Core Insights - The article highlights the resilience and growth of five Chinese polyester companies, including Hengli Group and Rongsheng Holding, amidst global supply chain fluctuations and trade tensions, emphasizing their ability to maintain steady growth [1][2] - The use of futures tools has evolved from mere risk management to a core engine driving the systematic upgrade of competitiveness in the polyester industry, reshaping pricing rules and optimizing resource allocation [1] Industry Dynamics - The competitiveness of China's polyester chain enterprises has significantly improved, transitioning from a focus on "scale and cost" to a comprehensive capability that includes "industry chain control, globalization, and financial tool application" [1] - Futures tools are now essential for price risk management in the polyester industry, providing multiple benefits such as price discovery, market transparency, and enhanced inventory management [1] Corporate Strategies - Leading polyester companies have integrated futures signals into their operational decision-making, adjusting production schedules and inventory strategies based on futures price curves [2] - The application of options tools has become more refined, allowing companies to lock in risks while optimizing profits through strategies like "futures hedging combined with selling call options" [2] Future Outlook - The rise in the ranking of these companies in the Fortune Global 500 is seen as both a result of past achievements and a starting point for future upgrades, with futures and derivatives becoming key tools for transitioning from survival competition to ecological leadership [2]

7月29日，财富中文网在全球同步发布《财富》世界500强排行榜。此次上榜的500家公司，其资产总额 与净资产总额均创该榜单创立以来的历史峰值。在这份全球企业实力的权威榜单中，恒力集团有限公司 （下称恒力）、浙江荣盛控股集团有限公司（下称荣盛）、盛虹控股集团有限公司（下称盛虹）、山东 魏桥创业集团有限公司（下称魏桥）、浙江恒逸集团有限公司（下称恒逸）这5家中国聚酯企业，已连 续多年稳居其中。 这一现象的背后，是中国聚酯产业链在全球竞争中"系统性优势"的集中彰显，也深刻反映出我国聚酯产 业强劲的发展韧性——国内聚酯企业在应对地缘冲突、原材料价格波动、贸易壁垒等多重风险时，凭借 全产业链布局、技术迭代升级、灵活的市场响应机制及全球化资源配置能力，不仅实现了自身稳健发 展，更持续巩固了中国在全球聚酯产业中的核心地位，成为支撑全球纺织供应链稳定的重要力量。 规模效应与全链整合铸就企业核心竞争力 期货日报记者注意到，在《财富》世界500强榜单中，恒力再度登榜，荣列第81位，已连续9年登榜；荣 盛荣升第118位，较去年提升20位；盛虹居第161位，连续6年登榜，排名逐年上升；魏桥连续14年上 榜，居第166位，较去年提升9 ...

第七届董事会拟由9名董事组成，其中独立董事3名，其他非独立董事6名，任期自股东大会审议通过之日起三年。经股东提名，董事会提名与薪酬考核委员 会审查，提名陈建华、陈汉伦、王孝海、史玉高、张恩国、王月为第七届董事会非独立董事候选人。 瑞财经 吴文婷8月6日，*ST松发发布公告称，为稳步实现置入资产与上市公司管理体系、组织架构的衔接整合，公司董事会拟提前进行换届选举。 | 名次 | 2024名次 | 持股市值 (1670) | 姓名 | 主要公司 | 公司总部 | 主要行业 | 性别 | 年龄 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 3 | 4815.7 | 3K-Da | 字节跳动 | 北京 | 推荐引擎产品、短视频 | ਛੇ | 42 | | 2 | 1 | 3624.1 | 钟談改 | 农夫山泉/万泰生物 | 浙江杭州/北京 | 矿泉水饮料、医药生物 | ਫੇ | 71 | | 3 | 4 | 3067.1 | 马化腾 | 腾讯控股 | 东深圳 | 互联网综合服务 | ਰੇਜੇ | 54 | | 4 | 2 | 3057 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Urea: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - Methanol: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - Pure Benzene: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - Styrene: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - Polypropylene: ☆☆☆ (The short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state, and the market is not very operable, it is recommended to wait and see) [1] - Plastic: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - PVC: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - Caustic Soda: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bearish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - PX: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - PTA: ☆☆☆ (The short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state, and the market is not very operable, it is recommended to wait and see) [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - Short Fiber: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - Glass: ★☆☆ (Predicted to have a bullish trend, but the market is not very operable) [1] - Soda Ash: ☆☆☆ (The short - term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state, and the market is not very operable, it is recommended to wait and see) [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] - Propylene: ★★★ (Predicted to have a clear bullish trend, and there are still relatively appropriate investment opportunities) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the market conditions of various chemical products, including supply, demand, price trends, and provides corresponding investment ratings based on these factors [1][2][3][5][6][7][8] Summary by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures fluctuated around the 5 - day moving average. Low prices, improved downstream product profits, and reduced supply due to unexpected shutdowns of local PDH plants supported the price [2] - Polyolefin futures had a narrow - range intraday fluctuation. Polyethylene's short - term production is expected to increase, with both supply and demand rising recently. Polypropylene's prices are stable, and some offers are tentatively raised, but downstream procurement is weak [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene prices rebounded. Domestic supply increased, demand was weak, but port inventory decreased. There is an expected improvement in supply - demand in the third - quarter and pressure in the fourth - quarter [3] - Styrene futures prices declined. The expected output of a new plant may have a negative impact, and the supply - demand fundamentals are weak [3] Polyester - PTA prices rebounded. New plant production and increased output from existing plants pressured the supply, but production cuts may boost the market. PX may face demand decline if PTA production cuts increase [5] - Ethylene glycol prices rebounded. Supply is expected to continue to rise, and there is an expected increase in demand [5] - Short fiber prices followed the raw materials and sales improved. There is limited new capacity this year, and the peak - season demand is expected to boost the industry [5] - Bottle chip's low - start operation led to stable inventory, but over - capacity is a long - term pressure [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol prices rose slightly. Coastal olefin plants have low operation rates, and ports are expected to accumulate inventory. In the long - term, the approaching peak - season demand should be monitored [6] - Urea market sentiment cooled. The Indian tender price boosted the spot market, but short - term supply - demand is loose, and the focus is on export policy changes [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC prices fluctuated strongly. Cost support increased, but supply increased and demand was weak, so short - term prices are expected to fluctuate weakly [7] - Caustic soda prices fluctuated weakly. Comprehensive profit improved, but long - term supply pressure remains, and prices are expected to be under pressure [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash prices fluctuated. High - price resistance led to a downward shift. Supply is high, and the long - term market is weak, but prices are unlikely to fall below the previous low [8] - Glass prices fluctuated. Mid - stream sales led to a decline in spot prices, and the market is in a state of inventory accumulation [8]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" logic has temporarily ended, and price trends have returned to fundamentals, with the previous premium being rapidly squeezed out. For ethylene glycol, the inventory accumulation in Q3 is small, the supply-demand contradiction is not significant, the downward space is limited under low inventory, and the inventory accumulation expectation is postponed. After the correction, the valuation is relatively neutral, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range following market sentiment [3] - The new version of the "Coal Mine Safety Regulations" was released, leading to a rebound in coal prices and an increase in costs [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Polyester Price Forecast - The monthly price forecast for ethylene glycol is 4200 - 4700 yuan, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 9.09% and a historical percentile (3 - year) of 1.4%. For PX, it is 6500 - 7400 yuan, with a volatility of 11.78% and a historical percentile of 17.7%. For PTA, it is 4400 - 5300 yuan, with a volatility of 9.30% and a historical percentile of 4.6%. For bottle chips, it is 5800 - 6500 yuan, with a volatility of 7.92% and a historical percentile of 0.9% [2] Polyester Hedging Strategies Inventory Management - When the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about a decline in ethylene glycol prices, enterprises with long positions can short ethylene glycol futures (EG2509) with a 25% hedging ratio at an entry range of 4450 - 4550 yuan to lock in profits and cover production costs. They can also buy put options (EG2509P4350) to prevent large price drops and sell call options (EG2509C4500) to reduce capital costs, with a 50% hedging ratio at an entry range of 10 - 15 yuan [2] Procurement Management - When the procurement of regular inventory is low and enterprises want to purchase based on orders, those with short positions can buy ethylene glycol futures (EG2509) with a 50% hedging ratio at an entry range of 4280 - 4330 yuan to lock in procurement costs. They can also sell put options (EG2509P4350) with a 75% hedging ratio at an entry range of 20 - 30 yuan to collect premiums and lock in the purchase price if the price drops [2] Polyester Raw Material Production Facilities - Before May 30, 2005, there were various polyester raw material production facilities. For MEG, facilities in Shanghai Petrochemical, Maoming Petrochemical, Jilin Petrochemical, etc. had different production capacities, operating states, and production time. For PX, facilities in Yangzi Petrochemical, Tianjin Petrochemical, etc. were included. For PTA, facilities in Yizheng Chemical Fibre, Luoyang Petrochemical, etc. were listed [7] Polyester Daily Data Price and Spread - Many polyester - related products showed price and spread changes on August 6, 2025, compared with previous days. For example, Brent crude oil was at 67.7 dollars/barrel, with a daily change of 0.0 and a weekly change of - 4.8 dollars/barrel. TA01 contract was at 4754 yuan/ton, with a daily change of 32 yuan/ton and a weekly change of - 100 yuan/ton. TA1 - 5 month spread was - 38 yuan/ton, with a daily change of 4 yuan/ton and a weekly change of - 20 yuan/ton [8] Inventory and Processing Fees - On August 6, 2025, PTA warehouse receipts were 27131, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly change of - 2607. Many processing fees also changed. For example, the gasoline reforming spread was 37 dollars/ton, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly change of 5 dollars/ton. POY profit was 111 yuan/ton, with a daily change of - 45 yuan/ton and a weekly change of 110 yuan/ton [9]

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - PTA: Commodity sentiment has weakened, domestic PTA production capacity supply has contracted, and port inventories have declined. The spread between PX and naphtha has expanded to around $250, but the profit margins of alkyl transfer and TDP are not optimistic. The spread between PX and MX remains at around $90. Market port inventories have decreased, and polyester replenishment has improved under the weakening basis. The basis of PTA has weakened, and market replenishment willingness has declined [2]. - Ethylene glycol: Coal prices have rebounded, leading to a rise in ethylene glycol prices. Macro - sentiment has slightly weakened, and the chemical industry has followed the weakening sentiment of bulk commodities. Overseas ethylene glycol plant maintenance, especially in Saudi Arabia, has been continuously postponed, which may have a significant impact on the market outlook. The future arrival volume of ethylene glycol has decreased. Polyester sales have weakened, downstream weaving profits have shrunk, and terminal loads have significantly declined, posing a certain negative impact on the market [2]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Data - INE crude oil price dropped from 514.3 yuan/barrel on August 4, 2025, to 508.8 yuan/barrel on August 5, 2025, a decrease of 5.5 yuan/barrel [2]. - PTA - SC spread increased from 960.5 yuan/ton to 984.5 yuan/ton, up 23.97 yuan/ton; PTA/SC ratio rose from 1.2570 to 1.2663, an increase of 0.0093 [2]. - CFR China PX price increased from 838 to 839, up 1; PX - naphtha spread expanded from 234 to 254, an increase of 20 [2]. - PTA主力期价 dropped from 4698 yuan/ton to 4682 yuan/ton, a decrease of 16 yuan/ton; PTA spot price fell from 4690 yuan/ton to 4660 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton [2]. - PTA现货加工费 decreased from 173.2 yuan/ton to 144.6 yuan/ton, a decrease of 28.6 yuan/ton; 盘面加工费 dropped from 181.2 yuan/ton to 161.6 yuan/ton, a decrease of 19.6 yuan/ton [2]. - MEG主力期价 rose from 4389 yuan/ton to 4399 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan/ton; MEG - naphtha spread increased from (101.55) yuan/ton to (100.74) yuan/ton, an increase of 0.8 yuan/ton [2]. - MEG内盘 price increased from 4455 yuan/ton to 4463 yuan/ton, an increase of 8 yuan/ton [2]. Industry Chain Operating Conditions - PX开工率 remained unchanged at 78.11%; PTA开工率 increased from 76.81% to 78.04%, an increase of 1.23%; MEG开工率 remained unchanged at 58.81%; polyester load increased from 86.15% to 87.09%, an increase of 0.94% [2]. Product Prices and Cash Flows - POY150D/48F price dropped from 6735 to 6715, a decrease of 20; POY现金流 increased from (17) to (14), an increase of 3 [2]. - FDY150D/96F price remained unchanged at 6995; FDY现金流 increased from (257) to (234), an increase of 23 [2]. - DTY150D/48F price dropped from 7960 to 7935, a decrease of 25; DTY现金流 decreased from 8 to 6, a decrease of 2 [2]. - 1.4D直纺涤短 price dropped from 6575 to 6550, a decrease of 25; 涤短现金流 decreased from 173 to 171, a decrease of 2 [2]. - 半光切片 price dropped from 5800 to 5780, a decrease of 20; 切片现金流 increased from (52) to (49), an increase of 3 [2]. Sales Volume - 长丝产销 increased from 32% to 37%, an increase of 5%; 短纤产销 decreased from 49% to 47%, a decrease of 2%; 切片产销 increased from 63% to 72%, an increase of 9% [2]. Device Maintenance - A 7.2 - million - ton PTA device of a supplier in East China reduced its load to 80 - 90% last night, and the recovery time depends on raw material logistics [2]

Research Views Crude Oil - On Tuesday, the price center of oil continued to decline. The September contract of WTI closed down $1.13 to $65.16 per barrel, a decrease of 1.7%. The October contract of Brent closed down $1.12 to $67.64 per barrel, a decrease of 1.63%. The SC2509 closed at 502.5 yuan per barrel, down 6.6 yuan per barrel, a decrease of 1.3% [1]. - API data showed that last week, US crude oil and gasoline inventories decreased, while distillate inventories increased. As of the week ending August 1, crude oil inventories decreased by 4.2 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 860,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels [1]. - Cargo tracking data showed that Russia's seaborne crude oil exports in July dropped to a five - month low. The crude oil shipped from Russian ports in July reached 3.46 million barrels per day, slightly lower than 3.47 million barrels per day in June and the lowest level since March [1]. - Russia's exports to India in July increased by 5% month - on - month to 1.72 million barrels per day. India started to purchase oil from the US and Canada. It is reported that Indian Oil Corporation bought crude oil from the US, Canada, and the Middle East through tender, scheduled to arrive in September [1]. - The market's concern about oversupply is significant, and the price center of oil continues to decline. The view is "volatile and weak" [1]. Fuel Oil - On Tuesday, the main fuel oil contract FU2509 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 0.94% at 2,842 yuan per ton; the main low - sulfur fuel oil contract LU2510 closed down 0.78% at 3,560 yuan per ton [1]. - In August, the supply of high - and low - sulfur fuel oil remains sufficient, and demand may show signs of weakening. The fundamental support from the supply - demand side has declined. The view is "volatile and weak" [1][3]. Asphalt - On Tuesday, the main asphalt contract BU2509 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 1.58% at 3,544 yuan per ton [3]. - In August, some refineries in Shandong have maintenance plans, and asphalt supply is expected to decrease. Refinery inventories are generally controllable, and North China's main refineries may continue low - production in the short term to deliver previous contracts, with limited supply growth. In the southern market, rainfall has decreased, demand is expected to improve, and terminal construction after the rainy season has positive support. The demand for modified asphalt in Shandong's highway projects has been released intensively, driving an increase in terminal capacity utilization [3]. - In the short term, the asphalt market is supported by low supply and inventory, and spot prices are relatively firm. The risk lies in the fluctuation of crude oil prices at the cost end. Short - term long positions can be considered after the oil price stabilizes. The view is "volatile" [3]. Polyester - TA509 closed at 4,682 yuan per ton yesterday, down 0.34%; the spot offer was at a discount of 13 yuan per ton to the 09 contract. EG2509 closed at 4,399 yuan per ton yesterday, up 0.23%, with the basis increasing by 3 yuan per ton to 83 yuan per ton, and the spot price was 4,463 yuan per ton. The main PX futures contract 509 closed at 6,734 yuan per ton, down 0.3%. The spot negotiation price was $839 per ton, equivalent to 6,901 yuan per ton in RMB, and the basis widened by 58 yuan per ton to 179 yuan per ton [3]. - The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang were generally light, with an average sales estimate of about 30%. A 1.2 - million - ton PTA plant in East China is preparing to restart, and its 1.5 - million - ton PTA plant is expected to shut down for maintenance soon. A 750,000 - ton/year ethylene glycol plant in Malaysia shut down due to an accident recently, with an initial estimated shutdown time of about one week [3]. - OPEC+ continues to over - produce, the cost - end oil price is further pressured, downstream demand has resilience support, and the terminal operating load is at a low level in the off - season. TA prices are under pressure. The view is "volatile and weak" [3][5]. Rubber - On Tuesday, as of the day - session close, the main Shanghai rubber contract RU2509 rose 180 yuan per ton to 14,545 yuan per ton, the main NR contract rose 140 yuan per ton to 12,300 yuan per ton, and the main butadiene rubber BR contract rose 120 yuan per ton to 11,515 yuan per ton [5]. - The weather in rubber - producing areas is currently good, and raw material prices have loosened. Downstream demand is stable domestically and weak externally, and exports will decline, while domestic demand has stable growth. Fundamentally, rubber supply increases while demand is stable. With the peak season gradually materializing, there is pressure on the upside of rubber prices. The view is "volatile" [5]. Methanol - On Tuesday, the spot price in Taicang was 2,373 yuan per ton, the price in Inner Mongolia's northern line was 2,085 yuan per ton, the CFR China price was $269 - 273 per ton, and the CFR Southeast Asia price was $331 - 336 per ton. In the downstream, the formaldehyde price in Shandong was 1,045 yuan per ton, the acetic acid price in Jiangsu was 2,280 - 2,350 yuan per ton, and the MTBE price in Shandong was 5,050 yuan per ton [5]. - Overall, there is still an expectation of inventory accumulation in August, but the expected increase in imports in August is not large, and demand changes little. Although inventory increases month - on - month, it will not increase significantly year - on - year, and the total inventory level is relatively low year - on - year. It is expected that methanol prices will maintain a volatile trend [5]. Polyolefins - On Tuesday, the mainstream price of East China拉丝 was 6,970 - 7,200 yuan per ton. The profit of oil - based PP production was - 306.75 yuan per ton, the profit of coal - based PP production was 476.87 yuan per ton, the profit of methanol - based PP production was - 751.33 yuan per ton, the profit of propane - dehydrogenation - based PP production was - 229.24 yuan per ton, and the profit of externally - purchased propylene - based PP production was 70.67 yuan per ton. For PE, the price of HDPE film was 7,956 yuan per ton, the price of LDPE film was 9,514 yuan per ton, and the price of LLDPE film was 7,403 yuan per ton. In terms of profit, the profit of oil - based polyethylene production was - 362 yuan per ton, and the profit of coal - based polyethylene production was 970 yuan per ton [6]. - In August, both supply and demand will start to recover, inventory will gradually transfer from society to downstream, and there are not many fundamental contradictions. Without a significant increase in the cost end, the overall upside space is limited. The view is "volatile" [6]. Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) - On Tuesday, the price in the East China PVC market fluctuated slightly. The price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was 4,840 - 4,910 yuan per ton, and the mainstream reference price of ethylene - based material was about 5,000 - 5,300 yuan per ton. In the North China PVC market, prices rose and fell. The mainstream reference price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was about 4,760 - 4,950 yuan per ton, and the mainstream reference price of ethylene - based material was 5,060 - 5,210 yuan per ton. In the South China PVC market, prices increased. The mainstream reference price of calcium - carbide - based type 5 material was about 4,900 - 4,970 yuan per ton, and the mainstream offer price of ethylene - based material was 5,020 - 5,100 yuan per ton [6]. - In August, the fundamental pressure on PVC has eased, and inventory is slowly decreasing. It is expected that the market will gradually return to fundamental trading after the supply - side reform trading. The main contract will switch to V2501, which is in the off - season of consumption. It is expected that prices will be volatile and weak, and the basis and monthly spread will gradually strengthen [6]. Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the basis data of various energy - chemical products on August 6, 2025, including spot prices, futures prices, basis, basis rates, price changes, basis changes, and the percentile of the latest basis rate in historical data for products such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, high - sulfur fuel oil, etc [7]. Market News - API data showed that last week, US crude oil and gasoline inventories decreased, while distillate inventories increased. As of the week ending August 1, crude oil inventories decreased by 4.2 million barrels, gasoline inventories decreased by 860,000 barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 1.6 million barrels. Analysts previously expected a decrease of about 600,000 barrels in crude oil inventories, a decrease of about 400,000 barrels in gasoline inventories, and an increase of about 800,000 barrels in distillate inventories [11]. - Cargo tracking data showed that Russia's seaborne crude oil exports in July dropped to a five - month low. The crude oil shipped from Russian ports in July reached 3.46 million barrels per day, slightly lower than 3.47 million barrels per day in June and the lowest level since March. Russia's exports to India in July increased by 5% month - on - month to 1.72 million barrels per day [11]. - Fed's Daly said that the time for interest - rate cuts is approaching, and two interest - rate cuts this year are still an appropriate adjustment. It is also possible that there will not be two interest - rate cuts this year, but it is more likely that more cuts will be needed [11]. - US President Trump said that he will meet with Russia tomorrow. He will "wait and see" regarding tariffs on Russia and "quite possibly" impose a 100% tariff on Russian oil [11]. Chart Analysis Main Contract Prices - The report presents the closing price charts of main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, LPG, PTA, ethylene glycol, etc [13][15][17]. Main Contract Basis - The report shows the basis charts of main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, asphalt, ethylene glycol, etc [27][29][33]. Inter - Contract Spreads - The report provides the spread charts of different contracts of various energy - chemical products, such as fuel oil (01 - 05, 09 - 01), asphalt (main and sub - main contracts), PTA (01 - 05, 05 - 09), etc [41][43][46]. Inter - Commodity Spreads - The report shows the spread and ratio charts between different energy - chemical products, such as crude oil's internal - external spread, B - W spread, fuel oil's high - low - sulfur spread, fuel oil/asphalt ratio, etc [59][62][65]. Production Profits - The report presents the production profit charts of various energy - chemical products, such as ethylene - based ethylene glycol cash flow, PP production profit, LLDPE production profit, etc [69][70][72]. Team Member Introduction - The research team includes members such as Zhong Meiyan (Assistant Director and Energy - Chemical Director), Du Bingqin (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Fuel Oil, Asphalt, and Shipping Analyst), Di Yilin (Natural Rubber/Polyester Analyst), and Peng Haibo (Methanol/PE/PP/PVC Analyst), with their respective educational backgrounds, honors, and work experiences introduced [74][75][76].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an Energy Chemical Options Strategy Morning Report dated August 7, 2025, covering energy, polyolefin, polyester, alkali chemical, and other energy chemical options [2][3] - The recommended strategy is to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - Provides the latest price, price change, percentage change, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of various option underlying futures contracts, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc [4] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Presents the volume PCR and open interest PCR of various option varieties, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively [5] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Shows the pressure points, support points, and the maximum open interest of call and put options of various option varieties, which are determined by the strike prices with the maximum open interest of call and put options [6] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Displays the at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and historical volatility of various option varieties, with the weighted implied volatility calculated using volume-weighted average [7] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Different Option Types Energy Options - **Crude Oil**: The US crude oil inventories increased. The market showed a short-term upward resistance and downward trend. Implied volatility was near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a sideways market. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: Factory inventory decreased slightly, and port inventory was at a high level. The market was short-term bearish. Implied volatility was at a high level, and the open interest PCR indicated strong bearish power. Strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Alcohol Options - **Methanol**: The inventory of sample production enterprises decreased, and the order backlog also decreased. The market was weak with resistance. Implied volatility was near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a sideways and weak market. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: The overall operating rate remained stable, but production profit was under pressure. The market was in a wide-range sideways and weak pattern. Implied volatility was near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a sideways market. Strategies include constructing a short volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Polyolefin Options - **Polypropylene**: The number of maintenance production lines decreased in July, and the total output increased. The market was weak with resistance. Implied volatility was near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a weakening market. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] Rubber Options - **Rubber**: The opening area and output of Hainan natural rubber decreased in the first half of 2025. The market was bearish. Implied volatility decreased to near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a bearish market. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy [12] Polyester Options - **PTA**: The factory inventory continued to accumulate, and the processing fee was low. The market was bearish with resistance. Implied volatility was at a relatively high level, and the open interest PCR indicated a weakening market. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy [13] Alkali Chemical Options - **Caustic Soda**: The average utilization rate of sample enterprises decreased slightly. The market was in a weak and sideways pattern. Implied volatility was at a high level, and the open interest PCR indicated a weak market. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] - **Soda Ash**: The factory inventory decreased, but the total inventory increased. The market was in a significant decline with resistance. Implied volatility was at a high level, and the open interest PCR indicated strong bearish pressure. Strategies include constructing a short volatility combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] Other Energy Chemical Options - **Urea**: Supply decreased slightly, and demand was weak. The market was in a low-level sideways pattern. Implied volatility was near the average, and the open interest PCR indicated a weak market. Strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15] Group 7: Option Charts - Provides various charts for different option types, including price trends, trading volume and open interest, open interest PCR, implied volatility, and historical volatility cones, to help analyze the market situation of each option variety [17][36][55]

Report Overview - Report Title: Polyester Industry Risk Management Daily Report: Coal Turmoil Resurfaces, EG Slightly Strengthens [1] - Date: August 5, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" logic has temporarily ended, and price trends have returned to fundamentals, with the previous premium being rapidly squeezed out. For ethylene glycol, the inventory accumulation in the third quarter is small, the supply-demand contradiction is not significant, the downward space is limited under low inventory, and the inventory accumulation expectation is further postponed. After the correction, the valuation is relatively neutral, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range following market sentiment [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Polyester Price Range Forecast - The monthly price range forecast for ethylene glycol is 4200 - 4700, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 9.09% and a 3 - year historical percentile of 1.4%. For PX, it is 6500 - 7400, with a volatility of 11.78% and a percentile of 17.7%. For PTA, it is 4400 - 5300, with a volatility of 9.30% and a percentile of 4.6%. For bottle chips, it is 5800 - 6500, with a volatility of 7.92% and a percentile of 0.9% [2] Polyester Hedging Strategy Table Inventory Management - When the finished product inventory is high and there are concerns about the decline in ethylene glycol prices, for a long spot position, it is recommended to short ethylene glycol futures (EG2509) with a hedging ratio of 25% in the entry range of 4450 - 4550 to lock in profits and compensate for production costs. Also, buy put options (EG2509P4350) to prevent large price drops and sell call options (EG2509C4500) to reduce capital costs, with a hedging ratio of 50% in the entry range of 10 - 15 [2] Procurement Management - When the procurement of regular inventory is low and procurement is based on orders, for a short spot position, it is recommended to buy ethylene glycol futures (EG2509) with a hedging ratio of 50% in the entry range of 4280 - 4330 to lock in procurement costs in advance. Also, sell put options (EG2509P4350) with a hedging ratio of 75% in the entry range of 20 - 30 to collect option premiums and reduce procurement costs, and lock in the purchase price of spot ethylene glycol if the price drops [2] Core Contradictions - The "anti-involution" logic has ended, and prices have returned to fundamentals. Ethylene glycol has limited downward space in the third quarter due to small inventory accumulation and low inventory levels, and is expected to fluctuate within a range [3] 利多解读 - On August 4, the Emergency Management Department released the new version of the "Coal Mine Safety Regulations", causing coal prices to rebound and production costs to increase [3] 利空解读 - There are market rumors that large filament manufacturers' FDY is suffering serious losses and there are plans to cut production, but the implementation remains to be observed. The "anti-involution" sentiment has cooled after the July 30 Politburo meeting, and valuations have returned to fundamentals. The restart of previously shut - down Saudi Arabian plants has led to an upward revision of September import expectations [6] Polyester Raw Material Production Device Summary - The report lists the production devices of MEG, PX, and PTA put into operation before May 30, 2005, including their regions, enterprises, addresses, capacities, production times, operating statuses, total capacities, capacity proportions, and monthly production impacts [7] Polyester Daily Table - It provides price, spread, warehouse receipt, processing fee, and profit data for various polyester - related products on August 6, 2025, August 5, 2025, and July 30, 2025, as well as their daily and weekly changes [8][9]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Urea: ★★★, implying a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Methanol: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★, suggesting a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Styrene: ★★★, showing a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Propylene: ★★★, representing a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Plastic: ★★★, meaning a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - PVC: ★★★, denoting a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Caustic Soda: ★☆☆, indicating a bullish bias but limited operability on the trading floor [1] - PX: ★★★, suggesting a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - PTA: ★★★, showing a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★☆☆, meaning a bullish bias but limited operability on the trading floor [1] - Short Fiber: ★★★, representing a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Glass: ★★★, denoting a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★, indicating a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★, suggesting a clear upward trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity [1] Report's Core View - The chemical futures market shows a mixed performance, with different products having different supply - demand relations and price trends [2][3][5] - Some products are affected by factors such as device restarts, seasonal demand changes, and inventory levels [2][3][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures closed up at the end of the session, but still in a downward pattern. Downstream demand has some support, but supply is expected to increase [2] - Polyolefin futures closed up, with polyethylene having stable supply and some improvement in demand, while polypropylene is in a seasonal demand slump [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene prices fluctuated narrowly, with supply rising and demand weak, but import pressure is expected to ease [3] - Styrene futures prices declined slightly. Overall, there is a slight decrease in supply and a slight increase in demand, but factory inventory may increase [3] Polyester - PX and PTA are in a weak - oscillating pattern due to falling oil prices and the demand off - season. Supply is increasing, and there is a need to watch for demand recovery and valuation repair [5] - Ethylene glycol rebounded with technical support and overseas device shutdown. Supply is expected to increase, and the upward drive is limited [5] - Short fiber and bottle chip prices follow raw materials. Short fiber may be more bullish in the medium - term, while bottle chip has long - term over - capacity pressure [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol prices rose slightly due to coal cost news. Coastal ports are expected to accumulate inventory, but there may be a demand recovery in the peak season [6] - Urea futures prices rose sharply. The current supply - demand is loose, and attention should be paid to macro and export policies [6] Chlor - Alkali Industry - PVC prices rebounded at the end of the session. Cost support increased, but supply is expected to rise and demand is weak, so the price may oscillate weakly [7] - Caustic soda prices oscillated weakly. The comprehensive profit improved, but the long - term supply pressure remains, and the price is expected to be under pressure [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash prices rose sharply. Supply is high, and the market is facing a weak reality, but the price is expected to be difficult to break the previous low [8] - Glass futures prices were weak. Production and sales are insufficient, and the market has returned to reality trading [8]