 2016 - 2025, Singapore inventory from 2020 - 2025, global shipping index from 2022 - 2025, and futures inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange. [47][48][50] Asphalt - Data includes domestic asphalt basis from 2020 - 2025, monthly spread, domestic production from 2016 - 2025, import volume from 2020 - 2025, domestic refinery asphalt装置开工率, and weekly inventory on the Shanghai Futures Exchange from 2016 - 2025. [61][62][64] PTA - Charts show domestic PTA basis from 2020 - 2025, 9 - 1 month spread,装置开工率, weekly production, enterprise weekly inventory, and Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange PTA warehouse receipts. [72][74][76] Ethylene Glycol - Data includes ethylene glycol basis, 9 - 1 month spread, domestic开工率 from 2021 - 2025, weekly production, polyester industry chain开工率, and East China inventory from 2018 - 2025. [90][87][92] Styrene - There are charts on styrene basis from 2020 - 2025, 9 - 1 month spread, domestic开工率 from 2016 - 2025, factory inventory, registered warehouse receipts, and East + South China port inventory from 2020 - 2025. [99][100][102] Plastic - Data includes LLDPE basis, 9 - 1 month spread, domestic PE and LLDPE monthly production from 2019 - 2025, polyethylene import volume from 2018 - 2025, Dalian Commodity Exchange plastic warehouse receipts, and domestic plastic products data. [111][114][115] PP - Charts show polypropylene basis, 9 - 1 month spread, Taiwan's polypropylene production from 2010 - 2025, domestic PP import volume from 2016 - 2025, domestic downstream开工率, and domestic polypropylene warehouse receipts from 2020 - 2025. [133][124][126] PVC - Data includes domestic PVC basis from 2019 - 2025, 9 - 1 month spread, ethylene production from 2016 - 2025, domestic PVC import volume from 2018 - 2025, Dalian Commodity Exchange PVC warehouse receipts, and housing completion and sales area cumulative value from 2018 - 2025. [135][136][138]
美国8月制造业和服务业PMI超预期反弹
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 02:25
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The US economic data in August showed mixed results. The manufacturing and services PMIs rebounded unexpectedly, but the initial jobless claims increased more than expected. The inflation pressure rose, and the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut cooled down [2][13]. - In the commodity market, different products had different trends. For example, the price of动力煤was expected to be stable in the short - term, while the price of豆粕was affected by the US harvest and China's purchase policy [3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, higher than the expected 49.5 and the previous value of 49.8. The services PMI and the composite PMI also showed good performance [12]. - The Fed's Hammack indicated that the FOMC might not cut interest rates in September. The gold price fluctuated and closed down. The market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut cooled down [13]. - Investment advice: The gold price remained in a range - bound state [14]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - The total social electricity consumption in July reached 1.02 trillion kWh, with a year - on - year increase of 8.6%. The proportion of new energy increased significantly [15]. - A new policy - based financial instrument of 500 billion yuan might be launched, focusing on emerging industries and infrastructure [16]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to allocate long positions in various stock indexes evenly [17]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - The US and the EU took further measures to finalize the trade agreement, including plans to reduce US tariffs on European cars [19]. - The Atlanta Fed President still expected one interest rate cut this year and paid attention to the labor market [20]. - The US manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace since 2022, which supported the US dollar index [21]. - Investment advice: The US dollar is expected to rebound in the short - term [22]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August was 53.3, reaching a 39 - month high. The services PMI also performed well [23]. - The Fed's Collins said that if the labor market deteriorated, it might be appropriate to cut interest rates in the short - term. Hammack did not support an interest rate cut in September [24][25]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to the opportunity of buying on dips after the correction, as the fundamental data remains resilient [26]. 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted a 253 billion yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation on August 21, with a net injection of 124.3 billion yuan [27]. - Investment advice: If the short - term increase is high, it is recommended to pay attention to the short - hedging strategy [28]. 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - As of the week ending August 14, the net increase in US soybean export sales was 1.1369 million tons, in line with expectations [29]. - The Pro Farmer field inspection indicated a potential bumper harvest of US soybeans. The market focused on whether China would resume purchasing US soybeans [30]. - Investment advice: The price of soybean meal futures is expected to fluctuate. Pay attention to the US field inspection results and China's purchase policy [30]. 3.2.2 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - Indian importers started to buy palm oil from Colombia and Guatemala at a large discount [31]. - The Trump administration was expected to make a ruling on the exemption of small refineries [32]. - The palm oil export volume in Indonesia increased in June, and the inventory decreased slightly [33]. - Investment advice: After the adjustment, the US biodiesel policy might boost the price of the oil market. It is recommended to buy on dips, but pay attention to China's purchase of US soybeans [33]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - The main producing areas of red dates in Xinjiang were about to enter the sugar - increasing period. The futures price of the main contract CJ601 rose slightly [34][35]. - Investment advice: Due to the uncertainty of the new - season production, it is recommended to wait and see. Pay attention to the weather in the producing areas and the pre - festival stocking in the main sales areas [35]. 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - Corn starch enterprises were affected by equipment maintenance, and the operating rate decreased. The inventory increased slightly [36]. - Investment advice: The CS11 - C11 spread was expected to strengthen when the new - season production was determined [37]. 3.2.5 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The inventory of the five major steel products increased by 250,700 tons week - on - week as of August 21. The rebar inventory increased significantly [38]. - Investment advice: The steel price was expected to continue to fluctuate weakly in the short - term. It is recommended to wait for the market to correct [39]. 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The inventory of deep - processed corn decreased, and the consumption also decreased [40]. - Investment advice: The 11 and 01 contracts of corn futures were expected to decline. Hold short positions and pay attention to the weather [41]. 3.2.7 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - The total social electricity consumption in July increased by 8.6% year - on - year [42]. - Investment advice: The peak of the coal price was expected to have passed, and the price was expected to be stable in the short - term [43]. 3.2.8 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - The import of recycled steel raw materials in July was 21,700 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 12.10% and a year - on - year increase of 20.03% [44]. - Investment advice: The iron ore price was expected to continue to fluctuate. It is recommended to pay attention to arbitrage opportunities [44]. 3.2.9 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - In July, China's cotton product export volume increased, but the export value decreased [45]. - India temporarily exempted cotton import tariffs from August 19 to September 30 [46]. - The Indian Cotton Association expected that the cotton production in 2025/26 would increase despite the decrease in the planting area [47]. - Investment advice: Before the new cotton was listed in China, the supply was tight, which supported the price in the short - term. However, the price was expected to be under pressure in the fourth quarter [49]. 3.2.10 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Trump reiterated that the US would not approve new photovoltaic or wind power projects [50]. - Investment advice: The futures price of polysilicon had strong support at 49,000 yuan/ton. It was recommended to take a bullish view on pull - backs and pay attention to the 11 - 12 reverse arbitrage opportunity [51][52]. 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - The export volume of primary polysiloxane in July decreased [53]. - Investment advice: The price of industrial silicon was expected to fluctuate between 8,200 - 9,200 yuan/ton. Pay attention to range - trading opportunities [54]. 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - On August 20, the LME 0 - 3 lead was at a discount of $39.48/ton. The domestic lead inventory decreased slightly [55]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term [56]. 3.2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - On August 20, the LME 0 - 3 zinc was at a discount of $9.33/ton. The domestic zinc inventory decreased [57]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to wait and see in the short - term for single - side trading. Pay attention to the medium - term positive arbitrage opportunity [58]. 3.2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - The Zulu lithium project in Africa made a major breakthrough [59]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to look for opportunities to buy on dips and conduct positive arbitrage [60]. 3.2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - Codelco in Chile lowered its 2025 copper production guidance [61]. - The S3 expansion project of First Quantum Minerals in Zambia was put into operation [62]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to wait and see for single - side trading and pay attention to the internal - external reverse arbitrage strategy [63]. 3.2.16 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - The LME nickel inventory increased by 252 tons on August 21 [64]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to pay attention to short - term trading opportunities and medium - term short - selling opportunities [67]. 3.2.17 Energy Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - On August 21, the closing price of CEA was 70.92 yuan/ton, with a 0.3% decrease [68]. - Investment advice: The CEA price was expected to fluctuate in the short - term [69]. 3.2.18 Energy Chemicals (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) - The weekly commercial volume of LPG in China increased, and the inventory decreased slightly [70][71]. - Investment advice: The PG price was expected to be strong in the short - term [73]. 3.2.19 Energy Chemicals (Natural Gas) - The US natural gas inventory increased week - on - week. Trump's statement on not approving new wind and photovoltaic projects might affect the demand for natural gas [74]. - Investment advice: The Nymex natural gas price was expected to fluctuate in the short - term and decline in the medium - term [75]. 3.2.20 Energy Chemicals (Urea) - As of August 21, the inventory of urea at Chinese ports increased by 37,000 tons week - on - week [76]. - Investment advice: The urea price was expected to be in a range - bound state. Pay attention to the new Indian tender and domestic demand [76]. 3.2.21 Energy Chemicals (PTA) - Two PTA plants in South China were planned to be shut down for maintenance [77]. - Investment advice: The PTA price was expected to be strong in the short - term. It is recommended to buy on dips [79]. 3.2.22 Energy Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - On August 21, the price of liquid caustic soda in Shandong was adjusted locally [80]. - Investment advice: The caustic soda price was expected to be strong, but it is recommended to be cautious when chasing the price [81]. 3.2.23 Energy Chemicals (Pulp) - The import pulp spot market continued to be weak [82]. - Investment advice: The pulp price was expected to fluctuate in the short - term [85]. 3.2.24 Energy Chemicals (PVC) - The domestic PVC powder market price was slightly stronger [86]. - Investment advice: The PVC price was expected to be weak in the short - term due to India's anti - dumping ruling [86]. 3.2.25 Energy Chemicals (Styrene) - An East China styrene plant with a capacity of 320,000 tons/year was planned to be shut down for maintenance in September [87]. - Investment advice: The styrene price was expected to continue to fluctuate. The supply and demand were expected to be balanced in September, but there was a risk of inventory accumulation in the long - term [88]. 3.2.26 Energy Chemicals (Bottle Chips) - The export quotes of bottle chip factories mostly increased [89]. - Investment advice: Pay attention to the pressure brought by the resumption of production and new plant commissioning in late August and September [91]. 3.2.27 Energy Chemicals (Soda Ash) - As of August 21, the total inventory of domestic soda ash producers was 1.9108 million tons, with a 0.71% increase [92]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to short the soda ash price on rallies and pay attention to supply disruptions [92]. 3.2.28 Energy Chemicals (Float Glass) - On August 21, the price of float glass in the Shahe market decreased [93]. - Investment advice: It is recommended to be cautious in single - side trading and pay attention to the arbitrage strategy of buying glass and shorting soda ash [94]. 3.2.29 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - The global container ship order volume reached a record high, and the over - supply of shipping capacity was expected to last until 2029 [95]. - Investment advice: The container freight rate was expected to fluctuate in the short - term. It is recommended to pay attention to short - selling opportunities on rallies [97].
宝丰能源(600989.SH)发布上半年业绩,归母净利润57.18亿元,同比增长73.02%
智通财经网· 2025-08-21 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Baofeng Energy (600989.SH) reported significant growth in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational performance and financial health [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 22.82 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 5.718 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 73.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 5.579 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 58.67% [1] - Basic earnings per share were reported at 0.78 yuan [1]
粤港澳大湾区金融大咖汇聚山西 共话产业资本融合发展
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-21 13:51
Group 1 - The "Shanxi - Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Industry Capital Cooperation Matching Event" was held in Taiyuan, focusing on the deep integration of financial capital from the Greater Bay Area with Shanxi's industrial chains and clusters [1][3] - Shanxi government officials emphasized the importance of the Greater Bay Area as a highly open and economically vibrant region, aiming to inject more capital into Shanxi's high-quality transformation and development [2][3] - Shanxi is positioning itself as a significant energy raw material base in China, providing a promising investment opportunity for capital from the Greater Bay Area [2][5] Group 2 - The event featured presentations from various Shanxi companies, including Shanxi Meijin Hydrogen Energy Technology Co., Ltd. and Shanxi Guoke Semiconductor Optoelectronics Co., Ltd., showcasing their innovative capabilities in sectors like hydrogen energy and biotechnology [5][6] - The participation of Greater Bay Area guests is expected to create greater opportunities for high-quality development for Shanxi enterprises, enhancing efficiency through direct access to quality financial resources [6] - The event was organized by multiple Shanxi government departments, with the theme "Financial Empowerment, Win-Win Future," aimed at attracting international financial capital to support Shanxi's industrial development [6]
宝丰能源:2025年半年度净利润约57.18亿元,同比增加73.02%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-21 13:25
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 宝丰能源(SH 600989,收盘价:16.24元)8月21日晚间发布半年度业绩报告称,2025年上半年营业收 入约228.2亿元,同比增加35.05%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润约57.18亿元,同比增加73.02%;基本 每股收益0.78元,同比增加73.33%。 ...
宝丰能源(600989.SH):上半年净利润57.18亿元,同比增长73.02%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-21 12:13
Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 22.82 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company reached 5.718 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 73.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 5.579 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 58.67% [1] - The basic earnings per share were 0.78 yuan [1] - The company proposed a cash dividend of 0.28 yuan per share [1]
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-20250821
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 02:44
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The report presents the market trends and outlooks for various commodities, including precious metals, base metals, energy products, agricultural products, and chemical products. Each commodity's trend is described as high - level shock, small decline, range shock, etc., based on their respective fundamentals and market news [2][4]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Expected to experience high - level shock. Yesterday, the closing price of Shanghai Gold 2510 was 772.68, with a daily decline of 0.31%. Comex Gold 2510 rose by 0.99% to 3392.20. The trend strength is 1 [2][5][6]. - **Silver**: Forecasted to have a small decline. The closing price of Shanghai Silver 2510 was 9042, down 1.57%. The trend strength is - 1 [2][5][6]. Base Metals - **Copper**: Lacks a clear driving force, and the price will fluctuate. The closing price of Shanghai Copper's main contract was 78,630, down 0.30%. The trend strength is 0 [2][12]. - **Zinc**: Will trade in a range. The closing price of Shanghai Zinc's main contract was 22,265, up 0.27%. The trend strength is 0 [2][15]. - **Lead**: Inventory reduction supports the price. The closing price of Shanghai Lead's main contract was 16,725, down 0.59%. The trend strength is 0 [2][18]. - **Tin**: Will trade in a range. The closing price of Shanghai Tin's main contract was 267,840, down 0.09%. The trend strength is - 1 [2][21]. - **Aluminum**: Expected to experience high - level shock. The closing price of Shanghai Aluminum's main contract was 20,535, down 10. The trend strength is 0 [2][26]. - **Nickel**: The fundamentals will cause narrow - range fluctuations, and beware of news - based risks. The closing price of Shanghai Nickel's main contract was 119,930, down 400. The trend strength is 0 [2][28]. - **Stainless Steel**: The steel price will fluctuate due to the game between macro - expectations and reality. The closing price of the stainless - steel main contract was 12,820, down 65. The trend strength is 0 [2][28]. Energy and Chemical Products - **Carbonate Lithium**: The game between reality and expectations intensifies, and the market volatility will increase. The closing price of the 2509 contract was 81,040, down 6,540. The trend strength is 0 [2][34]. - **Industrial Silicon**: Market sentiment is boosted. The Si2511 closing price was 8,390, down 235. The trend strength is 1 [2][37]. - **Polysilicon**: Quotes are rising, and sentiment continues to be boosted. The PS2511 closing price was 51,875, down 385. The trend strength is 1 [2][38]. - **Iron Ore**: Macro - risk appetite has not significantly reversed, and support remains. The trend strength is 1 [2][41]. - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: Both will experience wide - range fluctuations. The closing price of RB2510 was 3,132, down 12; HC2510 was 3,402, down 21. The trend strength for both is 0 [2][43][44]. - **Silicon Ferroalloy and Manganese Ferroalloy**: Market sentiment is cold, and both will experience weak - side fluctuations. The closing price of Silicon Ferroalloy 2511 was 5622, down 56; Manganese Ferroalloy 2511 was 5818, down 80. The trend strength for both is - 1 [2][47]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Both will experience wide - range fluctuations. The closing price of JM2601 was 1162.5, down 32; J2601 was 1678, down 30.5. The trend strength for both is 0 [2][50]. - **Log**: The price will fluctuate repeatedly. The closing price of the 2509 contract was 805.5, down 0.6%. The trend strength is 0 [2][53]. - **Para - Xylene**: Crude oil rebounds, demand improves, and it is unilaterally strong. The closing price of the PX main contract was 6844, up 1.03%. - **PTA**: Cost provides support, and it is strong in the short - term. The closing price of the PTA main contract was 4778, up 0.93%. - **MEG**: There is an expectation of overseas supply contraction, and it is strong in the short - term. The closing price of the MEG main contract was 4477, up 1.20% [2][57]. Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Fundamentals provide strong support, and go long on macro - pullbacks. - **Soybean Oil**: Driven by US soybeans is insufficient, and it will experience high - level shock consolidation. - **Soybean Meal**: Overnight US soybeans rose slightly, rapeseed meal was weak, and Dalian soybean meal may fluctuate. - **Soybean No.1**: Will experience weak - side fluctuations. - **Corn**: Will operate weakly. - **Sugar**: Will be strong with fluctuations. - **Cotton**: Pay attention to the listing situation of new cotton. - **Egg**: Pay attention to the culling rhythm of old hens. - **Live Pig**: Wait for the end - of - month spot verification. - **Peanut**: Near - term contracts are strong, and far - term contracts are weak [2][4].