量产积极信号频现，海内外共振有望开启 新行情 ——机器人产业跟踪 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 人形机器人产业硬件端持续优化降本，智能化领域实现突破性进展，我们认为产业已处 量产前夕。海外扩产步伐积极，国内头部机器人企业上市进程有望加速。建议重点关注 三类产业链优质标的：一是深度绑定海内外头部客户、具备卡位优势的企业；二是布局 前瞻且量产能力有保障的企业；三是自身具备强降本基因的企业，此类标的在行业放量 期有望率先受益。 建议关注：五洲新春(603667，买入)、震裕科技(300953，买入)、赛摩智能(300466，未 评级)、博众精工(688097，未评级)、领益智造(002600，买入)。 风险提示 产品降价风险、场景需求落地不明确导致低于预期、国家政策变化导致行业发展放缓、 海外龙头厂商生产不及预期、行业融资不及预期、模型发展和数据采集慢于预期。 机械设备行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 机械设备行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 11 日 看好（维持） | 龙头继续加码智能物流，看好无人叉车加 | 2025-07-08 | | --- | --- | | 速产业化：——无 ...

盘后数据出炉。 7月11日，A股市场整体上涨。截至收盘，上证指数报3510.18点，上涨0.01%；深证成指报10696.1点，上涨 0.61%；创业板指报2207.1点，上涨0.8%；北证50指数上涨0.9%。A股市场合计成交17368.84亿元，较上一交 易日增加2216.05亿元。 1.A股市场主力资金净流出140.38亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出82.71亿元，尾盘净流出16.71亿元，A股市场全天主力资金净流出140.38亿 元。 | | | 今日资金净流出前五大行业 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业 | 涨跌幅 | 净流入资金 (亿元) | 资金流出较多个股 | | 基础化工 | -0. 02% | -57. 55 | 万华化学 | | 银行 | -1.91% | -50. 10 | 中国银行 | | 电力设备 | -0.16% | -49.83 | 通威股份 | | 汽车 | 0. 40% | -19. 20 | 赛力斯 | | 房地产 | 0. 48% | -17.56 | 渝开发 | 4.东方财富主力资金净流入15.97亿元居首 | | | 沪深两 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights a trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among 140 companies, indicating a concentration of shares, with some companies experiencing declines for over three consecutive periods [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - 25 companies have reported a continuous decrease in shareholder accounts for more than three periods, with the most significant decline being 13 periods for Kangxin New Materials, which saw a total decrease of 32.69% [1]. - Zhongyuan Media has also experienced a decline for 8 periods, with a total decrease of 28.71%, while other companies like Fuwei Co., and Western Construction have also shown similar trends [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with decreasing shareholder accounts, 23 have seen their stock prices rise, while only 1 has declined, with Zhongyuan Media, China Nonferrous Metal, and Jiangsu Shentong showing notable increases of 15.83%, 15.40%, and 10.84% respectively [2]. - 15 out of these 23 companies outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with excess returns of 11.70% for China Nonferrous Metal, 8.71% for Zhongyuan Media, and 7.14% for Jiangsu Shentong [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest - In the past month, 4 companies with decreasing shareholder accounts have been frequently researched by institutions, with Jiangsu Shentong and China Nonferrous Metal receiving 3 and 2 institutional inquiries respectively [2]. - The companies with the highest number of institutional participants include Jiangsu Shentong with 23 institutions, followed by Fuwei Co. with 5, and Zhejiang Zhengte with 3 [2].

Core Insights - 26 companies listed on the ChiNext board have released their performance forecasts for the first half of the year, with 19 companies expecting profit increases, representing 73.08% of the total [1] - The overall proportion of companies reporting positive forecasts is 80.77%, with 2 companies expecting profits and 1 company forecasting losses [1] Performance Forecast Summary - Among the companies with positive forecasts, 7 are expected to see net profit growth exceeding 100%, while 4 companies anticipate growth between 50% and 100% [1] - Han Yu Pharmaceutical is projected to have the highest net profit growth, with a median increase of 1567.36% [1] - Other notable companies include Chuanjin Nuo and Longyuan Technology, with expected net profit growth of 167.27% and 137.44% respectively [1] Company Performance Highlights - The following companies are highlighted for their significant expected profit increases: - Han Yu Pharmaceutical (Code: 300199) - Expected net profit growth: 1567.36%, Latest closing price: 18.24, Year-to-date change: 41.51%, Industry: Pharmaceutical [1] - Chuanjin Nuo (Code: 300505) - Expected net profit growth: 167.27%, Latest closing price: 19.95, Year-to-date change: 40.94%, Industry: Basic Chemicals [1] - Longyuan Technology (Code: 300105) - Expected net profit growth: 137.44%, Latest closing price: 8.11, Year-to-date change: 7.79%, Industry: Environmental Protection [1] - Other companies with notable growth include Chenguang Biotech, Feirongda, Boteng Co., and Huizhong Co. [1]

Group 1 - The upcoming disclosure of mid-year reports by listed companies is expected to become a mainstream market focus, with Zhongyan Chemical set to report on July 15 [1] - Companies with significantly better-than-expected performance, such as Huayin Power with a projected increase of over 40 times in earnings, have seen substantial stock price increases, with a 76.72% rise in July [1] - Investors are advised to focus on companies with sustained earnings growth during the mid-year report season, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, biomedicine, machinery, and Huawei's supply chain [1] Group 2 - Investors should pay attention to companies with large absolute net profit increases, while also considering the sustainability of future earnings growth and valuation levels [2] - The market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend in the second half of the year, with a focus on blue-chip stocks in banking, non-bank financials, and high-dividend sectors [2] - Investment strategies should consider three main lines: sectors with mid-year report highlights like gold and technology hardware, high-growth opportunities less affected by economic cycles such as the AI industry, and industries that have achieved supply-side clearing in a mild recovery environment [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed results on July 10, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3509.68 points, up 0.48%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10631.13 points, up 0.47% [2] - Total trading volume in the A-share market was 15152.79 billion, a decrease of 123.41 billion from the previous trading day [2] Capital Flow - The main capital in the A-share market experienced a net outflow of 211.58 billion, with an opening net outflow of 85.28 billion and a closing net outflow of 25.44 billion [3][4] - The CSI 300 index saw a net inflow of 4.7 billion, while the ChiNext index had a net outflow of 102.46 billion [5][6] Sector Performance - Among the 12 sectors in the Shenwan first-level industry classification, 12 sectors saw net capital inflows, with the non-bank financial sector leading at 64.7 billion [7][8] - The top five sectors with net capital inflows included: - Non-bank financial: 64.7 billion, up 1.34% - Real estate: 51.43 billion, up 2.95% - Banking: 42.45 billion, up 0.97% - Non-ferrous metals: 26.76 billion, up 0.89% - Oil and petrochemicals: 25.16 billion, up 1.00% [8] Institutional Activity - Institutions showed interest in several stocks, with notable net purchases in Jingao Technology and net sales in Honghe Technology [9][11] - The top stocks with institutional net purchases included: - Jingao Technology: 13239.79 million, up 9.96% - Chongqing Construction: 2013.68 million, up 10.12% [11] Recent Institutional Focus - Institutions have recently focused on stocks such as TCL Technology, with a target price of 5.90, representing a potential upside of 31.99% from the latest closing price [13]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% on July 10, with 18 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by real estate and petrochemicals, which increased by 3.19% and 1.54% respectively [1] - Conversely, the automotive and media sectors saw declines of 0.62% and 0.54% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 13.025 billion yuan, with 10 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The non-bank financial sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 3.470 billion yuan, while the real estate sector followed with a net inflow of 2.228 billion yuan [1] Mechanical Equipment Sector Performance - The mechanical equipment sector experienced a slight decline of 0.05%, with a total net capital outflow of 2.771 billion yuan [2] - Out of 531 stocks in this sector, 219 stocks rose, while 294 stocks fell, with 3 stocks hitting the daily limit up [2] - The top three stocks with net inflows were: - Houp Co., Ltd. (厚普股份) with a net inflow of 154 million yuan and a rise of 15.72% - Beijing Capital Co., Ltd. (京城股份) with a net inflow of 136 million yuan and a rise of 6.37% - Robotec Co., Ltd. (罗博特科) with a net inflow of 97 million yuan and a rise of 4.09% [2] Mechanical Equipment Sector Outflow - The top three stocks with significant net outflows were: - Giant Lifting (巨力索具) with a net outflow of 350.79 million yuan and a decline of 6.09% - Dafeng Industrial (大丰实业) with a net outflow of 181.79 million yuan and a rise of 3.59% - Rifa Precision Machinery (日发精机) with a net outflow of 179.38 million yuan and a decline of 3.91% [3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.36% as of the morning close, with a trading volume of 783.11 million shares and a transaction amount of 934.47 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.50% compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Real estate, banking, and oil & petrochemicals sectors showed the highest gains, with increases of 1.53%, 1.42%, and 1.23% respectively [1] - The automotive, defense, and electronics sectors experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 0.93%, 0.92%, and 0.76% respectively [2] Leading Stocks - In the real estate sector, Yuhua Development led with a gain of 9.94% [1] - In the banking sector, Minsheng Bank rose by 5.12% [1] - In the oil & petrochemicals sector, *ST Xinchao increased by 5.08% [1] - In the steel sector, Jinling Mining surged by 10.02% [1] - In the non-bank financial sector, Nanhua Futures also rose by 10.02% [1] - In the pharmaceutical sector, Qianyuan Pharmaceutical saw a significant increase of 19.98% [1] Sector Summary - The real estate sector had a transaction amount of 117.03 billion yuan, up 26.74% from the previous day [1] - The banking sector recorded a transaction amount of 266.82 billion yuan, up 36.61% [1] - The oil & petrochemicals sector had a transaction amount of 80.95 billion yuan, up 36.47% [1] - The automotive sector had a transaction amount of 389.36 billion yuan, down 16.50% [2] - The defense sector recorded a transaction amount of 316.85 billion yuan, down 23.79% [2] - The electronics sector had a transaction amount of 1,036.63 billion yuan, down 10.88% [2]

截至7月9日，北交所融资融券余额合计59.20亿元，较前一交易日增加38.59万元，其中，融资余额59.19 亿元，较前一交易日增加48.84万元，为连续3个交易日增加；融券余额为104.95万元，较前一交易日减 少10.24万元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至7月9日，北交所股票中，融资余额居前的为锦波生物、艾融软件、贝 特瑞，最新融资余额分别为3.98亿元、1.71亿元、1.54亿元，从最新融资余额占流通市值比例看，算术 平均值为1.16%，最新融资余额占流通市值比例居前的有天罡股份、胜业电气、巨能股份等，占比分别 为5.50%、4.00%、3.46%。 北交所股票中，7月9日共有123只股获融资净买入，净买入金额在百万元以上的有33只，锦波生物融资 净买入额居首，当日净买入1252.03万元，其次是五新隧装、星图测控，融资净买入金额分别为1150.74 万元、735.85万元，融资净买入金额居前的还有星昊医药、天马新材、奔朗新材等。融资净卖出金额居 前的股票为鼎智科技、远航精密、华岭股份等，融资净卖出金额分别为810.08万元、739.62万元、 426.23万元。 831689 克莱特 -4.40 ...

Macro and Strategy Research - In June 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) turned from decline to increase year-on-year, with a smaller month-on-month decline. Key features include a limited drop in food prices due to high temperatures and increased rainfall, a rise in energy-related CPI driven by international oil price increases, and a notable rise in some industrial consumer goods prices, such as platinum jewelry and home appliances due to pre-"618" promotional activities [2][3] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw an expanded year-on-year decline in June 2025, with month-on-month performance remaining weak. This is attributed to seasonal price declines in domestic raw materials, increased green energy leading to lower coal prices, and pressure on prices in export-heavy industries due to slowing global trade growth [3][4] Financial Engineering Research - During the week of July 2 to July 8, 2025, major A-share indices mostly rose, with the ChiNext Index increasing by 1.54%. The margin trading balance reached 1,859.01 billion yuan, an increase of 10.32 billion yuan from the previous week, with a notable rise in financing balances [5][6] - The sectors with the highest net buying in margin trading included power equipment, computers, and public utilities, while banking, steel, and construction decoration sectors saw less net buying [6] Industry Research - In June 2025, the average working hours for major engineering machinery products was 77.2 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 9.11%. However, sales of excavators and loaders increased by 13.3% and 11.3% year-on-year, respectively [8][9] - A recent trade agreement between the US and Vietnam involves a 20% tariff on goods imported from Vietnam and a 40% tariff on goods transshipped through Vietnam, which is expected to influence the export chain dynamics [9][10] - The machinery equipment industry maintained a "positive" rating, with recommendations to "overweight" stocks such as Sany Heavy Industry, Zoomlion Heavy Industry, and China CNR Corporation [10]