证券研究报告 基金双周报：ETF市场跟踪报告 证券分析师 | 陈 | 瑶 | 投资咨询资格编号：S1060524120003 | | --- | --- | --- | | 郭子睿 | | 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520070003 | | 任书康 | | 投资咨询资格编号：S1060525050001 | | 研究助理 | | | | 高 | 越 | 一般从业资格编号：S1060124070014 | | 胡心怡 | | 一般从业资格编号：S1060124030069 | 2025年8月25日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 报告摘要 2 ETF市场回顾： • 收益表现与资金流向：近两周ETF产品整体表现较好。主要宽基ETF中，科创50ETF涨幅最大，行业与主题产品中，科技行业ETF涨幅最大。近两周宽基ETF 资金净流出速度放缓，上证50和中证500，中证1000/中证2000系列ETF资金转为净流入，除科创/创业系列ETF外，沪深300和A系列ETF资金净流出速度均有所 放缓。近两周科技ETF资金流入速度小幅加快，新能源ETF资金由净流出转为净流入，红利ETF资金由净流入转为净流出，医药、周期、金融地产、大 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The performance of ETF products has varied in the past two weeks. Among the major broad - based ETFs, the CSI 2000 ETF had the largest increase, and among the industry and theme products, the military industry ETF had the largest increase. The fund flow trends of different types of ETFs have also changed, with some showing accelerated inflows, some turning from inflows to outflows, and others showing a slowdown in inflows [2][9]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 ETF Market Review 3.1.1 Main Type ETF Fund Flow Overview - **Return Performance**: As of August 8, in the past two weeks, ETF products showed mixed performance. Among the major broad - based ETFs, the CSI 2000 ETF had the largest increase, and among the industry and theme products, the military industry ETF had the largest increase [9]. - **Fund Flow**: In the past two weeks, among the major broad - based ETFs, the CSI 2000 ETF had a net inflow of funds, while the CSI 300 ETF had the largest net outflow of funds [9]. 3.1.2 Main Type ETF Cumulative Fund Flow - **Broad - based ETF**: Since 2025, the fund flow of major broad - based ETFs has changed from outflow to inflow and then to outflow. The A - series ETFs have had continuous outflows. As of August 8, the Science and Technology/Innovation ETFs, A - series ETFs, and CSI 500 ETFs have all had net outflows. In the past two weeks, the net outflow speed of broad - based ETFs has accelerated, except for the A - series ETFs, whose net outflow speed has slowed down [10]. - **Industry and Theme/Strategy ETF**: The technology ETF has seen an increase in the inflow speed in the past two weeks. The pharmaceutical ETF has turned from net outflow to net inflow, the new energy ETF has turned from net inflow to net outflow, and the consumer ETF has seen an accelerated inflow. The inflow speed of the dividend, cycle, financial real estate, and large - manufacturing ETFs has slowed down [2][14]. - **Bond ETF**: In 2025, the credit bond and treasury bond ETFs have had the largest net inflows. In the past two weeks, there has been a large inflow of funds into the credit bond ETF, the local bond ETF has turned from net outflow to net inflow, the net inflow speed of the treasury bond ETF has slowed down, and the convertible bond and short - term financing ETFs have seen an accelerated net inflow [14]. 3.1.3 ETF Product Structure Distribution - **Newly Established Products**: As of August 8, a total of 13 new ETFs have been established in the market in the past two weeks, with a total issuance share of 5.152 billion, all of which are stock ETFs [2][17]. - **Scale Change**: Compared with the end of 2024, the scale of various types of ETFs has increased. The scale of bond ETFs, commodity ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII - ETFs, and broad - based ETFs has increased by 204.20%, 106.93%, 45.79%, 22.68%, and 2.55% respectively [2]. 3.1.4 Manager Scale Distribution - As of August 8, Huaxia Fund has the largest on - exchange ETF scale, reaching 79.1655 billion yuan. E Fund's ETF management scale has expanded by nearly 30 billion yuan compared with a year ago [18]. 3.2 Classification - based ETF Tracking 3.2.1 Technology Theme ETF Tracking - **Return Performance**: Products tracking communication equipment - related indices have performed well in the past two weeks [24]. - **Fund Flow**: Products tracking the Hang Seng Technology index had the largest net inflow of funds in the past two weeks, while products tracking the animation and game index had a net outflow of funds [27]. 3.2.2 Dividend Theme ETF Tracking - **Return Performance**: ETF products tracking the Hong Kong Stock Connect High - Yield Selection index had the largest increase in yield in the past two weeks [30]. - **Fund Flow**: Products tracking the S&P China A - Share Large - Cap Dividend Low - Volatility 50 index had the largest net inflow of funds in the past two weeks, while products tracking the Guoxin Hong Kong Stock Connect Central Enterprise Dividend index had a net outflow of funds [34]. 3.2.3 Consumption Theme ETF Tracking - **Return Performance**: Products tracking the China Education index have performed well in the past two weeks, and products tracking the S&P 500 Consumer Select Index have a relatively high premium rate [37]. - **Fund Flow**: ETFs tracking the 800 Consumption index had the largest net inflow of funds in the past two weeks, while products tracking household appliances had a net outflow of funds [40]. 3.2.4 Pharmaceutical Theme ETF Tracking - **Return Performance**: Products tracking innovation - drug indices such as the Hang Seng Innovation - Drug index have performed well in the past two weeks [42]. - **Fund Flow**: Not fully provided in the content 3.3 Hot - Theme ETF Tracking - Not fully provided in the content

ETF Market Overview - The overall performance of ETF products has been good in the past two weeks, with the largest increase seen in the ChiNext Index ETF and the pharmaceutical industry ETF [4][12] - Major broad-based ETFs such as the Science and Technology 50, CSI 2000, and CSI 800 saw net inflows, while the CSI A500 ETF experienced the largest net outflow [4][12] - After significant outflows at the beginning of the year, technology ETFs have shifted to net inflows since March, with a notable acceleration in inflow speed in the last two weeks [4][20] ETF Product Structure Distribution - As of July 11, 17 new ETFs were launched in the past two weeks, with a total issuance of 31.823 billion units, including 7 stock ETFs and 10 pure bond ETFs [27] - Compared to the end of 2024, the scale of various ETFs has increased, with bond ETFs, commodity ETFs, industry + dividend ETFs, QDII ETFs, and broad-based ETFs rising by 132.25%, 111.16%, 29.00%, 14.05%, and 2.70% respectively [27] Thematic ETF Tracking - In the technology theme ETFs, products tracking animation and gaming performed best, while overseas technology ETFs underperformed compared to domestic ones [33] - For dividend theme ETFs, those tracking the CSI Central State-Owned Enterprise Dividend had the highest return in the past two weeks, with significant net inflows for products tracking low-volatility dividend indices [4][33] - In the pharmaceutical theme ETFs, products tracking innovative drug indices showed strong performance, with net inflows for those tracking Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug indices [4][33] Fund Manager Scale Distribution - As of July 11, Huaxia Fund has the largest ETF scale at 762.281 billion yuan, while E Fund's ETF management scale has expanded by over 290 billion yuan compared to one year ago [28]

Group 1 - The report indicates a positive outlook for equity assets, supported by a stock-bond rotation model showing a marginal decline in private sector financing growth but still in an upward trend, with inflation factors decreasing and economic recovery signals persisting [4][9] - The sentiment index for the A-share market has turned optimistic for the upcoming month, with indicators such as stock investment ratios and net inflows from large orders maintaining a bullish outlook [4][9] - The report recommends maintaining a high allocation to equity assets, with a focus on small-cap and growth styles for July, while suggesting stable fixed-income products for conservative investors [4][10] Group 2 - The report highlights the implementation of consumption policies aimed at enhancing consumer capacity and expanding financial support for consumption, with 19 key measures proposed [5][12] - A high-quality development plan for inclusive finance has been published, emphasizing the establishment of a comprehensive inclusive financial system over the next five years [5][12] - The second quarter monetary policy meeting indicated a more optimistic view of the domestic economy, while maintaining a stance of "moderate easing" in monetary policy [5][12] Group 3 - The report notes that the ETF market has performed well recently, with significant inflows into broad-based ETFs, particularly in the ChiNext index ETF and financial real estate sector ETFs [6][15] - The report mentions that 16 new ETFs were launched in the past two weeks, with a total issuance of 6.621 billion units, indicating growth in the ETF market [6][15] - The performance of thematic ETFs, such as those tracking AI and robotics, has been highlighted, with notable inflows and returns [6][17] Group 4 - The report discusses the wind power sector, forecasting a doubling of global offshore wind installations by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 21% expected over the next decade [19][20] - It also mentions the competitive landscape in the energy storage market, with prices for lithium iron phosphate battery systems continuing to decline, reflecting increased competition [20][21] - Investment recommendations include focusing on companies in the offshore wind sector and those involved in energy storage, highlighting specific firms such as Mingyang Smart Energy and Sunshine Power [21][22] Group 5 - The report emphasizes innovation in the liquor industry, with companies like Luzhou Laojiao focusing on low-alcohol and youth-oriented products to meet changing consumer demands [22][23] - It identifies opportunities in the beverage and snack sectors, driven by evolving consumer preferences and the introduction of functional products [22][23]

Core Insights - The recent introduction of favorable policies for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, including the "1+6" policy, has significantly boosted the confidence of quality tech companies in going public [4][5] - The valuation of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board has surged by 154% over the past 13 months, reaching 195.66 times as of June 23, compared to 76.95 times on June 1, 2024 [1] - The "Kote Valuation" system emphasizes technology innovation, R&D investment, and future growth potential, marking a shift from traditional profit-based valuation methods [1][4] Group 1: Policy and Market Dynamics - The "Kote Valuation" system is designed to assess tech companies based on their innovation capabilities and market potential, moving away from traditional financial metrics [4][5] - The implementation of policies such as tax incentives and government procurement is aimed at enhancing R&D investment and improving the efficiency of industry chain integration [5][11] - The capital market is responding by expanding financial products like Sci-Tech bonds and ETFs, which increases liquidity and reduces financing costs for tech companies [5][11] Group 2: Valuation Logic Transformation - The valuation logic for tech stocks is evolving from a focus on short-term profits to a more comprehensive assessment of technological barriers and strategic industry positioning [5][6] - The emphasis on R&D intensity, patent quality, and market share reflects a broader recognition of the core competitiveness of tech companies [8][9] - The introduction of a new growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board aims to support unprofitable companies with significant technological advancements and market potential [8] Group 3: International Competitive Landscape - The "Kote Valuation" system is reshaping China's strategic positioning in the global value chain, particularly in response to ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [6] - By linking domestic production rates with the market value of tech companies, the capital market is fostering innovation and enabling companies to transition from reactive to proactive roles in technology development [6] - This shift is crucial for enhancing China's global technological influence and transitioning from "Made in China" to "Intelligent Manufacturing in China" [6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月08日 ETF 周报 本周科技 ETF 领涨，其中 AI ETF 涨幅中位数超 4% 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2025 年 06 月 03 日至 2025 年 06 月 06 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度 收益率中位数为 1.25%。宽基 ETF 中，科创板 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 2.39%， 收益最高。按板块划分，科技 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 3.02%，收益最高。按 主题进行分类，AI ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 4.03%，收益最高。 ETF 规模变动及净申赎 上周股票型 ETF 净赎回 35.26 亿元，总体规模增加 359.79 亿元。在宽基 ETF 中，上周上证 50ETF 净申购最多，为 4.05 亿元；按板块来看，科技 ETF 净申购最多，为 56.32 亿元；按热点主题来看，军工 ETF 净申购最多， 为 14.40 亿元。 ETF 基准指数估值情况 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看，消费、 周期 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、光伏 ETF 的估 值分位数相对较低。与前周相比 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the rapid growth and development of the ETF market in China, particularly in Shenzhen, highlighting the importance of investor education and the role of events like the "Shenzhen Stock Exchange ETF Lecture Hall" in promoting ETF investment strategies [1][4][8] - The "Shenzhen Stock Exchange ETF Lecture Hall" event held in Nanchang attracted over 200 participants, including financial institutions, investors, and brokerage representatives, focusing on global index investment trends and ETF strategies [1][4] - Huabao Fund's total assets under management for equity ETFs reached 85.3 billion yuan by the end of March 2025, ranking among the top in the industry, and the company has been recognized for its capabilities in index fund and ETF investment [2][3] Group 2 - The rapid growth of the Shenzhen ETF market is evidenced by an average annual growth rate of over 50% in the past five years, with the market size doubling in the previous year [4] - The Shenzhen market is characterized by a high concentration of high-tech and strategic emerging industry companies, with significant representation in sectors like electronics, biomedicine, and new energy [4] - The event featured discussions on the future of China's equity market, with expectations for a "transformation bull market" driven by declining risk-free interest rates and increased risk appetite [5][6] Group 3 - Huabao Fund has developed a diverse range of "hard technology" ETFs, including those focused on financial technology and artificial intelligence, and has launched several new products in the past year [3][8] - The ETF investment landscape in China is transitioning from broad-based indices to Smart Beta thematic strategies, with Huabao Fund providing a comprehensive suite of ETF investment tools [7][8] - The event highlighted the importance of AI in shaping future investment strategies, with Huabao Fund actively developing AI-themed ETFs to capitalize on emerging trends in the industry [8]