Production Sector - The coke oven operating rate increased to 75.29%, up by 1.86% from the previous week[7] - The high furnace operating rate rose to 84.35%, reflecting a 0.77% increase[7] - The full tire steel operating rate decreased to 62.46%, down by 2.97% from the previous week[7] Consumption Sector - Weekly box office revenue decreased to 216 million CNY, down by 2,000,000 CNY from the previous week[7] - Average daily retail sales of passenger cars fell to 61,788.25 units, a decrease of 4,001 units[7] - Average daily wholesale sales of passenger cars dropped to 73,632.75 units, down by 5,425.55 units[7] Real Estate and Infrastructure - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities increased to 167.19 million square meters, up by 18.21% from the previous week[7] - The land premium rate in 100 major cities rose to 7.5%, an increase of 3.27%[7] - Excavator sales reached 19,517 units, a significant increase of 7,877 units compared to the previous month[7] Trade and Inflation - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) decreased to 1,347.84, down by 22.74 points[8] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for agricultural products showed a slight decline, with the wholesale price index at 118.13, down by 0.69%[8] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) indicated a rebound in domestic and international commodity prices[8] Transportation - The subway passenger volume in Beijing decreased to 1,057.37 million trips, down by 5.02%[8] - The number of domestic flights (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) decreased to 12,847.57 flights, down by 92.29 flights[8] - The China Road Logistics Price Index increased slightly to 1,050.75, up by 0.61[8]

Economic Overview - China's economy showed a strong start in the first quarter, with key indicators such as industrial output, service sector growth, retail sales, and fixed asset investment all improving compared to the previous year [1][2] - The resilience and internal stability of the Chinese economy are continuously strengthening despite challenges from the international environment [1] Industrial Performance - In the first quarter, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.5% year-on-year, contributing 36.3% to macroeconomic growth [2] - Profits for large-scale industrial enterprises returned to positive growth, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, and manufacturing profits rose by 7.6% [2] - The equipment manufacturing sector, particularly in railways, shipping, aerospace, and other transport equipment, showed significant revenue and profit growth, highlighting its role as a stabilizing force for the economy [2] Trade and Policy Responses - China's foreign trade demonstrated strong resilience in the first quarter, with import and export volumes reaching historical highs for the same period [3] - The government is actively enhancing open policies and platforms to create a "safety zone" against external shocks [3] - The "old-for-new" policy has positively impacted both subsidized and non-subsidized product consumption, suggesting a need for further promotion of this initiative to boost consumer spending and innovation [3] Employment and Economic Stability - The focus on stabilizing employment remains crucial, with an emphasis on key industries and groups, combining short-term support with long-term optimization [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report The report updates the high - frequency data of various aspects of the economy from April 19th to April 25th, 2025. The overall fundamental high - frequency index is stable, with different trends in production, demand, prices, inventory, transportation, and financing [10][11]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Total Index: Fundamental High - Frequency Index Stable - The current Guosheng fundamental high - frequency index is 125.2 points (previous value: 125.1 points), with a year - on - year growth of 3.8% (previous value: 3.7%), and the year - on - year increase has rebounded. The long - short signal for interest - rate bonds is long, and the signal factor has dropped to 5.5% (previous value: 5.8%) [1][10]. 2. Production: Electric Furnace Operating Rate Drops Slightly - The industrial production high - frequency index is 125.0, with a year - on - year growth of 3.8% (previous value: 3.7%). The electric furnace operating rate is 64.1% (previous value: 64.7%); the polyester operating rate is 91.8% (previous value: 91.0%); the semi - tire operating rate is 78.1% (previous value: 78.4%); the full - tire operating rate is 62.5% (previous value: 65.4%); the PTA operating rate is 80.0% (previous value: 76.7%); the PX operating rate is 77.4% (previous value: 78.2%) [10][12][17]. 3. Real Estate Sales: New Home Sales Remain Negative Year - on - Year - The high - frequency index of commercial housing sales is 45.4, with a year - on - year decline of 13.2% (previous value: 13.5%). The commercial housing transaction area of 30 large and medium - sized cities has increased to 22.0 million square meters, and the premium rate of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities has dropped to 4.3% [10][12][31]. 4. Infrastructure Investment: Asphalt Operating Rate Rises Slightly - The high - frequency index of infrastructure investment is 116.6, with a year - on - year decline of 0.8% (previous value: 1.5%). The operating rate of petroleum installations is 30.7% (previous value: 28.7%) [10][12][39]. 5. Exports: Export Commodity Prices Rise Slightly - The high - frequency index of exports is 144.9, with a year - on - year growth of 6.1% (previous value: 6.7%). The CCFI index has increased to 1122 points, and the RJ/CRB commodity price index has increased to 296.5 points [1][10][49]. 6. Consumption: Movie Box Office Remains Below the Same Period in Previous Years - The high - frequency index of consumption is 119.4, with a year - on - year growth of 0.9% (previous value: 0.7%). The average daily movie box office has increased to 35.62 million yuan, and the average daily retail sales of passenger car manufacturers on April 25th are 54,522 vehicles [2][10][60]. 7. CPI: Pork Prices Rise Slightly - The predicted month - on - month CPI is 0.1% (previous value: - 0.1%). The average wholesale price of pork is 20.9 yuan/kg (previous value: 20.8 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 28 key monitored vegetables is 4.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 4.7 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of 7 key monitored fruits is 7.6 yuan/kg (previous value: 7.5 yuan/kg); the average wholesale price of white - striped chickens is 17.3 yuan/kg (previous value: 17.3 yuan/kg) [2][10][68]. 8. PPI: Non - Ferrous Metal Prices Rise - The predicted month - on - month PPI is - 0.3% (previous value: - 0.3%). The ex - works price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Shanxi origin) is 658 yuan/ton (previous value: 664 yuan/ton); the futures settlement price of Brent crude oil is 67 US dollars/barrel (previous value: 66 US dollars/barrel); the spot settlement price of LME copper is 9,371 US dollars/ton (previous value: 9,123 US dollars/ton) [2][10][76]. 9. Transportation: Passenger Transport Rises, Freight Remains Flat - The high - frequency index of transportation is 126.5, with a year - on - year growth of 5.9% (previous value: 5.5%). The passenger volume of the subway in first - tier cities has increased to 39.54 million person - times, the highway logistics freight rate index remains flat at 1050 points, and the number of domestic flights has increased to 12,780 [2][11][87]. 10. Inventory: Steel Stocks Continue to Decline - The high - frequency index of inventory is 159.3, with a year - on - year growth of 6.6% (previous value: 6.4%). The total inventory of soda ash has dropped to 1.691 million tons [2][11][95]. 11. Financing: Net Financing of Government Bonds Rises - The high - frequency index of financing is 224.7, with a year - on - year growth of 14.7% (previous value: 14.1%). The cumulative net financing of local bonds has increased to 162.5 billion yuan, the cumulative net financing of credit bonds has increased to 115.9 billion yuan, and the 6M national - share bank acceptance bill transfer discount rate has dropped to 1.07% [3][11][108].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened high but experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Consumption ETF (513970) rising by 0.66% as of 13:15 [1] - Notable individual stocks included Pop Mart, which surged by 11%, and other companies like Vitasoy International and Bosideng, which increased by over 5% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced the release of over 160 billion yuan for consumer incentives, with an additional 140 billion yuan expected, aimed at boosting consumption [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Consumption ETF (513970) has reached a scale of 1.708 billion yuan, ranking first among similar products [2] - The ETF closely tracks the Hang Seng Consumption Index, which includes various sectors such as lifestyle and service consumption, catering to a new generation focused on emotional consumption and service experience [2] - As of April 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Hang Seng Consumption Index account for 58.63% of the index, including companies like Yum China and Anta Sports [2]

核 心 观 点 行业比较：电子和机械设备对美敞口更大。 我国对美国电子商品出口最多，而 交运设备关税税率最高 ，加 征后高达 168% 。从中观行业来看，具体到我国对美出口一级行业，电子、轻工、机械与纺织出口依赖度及 份额均较高。从美国进口来看，电子与轻工对我国进口依赖度与进口份额均较高。综合来看， 电子和机械设 备对美敞口更大 。 上游原材料、制造业受冲击严重，后续去产能对冲。 ① 电 子行业的营收对美敞口较大， 若对美出口全部 消失，对行业总营收的影响约为 3.2% 左右，成本传导为主要机制，后续国内产业政策或将推动国产替代，政 策补贴提振消费电子。 ②机械设备行业的营收对美敞口也较大， 如果对美出口全部消失，对行业总营收的影 响为 4.2% 左右，或将加速行业重组。当前国内设备更新政策已经前置推出，同时城市更新等稳增长政策也有 利于扩大机械设备总需求。往后看，产业升级或将加速。 ③交运设备行业的营收对美敞口较小， 即便对美出 口全部消失，对行业总营收的影响也仅为 1.9% 左右，不过行业利润空间或将被挤压。当前国内促进汽车消费 的相关政策也已经前置落地，后续促内需仍有空间，扩外需方面，"一带一路"共建国 ...

凤凰网财经讯 4月28日，三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指低开0.09%，深成指高开0.09%，创业板指高开 0.20%。离境退税、可控核聚变等板块指数涨幅居前，石英、乳业奶粉等板块指数跌幅居前。 华泰证券研报指出，进入二季度，房地产行业增量政策窗口逐步打开，结合更加积极有为的宏观政策以 及更加积极的财政政策定调，后续需关注实操政策落地节奏。华泰证券认为一线城市更具政策弹性，看 好因此带来的市场复苏节奏以及相关标的。 国金证券：万能险新业务允许最低保证利率可调，利差损风险继续下降 国金证券研报表示，近日，金融监管总局发布《关于加强万能型人身保险监管有关事项的通知》，本通 知自2025年5月1日起实施，对不符合《通知》要求的存量业务，给予一年的过渡期，原则上应当于2026 年4月30日前完成整改。我们认为，一方面，万能险产品新业务允许最低保证利率可调，有助于更好防 控利差损风险；另一方面，从产品管理、账户管理、资金运用管理、销售管理等方面，进一步强化万能 险监管，市场秩序将进一步规范，利好规范经营的大型险企。 银河证券指出，随着美国关税政策的影响边际递减，投资者风险偏好逐渐回升。同时，我国将实施更加 积极有为的宏观政 ...

点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 项目基本面经营分化差异加剧。1）产业园： 产业园区供需压力进一步加大，大部分项目主动或被动进入降价竞争。我们统计板块收入同环比分别下降 11.8%和7.7%。由于供需端矛盾尚未缓解，我们认为产业园后续经营或仍将持续波动。 2）物流仓储： 大部分项目通过下调租金应对供给冲击和存量竞 争，促使同口径下板块收入重回下降通道，同环比下滑4.8%和3.6%。供需再平衡过程中，一季度特朗普关税不确定性或也将影响物流仓储租户行为。 3） 保租房： 保租房板块受宏观经济影响较小，一季度板块收入仅出现小幅波动，出租率维持较高水平，租金水平变化则出现小幅分化，其中政策性保租房 租金保持稳定或略有上涨，市场化项目则出现环比下滑，但整体仍符合预期。 4）消费： 得益于各地促消费政策，消费REITs一季度开局良好，我们测算 可比口径收入环比上升1.7%，收入完成度较好。 5）高速： 受低基数与路网变化的影响，高速项目表现分化明显，往后看我们认为板块仍有望延续稳中 向好态势，但路网变化对于单条路产影响较大，应持续关注分流影响。 6）市政环保： 生物质发电项目吨发表现、成本管控好于预期，水务受合肥 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown resilience and recovery following the "black swan" event triggered by the US's imposition of high tariffs, with many actively managed equity funds capitalizing on this opportunity to achieve new highs in net value [1][2]. Fund Performance - As of April 25, 250 actively managed equity funds have rebounded from the "golden pit" created by the tariff event, reaching new highs in net value for the year [1][2]. - Notably, the Huatai-PineBridge Hong Kong Advantage Select A fund has achieved a remarkable 64.44% increase year-to-date, primarily investing in innovative pharmaceutical companies listed in Hong Kong [2][3]. - Several funds focused on the pharmaceutical sector, such as Changcheng Pharmaceutical Industry Select A and Yongying Pharmaceutical Innovation Select A, have also reported year-to-date returns exceeding 40%, with a strong emphasis on innovative drug stocks [3]. Investment Focus - The majority of the funds that have performed well are heavily invested in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs and companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange [2][3]. - The Jin Yuan Shun An Yuan Qi fund has seen a staggering 396.6% increase since its inception, with a diversified investment strategy that limits exposure to any single stock [4]. - The Guotai Consumer Select fund has also performed well, focusing on high-quality companies in the consumer sector, including mid-to-high-end liquor and home appliances [4][5]. Market Outlook - Fund companies suggest a focus on domestic demand in the short term, while long-term investments should consider technology sectors, particularly those related to AI [6][7]. - The BoShi Fund emphasizes three main investment themes: defensive strategies during market volatility, opportunities in emerging industries driven by technological advancements, and sectors benefiting from domestic demand policies [6]. - Huabao Fund highlights the importance of sectors supported by domestic demand and policy expectations, including financials, real estate, and new consumer trends [7].

50等大盘股微跌，小盘股上涨。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 今天大盘微涨微跌，波动不大，还在5.1星。 昨天比较坚挺的价值风格，今天微跌，成长风格微涨。 最近市场风格轮动比较明显。 遇到下跌的时候，大盘、价值股相对抗跌； 遇到上涨的时候，小盘股、成长股弹性更大。 盈亏同源。 两者搭配会让组合更稳定一些。 1. 昨天有朋友问，像红利等指数基金，有一些成立以来，年化达到10%以上甚至更高。 看起来红利指数的波动也不大，那投资者岂不是很容易就拿到这个收益？ 那投指数基金还有啥难的？ 确实，是有一些红利指数基金，成立多年，年化达到10%以上（加上分红）。 例如最基础的中证红利。这个多年甚至达到10年以上。 投资者在低估的时候买入红利基金，并长期坚持下来，也会获得这个收益。 当时有价值风格的基金，被投资者赎回超过90%。 2022年-2024年，红利等指数，在熊市中比较有优势，跑赢了大盘。 这两年红利又受欢迎。 从全市场角度， 但难就难在坚持上。 基金投资者，平均持有股票基金的时间长度是几个月。 但是A股是存在风格轮动的。 红利属于价值风格，遇到成长风格牛市的时候，就会跑输市场。 例如在2019-2020年 ...

经济观察报记者田进 4月24日，中国建投投资研究院和社会科学文献出版社联合发布的《投资蓝皮书：中国投资发展报告 (2025)》(下称《报告》)预测，2025年，国际黄金价格有望继续上扬，沪深300指数有望获得10%以上的 涨幅，上证指数最高或可触及4000点。 《报告》运用"中国建投研究院投资评级模型"对股票、债券、私募股权、外汇和大宗商品等五大类资产 进行评级，给出了2025年投资和资产配置的建议。自2012年起，中国建投研究院连续14年组织编撰并发 布此《报告》。 具体来看，《报告》给予A股最高五星级评级，投资建议为超配；中国债券评级为三星级，投资建议为 维持；私募股权投资评级为四星级，建议高配；国际金价投资评级为四星级，建议为高配；国际油价投 资评级为三星级，建议维持；美元指数投资评级为三星级，建议维持。 在A股方面，《报告》认为，随着中国经济不断回稳向好以及一系列资本市场改革政策的落实落地，投 资者信心将逐步恢复，2025年A股市场有望逐步走出低迷，迎来一波向上的行情。 《报告》提出，当前A股的估值并不高，未来估值预计维持在中枢附近震荡。随着市场信心的增强，估 值水平有望进一步提升。盈利方面，受益于政 ...